All posts by Woods Hill Weather

Tuesday October 22 2024 Forecast (7:30AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 22-26)

High pressure keeps the warm and dry weather going for 2 more days, but a light east to southeast air flow will develop today and a more noticeable south to southwest air flow will become established Wednesday, ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will pass by from west to east in the early hours of Thursday, while at the same time another ocean storm evolves southeast to east of New England. While the front only brings the slight chance of a passing rain shower mainly in southern NH and northern MA early Thursday, the combination of the front and the offshore storm may hold more cloud cover in our region for a longer period of time Thursday, so that day may end up with more limited sun than previously forecast. Friday, high pressure delivers dry, cool weather with more sun. Another cold front crosses the region Saturday, but in the ongoing pattern this front will have little moisture to work with and any rain shower chance is limited. Early call on timing is morning hours Saturday for passage. This will lead an even cooler air mass into the region.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear inland, partly cloudy coastal areas. Patchy fog interior valleys. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix, but most clouds confined to southern coastal areas. Highs 67-74, coolest southern coastal areas. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A possible rain shower overnight, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 52-59. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts in the evening.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW and diminishing.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of a quick-passing rain shower in the morning. Sun and passing clouds afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 27-31)

The dry pattern continues with below normal temperatures to end the weekend on October 27, then a moderating trend early to mid next week as high pressure shifts to the south. Another moisture-starved frontal boundary may bring a brief rain shower threat around the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

November starts with the same pattern October ends with, a westerly flow, a front with limited moisture passing by early in the period. There’s a slight hint that we may have to look to the south for some moisture and a greater rain chance later in the period, but I don’t have a strong feel for this possibility so far in advance.

Monday October 21 2024 Forecast (7:15AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 21-25)

High pressure continues its dominance of our weather through Wednesday, resulting in fair weather and above normal temperatures. A southward shift of the high allows more of a westerly breeze today and with the polar jet stream also a little closer to here, we’ll see high clouds stream across the sky, especially in the northern half of the WHW forecast area, which may filter or dim the sun at times, but also result in a nice sunrise as I write this, and may aid in a nice sunset as well. But it’s a rain-free day with above to well above normal temperatures – maybe even approaching a few record highs at some of the climate sites, so that will be something to keep track of. Additionally, the antecedent and current dry conditions along with today’s warmth and more wind will increase the fire danger across the region, which will remain elevated through the week. What won’t remain elevated most of the week are our high temperatures. They will stay up there tomorrow and Wednesday, but a strong cold front will pass through in the early hours of Thursday morning, and while it will bring clouds and the threat of a quick-passing rain shower, it will certainly knock the region off its temperature pedestal to seasonable to below normal by the end of the week., so get ready to reach for the jackets and warmer clothes again soon…

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 71-78. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74, coolest southern coastal areas. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Clouds arrive overnight with a passing rain shower possible, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 52-59. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts in the evening.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW and diminishing.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 26-30)

Dry pattern. Current indications are for a cold front to pass by with a brief rain shower threat early in the weekend (morning of October 26) otherwise dry weather with breezy conditions and near to below normal temperatures through October 27, then a shift of high pressure to the south of the region with a milder trend following this with continued fair weather.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)

Dry, milder weather may hold to Halloween before we encounter an early November cool down, but only a brief wet weather threat as the dry pattern continues. Maybe a better shot at rain toward the very end of the period.

