Category Archives: Weather

Tuesday February 21 2023 Forecast (7:24AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

Lots of unsettled weather in the forecast now as the pattern shifts away from what had been a mild and dry one to a colder, wetter one. Today, a low pressure wave passing just south of our region has spread a swath of rain (South Coast) and snow (elsewhere) across the region to start the day, resulting in some minor snow accumulating mainly on unpaved surfaces where it’s snowing. This will taper off as that wave moves away this morning. A cold front will sweep eastward across there region from late afternoon through evening with another period of precipitation, shorter duration but a little heavier, so some additional snowfall accumulation is likely in southern NH and northern MA, especially away from the coast, with more of a mix/rain situation in the I-95 belt and eastward from there. But this exits quickly tonight and with partial clearing, temperatures drop below freezing, so watch for icy conditions on any untreated surfaces, even where rain fell. Wednesday will be a dry day, but with clouds re-thickening as a small area of high pressure gives way to another approaching low. This is the start of a 1-2 punch of precipitation, the first Wednesday night into early Thursday, the second late Thursday to very early Friday. The precipitation profile will be complex as 2 low pressure waves moves just south of our region. The first one starts as snow most areas, mix South Coast, then transitions to rain South Coast but sleet and freezing rain elsewhere as the surface is cold but it warms up aloft. Expect some tricky travel in many areas and especially untreated surfaces for the Thursday AM commute. Another round of precipitation, again predominantly sleet and freezing rain except rain closer to the South Coast where it stays above freezing, comes at the end of the day Thursday into the early hours of Friday before tapering off. As the second low pressure wave moves away, an arctic cold front will come through the region on Friday morning, perhaps with a few snow showers at times during the day, even behind the front, but most notably a turn to much colder and windy weather through Friday evening. Bitterly cold Friday night and early Saturday and only a modest recovery keeping it well below freezing for high temps Saturday, but with less wind, and sunshine, so feeling more tolerable with a higher sun angle at this time of year. Next low pressure area wastes no time moving in so it may be snowing again by sometime Saturday night…

TODAY: Overcast through mid morning with a period of snow, accumulating a coating to 1 inch on unpaved surfaces I-95 northwestward, with mix/rain to the south. Mostly cloudy afternoon – rain/snow showers return from the west late-day, snow showers mostly north of I-90 with rain showers south. Highs 38-45 by midday but may fall a bit in the afternoon. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with snow showers of 1/2 to 2 inches north central MA and interior southern NH and up to 1/2 inch northeastern MA to NH Seacoast, with rain showers mostly south of I-90. Partial clearing overnight. Watch for black ice formation! Lows 23-30. Wind N under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then clouding over. Highs 36-43. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow/sleet/freezing rain likely, except possibly just rain South Coast. Lows 27-34. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Sleet/freezing rain except South Coast rain early morning. Additional snow/sleet/freezing rain may return late in the day. Temperatures steady 27-34. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow/sleet/freezing rain, maybe just rain for a while South Coast. Temperatures steady 27-34. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny with scattered to isolated snow showers. Temperatures steady 27-34 early, then falling to 15-22 by late-day. Wind NE backing to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 15-25 MPH early, diminishing overnight. Wind chill below zero especially evening.

SATURDAY: Sun followed by increasing high clouds. Chance of snow at night. Highs 22-29. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Low pressure impacts with snow/mix and maybe some rain (precipitation types to be sorted out when storm tracks are better known) February 26, February 28, March 2). Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 3-7)

Additional unsettled weather including wintry precipitation opportunities around March 4 and March 6-7. Temperatures near to below normal.

Monday February 20 2023 Forecast (7:12AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

