Category Archives: Weather

Friday April 7 2023 Forecast (7:16AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 7-11)

A long stretch of dry weather begins today, but some changes still occur. First, we start today with a blanket of cloud cover over southeastern portions of the region as the cold front that went through slides offshore and a southwesterly air flow aloft still keeps the clouds from departing quickly. AS this cloud deck moves off, the sun’s heating will trigger the development of fair weather clouds as colder air moves in aloft, associated with an upper level trough of low pressure swinging through the region. Also, watch for the wind to kick up nicely behind the cold front aided by both pressure gradient between Great Lakes high pressure and Canadian low pressure, and the mixing of the air mass due to the sun’s heating. Increased wind and dry weather also results in elevated brush fire danger. While this is ongoing, a cool air mass will be settling in and set us up for a fair but cool weekend with less wind as high pressure moves closer. A general northwesterly breeze is expected Saturday and with lighter winds on Sunday we can see the development of coastal sea breezes, but both days will feature plenty of sun. The sunnier pattern continues into early next week, and as high pressure sinks to the south and an upper level high pressure ridge becomes dominant, we’ll undergo a nice warm-up.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind NW increasing to 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-40 MPH at times especially this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 26-33. Wind NW decreasing to 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 31-38. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind N up to 10 MPH except coastal sea breezes by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65, cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68, cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 12-16)

High pressure remains dominant with continued above normal temperatures through mid period, then watch for Canadian high pressure to send a frontal boundary southward with a April 15-16 weekend cool-down. Generally dry weather is expected but may have to watch for a little unsettled weather by the very end of the period if a disturbance is present in coincidence with that frontal boundary.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 17-21)

During this period we become more vulnerable to a trough / disturbance from the west with increased chances for showers a couple times, but too soon to really time-detail anything. Temperatures somewhat variable, overall close to normal.

Thursday April 6 2023 Forecast (7:18AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 6-10)

Today is the only day for the next several that there will be unsettled weather to talk about, and along with that a question to answer: Will the warm front make it through before the end of the day? The answer is yes, mostly. The frontal boundary we’re waiting on may never quite make it all the way through the coastal areas from Boston northward, even including a portion of southeastern NH away from the coast and adjacent northeastern MA. This is typical for an advancing warm air mass into our region, especially at this time of year – early to mid spring, when without a strong push of surface wind from the southwest, the cold/cool air is hard to dislodge. So while temperatures start out in the 40s today, except 50+ in a few locations to the south where the frontal boundary has already passed, we may end up with quite the temperature contrast by the end of the day with 70+ high temps over interior sections, especially with any sun-breaks, and staying stuck in the upper 40s to lower 50s from the city of Boston northward. Regardless of the position of that frontal boundary by day’s end, a fairly strong cold front will push across the region from northwest to southeast this evening. So a summary of our resultant weather from these fronts, parented by low pressure passing to our north, is a generally overcast morning with areas of fog and drizzle, breaks in the clouds and even partial sun where the warm air is successful in making an appearance, while clouds remain more solid and stubborn in the limited areas that the warm front does not pass by completely, a few rain showers around during the afternoon, and then a swath of rain showers and possible embedded thunder moving across the region from the end of the day into the evening hours. Later tonight, the front sweeps us clean and the sky clears as the air dries out and cools markedly. This sets up a stretch of dry weather from Friday into early next week. Friday-Saturday will be cooler than normal with diurnal fair weather clouds around both days, mixing with the sun, along with a gusty breeze as high pressure heading through the Great Lakes interacts with departing low pressure in eastern Canada with our typical squeeze-play pressure gradient here. With the low’s influence out of the picture by Sunday and Monday, and high pressure sinking to our south, we’ll undergo a warming trend, but it will be slow at first, so if you have Easter plans for Sunday, be aware that the morning will start out quite chilly.

