2:04AM

A wave of low pressure will pass north of New England this weekend but its broad circulation will send some clouds and possibly a few scattered rain showers through the region, along with a gusty breeze, especially Sunday. A cold front will approach late Monday and drive in some colder air for Tuesday into the middle of next week. A storm is likely to get going off the Atlantic Coast but will stay far out at sea (though should be watched in case it should come further north than currently expected).

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

WEEKEND: Variably cloudy – most sun Saturday AM & Sunday PM. Passing rain showers Saturday night & Sunday morning to early afternoon. Highs 45-50 Saturday. Lows 35-40 Saturday night. Highs 50-55 Sunday. Lows 30-35 Sunday night. Wind W 5-15 MPH through Saturday night, NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts Sunday.

MONDAY – VETERANS DAY: Sunshine then clouds arriving from the west late in the day with a chance of passing rain/snow showers at night. Highs around 50, colder at night.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 30-35. High 40-45.

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Highs around 50.

5:07PM

It’s a dry pattern. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. We’re in a moderate drought in southeastern New England, but many won’t notice since we are rapidly moving away from the end of the growing season and still several months away from the next one. The drought is going to be a big issue in 2014 unless we have a wet Winter and/or Spring.

During the next 7 days, we’ll see temperature changes from the current chill to a mild midweek then back to a cooler weekend and early next week. The only “weather”, that is, precipitation, will be rain showers on Thursday with the passage of a cold front. Otherwise, quiet is the word.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog late. Lows in the 40s. Wind S under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Early fog burning off to variably cloudy in the morning then mostly cloudy with a period of showers from west to east midday & afternoon. Highs in the 60s. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 32. High 48.

SATURDAY: Sunny AM; partly sunny PM. Low 29. High 49.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy AM; partly cloudy PM. Low 38. High 50.

MONDAY – VETERANS DAY: Mostly sunny. Low 26. High 48.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 29. High 50.

5:56PM

Weather changes the past several days brought some showers of rain, and even a few snowflakes. But what did not happen was any really beneficial precipitation. Nor will any take place this coming week, despite some additional weather changes. The weather pattern is just dry. It’s also mild overall, though the work week will start and end with a visit from cold air masses. And the weekend will probably feature an air mass change. The story will be written by a strong high pressure area to the north Monday, supplying cold and clear air, low pressure passing north of the region Thursday dragging a cold front across, with a moderating trend ahead of this front and a short but sharp cool-down behind it, and a very weak weather system that should pass north of the region sometime over the weekend.

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows range from just below 20 inland valleys to just above 30 urban centers and immediate coast. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 40-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-25 inland valleys to 30-35 coast. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-53. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 39. High 60.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. PM showers. Low 50. High 67.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 35. High 49.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 26. High 52.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 36. High 48.

1:59AM

The mild air of Saturday is gone. A cold front passed by Saturday evening with rain showers and a drop in temperature. Some additional energy moving through the region Sunday morning will prolong cloudiness and some threat of rain showers over southern NH and eastern MA, with a snow shower possible interior higher elevations. Clouds will eventually decrease. Colder air will flow in on a gusty northerly breeze.

High pressure builds across the region Monday with the core of the cold air passing through and it will be a bright and cold early November day. More cloudiness is expected Tuesday as milder air comes in aloft. It will also moderate slightly at ground level and the day will not be as chilly as Monday. A more significant warm up is expected at midweek, but by late Thursday or early Friday a period of unsettled weather will mark a switch back to cooler air at the very end of the week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy morning with scattered rain showers except rain or snow showers interior higher elevations. Decreasing clouds afternoon. Highs 40-45. Wind N 10-25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-30. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 40-45. Wind light variable.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 30. High 50.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 40. High 60.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Showers/thunderstorms late. Low 53. High 70.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 40. High 50.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 25. High 45.

5:27PM

Ups and downs in the temperature department during the first week of the new month with no major precipitation events. After Friday’s wind/shower/warm event, it will remain mild Saturday until a secondary cold front crosses the region Saturday night and throws a batch of colder air over the region for Sunday-Monday. Then we’ll reverse it and moderate toward the middle of next week back to above normal, before cooling again later next week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TONIGHT: Clouds southeastern MA and RI, partly cloudy to mostly clear to the northwest. Lows upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind SW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Clouds linger southeastern MA before departing and a brief episode of rain possible outer Cape Cod and Nantucket. More sun but mixed with clouds at times elsewhere. Highs around 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouds move back in from NW to SE. A rain shower in some areas late, may turn to a snow shower around dawn interior areas. Lows around 40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW by dawn.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs in the 40s. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

MONDAY: Sunny. Low 22. High 44.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 33. High 51.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 40. High 63.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Late rain shower. Low 50. High 70.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 35. High 50.