Complex, changing weather in a new weather pattern during this week… Rain has already exited Cape Cod after a disturbance brought some there overnight, and today, while being mainly cloudy, will also be mainly dry, other than the chance of a passing rain shower later with a cold front. Tuesday, a small, quick-moving system will approach from the west. Initially a wave of low pressure will ripped out just to our south bringing some rain to the South Coast, then later in the day a frontal boundary and the main system will swing through from west to east with a period of rain/mix/snow, rain most likely to the south, mix to snow to the north (southern NH and northern MA) where a small accumulation can occur. Exit this system at night with a break into Wednesday as a narrow sliver of high pressure moves across the region, but then we enter a stretch of unsettled weather later Wednesday through Thursday and into Friday as a pair of low pressure areas track eastward, passing just to our south. This will be a colder set-up than we’ve seen for many of our storm systems this winter, and we’ll be dealing with a variety of precipitation. Right now, the idea is that things get underway as snow late Wednesday except mix/rain South Coast, then with colder air hanging at the surface but warming aloft we see a sleet / freezing rain situation later Wednesday night into Thursday for much of the region, but perhaps warm enough for just rain South Coast. This breaks for a while as low number 1 exits, but then Thursday evening to early Friday low number 2 comes along with another swath of wintry precipitation, but again maybe some rain at first along the South Coast before ending as something frozen. All areas may end as snow showers Friday as the final low moves offshore, intensifies, and drags colder air in. Once we get to the end of Friday, the look and feel of mid winter will be dominant – something that we never really saw, except parts of the region for a brief time in late January.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers mid to late afternoon. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH evening, N under 10 MPH overnight.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. A period of rain possible South Coast in the morning. Rain/mix/snow arriving west to east afternoon, snow most likely southern NH and far northern MA where a coating to 1 inch of accumulation may occur, mainly on unpaved surfaces. Highs 38-45 by midday but may fall a bit in the afternoon. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partial clearing. Black ice formation on untreated surfaces. Lows 23-30. Wind N under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then clouding over. Highs 36-43. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow/sleet/freezing rain likely, except possibly just rain South Coast. Lows 27-34. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Sleet/freezing rain except South Coast rain early morning. Additional snow/sleet/freezing rain may return late in the day. Temperatures steady 27-34. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow/sleet/freezing rain, maybe just rain for a while South Coast. Temperatures steady 27-34. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with snow/mix likely early, then variably cloudy with snow showers possible. Temperatures steady 27-34, falling during the afternoon. Wind NE backing to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

Watching another low pressure area with a snow/mix threat for the February 25-26 weekend, leaning toward Saturday night / Sunday morning for most likely period of impact. Active pattern may send another system with snow/mix/rain leaning toward frozen variety February 27 or 28. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 2-6)

Similar pattern into the early days of March, unsettled, colder with some wintry precipitation opportunities – watching March 2 & 6 as very early call. Temperatures near to below normal.

Sunday February 19 2023 Forecast (7:05AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

In the next 5 days we transition out of the pattern we’ve been in much of the winter. The La Nina driven ridge of high pressure in the US Southeast, while not vanishing, weakens and flattens and allows colder air to the west and north to expand a little further east and south in the next 5 days (and beyond). For this forecast period, it means unsettled weather as we will be in a battle zone between the warmer and colder air. A few weather systems come by our region during this time. Today, while we have a mid and upper level system bringing its moisture through our region in the form of clouds, it will stay rain-free, but also warm up over yesterday’s temperatures as we get a strengthening southerly air flow. Tonight and early Monday, a disturbance will arrive and kick off some wet weather over Cape Cod and the Isands, and maybe briefly in to RI and southeastern MA around dawn Monday, but then this system will be kicked eastward by an approaching trough and cold front from the west. This may bring a rain shower to portions of the region in the afternoon and evening before it moves offshore and is followed by a small ridge of high pressure with a dry start to Tuesday. I was more optimistic about this day’s forecast previously, but not so much now as it’s evident that the next disturbance will be moving in quickly, and we see a quick return of clouds and then some rainfall with a warm front / cold front combo moving through. As this system exits Tuesday evening, it may end as snow with small accumulation potentially for northern MA and southern NH. Tired yet? Well the weather isn’t going to be as yet another, slightly larger scale trough and low pressure area moves in for midweek, probably starting as rain but may evolve into a mix/snow situation before it’s done with us – details to be worked out.

TODAY: Early sun mainly eastern areas, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind S up to 10 MPH increasing to 10-20 MPH by late in the day.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain likely overnight Islands / Cape Cod, and brief pre-dawn rain possible RI to MA South Shore. Lows 38-45. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers mid to late afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower evening. Lows 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Early sun, then clouds return. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early becoming variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain ending, possibly as a period of snow in northern MA and southern NH with some minor accumulation possible. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then clouds return. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind variable becoming E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT & THURSDAY: Overcast with periods of rain with a possible trend to freezing rain, sleet, and snow from north to south. Temperatures starting 38-45 then gradually falling. Wind variable 5-15 MPH, becoming mostly NE to N.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

An unsettled and somewhat colder pattern appears likely for the the final days of February. Main storm threat exists around the February 25-26 weekend based on current timing of features – likely including frozen precipitation.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 1-5)

Similar pattern into the early days of March, unsettled, colder with some wintry precipitation opportunities.