Sunday October 20 2024 Forecast (7:28AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 20-24)

One final note for sky watchers regarding Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS: This comet is fading in brightness night by night and will really only be easily found (with some aid such as binoculars or night sight on your phone cam) for a couple more nights. We will have clear sky for those who wish to try. The clear sky for that event is part of the ongoing dry and mild weather pattern we have, a result of a large area of high pressure over our region. This will remain the case for another 4 days with sunny, mild to warm days and clear, cool nights. Radiation fog can form over interior lower elevations each overnight / early morning before it quickly dissipates with rising sun. You’ll notice more of a breeze from the west as the center of high pressure shifts south of our region today and Monday, but the breeze will drop off Tuesday as the high noses its way back over the region, and then we’ll get into a light southeasterly to southerly air flow Wednesday as the high center shifts offshore in response to an approaching trough from the west. Our one brief shot at unsettled weather comes Thursday morning-midday (based on current expecting timing) as a trough of low pressure drives a strong cold front our way, bringing the chance of rain showers with it. This day will be less mild than the previous 4, and the start of a cooler snap…

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight.Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 69-76. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Rain showers possible overnight. Lows 52-59. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 61-68. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 25-29)

Canadian high pressure brings fair, cool weather October 25 and 26, and a chilly start and milder afternoon October 27. A frontal boundary crosses the region by early October 28 and may allow a wave of low pressure along it with a rain chance part of that day, before fair weather returns by October 29 with another cool-down.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)

Overall pattern is still fairly dry looking out into the end of October and start of November, with only a brief interruption around mid period with a rain shower chance. A brief milder spell is replaced by another cool-down.

Saturday October 19 2024 Forecast (7:46AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 19-23)

High pressure dominates the weather for the next 5 days with sunny, mild days, and clear, cool nights. And that is literally about it. Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS remains dimly visible a little higher in the evening sky this weekend but continues to fade from view and will be generally invisible by the end of this forecast period.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 24-28)

Cold front passes by October 24 with a rain shower chance and a temperature knock-down mid to late next week, but high pressure regains control with fair weather mid period and temperatures below to near normal. Late-period may have to watch for some unsettled weather to return.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 29 – NOVEMBER 2)

Fair weather finishes October. Unsettled weather may greet November. Temperatures variable, no extremes indicated.

Friday October 18 2024 Forecast (7:10AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 18-22)

Offshore low pressure exerts limited lingering influence on the weather today with a gusty northeast wind still ongoing over Cape Cod and the Islands, and a bit breezy further up into southeastern MA and southern RI from the storm’s circulation, but the band of clouds has already pulled off to the south and southeast and is gone, leaving all of our region under a clear sky, although some ground fog patches have formed in lower elevations of the interior where winds were lighter overnight. These will dissipate soon after sunrise, leaving us with abundant sunshine during the day today. Our stretch of nice weather will continue through the weekend into early next week, with a warming trend, as high pressure takes full control. The breeze may come up somewhat on Sunday as a trough moves by to our north, tightening up the pressure gradient a little. Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS is appearing a little higher up in the western sky each evening now but it is starting to fade and will get more difficult to spot until it fades from view in the coming days, at which point we say bye to it for the next 80,000 years!

TODAY: Sun in abundance. Highs 55-62. Wind NE 10-20 MPH and gusty South Coast and under 10 MPH elsewhere.

TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight. Lows 37-44. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 23-27)

Dry pattern. The only unsettled weather chance is a passing rain shower chance sometime later October 23 or October 24 with a cold front passing by, based on current expected timing. Temperatures more variable and closer to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

Similar pattern though in the larger scale systems may be more dynamic, however pattern still looks fairly dry with only one potential brief interruption from a passing front early in the period.

Thursday October 17 2024 Forecast (7:17AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 17-21)

This morning’s low temperatures show a wide range, which is typical for this time of year under high pressure with light wind, with inland low elevations having dropped below freezing with frost and freeze occurring, while urban centers and immediate coastal areas are relatively warmer, remaining well above freezing, even above 40 in some locations. The aforementioned high pressure area will be in control of our weather through the weekend into the early part of next week with fair weather and a general warming trend. However, the weather in part of the region will be impacted by a strengthening ocean storm, passing southeast of the region, later today into Friday. The impacts from this system will be some cloudiness over southeastern areas, a more prominent northeasterly wind in southeastern MA to southern RI, and some high tide coastal splash-over and minor flooding especially in prone areas of southeastern MA Friday. Rainfall associated with the storm will remain offshore, and the influence of the system will end as it moves further away heading into the weekend. We continue to have good sky conditions for viewing of Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS, which appears slightly higher in the west southwest sky about 45 minutes after sunset each evening until it sinks to the western horizon. This comet will be starting to dim day by day, so best views are likely the next couple nights – though this can be limited in southeastern areas by clouds associated with the ocean storm.

