8:37AM
DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 30-JULY 4)
Not much new on this update, just a few tweaks. A disturbance passing through Maine should keep its showers and storms northeast of the WHW forecast area today and tonight but will watch it and alert in comments section later if something does end up a little closer than expected, and that would be southeastern NH or northeastern MA if it did happen, and sometime tonight. This disturbance, and the outflow from the storms associated with it, will push a boundary with a little more momentum into eastern areas during Sunday, sparing the coast the highest heat. This will penetrate inland some distance, but the impact is much less by the time we reach this time of year than it would have been earlier in the spring, and with the heat already in place, we’re starting at a much higher level before knocking things back. This air will hang around into Monday but the air mass will warm under the early July sunshine so don’t expect refreshing ocean wind everywhere, although the coast may still be quite comfy Monday, despite the air being rather humid. The hottest days of this period for the region overall should be Tuesday and Wednesday. There is only the slightest risk of an isolated thunderstorm Wednesday but the chance is so remote I hesitate to even mention it. I believe warm air aloft should keep it stable enough to overcome a little surface convergence and the heat/humidity at the ground. But where it is the holiday itself, the forecast is high stakes and will of course be closely monitored.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-82 Cape Cod, 80-87 South Coast, 86-93 elsewhere. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 66-75, warmest in urban areas. Wind light SW.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85 shoreline and 86-95 elsewhere but falling back through the 70s immediate coast and through the 80s for up to 25 miles inland from east-facing shores during the late morning and afternoon. Wind SW up to 10 MPH shifting to E and NE.
MONDAY: Sunny. Lows from the upper 60s to upper 70s, warmest urban areas. Highs from the upper 70s to lower 80s immediate coast, ranging up from middle 80s to middle 90s further inland.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 60s to upper 70s, warmest urban areas. Highs from the upper 80s to middle 90s, coolest coastal areas.
WEDNESDAY – INDEPENDENCE DAY: Partly cloudy. Lows from the upper 60s to upper 70s. Highs from the upper 80s to middle 90s but cooler in some coastal areas.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 5-9)
Currently expecting hot and humid weather but no storm threat July 5, and similar but with an isolated storm threat July 6 and 7. Better risk of showers/storms July 8 with a cold front and the hot weather pattern is broken, at least temporarily, by the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 10-14)
Less heat, back to more seasonable temperatures as the ridge backs up further west and a couple disturbances move through with shower and thunderstorm chances.