Saturday February 18 2023 Forecast (9:16AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

A dry February weekend, well 2 out of 3 if you included Monday’s Presidents Day holiday as part of a 3-day weekend. High pressure approaches and provides a bright, dry, chilly day today with a gusty breeze at times as the air mixes, but diminshing later on. The wind blowing across the water will result in more cloudiness across Cape Cod for several hours before that moves off / dissipates. Only a few passing fair weather cloud fragments may drift across the sky elsewhere. The high shifts east and a southerly air flow takes over Sunday with lots of clouds. An upper level disturbance then moves in from the west and triggers some rain showers in the region late Sunday night into Monday. A lot of this may stay just offshore but there is a decent shot for eastern areas. Later on, a cold front approaching from the west and northwest may trigger a few more rain showers before we get a shot of chilly, dry air for Tuesday. We start seeing evidence of an evolving weather pattern by the middle of next week when the next low pressure system moves in from the west on Wednesday that may start with a variety of precipitation – something to monitor and fine-tune later.

TODAY: Lots of clouds Cape Cod with increasing sun there later in the day. Sunny with just a few passing clouds elsewhere. Highs 35-42. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing later and shifting to W.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 22-29. Wind W-SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouding up. Highs 45-52. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight favoring the South Coast to MA South Shore. Lows 38-45. Wind S 5-15 MPH becoming variable.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 45-52. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower evening. Lows 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusty.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Clouding up. Chance of rain that may start as a mix. Highs 40-47. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Unsettled weather early in the period may produce a variety of precipitation trending toward frozen before tapering off with mid period dry weather. Another storm threatens with potential wintry precipitation later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Flatter Southeast ridge and a jet stream in a position further south than it’s been much of the winter results in a pattern of near to below normal temperatures and near to above normal precipitation including frozen stuff.

Friday February 17 2023 Forecast (7:15AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

A cold front approaches, slowed briefly by a developing low pressure wave, then passing through the region from midday through this afternoon. Mild air and an increasing southerly wind under an overcast sky ahead of the front will lead to periods of rain showers during its passage, and the rain showers may end mixed with or turning to sleet and/or snow in some areas north of Boston if precipitation lingers long enough until the early evening. Tonight, the colder air invades, along with a gusty wind, so it’ll feel like mid winter finally. Our weekend is dry, but with two different types of weather. Saturday is sunniest and coolest with a gusty breeze as high pressure approaches from the west and low pressure departs via eastern Canada. Sunday is milder, with a shifting wind to a more southerly direction, but also turns cloudier as that southerly air flow brings increased moisture. Upper level low pressure will help kick off a new surface low just south and east of New England Sunday night into Monday, bringing a good chance of a period of rain favoring RI and eastern MA and perhaps the NH Seacoast early Monday. A trough and frontal system will keep clouds around and may produce an additional rain shower anywhere in the afternoon hours. Tuesday, a shot of chilly, dry air arrives with a gusty breeze once again.

TODAY: Cloudy through early afternoon with periods of rain showers west to east starting at mid morning. Areas of fog through early afternoon. Breaking clouds but additional rain showers possible through late-day, except sleet and/or snow showers possible southern NH / northeastern MA. Highs 55-62 morning, then falling temperature afternoon. Wind S increasing to 10-20 MPH this morning, shifting to W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts possible this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Early clouds, especially southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI, with a few snow showers possible mainly NH Seacoast to MA North Shore. Clearing thereafter. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W and diminishing later in the day.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouding up. Highs 45-52. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight favoring the South Coast to MA South Shore. Lows 38-45. Wind S 5-15 MPH becoming variable.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 45-52. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain shower evening. Lows 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

A gradual pattern shift will be ongoing with a stretch of unsettled weather at first then potentially more of that at the end of the period. More precipitation variety becomes probable with a colder trend taking place. Timing/details TBD.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

Newer weather pattern more evident during this period with a couple of low pressure areas potentially impacting the region with a variety of precipitation including frozen stuff, and an overall colder temperature regime. Timing/details TBD.