TODAY: Overcast morning with areas of fog and drizzle, which may persist from Boston to the MA North Shore and NH Seacoast into the afternoon while clouds thin and break elsewhere with some partial sun possible. Isolated to scattered rain showers possible from mid afternoon on. Highs 48-55 southeastern NH and northeastern MA down to Boston proper as well as Cape Cod / Islands, 55-62 remainder of South Coast and just away from eastern coastal areas including the eastern Merrimack Valley, 63-70 elsewhere except 70+ possible in any inland areas that see any sunshine. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW 10-20 MPH from south to north, but wind shift may never make it into aforementioned cooler locations.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with rain showers and possible thunder. Clearing overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 54-61. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 11-15)

High pressure will dominate our weather throughout this entire period with a dry spell. Temperatures warm to above normal through mid period, but we may be vulnerable to a back-door cold front and cool-down late period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 16-20)

High pressure hangs on with more dry weather to start this period – temperatures initially cooler than another warm-up to follow. Later in the period a trough and frontal boundary approaching from the west would turn the weather more unsettled with an increased chance of rain showers.

Wednesday April 5 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 5-9)

Today is one of those April days that chills you under an overcast with an east wind, and even though it won’t be a wet day (at least for most of it) it may as well be for how raw the air will feel if you’re walking outside, especially near the coast. This occurs ahead of the front that slipped slowly by us as a cold front yesterday attempting to come back as a warm front as low pressure moves into the Great Lakes today. But these fronts typically have trouble moving back through as warm fronts, and this one will initially, finally doing so on Thursday morning, with a couple periods of rain from this evening to early in the morning, introducing a shot of mild and humid air to the region for several hours, until a cold front swings through with its own round of showers, maybe even a thunderstorm, Thursday evening. This will usher in a chilly air mass from Canada on a gusty wind for Friday, which will gradually settle down into Saturday, as high pressure moves through the Great Lakes in the wake of low pressure, which will have since departed via eastern Canada. The high pressure area will sink a little further south, keeping us dry but turning it milder Sunday.

TODAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle this afternoon. Chance of light rain late-day. Highs 45-52, coolest coastal areas. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures hold 45-52. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 55-62 coastal areas and 62-69 elsewhere but may not occur until later in the day. Wind SE 5-15 MPH shifting to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, especially South Coast, but wind shift may not occur eastern and northern areas until later in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 10-14)

High pressure will dominate our weather throughout this entire period with a dry spell. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 15-19)

Indications are that the overall dry pattern may continue to dominate, but watch for a back-door cold front to potentially chill parts of the region down early in the period and maybe a Canadian cold front to do the same mid period. Unsettled weather episodes should be brief.

Tuesday April 4 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 4-8)

Some typically changeable spring weather is on our menu for the coming days, with quite the variety to be had during this 5-day period. It starts out with a cold front sinking slowly southward through our region today. This front will produce a lot of clouds, and some rain shower activity, first to the north, then more to the south, followed by a bit of a drying trend. Temperatures will run a wide range today, being warmest over interior southern portions of the region, cooler in coastal areas, and also across northern areas that lie north of the frontal boundary. Tonight, the front will have made it to the south of the region where it will also hang out during the day on Wednesday. While this happens, low pressure heads into the Great Lakes and any clearing we may see today will be short-lived, with clouds coming back, and more wet weather returning Wednesday. As the low heads north of our region Wednesday night and Thursday, it will finally pull the frontal boundary back to the north, and what is a raw and cool Wednesday will be followed by a shot of warm air for Thursday, and while clouds may never fully break, and there will still be a rain shower chance in the warm sector of the system, it will have the feel of later spring. There will of course be a modifying influence from a southwest wind near the South Coast where it will be much cooler than locations away from the coast. The cold front swings through Thursday evening with one more round of showers and even a few thunderstorms possible. This sets up dry and much cooler weather for late week, along with another episode of active wind between departing low pressure through eastern Canada and high pressure pressing eastward into the Great Lakes region.

TODAY: Heavier clouds southern NH and MA with some rain showers to start, while sun shines at first toward the South Coast, then clouds shift southward along with a chance of rain showers before eventually breaking for partial sun at times as rain showers come to an end from west to east. Highs 50-57 southern NH and all coastal areas, 58-65 interior MA and northeastern CT to northern RI. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH in southern NH, variable under 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of light rain. Highs 45-52, coolest coastal areas. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Temperatures steady 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly late in the day. Highs 62-69 except 55-62 South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 9-13)

High pressure pushes to the south with fair, milder weather for April 9-10. Frontal boundary and passing trough may bring some unsettled weather and a cooling trend thereafter, but not sure of details at this point.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)

A battle between increasing spring warmth to our south and lingering Canadian chill sets up potential unsettled weather episodes and a difficult outlook for temperatures, but leaning toward the cooler side at this point.