TODAY: Sun most abundant north and west and more limited south and east. Highs 53-60. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH EXCEPT 15-25 mph Cape Cod region.

TONIGHT: Clouds linger southeastern MA / mostly clear elsewhere. Lows 33-40. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix southeastern MA / RI. Sunnier elsewhere. Highs 55-62. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches low elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches low elevations. Lows 44-51. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 22-26)

Dry pattern. The only unsettled weather chance is a passing rain shower chance sometime later October 23 or October 24 with a cold front passing by, based on current expected timing. Mild early period, cooler later period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 27-31)

Similar pattern though in the larger scale systems may be more dynamic. Still, the trend is for it to be on the drier side here, again with probably only one brief interruption from a passing frontal system around mid period. Obviously can’t get too detailed this far out and will monitor and update.

Wednesday October 16 2024 Forecast (7:18AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 16-20)

A trough at upper levels and surface high pressure to our west will give us basically a repeat of yesterday’s weather – breezy, cool, a sun/cloud mix. Tonight, with a clearing sky and wind dropping off as high pressure builds over the region, radiational cooling allows many inland areas to drop to near to below freezing for the first time this autumn, though it won’t be quite as cold in urban centers and along the immediate coastline due to warming influences of buildings / cement / asphalt in urban areas and the “warmer” ocean water adjacent to the shoreline. Also, a blanket of stratus from the ocean may invade Cape Cod and adjacent southeastern MA into parts of RI during the pre-dawn of Thursday with a light northeasterly air flow in those areas. Our weather Thursday through Sunday will be governed by a large area of high pressure. Thursday and Friday will still be on the cooler side with a north to northeast wind, enhanced in eastern and southern coastal areas with an ocean storm well to our southeast. This storm, despite the distance of its low pressure center from our area, will push its high to middle cloud canopy at least into southeastern areas for a while during Thursday to early Friday. The largely mostly clear to clear evening sky forecast the next several days is good news for viewing of Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS, which appears slightly higher in the west southwest sky about 45 minutes after sunset each evening until it sinks to the western horizon.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20+ MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing, except some low clouds from ocean southeastern MA and parts of RI. Lows 27-34 except 35-42 urban centers / oceanside. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun most abundant north and west and more limited south and east. Highs 53-60. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH EXCEPT 15-25 mph Cape Cod region.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouds linger southeastern MA / mostly clear elsewhere. Lows 33-40. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches low elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 21-25)

Dry spell early to mid portion of next week with near to above normal temperatures. Watch for a disturbance or two passing by later in the week with an unsettled weather opportunity.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 26-30)

Slow evolution of a more dynamic pattern but the overall weather is still on the drier side here with a little more pronounced temperature swing potential and more wind potential.

Previous Post

Tuesday October 15 2024 Forecast (7:34AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 15-19)

A dry pattern is in control. Cool weather dominates through Thursday. Atlantic Canada low pressure combined with Midwest high pressure drives a northwesterly breeze across the region today with plenty of sun overall, but some diurnal cumulus and stratocumulus developing, most prominent in the hills well west and north of Boston, while some streamers of high clouds cross the sky from the west southwest during the afternoon hours. Previously felt there could be more clouds Wednesday, but no longer so. High pressure exerts more control while the influence of upper level low pressure is gone sooner, and there is more sun, similar to today at “worst”. Thursday’s weather will be influenced by an ocean storm well offshore to our southeast, but close enough to turn the wind more northerly, and also extend a cloud canopy over the South Coast / Cape Cod for a while – though I do think any rainfall with this low will remain over the ocean. High pressure exerts more influence late this week along with a moderating temperature trend.

TODAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37, except 38-45 urban locations. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine dominates while a few clouds mix in at times too. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39, milder in urban areas. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun dims south and east, brighter north and west. Highs 52-59. Wind N 5-15 MPH, 15-25 MPH over Cape Cod.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 20-24)

Dry spell continues until late period when there’s finally a threat of some unsettled weather. Temperatures near to above normal through mid period before a cooling trend.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 25-29)

A more dynamic pattern may evolve, but that doesn’t necessarily mean stormy. It may mean more stark temperature contrasts and at least one bout of unsettled weather. Much to monitor and fine-tune.

Monday October 14 2024 Forecast (7:11AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 14-18)

Low pressure crosses the region then departs during the day today, bringing an overcast start to the day with pockets of rain showers, even an isolated thunderstorm potential (there were a few around yesterday and last night too). While a drying trend gets underway this afternoon, one more trough can trigger another passing shower or thunderstorm up until early evening. Tonight we see the arrival of the coolest air mass of the season to date, which will be with us into midweek. During this time high pressure extends into our region while upper level low pressure crosses it. This combination is good for a fair amount of diurnal clouds, and quite a few may form Tuesday and Wednesday, with a brief rain shower not to be rule out especially Wednesday midday or afternoon. By Thursday and Friday, the departure of the upper low and continuation of high pressure in control mean fewer clouds Thursday and abundant sunshine by Friday. While mornings will be chilly, you’ll notice a milder trend each daytime.

TODAY: Cloudy with patchy fog and scattered rain showers including a slight chance of a thunderstorm through midday. Breaking clouds and intervals of sun develop west to east this afternoon with an additional rain shower or thunderstorm possible late-day. Highs 54-61 except 61-68 RI and southeastern MA. Wind NE 5-15 MPH except variable to briefly SW in RI and southeastern MA, all shifting to NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts later.

TONIGHT: An early rain shower potential eastern areas, otherwise clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill sub-freezing at times.

TUESDAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 51-58. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37, except 38-45 urban locations. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Clouds dominate / intervals of sun. Slight rain shower chance. Highs 50-57. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39, milder in urban areas. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 31-38. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)

High pressure delivers fair weather and a milder spell through mid period. Watch for a disturbance bringing a rain shower chance later in the period as well as a cooler air mass.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)

Inconsistency in day to day weather means a potential disturbance and rain shower threat will be hard to time early or mid period, otherwise the general pattern looks fairly dry with variable day-to-day temperatures averaging close to normal overall.

Sunday October 13 2024 Forecast (12:33AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 13-17)

A frontal boundary draped just south of the area will struggle to move northward as a warm front today and tonight as low pressure approaches from the west. The passage of this low will take it along the frontal boundary, south of much of the WHW forecast area, as the warm sector may only barely get up into the region from the South Coast to the MA South Shore early Monday before the departing low pulls the boundary south and east. Rainfall will be most widespread north of I-90 on Sunday and then more showery in nature across the region Sunday night into Monday before it dries out. Behind this comes the coolest air mass of the season so far for Tuesday and Wednesday, along with blustery conditions. This eases Thursday as high pressure builds in with more tranquil but still cool conditions.

TODAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, most widespread near and north of I-90. Highs 55-62. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain showers likely. Lows 48-55. Wind E to SE up to 10 MPH may become variable or S to SW along the South Coast.

MONDAY: Cloudy start with rain showers likely, then rain showers diminish as clouds break for sun at times. Highs 55-62. Wind variable becoming NW and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 30 at times.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37, except 38-45 urban locations. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35, milder some urban areas. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 18-22)

High pressure brings fair weather through mid period at least, with a gradual moderating trend. Unsettled weather may return by period’s end.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 23-27)

Pattern looks fairly dry and seasonable heading deep into the month.