Thursday February 16 2023 Forecast (7:14AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

A word of caution: You hear talk of a pattern change. Yes, the pattern is about to change, or technically is already in the process of doing so. But it’s not a flip-switch. It’s a slow process. The weather during the next 5 days will be very reflective of the pattern we’ve been in much of the winter. Mild. Lack of snow. We will get one cold shot, but it will be brief. The resultant weather from a larger scale pattern change won’t be showing up in this 5-day period, but focusing on that first, this is what we have coming up. Today will be kind of the opposite of yesterday, which started with clouds and went to sunshine. Today we start with the sun and trend cloudier. But with a nice temperature launch pad we will see a lot of readings approach and break 60 for highs. I don’t think we’ll see a lot of temperatures way into the 60s, as we have a weak boundary in the area cutting off some areas to the north from getting too warm, as well as a wind component off the water keeping the South Coast in check, so the warmest areas will be somewhat limited. But either way, the region will enjoy yet another mild winter day. Rainfall holds off until tonight, with the northward push of a frontal boundary, and then a wave of low pressure cuts across the Northeast, a bit closer than previously forecast, so the frontal boundary on Friday will be close, warm air shorter-lived, rainfall sooner, and temperature fall ready to take place starting at midday and onward through afternoon and evening. For the most part, any moisture will be out of here before it’s cold enough to snow. One possible exception is southern NH which may catch a few snow showers on the back side of departing low pressure as the front pulls offshore during Friday afternoon. I do expect a gusty wind to dry the ground off for the most part before temperatures fall well below freezing Friday evening, but any areas that remain wet will quickly freeze over, so keep that in mind if driving or walking on any untreated surfaces. We have a dry weekend ahead as high pressure approaches Saturday, and moves just to the south of the region Saturday night and eventually off the Atlantic Coast by later Sunday. Saturday will be a breezy and seasonably cold day, with moderating temperatures and less wind Sunday. A low pressure disturbance will approach from the west later Sunday night into Monday, igniting a weak secondary low over or just east of our region during Monday. This won’t be a big deal for us, just a weaker system with some unsettled weather in the form of rain showers with air on the mild side.

TODAY: Partly sunny early then mainly cloudy. Late-day rain possible. Highs 57-64, coolest in southern NH and the northern half of central and eastern MA, warmest southern interior MA, northeastern CT, and northern RI, with highs of 50-57 South Coast. Wind SW-S up to 10 MPH may shift to SE or E for a while in areas near and north of I-90.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely evening. Lows 50-57. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy through midday including a period of rain showers, possibly heavy, from west to east across the region. Sun/cloud mix thereafter but a brief snow shower possible parts of southern NH, maybe clipping northeastern MA. Highs 55-62 morning, then falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 43-50. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

Gradual impact of pattern change starts to show up during this period. Fair/breezy/cool to start and probably returning at the end of the period. Between a complex low pressure system moves through from west to east, probably as mainly rain for our area, but can’t rule out a colder trend and some mix/snow involved before the system is finished impacting the area. Southeast ridge weakens and colder air to north and northwest is closer.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Newer weather pattern more evident during this period with a couple of low pressure areas potentially impacting the region with a variety of precipitation including frozen stuff, and an overall colder temperature regime. Details to be worked out in the days ahead.

Wednesday February 15 2023 Forecast (7:25AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

A warm front pushes through the region this morning with thicker clouds and perhaps a brief period of rain. Behind this front many areas top 50 degrees for a high temperature today, except maybe parts of the South Coast where a gusty southwesterly breeze will be coming off cooler water. Moisture from this area will result in some lower clouds for a while streaming across RI and southeastern / eastern MA which may limit the sun at times as it returns with the departure of the thicker middle clouds above. But overall not a bad afternoon despite the gusty wind picking up. As an initial wave of low pressure tracks to our north this evening, the boundary that went by as a warm front will be pulled somewhat back to the south and should bisect the region by morning, and it may sit there for a while Thursday. This along with a return of high and eventually mid level clouds will be a limiting factor in the entire area seeing record warmth. The greatest chance will be south of the boundary in eastern CT, RI, and interior southeastern MA. Again South Coast areas will be modified to the cooler side due to the wind off the water from the south and southwest, though it will not be as strong as today’s will be, so many of those areas should make it into the 50s, while areas north of the boundary may also fail to reach 60, with a narrow area of lower to middle 60s away from the shore and south of the front – kind of a needle-threading situation for the warmest temps. Boston’s record high for February 16 is only 60, so they do have a shot to tie, but may stay just below depending on how much sun / exact frontal position. A stronger low pressure wave moving through the eastern Great Lakes will pull the boundary back to the north as a warm front and put everybody into mild and more humid air by Thursday evening and night with a period of rain. A brief slice of rain-free, windy, and mild weather for early Friday just ahead of a strong cold front, which will be pulled through as the low center heads quickly down the St. Lawrence River Valley. After a windy and relatively brief period of rain showers, which may be heavy, the second half of the day will feature dry weather, a shifted but still gusty wind, and falling temperatures. This sets up a seasonably cold but breezy Friday night and Saturday as low pressure moves through eastern Canada and high pressure approaches from the west. But as many of our colder shots have been this winter, it’s a quick one, and as high pressure moves over and then south of the region Sunday, we’re fair again but milder…