Monday April 3 2023 Forecast (7:28AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 3-7)

High pressure brings nice weather today before a cold front settles southward into the region tonight with a possible rain shower. This front is going to initially hang up in the region with a somewhat complex temperature profile for Tuesday – cooler to the north and along the South Coast while interior southern portions of the region are likely warmest, despite a fair amount of cloudiness, which may produce a few more rain showers. The front will get a little extra push southward finally by Tuesday night as high pressure in eastern Canada noses southward down the coast (typical spring occurrence) as low pressure heads for the Great Lakes. That boundary will attempt to move back as a warm front as the warmer air from the approaching low surges northeastward, but as is typical also for springtime, the front will struggle to do so and Wednesday ends up cloudy, raw, cool, and damp. Eventually the front does make it by us and we “warm sector” for a while on Thursday but probably with lots of clouds (any sun and we end up warmer than the forecast will indicate). Watch for showers and a possible thunderstorm with the arrival and passage of a cold front late Thursday, leading to a dry, breezy, and much cooler day for Friday, as low pressure moves through eastern Canada.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57 Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 41-48. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 48-55 southern NH and all coastal areas, 55-62 interior MA and northeastern CT to northern RI. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH in southern NH, variable under 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes elsewhere.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a rain shower in the evening. Lows 35-42. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of light rain rain. Highs 42-49. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Temperatures steady 42-49. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly late in the day. Highs 61-68 except 53-60 South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 8-12)

Dry with moderating temperatures expected during the April 8-9 weekend as the weather will be dominated by a ridge of high pressure. Unsettled weather with a cooling trend expected as a trough of low pressure moves into the region thereafter.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)

Additional unsettled weather especially early in the period followed by a drier trend. Temperatures start below normal, then moderate.

Sunday April 2 2023 Forecast (8:10AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 2-6)

After a brief shot of spring warmth late yesterday, broken by showers and thunderstorms last evening, we go back to the spring blustery chill today between approaching high pressure and departing low pressure. A lobe of instability brings clouds through the region this morning, but these will give way to sun by midday. High pressure will move into the region tonight, and while the cold hangs on for the night, we’ll lose the wind. Monday, a nice moderation in temperature takes place after a cold start, with plenty of sun. A cold front moves into the area Monday night and slows down, but it will be a weak front, producing only a few rain showers in the region, before it settles southward with a little push from a new high pressure area in eastern Canada. While Tuesday will be a somewhat mild day, it will be cooler along the coast due to an onshore wind. Low pressure is still slated to move into the Great Lakes region Wednesday and then into adjacent Canada Thursday. The warm front from this system will deliver clouds and damp weather to our area Wednesday. It looks like we will sneak into the warm sector of this low pressure area for a while on Thursday before its cold front passes through – meaning some additional unsettled weather.

TODAY: Lots of clouds passing through the region during this morning. Sunshine dominant with a few additional passing clouds this afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusty. Wind chill in the 30s.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 41-48. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 49-56, coolest coast. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 42-49. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Patchy fog. Temperatures steady 42-49. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 60-67 except 52-59 South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 7-11)

Dry April 7-9 .. starting cool/breezy behind low pressure early in the period, then moderating temperatures as high pressure slides to the south thereafter. Low pressure passes to north with warm front / cold front combo bringing some unsettled weather, changing temperatures, and shifting winds April 10-11.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 12-16)

Additional unsettled weather especially early to mid period followed by some drying. Temperatures start below normal, then moderate.

Saturday April 1 2023 Forecast (9:08AM)

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 1-5)

April’s arrival will be met with changeable weather today – a foggy start giving way to a rainy morning, a drier afternoon with sunshine for some, a shower or thunderstorm for some locations this evening, and a if you’re up later tonight and outside, you can feel the arrival of a cold air mass. Low pressure passing to our north causes this as its warm front saunters across the region from south to north this morning, putting us in the “warm sector” for midday and afternoon, before its cold front charges through from west to east this evening. Of course, while it turns quite mild across the region today, that warm air will be greatly modified closer to the South Coast where a southwesterly wind comes off chilly ocean water – typical for this time of the year of course. Sunday’s weather will be less changeable – a blustery, bright day, and quite a bit cooler than today. High pressure moves in for more tranquil conditions Sunday night into Monday, and as the high sinks to the south, it will warm up Monday afternoon decently, ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will have far less punch than its predecessor, bringing the chance of a rain shower to the region Monday night. Behind it, the air isn’t that cold, with most of the cooling coming from a light wind off the water in coastal areas on Tuesday. By Wednesday of next week, low pressure heading for the Great Lakes extends its warm front to just south of our region, and we can expect a general onshore air flow, and a cloudy day with a chance of some rainfall.

