DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)
A slug of rainfall moved across the region last night, associated with a passing warm front. While this rain may not have extinguished the brush fires, it certainly helped with their control, and crews should have them largely out by day’s end today in the areas they were most concentrated, particularly Essex County MA. And this is a good thing, because the wind comes up today as we enter a brief but notable warm spell, and continues Thursday, Halloween, where a few record high temps may be threatened, but I do not think beaten. We’ll contend with a lot of cloud cover today which will limit the temperature rise. While more sun will allow a warmer day Thursday, I do think this particular push of warm air and associated atmospheric set-up is not enough to push us to the notoriously warm 1946 Halloween level. This will be in sharp contrast to last Halloween however, when the high was just 50 at Boston. For towns and cities that do trick or treat on Thursday evening, expect a notable but not bothersome breeze, dry weather, and temperatures which ease back from the lower 70s to the middle 60s during the early evening. A cold front waits until Friday morning to pass through the region. While this front brings a rain shower chance, any that do occur will not be beneficial for helping with any remaining fires or aiding in our ongoing precipitation deficit. While Friday will be a mild day, the passing front will lead a cooler air mass into the region for the weekend, which will feature dry weather as high pressure builds in.
TODAY: I-95 belt eastward starts the day with low overcast, patchy fog and drizzle. Abundant clouds / limited sun. Highs 65-72. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH including some higher gusts especially South Coast and hills.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Passing clouds / in-and-out sun. Highs 65-72 South Coast, 72-79 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
HALLOWEEN EVENING: Partly cloudy. Temperatures 65-75, coolest South Coast, mildest inland valley areas. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers overnight. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Lots of clouds early morning including a rain shower chance near the South Coast, then sun and passing clouds. Highs 65-72 by midday, but turning cooler from northwest to southeast during midday and afternoon. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches lower elevations especially over ponds, swamps, and bogs. Lows 30-37. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 4-8)
Low pressure heads from the Midwest to the Great Lakes early next week – its warm front approaching but struggling initially to move through, some cool/wet weather is a potential November 4-5. May break briefly into warmth midweek before a cold front sends it back to dry and chilly here. Will work out the details and timing as we get closer.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
Large scale pattern indications are for some blocking with high pressure to our north strongest and unsettled weather held off to our south most of the time.