Saturday October 12 2024 Forecast (8:23AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 12-16)

If you have a yard sale or outdoor projects planned today, it won’t be rainfall associated with a passing cold front that will be your nemesis. There won’t be any. But what will cause you some issues is the wind. Parenting low pressure in eastern Canada and a high pressure area to our south have quite a difference in their respective central pressures, and the gradient between them will really make the air move, blowing from the west initially and shifting to the northwest as the frontal boundary moves across the region through midday. It will be mild with high temps in the 60s, maybe touching 70 in a few places before cooler air starts to move in later. Tonight, the feel of that gusty, cool fall evening will be the real deal as the breeze keeps up, only subsiding late at night, and much cooler air arrives. The balance of the holiday weekend is going to be more unsettled, however. The front that moves by today will become stationary to our south and only make a modest push back northward as a warm front during Sunday. Approaching low pressure from the west will add moisture, so by morning we’re cloudy, and overrunning rainfall then develops from west to east. This rain is going to favor locations near and north of I-90. To the south, where the slope of the front means the warmer air will be closer to the surface means that a more showery rainfall pattern will exist there. Eventually, low pressure tracks across southern portions of the region, along the frontal boundary, bringing additional showery rain to the region Sunday night into Monday. As the low moves away, we return to a blustery, cool regime with dry weather moving in, and the coolest airmass of the season so far for Tuesday and Wednesday.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind W shifting to NW, 10-20 MPH with gusts 25-35 MPH, even up to 40 MPH in some higher elevation locations.

TONIGHT: Clear evening. Increasing clouds from west to east overnight. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts early, diminishing to under 10 MPH and becoming variable, then shifting to E toward dawn.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, most especially near and north of I-90. Highs 55-62. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain showers likely. Lows 48-55. Wind E to SE up to 10 MPH may become variable or S to SW along the South Coast.

MONDAY: Cloudy start with rain showers likely, then rain showers diminish as clouds break for sun at times. Highs 55-62. Wind variable becoming NW and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 30 at times.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37, except 38-45 urban locations. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 17-21)

High pressure brings fair weather through mid period at least, with a gradual moderating trend. Unsettled weather may return by period’s end.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 22-26)

Unsettled weather potential early period, then fair weather returns. Variable temperatures, averaging near to slightly above normal.

Friday October 11 2024 Forecast (7:12AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 11-15)

High pressure brings fair weather with a milder trend through Saturday as the center of high pressure to the south will allow moderation from west to east across the Northeast. However this is not a turn to a warmer pattern. There are other changes upcoming and we’ll see those get underway during the holiday weekend. A dry cold front will whistle through the region during Saturday, delivering some gusty wind and a quick cool-down at night in contrast to a pretty mild day. Low pressure will come at us via the Great Lakes on Sunday, and its warm front will bring a shot at some rainfall before we break into the warm sector briefly sometime that evening into early Monday. At that time, a cold front will cross the region with additional showers and gusty wind, the latter of which will hang around during the balance of the day, shifting to northwest and delivering another Canadian air mass, the coolest of the autumn so far, which you’ll really notice heading toward mid week.

TODAY: Sunshine filtered at times by passing patches of high cloudiness. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A few cloud patches early, departing to the southeast. Overnight high cloud shield increasing west to east. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty early, diminishing, becoming variable under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouds thicken first thing with a period of rain in the morning. Mostly cloudy with passing rain showers possible midday and afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind SE under 10 MPH then SW 5-15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain showers likely. Lows 54-61. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy start with rain showers likely, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67 in the morning then cooling into the 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW and increasing to 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 30 at times.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 16-20)

A very chilly air mass around mid week, moderating gradually later next week. An upper low may deliver a quick shower of rain or snow early October 16, otherwise this will be a dry stretch of weather as upper level low pressure gives way to zonal flow and surface high pressure. Additionally, after we get rid of an initial period of windy weather, calmer conditions should allow for fairly widespread frost and even some light freezing conditions mid week next week, exceptions urban centers and immediate seacoasts. More about this later…

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 21-25)

Trend remains for continued fairly dry pattern and up-and-down temperatures but averaging slightly above normal for the period.