TODAY: Areas of fog early. Cloudy morning with rain, moderate to heavy at times. Breaking clouds and clearing with sunshine emerging especially northeastern CT and central through northeastern and east central MA and southern NH for the afternoon while clouds hang on longer to the southeast, eventually with some partial clearing in those areas as well. Highs 52-59 South Coast, 60-67 elsewhere. Wind varible up to 10 MPH except SW 10-20 MPH South Coast at first, then SW 15-25 MPH later with gusts 25-35 MPH, except 20-30 MPH with gusts 35-45 MPH Cape Cod & Islands.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with rain showers and possible thunderstorms including some heavy downpours, even some small hail possible with any heavier storms favoring southwestern NH, central MA, and northeastern CT. Clearing overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW overnight. Wind chill falling into the 20s.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusty. Wind chill in the 30s.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 41-48. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 49-56, coolest coast. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 42-49. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 6-10)

Unsettled weather likely lingers for the start of the period until a cold front trailing low pressure in eastern Canada goes by the region. There’s a lot of uncertainty in the weather that results from a somewhat complex pattern as we head through next week. Inconsistent guidance doesn’t help – showing fair/mild weather on one run for a given day only to decide it can snow on the next run. My overall feeling remains generally the same. I’m leaning toward a fair, cool mid period, a warm-up, to follow, then unsettled weather arriving at the end of the period. Don’t make any solid plans off this outlook as obviously a lot of fine-tuning is to come.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 11-15)

A cooler and more unsettled pattern arrives heading into mid April.

Friday March 31 2023 Forecast (7:12AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

High pressure provides a bright start to the day today, but it will be a cold early morning as we had a clear sky and much less wind during the night, allowing for an efficient temperature drop. Clouds advance into the region by midday and thicken up this afternoon as a warm front approaches from the west, and this front will send a shield of precipitation across the region from late in the day into this evening – mainly rain, but may start as some wet snow and/or sleet mainly in the Route 2 corridor and Merrimack Valley through southern NH. Any frozen precipitation that does occur will not impact the roads with any icy conditions, however, as temperatures will remain above freezing and roads will just be wet. The main rain shield, accompanied by areas of drizzle and fog, will leave the latter two elements behind as it exits later this evening and the warm front passes the region. During our time in the warm sector Saturday, we’ll first see a slug of rain and embedded heavier showers move through during morning to midday, followed by a dry slot and rain-free conditions during the afternoon hours, during which some clearing will take place, however this may not reach the South Coast & MA South Shore until nearly sunset early in the evening. Less sun and a southwesterly wind, quite gusty, will limit temperature rise in those areas, but to the north and west where we have far less marine influence from southwest wind and more sunshine, look for 60+ high temps. We won’t be done with the rain threat yet, however. As its parent low still moves by to our north, a strong cold front will cross the region from west to east Saturday evening, accompanied by showers and possible thunderstorms. The thunderstorm threat will be greatest further west, in areas that received better heating and sit under a more unstable atmosphere, where some strong wind gusts and small hail may occur. This activity should fade in intensity as it moves eastward, then exits the coastal areas later in the evening. Dry, much cooler air then follows this overnight, and sets us up for a bright but blustery Sunday – similar to yesterday’s weather but maybe not quite as chilly. High pressure then builds in for dry and more tranquil weather Monday, with a cold start and a milder finish. But a weak colder front moving into the region Monday night may bring a few rain showers and set us up with a slightly cooler day on Tuesday as winds turn northeast to east behind the boundary, although cooling will be limited due to a weak delivery and an upper high pressure ridge in place.

