Over the weekend, many areas saw some wet weather Saturday and then the focus was windy weather Sunday, and temperatures ran below normal. With low pressure to our south, once associated with Ian, and high pressure to our north, this breezy, cool, and sometimes wet regime will continue for the first few days of this week, basically through Wednesday. Rain-free conditions will be dominant today as the high has a bit more control, but the low will exert more control over our weather later Tuesday and Wednesday when periods of mainly light rain will likely occur, with the greatest chance of this being in eastern and southern MA, RI, and eastern CT, as far as the WHW forecast area goes. The low pressure area finally pulls away by Thursday. At that time, a narrower extension of high pressure builds in for fair and milder weather both Thursday and most of Friday. Late Friday, especially Friday night, we’ll look for a strong cold front to cross the region from west to east with gusty wind and a possible shower.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / intervals of sun. Highs 55-62. Wind NE 5-15 MPH inland and 10-20 MPH coast with a few higher gusts especially Cape Cod.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH inland and 10-20 MPH coast with a few higher gusts, again especially Cape Cod.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of light rain by late-day Cape Cod and South Coast region. Highs 54-61. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except 15-25 MPH South Coast, higher gusts possible.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain eastern CT, RI, and eastern MA. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except 15-25 MPH coast, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of light rain eastern and southern MA, RI, eastern CT. Highs 53-60. Wind NE 10-20 MPH except 15-25 MPH coast, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Any rain ending. Lows 45-52. Wind N 10-20 MPH, diminishing overnight.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Evening showers possible southwestern NH and central MA. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 8-12)

The aforementioned cold front (discussion above) will set up the region for a dry weekend October 8-9 with temperatures generally below normal, a gusty breeze Saturday settling down somewhat Sunday. A reinforcing cold front is expected to pass by sometime early next week keeping the pattern of mostly dry but below normal temperatures going into the middle of the month.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 13-17)

Overall pattern looks like it will be dominated by a northwesterly air flow from Canada with dry, cool weather much of the time, and a brief milder shot between cool pushes.

C-19 Chat Post – 10-3-2022

Yesterday it was more about the remnant rain from Ian, which did deliver over 1 inch for parts of the immediate South Coast, while much less fell elsewhere. Today, it’s more about the wind. The gradient between the elongating low that was once the hurricane and a stronger high pressure area to the north will create a blustery northeasterly wind in our region, along with lots of cloudiness and a continuation of below normal temperatures. Rainfall today though will be largely absent, limited to a spotty and very light around Cape Cod and the Islands for a while this morning. High pressure then gains ground tonight through early Tuesday, keeping us dry, but still cool as that low pressure area will remain to the south and we keep a generally northeasterly air flow, though lighter as the tighter gradient is displaced to the south. The western portion of the elongated low will consolidate into a renewed storm system that will make a bit of a run back to the north, definitely enough to increase the wind and cloud cover again heading through later Tuesday and Wednesday, and probably enough to clip at least Cape Cod with some additional rainfall. Finally, all of it should be out of here Tuesday as the upper pattern shifts to kick the low pressure area out to sea and allow high pressure to build in.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy with a few intervals of sun possible at times as well. Very light rain possible Cape Cod / Islands mainly during the morning. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH near the coast.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain Cape Cod / South Coast. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially South Coast.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with possible rain South Coast favoring Cape Cod. Partial sun elsewhere. Highs 57-64. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH and gusty, probably somewhat stronger Cape Cod.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 7-11)

Some late-week changes with a strong cold front approaching October 7, still mild but with a gusty breeze, maybe a passing shower by evening. Breezy and cool but dry weather over the October 8-9 weekend. A reinforcing cold front may bring a shot of even cooler air for October 10 before a milder rebound to end the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 12-16)

Only expecting one brief shower threat from a cold front mid period, preceded by fair and milder weather and followed by a cool shot.

C-19 Chat Post – 10-2-2022

The moisture shield far north of what remains of Ian will bring our area some wet weather this weekend, but the scope of that will depend on location. If you are south of I-90, you’re most likely to see rain for more time. If you’re near the South Coast, you’ll see the most rain for the most time. If you are to the north, you may see little or even possibly no rain. Certainly though there will not be much, if any, sunshine this weekend, and it will also be on the cool side due to a northeasterly air flow, initially weak today but strengthening on Sunday as the gradient tightens between Ian’s remaining low pressure to the south and a high pressure area to the north. This general set-up persists early next week, and I’ve been a little uncertain as to whether or not we’ll be more impacted by the low to the south or the high to the north, but right now I’m leaning toward the high pressure area being stronger to start the week, keeping the low to the south, then one final push of low pressure that may tag at least Cape Cod with a little wet weather later Tuesday and/or Wednesday. Need to keep an eye on that in fine-tune it later.