TODAY: Cloudy with brief light rain possible this morning. Sun/cloud mix east, sunnier west afternoon. Highs 45-52 Cape Cod / South Coast, 52-59 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, then SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny early then mainly cloudy. Late-day rain possible. Highs 57-64, coolest in southern NH and the northern half of central and eastern MA, warmest southern interior MA, northeastern CT, and northern RI, with highs of 50-57 South Coast. Wind SW-S up to 10 MPH may shift to SE or E for a while in areas near and north of I-90.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely evening. Lows 50-57. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy through midday including a period of rain showers, possibly heavy, from west to east across the region. Sun/cloud mix thereafter. Highs 55-62 morning, then falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

Large scale: La Nina has already shown signs of weakening and is forecast to weaken further as we head into late February. This, combined with other indices, have been giving indications of a weaker / flatter Southeast ridge which has dominated our winter with mild and nearly snowless weather. Regional scale: Expecting a minor system with light rain/mix for February 20, a shot of cool air and gusty wind February 21, then watching the February 22-24 period for a larger low pressure impact with a variety of precipitation possible, with the obvious monitoring and fine-tuning to come.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

As we head down the home stretch of February and reach March, the shift in weather pattern should be more evident with temperatures, while variable, less persistently mild and much closer to seasonal normals for this time of year, along with 1 or 2 storm systems to potential threaten, including the chance of frozen precipitation being involved. Yes, it’s still winter, and will still be winter when we reach the start of March too…

Tuesday February 14 2023 Forecast (7:29AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

An upper level disturbance went by overnight with a few rain and snow showers that if you were not awake for them you’d never have known they were even around if they passed by your area. High pressure heads for New England today but some lingering clouds will be in the sky in the wake of the upper low before we see more sun as the air dries out, but a nice day overall. High pressure moves overhead tonight and today’s gusty breeze will drop off, then the high moves off to the east Wednesday and a warm front moves through from southwest to northeast with more clouds and a possible shower of rain through midday before some clearing, and a return of the breezy weather. A cold front will approach but not quite get here Thursday as the boundary will have to wait for another low pressure wave to move by the region that night, when our best chance of rain occurs after a very mild day. The anomalous warmth continues very early Friday but as the low moves by to the north, the front will swing through, the wind will shift, and the temperature will go down later Friday as it dries out. This leads to a dry, chilly start to the weekend.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix morning. Sunny afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear evening. Clouds return overnight. Lows 21-28. Wind NW up to 10 MPH becoming variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of a rain shower in the morning. Sun returns afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, then SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear to partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny early then mainly cloudy. Late-day rain possible. Highs 58-65, probably cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through midday, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 55-62 morning, falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

Dry weather to finish off the weekend February 19. A milder trend arrives February 20 maybe with a touch of light precipitation, but this one looks more brief with fair weather on February 21, then a colder trend and potential unsettled weather including wintry precipitation later in the period, though low confidence on timing and details this far out.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

Flatter ridge of high pressure in the US Southeast allows the boundary between warm air to the south and cold air in Canada to be in our region with a more unsettled pattern as a result and colder than its been allowing a greater chance of frozen precipitation being involved.

Monday February 13 2023 Forecast (7:01AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

A pretty potent low pressure area is passing southeast of New England early today but is far enough out to sea that it barely got its rain area over the South Coast, and that exists via Cape Cod this morning, leaving the region with a dry but breezy and cool day as clouds try to hang on through the day. Upper level low pressure scoots southeastward across the area tonight and very early Tuesday with a few snow showers mainly in NH and eastern MA. The balance of Tuesday, Valentine’s Day, will be nice but on the breezy side. A small area of high pressure crosses the region Tuesday night allowing the wind to drop off, but the wind picks right back up Wednesday as the high moves offshore and a disturbance moves in with clouds and a rain shower threat. This warm up continues through Thursday but additional wet weather arrives later as low pressure heads northeastward through the eastern Great Lakes. The low will then move down the St. Lawrence Valley Friday, dragging a cold front across the region with more wet weather, and putting an end to the warm-up. The timing of the front will help determine the high temperatures for Friday. My early idea is a midday frontal passage, a very mild and wet morning, and a colder and drier afternoon with plenty of wind.