TODAY: Sunny start, cloudy finish. Late-day rain reaching central MA and southwestern NH which may be mixed with some wet snow and/or sleet. Highs 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely this evening. Areas of fog/drizzle. Temperatures steady 43-50 during the evening, rising slightly overnight. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with rain and embedded heavier showers morning. Clearing southern NH, northeastern CT and central through northeastern MA into Metro Boston during the afternoon while clouds hang on to the southeast with some partial clearing in those areas possible by evening. Highs 52-59 South Coast, 60-67 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with gusts 25-35 MPH, except 20-30 MPH with gusts 35-45 MPH Cape Cod & Islands.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with rain showers and possible thunderstorms including some heavy downpours, even some small hail possible with any heavier storms favoring southwestern NH, central MA, and northeastern CT. Clearing overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 41-48. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 49-56, coolest coast. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 5-9)

A broad low pressure area is expected to travel into the Great Lakes via the Midwest early in the period and a frontal boundary in our area extending from this will likely bring lots of cloudiness and possibly some wet weather to start the period. Eventually the low will make its way through eastern Canada and deliver a dry, cool air mass to our region around mid period, followed by continued fair weather but with a warm-up late in the period. This remains a lower confidence forecast at this time with fine-tuning to come.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 10-14)

A cooler and more unsettled pattern arrives heading into mid April.

Thursday March 30 2023 Forecast (6:59AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

A strong cold front moved through the region with some rain and snow showers overnight, but now we’re just in a blustery and chilly air mass for today, but with plenty of sunshine. It’s going to feel more like late-season football weather for the start of the baseball season at Fenway Park today! High pressure drifts overhead tonight and winds drop off, allowing for quite the cold night. Clouds advance Friday ahead of an approaching warm front that will bring a rainy Friday night our way, but this may start as sleet for some due to lingering cold air. The warm front will move through and set us up for a windy, warmer but frequently wet Saturday with rain showers. As low pressure passes to our north, it will drag a cold front through Saturday evening with a few last rain showers and maybe even a thunderstorm around with the front’s passage, setting us up for a breezy, cool Sunday, but with the return of dry weather. High pressure will build in for continued dry but more tranquil weather with less wind by Monday.

TODAY: Sunshine dominant, but a few passing fair weather clouds through midday. Highs 41-48.Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill in the 30s.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW-N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Late-day rain possible, especially western portions of the region, which may begin as sleet. Highs 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain and drizzle. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 43-50. Wind SE shifting to SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with rain showers and possible thunderstorms including some heavy downpours. Clearing overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 4-8)

Cold front swings through early in the period and its timing determines whether April 4 is a 60+ degree day for parts of the region or much cooler. April 5-7 is a period vulnerable to unsettled weather with variable temperatures, with the end of the period turning fair but breezy and chilly.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 9-13)

Some see-saw weather with a dry and milder trend early in the period then an unsettled cooler trend potentially following that.

Wednesday March 29 2023 Forecast (7:21AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

Our restless weather syndrome continues as we move from the final few days of March to the first couple days of April, with a set of changes to go through in fairly rapid succession. We start today calm and chilly with high pressure overhead, and it will be a bright and sunny day with a decent temperature recovery off the chilly dawn lows. All the while a strong cold front will be charging out of the Great Lakes region and adjacent Canadian land, destined to cross our region near or a little after midnight tonight. This front will have a solid band of convective rain and snow along it, and that may be at least somewhat still intact as it crosses our region, most solidly to the north and west and a little more broken up as it heads into southeastern portions of the region. But don’t be surprised (if you’re awake) to see a burst of rain and/or snow, and even the chance of brief thunder, with the passage of this front. The boundary will be long gone and offshore before dawn, and it sets us up for a blustery, chilly, but dry Thursday – opening day at Fenway for the Red Sox, with the high temp of around 42 being 10 degrees cooler than the 52 degree high temp that was recorded at Fenway on January 2, the day the NHL Winter Classic was played by the Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins. If you’re going to the game on Thursday and are sitting in the shade and/or windy parts of the stadium, be prepared for wind chills in the 30s. At least we won’t need to worry about any rain (or snow) delays/cancellations. 😉 High pressure builds over the region Thursday night and the wind drops off, and we experience a perfect radiational cooling night when many areas drop to the 20s – urban centers being a little less cold of course. Friday’s weather will start with early sun and maybe a nice sunrise, but clouds advance quickly and completely ahead of a warm front, which may spread some precipitation, mostly rain but possibly starting as sleet, into the region by the end of the day. Additional periods of rain and drizzle are possible Friday night as the warm front passes through the region. The first weekend (and first 2 days) of April present a split with a wet/warm/windy Saturday in the warm sector between the warm front and an approaching cold front, and a dry/chilly/windy Sunday as the cold front will move through early in the day. Further elaboration on the details of the weekend’s weather will take place over the next few posts.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, shifting to SW.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Lows 31-38. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48.Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW-N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Late-day rain possible, especially western portions of the region, which may begin as sleet. Highs 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain and drizzle. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 43-50. Wind SE shifting to SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55 early, then falling temperatures. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 3-7)