TODAY: Cloudy. Rain likely South Coast, periods of rain I-90 belt, chance of occasional very light to light rain to the north of the I-90 belt. Highs 56-63. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Best chance of rain Cape Cod, lesser chance elsewhere. Areas of fog and drizzle favoring eastern coastal locations. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Light rain possible near the South Coast at times. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH near the coast.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain Cape Cod / South Coast. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially South Coast.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with possible rain South Coast favoring Cape Cod. Partial sun elsewhere. Highs 57-64. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH and gusty, probably somewhat stronger Cape Cod.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 6-10)

A small area of high pressure extends into the region with fair and seasonable to milder weather October 6 into October 7 before a strong cold front swings through with a shot of chilly air to follow for the October 8-9 weekend that may be reinforced at the end of the period from another Canadian cold front.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 11-15)

Overall pattern looks fairly dry with temperatures near to mostly below normal.

C-19 Chat Post – 10-1-2022

High pressure builds in today but then retreats slightly north this weekend. While this is occurring, Ian makes one more landfall as a hurricane (category 1) on the South Carolina coast today then moves north northwest into the mountains of North Carolina and Virginia where it weakens over the weekend. We’ve already experienced the high cloud shield from Ian for over 24 hours – it made for a very colorful sunset for some areas yesterday and a nice sunrise for some again this morning. The rainfall from that system is also spreading out and some of it will make a push toward our area for this weekend. The question for several days has been just how much impact, if any, that rain would have. Even when it became clear the low itself would not make the trip directly up this way, we always have to watch for the rain shield in this pattern as it can move quite a distance away from its parenting storm. Right now the best guess is that there will be the most rain right along the South Coast on Saturday, with a lesser chance that rain gets to and north of I-90, and if it does so it would be rather brief and lighter, before moving out. Either way, the cloud shield will be over the region much of the time the next few days, thin enough today that we have some filtered sunshine, but thicker so we have much less sun opportunity tomorrow (with the rain chance present) and maybe thinning out again at least to the north on Sunday. With a northeasterly air flow taking over between Ian’s remnant low and a big high to our north, we may eventually see some lower clouds from the ocean as well at some point during the weekend. Early next week we may still be on the fence as a hang-back low moves out south of our area, and may get close enough later Monday or Tuesday to bring some additional at least light rainfall in to parts of southeastern New England. All the while our temperatures will be running a little below normal as our cooler early autumn regime continues.

TODAY: Sun filtered through high clouds. Highs 58-65. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of rain South Coast and a lesser chance of rain in the I-90 belt. Highs 57-64. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain near the South Coast. Lows 47-54. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Light rain possible near the South Coast at times. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH near the coast.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain Cape Cod / South Coast. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain, favoring the South Coast / Cape Cod. Highs 56-63. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 5-9)

Improving weather middle of next week with clearing and a little milder. Strong cold front follows with a brief shower chance and a return to below normal temperatures after that.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 10-14)

Potential wet weather threat early period, then dry with near to below normal temperatures expected.

C-19 Chat Post – 9-29-2022

An upper level trough will swing through the region during the first half of the day today with a sun/cloud mix for a while mid to late morning as the sun-heated air rises into colder air aloft. I do not expect these clouds to grow enough to produce any showers as their development will be thwarted by the arrival of milder air aloft for the second half of the day. Also during the day today the South Coast region will see a stream of high clouds that once belonged to the outflow of Hurricane Ian, and even as high pressure builds into the region tonight and Friday, we will see more high clouds fanning into our sky that are associated with that system. The storm, which came ashore on the West Coast of Florida Wednesday as a category 4 hurricane, has pretty much completed crossing the peninsula and will emerge off the eastern coast of the state back over water before turning to the north and making another landfall on Friday as a strong tropical storm in South Carolina. While the storm’s impact will be far less severe than what Florida experienced, it will still be a formidable system capable of producing wind damage and flooding rain, as well as some minor to moderate storm surge. This system will then weaken but expand in coverage over the Southeast and Mid Atlantic. The northern edge of its rain shield will make a push toward our South Coast region by later Saturday, but for the most part I expect this system to remain to our south with protective high pressure in place over the weekend and Monday as well. We won’t escape its high cloud shield however, which will limit our sunshine during the day and our star gazing at night.