TODAY: Lots of clouds. Early rain Cape Cod. Highs 41-48. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Snow showers possible southern NH and northeastern MA with spotty minor accumulations. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind NW up to 10 MPH becoming variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then lots of clouds with a chance of rain showers. Highs 50-57 by late. Wind calm early, then SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain by late-day. Highs 58-65, possibly cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through midday, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 55-62 morning, falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

Dry weather expected over the February 18-19 weekend with a gusty breeze and chilly air Saturday, less wind and a little milder Sunday. Minor system may scoot through with a bit of precipitation February 20 and watching a larger low pressure system with a precipitation threat by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Flatter ridge of high pressure in the US Southeast allows the boundary between warm air to the south and cold air in Canada to be in our region with a more unsettled pattern as a result. Many details to work out in the days ahead…

Sunday February 12 2023 Forecast (7:21AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

A pleasant winter Sunday finishes off our weekend today. It starts bright but ends less so as clouds advance ahead of approaching low pressure. The low is destined to pass southeast of New England on Monday, with its precipitation shield, in the form of rain, getting into the South Coast region, but not much further north than that – perhaps up to the Plymouth MA area. I’m taking the end-of-system snow chance out of the Outer Cape Cod region because the system will be moving too quickly and the air that is cold enough to support any snow will not be in place quickly enough. Behind this system comes a small but potent disturbance to pass through the region early Tuesday with the possibility of snow showers, favoring southern NH and northeastern MA, where spotty minor accumulations may occur. This moves out quickly though and the balance of Tuesday is nice, but on the cool side. The return of milder air on Wednesday will trigger cloudiness and possible spotty rain shower activity, but I don’t think we get a clean warm frontal passage initially – I think we get a wavy boundary in the region, so we have to wait on Thursday for another surge of warmth to arrive, probably with a lot of clouds and some additional potential rain. This has me doubting the magnitude of warmth being advertised by some outlets, although it will most certainly be a day of very mild air by February standards either way. So I leave a little bit of fine-tuning to do for the end of the 5-day forecast period and move on to the details the best I have them now…

TODAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SW.

TONIGHT: Thickening clouds. Rain likely South Coast. Chance of rain up to South Shore. Lows 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH early, shifting to E 5-15 MPH overnight.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Morning rain Cape Cod / Islands. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except possibly stronger in coastal areas, shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Snow showers possible southern NH and northeastern MA with spotty minor accumulations. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Lots of clouds with possible snow showers favoring southeastern NH and eastern MA early, then mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25, 11-18 in normal cold spots. Wind calm.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then lots of clouds with a chance of rain showers. Highs 50-57 by late. Wind calm early, then SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain by late-day. Highs 58-65, possibly cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

Fridays seem to be our dramatic day of the week this month, from arctic outbreak on February 3 to warm surge on February 10, and now February 17 looks like a warm start, strong cold front to pass with showers and wind, and much colder finish. Timing of the front may be earlier and warmth may be shorter lived – will monitor that. Following this looks to be a drier period of weather, chilly over the February 18-19 weekend, milder after.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Pattern gets more interesting here as we see the Southeast ridge flatten a bit and colder air dominating Canada and not far away. Boundary nearby, watch for a series of low pressure systems to start impacting our region. Probably on the mild side of these initially, but that may change with time…

Saturday February 11 2023 Forecast (8:52AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

A dry weekend for our area. Today will be a gusty and cool day between eastern Canadian low pressure and a high pressure area to our southwest. The high pressure area will drift into the region tonight into Sunday, diminishing the wind, but as this happens a new storm system from the eastern Gulf of Mexico will track across the US Southeast and off the Mid Atlantic Coast by later Sunday, passing southeast of New England Monday. This system will skirt the region with a period of rain most likely across the South Coast region possibly briefly getting into the Boston-Providence corridor before the system starts to move away. Just as it does so, cold enough air may work in to change the last of the rain to mixed precipitation or snow on Outer Cape Cod, but too late for any significant snow accumulation. Behind this system it will turn a little colder, and a disturbance dropping southeastward out of eastern Canada and into the trough accompanying the storm may bring a few snow showers early Tuesday to our region, especially southern NH and eastern MA, before the rest of the day is fair. A disturbance approaching on Wednesday from the west and southwest brings back some clouds and maybe a bit of rain, as we go right back to mild weather as has been the case so often this 3rd year La Nina winter…

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SW.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Thickening clouds. Rain likely South Coast. Chance of rain up to South Shore. Lows 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH early, shifting to E 5-15 MPH overnight.

MONDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain favoring southern and southeastern areas in the morning, may end as snow over Outer Cape Cod, then some clearing possible during the afternoon especially in areas north and west of Boston. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except possibly stronger in coastal areas, shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Snow showers possible pre-dawn southern NH and northeastern MA. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Lots of clouds with possible snow showers favoring southeastern NH and eastern MA early, then mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25, 11-18 in normal cold spots. Wind calm.