High pressure brings fair, milder weather to start the period. Episodes of unsettled weather with a frontal boundary nearby and 1 or 2 low pressure systems to traverse the region thereafter, but a turn to dry but windy/cold weather is possible toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 8-12)

Some see-saw weather with a dry and milder trend early in the period then an unsettled cooler trend potentially following that.

Tuesday March 28 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 28 – APRIL 1)

Surface low pressure just southeast of our area exits seaward while upper level low pressure area slides west to east across the region through this evening. This combination makes for a mainly cloudy day and evening with wettest weather in the morning but still some lingering light rain and/or snow showers in the region this afternoon and evening (snow favoring interior higher elevations but no accumulation to speak of). Drier weather moves in overnight and Wednesday as a small area of high pressure crosses the area, but this will be a short lived calm interlude as a strong cold front heading through the Great Lakes during the day Wednesday then moves across our area at night. This front will approach the region with a solid rain and snow shower band on it, and some of it may survive the trip across our area, albeit in weakening form when it does so. Regardless, some areas may see a burst of raindrops or snowflakes as the front goes by late at night from west northwest to east southeast. This will open the door for a dry but blustery and chilly Thursday – just in time for the Sox home opener at Fenway! Wind chills will be in the 30s at the game so plan accordingly if you happen to have tickets and not in a “sheltered” seating area. High pressure moving over the region will shut the wind off but also allow the temperature to really drop off Thursday night with widespread sub-freezing low temperatures – in fact most areas will fall to the 20s with the exception being urban centers and a few immediate coastal locations which can be a bit less cold. Friday will be a day that starts bright and cold but ends overcast as a warm front approaches. The precipitation from this front is going to be mostly in the form of rain when it arrives later in the day or evening, but may start as sleet for some locations. Once the front goes by during the early hours of Saturday, the first day of April will be a warmer but windy and wet one as we’ll be prone to frequent rain showers passing through.

TODAY: Cloudy with areas of light rain and drizzle during the morning. Mostly cloudy with passing light rain showers except rain or snow showers interior higher elevations this afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a few lingering rain and snow showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 30-37. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Lows 31-38. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48.Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW-N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Late-day rain possible, especially western portions of the region, which may begin as sleet. Highs 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 43-50. Wind SE shifting to SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 2-6)

Dry, windy, cooler for April 2 as a cold front moves through early in the day. High pressure brings dry weather early next week before the next low pressure system approaches and arrives with a return to unsettled weather.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 7-11)

This period may be book-ended by unsettled weather but a transitional ridge of high pressure may time just so to bring fair, milder weather for the second weekend of the month. Low confidence forecast at this point though.

Monday March 27 2023 Forecast (7:11AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 27-31)

Down the home stretch of March we go with a variety of weather on the menu for the final 5 days of the month. A small area of high pressure starts our Monday off with blue sky and tranquil conditions, but clouds will follow and we’ll end the day overcast as a low pressure system approaches from the west, the center of which will pass south of our region tonight, but close enough so that it gives us periods of rain, that likely mix with and turn over to snow over inland higher elevations, and may even mix with snow in some areas a little closer to the coast if it comes down just heavy enough. Other than a brief slushy accumulation in a few interior higher elevation locations, this system won’t be enough to leave a wintry mark on the area. Tuesday, while that low moves away, we’ll be in a northerly air flow behind it while upper level low pressure crosses the region, with plenty of clouds and some additional light rain showers at times and even a few more snow flurries Tuesday evening as the moisture hangs on while colder air arrives. High pressure drifts across the region with fair weather during Wednesday. A fairly strong cold front will swing through the region from a low passing to our north Wednesday night and early Thursday. While the frontal boundary may deliver a passing rain or snow shower, its bigger impact will be a blustery, chilly day on Thursday – just in time for the Red Sox home opener. Bundle up for a wind chill in the 30s if you are going to the ballpark! At least it will be dry. On Friday, expect clouds to roll right back in with an approaching warm front, which may trigger a little bit of rain or even some sleet as it moves toward the region – an unsettled end to March.