TODAY: Sun with passing clouds. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 41-48. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun with high clouds. Highs 60-67. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Limited sun, especially south of I-90. Highs 63-70. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A touch of light rain possible South Coast. Lows 47-54. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. A touch of rain possible near Cape Cod early in the day. Highs 58-65. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially near the coast.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 4-8)

Low pressure to the south may get close enough to deliver a bit of light rain to southern areas at the start of the period. A cold front coming through mid to late period may bring a shower but more notably a shot of very cool, windy weather.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 9-13)

Potential wet weather threat early period, then dry with near to below normal temperatures expected.

C-19 Chat Post – 9-29-2022

An elongated upper level low pressure area which has been to our west slides across the region and to the east of us today through Thursday as high pressure builds in behind it. The upper low doesn’t have enough for any shower activity so it will just produce some clouds at times today, otherwise fair weather continues with a cooling trend through Friday. Meanwhile Hurricane Ian will batter Florida before moving into the US Southeast and weakening. The big question for our area is whether or not the moisture from that system will ever make it here. It will do so in the form of high clouds at times during the first weekend of October, but for now the overall idea seems to be that the rain will stay well to the south as high pressure remains too strong to allow the system to move far enough north.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 41-48. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 61-68. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 3-7)

Early next week would be the best chance for any remnant rain from Ian to make it into the area, but odds do not favor it with continued mainly dry weather, despite some cloudiness and an easterly air flow between the storm’s remnant low pressure area to the south and high pressure to the north. Dry weather with mostly seasonable temperatures follows this but will have to watch for a Canadian cold front to bring a cool shot late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 8-12)

Overall pattern looks dry. A couple of brief precipitation threats from Canadian cold fronts which will keep temperatures near to below normal.

C-19 Chat Post – 9-28-2022

We’re in good shape, weather-wise, in our neck of the woods for the balance of this week. Despite a swath of fairly thick high level clouds that will limit sun this morning in much of our region, a trough to our west will swing through the region without much fanfare through tonight, then head out of here while high pressure builds in through late this week with a cooling trend through Friday before a slight recovery of temperature on Saturday to welcome October.

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy morning giving way to more sun this afternoon. Highs 68-75. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 51-58. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 41-48. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 2-6)

We continue to monitor Hurricane Ian, expected to batter Florida at midweek before moving into the US Southeast and weakening / dissipating later this week. I am still going with the scenario that the moisture from this system does not reach our area and we keep generally dry weather going to finish off the first weekend of October and into early next week, after which there is only a slight chance that some of its rain can sneak into southern areas before being pushed out to sea. A frontal boundary may bring a shower threat and a shot of cool air by the end of the period after a brief warm-up.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 7-11)

Overall pattern looks dry with a minor shower threat or two front frontal boundaries passing by and variable temperatures with a couple air mass changes including 1 or 2 cool shots from Canada.

C-19 Chat Post – 9-27-2022

September’s home stretch is upon us and we look at its final 5 days here. And it looks like a fairly quiet and mainly dry stretch of weather for us. A warm front went by the region last evening, kicking off a decent patch of showers and thunderstorms in southern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Today and Tuesday we will have an elongated trough of low pressure centered to our west, and it will be fairly mild with a southwesterly air flow dominating. The only chance of any rainfall comes in the form of spotty, quick-moving showers that may cross some areas later today to early this evening. The trough swings eastward and we see a cooling trend with a shift to a more northwesterly flow during midweek, and as surface high pressure builds in we’ll have a fabulous ending to the month late this week.

TODAY: Variably cloudy including periods of sun. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible late in the day mainly west of the I-95 belt. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A passing shower or thunderstorm early. Lows 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 68-75. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 1-5)

The forecast for a good portion of this period hinges upon the future movement of the remains of Hurricane Ian in the Gulf of Mexico. The possibilities range from wet weather arriving over the October 1-2 weekend to wet weather arriving after the weekend to wet weather never arriving (the third case being one where everything gets shunted to our south). Right now, I’m leaning toward the second and third scenario options with a dry weekend and chance of rain, that may stay south, following that. Much refining of this forecast to come…

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 6-10)

This is still a lower confidence forecast based on the uncertainty that precedes it, but leaning toward a dry pattern and variable temperatures including another shot or 2 of very cool air from Canada.