WEDNESDAY: Early sun, then lots of clouds. A touch of snow or sleet possible mainly west and north of Boston then a chance of rain showers. Highs 43-50. Wind calm early, then S up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

A quick blast of warmer air February 16 into February 17 but may be pinched off a bit by a low pressure center that tracks a little closer to New England than models indicate – meaning the leading edge of warmest air arrives not too long before the cold front that trails the low pressure area. This system will bring a period of rain and showers, maybe even thunder along its cold front, and a fair amount of wind especially in the warm sector and behind the cold front as it turns dry and colder for February 18. High pressure settles in for fair and more tranquil but chilly weather February 19 and then watching for a low pressure system to approach with a precipitation chance by the end of the period – obviously timing uncertain at 10 days out.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

One or two precipitation threats are possible in a fairly active pattern. Temperatures trend a little cooler but no major cold indicated at this point.

Friday February 10 2023 Forecast (6:43AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

Low pressure heads eastward across southeastern Canada becoming a larger presence in the Canadian Maritimes through Saturday. A weak cold front moved through our region but this morning we’re left with mild air and light wind, which has allowed some dense fog in parts of the region while other areas have cleared out. A freshening westerly wind will scour out any fog quickly this morning but we’ll stay mild during the day today, warming up enough to challenge a couple record high temps in the area. However, a secondary cold front will swing through later, generally unnoticed except for its delivery of colder air tonight through Saturday. High pressure sliding south of the region over the weekend means a quick temperature rebound Sunday, but only half way between Saturday’s temps and today’s temps (are you paying attention? haha!). We’ll have a generally fair weather weekend as well. Clouds will be on the increase Sunday however ahead of and north of developing low pressure southwest and west of New England. This low will track offshore on Monday, definitely close enough to spread its cloud canopy across the region, and probably close enough for some rain to move into at least southen areas, most certainly the South Coast and quite possibly up to the I-90 corridor and even northward into some of the I-95 belt to the north of I-90 as well, at least for a short period of time, before it starts to move away later Monday, setting us up for fair weather for Valentine’s Day on Tuesday as high pressure approaches.

TODAY: Areas of fog early, otherwise sunshine with a few passing clouds. Highs 55-62. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SW.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Thickening clouds. Chance of rain near the South Coast and possibly up to the I-90 belt. Lows 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH early, shifting to E 5-15 MPH overnight.

MONDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain favoring southern and southeastern areas in the morning with some clearing possible during the afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except possibly stronger in coastal areas, shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

High pressure shifts quickly to the south and southeast of New England allowing for a significant mid week warm up next week – temperatures to well above normal. A frontal boundary brings rain showers at mid period followed by a return to dry but more seasonably cold weather after that.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

One or two precipitation threats are possible in a fairly active pattern. Temperatures trend a little cooler but no major cold indicated at this point.

Thursday February 9 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Low pressure tracks through the eastern Great Lakes and across southeastern Canada today into Friday, dragging its warm front / cold front combo through our region. This will be a minor precipitation producer with only areas of light rain arriving this afternoon into tonight and maybe a left over rain shower early Friday. Behind the cold front, the air will actually be warmer than today’s ahead of warm front air, with a couple record highs potentially being challenged. A secondary cold front will sweep across the region Friday evening setting us up for a cooler weekend, but no major cold and certainly a far, far cry from the arctic blast of late last week. Generally dry weather is expected for the weekend, but low pressure organizing to our south will spread cloudiness back into our region during Sunday. While this low, fueled by Gulf of Mexico moisture and a southern branch of the jet stream, will pass not all that far south of New England, a strong northern jet stream in a split flow will likely limit its ability to impact our region, with the northern extent of the precipitation shield potentially advancing into our region for some wet weather Sunday night into Monday, but favoring the South Coast and areas south of I-90 as it stands now. It’s going to be a close call though. A slight shift either way expands the precipitation northward or pulls it mainly offshore. Whatever does make it into our region will likely fall as rain with a significant lack of cold air remaining, but the temperature may be marginal especially inland, so if the precipitation did happen to make it further north and west into the region, some mix/snow would have to be considered. For now, this is a remote possibility, and I’ll keep an eye on the potential heading through late week and into the weekend.