TODAY: Sunny start / cloudy finish. Rain may reach eastern CT, central MA, and southwestern NH before dark. Highs 49-56. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain, may mix with and/or turn to snow at times especially inland higher elevations with brief slushy coatings possible. Lows 32-39. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing light rain showers except rain or snow showers interior higher elevations. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A few lingering rain and snow showers evening. Lows 30-37. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Lows 33-40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48.Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear evening. Increasing high clouds overnight. Lows 28-35. Wind NW-W diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Thickening clouds. Chance of light rain – some sleet possible at the start. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 1-5)

April 1-2 weekend expected to feature a mild and unsettled start and a cooler, drier finish. Dry weather early next week, unsettled weather returns toward midweek.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 6-10)

Unsettled weather is most likely early in the period with below normal temperatures, followed by a dry and eventually milder trend.

Sunday March 26 2023 Forecast (7:27AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 26-30)

Low level moisture and the resultant blanket of stratus clouds over the region to start Sunday morning will be scoured out by a drying westerly wind behind departing low pressure, and a transformation to a bright and breezy day will take place during the morning, lasting through afternoon. While a gusty wind will feel cool, the air will be mild with highs over 50. Windy conditions this evening will subside overnight as high pressure builds in, and the more tranquil weather will last into Monday, which starts with bright sun. But that’s not going to last too long as clouds will stream across the sky during midday and afternoon ahead of the next low pressure system. These clouds lower and thicken by day’s end and lead to a period of rain Monday night, which may even mix with some snow over interior higher elevations by the early hours of Tuesday. Low pressure will track just south of our region during this time, and as it departs on Tuesday, a cooler northerly wind will take over with a few lingering showers of rain, except rain or snow in higher elevations of interior locations during the day. Another area of high pressure will dry and clear us out Tuesday night into Wednesday, but as that high slips quickly offshore, the wind flips around to southwest ahead of a cold front, and a rain or snow shower may visit parts of the region with the passage of that boundary Wednesday night, leading to a dry, breezy, and chilly day for the Red Sox home opener on Thursday, the penultimate day of March.

TODAY: Lots of clouds to start, then a sun/cloud mix trending to more sun. Highs 50-57. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning, diminishing during the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain arrives, but mixes with or changes to snow over interior higher elevations especially southwestern NH and central MA where a minor snow accumulation is possible. Lows 32-39. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with rain and interior higher elevation mix/snow, tapering to rain and snow showers. Highs 38-45. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 33-40. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Lows 32-39. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 43-50.Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

Active, changeable weather is expected at the end of March into early April. A frontal boundary brings unsettled weather to the region to end March and a wave of low pressure may bring a rainy start to April that may even end as snow for parts of the region as colder air arrives during the April 1-2 weekend. Later in the period based on current timing, fair and milder weather with a high pressure system April 3, followed by more unsettled weather as the next low pressure and frontal system approaches / arrives April 4.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 5-9)

General pattern looks unsettled and on the cool side with the greatest chance for unsettled weather early to mid period, then a drier trend.

Saturday March 25 2023 Forecast (9:31AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 25-29)

This first weekend of spring will feature a split decision on the weather. Today, if you were up early enough you may have spied the sunshine in eastern areas, but it’s faded quickly behind an advancing cloud shield which introduces our Saturday storm system – not a big storm – but a system with a low center heading into the Great Lakes, a warm front becoming stationary before it gets by us, and a secondary low forming and passing across the region tonight. No real changes to the previous forecast regarding precipitation, which may start as some snow and/or sleet especially in inland locations northwest of Boston, but otherwise this is to be mainly a rain event – not all that heavy with a general 1/2 inch of precipitation. As the occluding frontal system lifts through our region this evening though, a bit of enhanced instability may produce a brief period of heavier rainfall, and even some embedded thunder in a few locations, with the highest chance of that occurring toward the South Coast region. Overnight, the area lifts to the northeast and sets us up with a drier but windy day on Sunday. While it won’t be a “cold” day, reaching or topping 50 for high temps, the breeze will make it feel cooler. The wind will be the result of the departing low organizing over eastern Canada while high pressure to its west pushes toward New England. That high will slide into the area Sunday night into Monday with dry and more tranquil conditions. Still looking for some clouds to arrive later Monday from unsettled weather to our west as low pressure comes out of the Midwest / Ohio Valley and passes south of New England early Tuesday, from which we can see some light rainfall for a while. This represents a portion of the energy that was being watched for a potential significant storm system in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame, but right now the stronger indications are that it will come through our region in segments. First that one, and then another weak system passing by the region on Wednesday with just a few rain showers. Since we are still looking out at days 4 & 5 for this, it’s worth monitoring for something more important, but the stronger leaning is away from such an occurrence at this point. Will update this, of course, with tomorrow’s post.

TODAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives midday but may start as snow and/or sleet in central MA through interior southern NH and northeastern MA where a brief accumulation may occur. Highs 37-44. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely in the evening including the chance of a thunderstorm, especially near the South Coast. Drizzle and fog overnight. Temperatures generally steady 37-44. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but shifting to SW 5-15 MPH along the South Coast.

SUNDAY: A cloudy dawn with lingering areas of drizzle and fog possible, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Becoming cloudy. A chance of light rain overnight, favoring the southern portion of the region. Lows 35-42. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 42-49. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 42-49. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

The most likely period of unsettled weather is March 31 to early April 2 as low pressure passes through the region from west to east in a progressive pattern. Temperatures variable but mostly below normal for the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 4-8)

General pattern looks unsettled and on the cool side with the greatest chance for unsettled weather at mid period.

Friday March 24 2023 Forecast (7:09AM)

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 24-28)

A cold front passed through the region last night, and in comes cooler air today as high pressure builds from the Great Lakes to the Canadian border of northern New England. Our sun will be quite limited in the sky today though as first we have some lingering mid level moisture above us, and additionally some higher level moisture is sending a large shield of high cloudiness across our sky. Any clearing we do end up with this evening will be temporary, as low pressure starts to approach from the west and the clouds thicken back up and lower as we head through overnight into Saturday morning. This low’s primary center will head for the Great Lakes while a secondary low center forms just southwest of New England and rides along a frontal boundary – the same one that went through here as a cold front last night, attempted to lift back north as a warm front, but will be thwarted in its effort. As this plays out, the resultant precipitation arrives during the day Saturday and will be mainly a rain event, but may start as snow and/or sleet especially in areas outside I-495 and north of I-90, but with no more than a brief coating of frozen precipitation accumulation. The secondary low will not be that strong but may lift northeastward across the WHW forecast area enough to briefly pull that boundary north and even work a dry slot into the region. Heaviest rainfall, while limited, will occur just ahead of this dry slot and there can even be some thunder in the South Coast region, where the air is most unstable at mid levels to trigger some elevated convection. Most of the rainfall will lift out of the region during the late evening or overnight hours of Saturday as that secondary low passes through and exits, leaving us with a period of low clouds, fog, drizzle, and lighter winds in the pre-dawn hours of Sunday, but as the entire low pressure system pulls further north and east, and high pressure noses southeastward from central Canada into the Great Lakes, the increased pressure gradient between the two systems will result in a gusty, drying westerly wind for us on Sunday with improved weather – a sun/cloud mix – and while it will be cool with the breeze the air won’t be that cold. High pressure builds in for fair weather much of Monday, but we may see some cloudiness return to the sky later in the day due to some unsettled weather in the Midwest and the blow-off high cloudiness being carried eastward in the jet stream. The end of the 5-day forecast period presents a dilemma of sorts, thanks in part to inconsistent guidance presenting uncertainty about a storm threat with enough cold air around that if one were to occur we could be dealing with at least some frozen precipitation. For now just going to leave the threat in the forecast with vague wording until a clearer outcome can be discerned and details determined.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives by midday but may start as snow and/or sleet in central MA through interior southern NH and northeastern MA where a brief accumulation may occur. Highs 37-44. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH

SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely in the evening including the chance of a thunderstorm near the South Coast. Drizzle and fog overnight. Temperatures generally steady 37-44. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but shifting to SW 5-15 MPH along the South Coast.

SUNDAY: A cloudy dawn with lingering areas of drizzle and fog possible, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow/sleet/rain developing. Highs 35-42. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

Storm threat early in the period and more unsettled weather may impact the region around the first couple days of April. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 3-7)

General pattern looks unsettled and on the cool side with the greatest chance for unsettled weather mid to late period.