Thursday October 10 2024 Forecast (7:32AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 10-14)

Canadian cool shot today with a gusty breeze as high pressure slides southeastward to our west and upper level low pressure weakens but moves across the region. Surface high pressure moves south of New England Friday and Saturday which will feature dry weather and a milder trend. A cold front will pass by later Saturday with a gusty, shifting breeze. Unsettled weather will follow this as a wave of low pressure approaches then moves just to our north, dragging its warm front through the region Sunday with a period of rain and a cold front sometime early to midday Monday with another round of rain showers. There should be a milder period of time between the 2 fronts with less chance of wet weather in the “warm sector”, but it’s pretty clear that the weather “pick” of the 3-day weekend will be Saturday.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 57-64. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, then diminishing.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Evening clouds depart northwest to southeast. Overnight clouds increasing west to east. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts early, diminishing and becoming variable, then SE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain in the morning or midday, then a slight chance of rain showers. Highs 60-67. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW and increasing to 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Areas of fog. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers in the morning, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 15-19)

Dry pattern. Below normal temps (coolest of season so far) early period, then moderation follows.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 20-24)

Trend is for continued fairly dry pattern and up-and-down temperatures but averaging slightly above normal for the period.

Previous Post

Wednesday October 9 2024 Forecast (7:28AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 9-13)

Upper level low pressure dominates our weather again the next couple days. A surprise batch of showers and thunderstorms popped up and moved across far southeastern areas / Cape Cod around dawn, and is moving off. I’m not expecting really anything else in the way of shower activity today though, just some areas of cloudiness to share the sky with the sun. A cold front will cross the region this evening with perhaps a quick shower in southern NH and northern MA, and reinforce a cool air mass for Thursday. High pressure slides south of our region and allows it to moderate Friday and Saturday, before another cold front knocks the temps back down for Sunday, just in time for a wave of low pressure to ride along it and bring clouds and a chance of some rainfall to the region for the middle day of the holiday weekend.

TODAY: Sunrise showers/t-storms exit Cape Cod otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 59-66. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. An evening shower possible southern NH / northern MA. Lows 41-48. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42 except milder in urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing and becoming variable.

SUNDAY: Clouding over. Chance of rain. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 14-18)

Monday Holiday October 14 features a lingering shower otherwise mainly dry, breezy, cool weather. High pressure dominates with dry, cool weather followed by moderation next week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 19-23)

Watching October 19-20 for potential unsettled weather, otherwise pattern is dry and overall seasonable though with variable temperatures.

Tuesday October 8 2024 Forecast (7:02AM)

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 8-12)

Upper level low pressure is the main driver of the weather the next few days, but that doesn’t mean unsettled weather. In this case, it means mostly fair weather, just some clouds from time to time, and a secondary cold front which will cross the region late Wednesday to reinforce the cooler air from Canada that’s now taking over behind yesterday’s unsettled weather. By Friday, high pressure slides over the region with a very nice and slightly milder day, and this high heads offshore with continued fair weather and a further warm-up for Saturday, the first day of a (for many) 3-day weekend.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Areas of frost inland lower elevations. Lows 38-45 except colder in some inland lower elevations and milder in urban centers. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 59-66. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW>

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42 except milder in urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 13-17)

Quicker-moving features anticipated now bringing unsettled weather threat in the October 13-14 time frame, the middle and end of the holiday weekend. Will refine this outlook in coming updates. Fair, cooler middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 18-22)

Watching October 18-19 for potential unsettled weather, otherwise pattern is dry and overall seasonable though with variable temperatures.