TODAY: Clouds move in. Scattered light rain during the afternoon hours. Some sleet possible north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 by late day. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain and areas of fog during the evening. Breaking clouds overnight. Temperatures rising slowly to 48-55 by morning. Wind SE up to 10 MPH becoming S and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny with a quick passing rain shower possible in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain near the South Coast and possibly up to the I-90 belt. Lows 35-42. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain favoring southern and southeastern areas in the morning with some clearing possible during the afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except possibly stronger in coastal areas, shifting to NW and diminishing later.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

A broad southwesterly air flow aloft will be the dominant feature as low pressure troughing dominates the western US with the all-too-familiar Southeast ridge in place to our south. Surface high pressure brings fair weather for Valentine’s Day before a disturbance brings the chance of rain showers February 15. Watching for another system with rain and possible mix in the February 16-17 window with dry weather to follow that. Temperatures averaging above normal, may cool to normal end of period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

One or two precipitation threats are possible in a fairly active pattern. Temperatures trend a little cooler but no major cold indicated at this point.

Wednesday February 8 2023 Forecast (6:58AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Our weather pattern will be a mild one overall but holds several weather changes as we move through the remainder of this week and over the weekend. One must remember that a “mild” pattern in the winter doesn’t mean you can’t have winter weather issues. Last night, a frontal boundary crossed the region with a brief period of precipitation, falling as mostly rain and sleet, with some of that rain falling as freezing rain especially west and north of Boston and over some interior portions of southeastern MA and northern RI as well. This leaves untreated surfaces where the precipitation fell on the slick side in these areas early this morning, and this will be an issue until the temperature rises above freezing in these locations, so anybody venturing out this morning please take note of these and be safe. Otherwise, a nice winter day can be expected as high pressure dominates. But don’t get used to any persistence, as additional changes are ahead. A warm front approaches Thursday, bringing clouds back in and a period of rain, which may start as some snow and sleet over interior southern NH and central MA. The low pressure area parenting this front will track northwest of our region and its fairly weak cold front will come across the region Thursday night with some rain shower activity. Behind this front however is not much in the way of cooling, in fact, quite the opposite because the air will be sufficiently modified and the upper pattern supports a surge of mild air, with high temperatures on Friday that may challenge some records. The question is how much sun do we get? Not sure we clear enough to support the record-breaking temperatures, but it is a potential. Heading into the weekend there are a couple more questions to be answered. A secondary front coming through on Saturday will send our temperatures back to a more seasonable chill during the course of the weekend. There will be two waves of low pressure to keep an eye on. Low pressure wave number 1 will pass south of the region Friday night and Saturday. Guidance has trended a bit further south with this system and it does appear that most of the precipitation will remain to the south of New England. What does reach the region would most likely be limited to the South Coast and be in the form of rain sometime Friday night into Saturday. The second low pressure wave carries a little more uncertainty and may surge its way into a little more of southern New England by later Sunday. If its precipitation shield does make it in, the odds of some frozen precipitation being involved would be a little higher with colder air in place. This will be watched closely and fine-tuned as we get closer to it…

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 24-31. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain mid to late afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain favoring the South Coast late evening and overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain near the South Coast early. Highs 40-47 then falling slowly. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix/snow, favoring southern areas, in the afternoon. Temperatures steady 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Watching for minor systems around mid period and maybe a slightly stronger one at the end of the period with precipitation threats. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

Hard to time any systems that may threaten, but early indications are that one may approach late in the period with a rain/mix/snow threat once again. Temperatures near to above normal.

Tuesday February 7 2023 Forecast (7:26AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

Weak high pressure starts us out with sunshine today, then a cold front approaches from the west later on with clouds, and this front will produce a brief but messy precipitation episode this evening, snow/sleet north, rain toward the South Coast, and an area of freezing rain between. Untreated surfaces in some areas may become slippery this evening and overnight. High pressure brings fair weather back to the region for Wednesday with a gusty breeze for a while behind departing low pressure initially, before that settles down. Thursday dawns bright but clouds advance ahead of a warm front that brings a period of rain, that may start as sleet and snow to the north and west. That front goes by and sets us up for a very mild Friday with lots of clouds. A cold front then slides across the region Friday night into Saturday with rain showers, and the front likely hangs up so that we have additional wet weather on Saturday as colder air filters in, maybe meaning some mix/snow before the day is over in areas to the northwest.

TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind W-SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Evening precipitation – snow/sleet/ice/rain north to south. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sun, few clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain mid to late afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain, may mix with sleet/snow southern NH and central MA later. Highs 40-47 then falling slowly. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Rain/mix/snow possible early in the period and another system threatens later in the period with precipitation. Mostly dry weather in between. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

One or two low pressure systems may impact the region with precipitation threats as an active pattern goes on.