Tuesday December 1 2020 Forecast (7:19AM)

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 1-5)

Discussion…

The final month of the year has arrived, and entered on a mild note on the heels of heavy showers and gusty wind last night. As upper level low pressure spins to our northwest today we’ll be mild and somewhat unsettled with additional showers possible, but cooler air will start to move in as the day goes on, not really noticed until tonight, and more so the following two days as the wind shifts more to the west. This cooler and dry air will arrive as the upper low exits via eastern Canada, but this means generally dry weather despite breezy conditions Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, a cold front will cross the region with clouds and a chance of rain showers. When we get to the weekend, there are still some significant differences between models, but for now I will continue with the idea that high pressure will move in to give dry weather to us for Saturday.

Details…

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Highs 57-64 occurring in the morning, then falling through 50s by late-day. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of rain showers evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 42-49. Wind SW to W 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 31-38 occurring in the evening. Temperatures may rise overnight. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 6-10)

Storm threat exists for the December 6-7 time frame but details yet-to-be determined. Many possibilities on the table ranging from a storm track to our west with rain, a storm track over the area with mostly rain, maybe mix at end, a storm track a little further southeast with rain/mix/snow, and even a grazing or a miss. There’s even a chance that the system never quite forms. I’ll be working those details out over the next several days. Windy/colder weather around the middle of the period with a risk of snow showers then moderating temperatures later in the period based on current timing of larger scale features.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 11-15)

The overall idea for the middle of December is for potential active weather, including bouts of colder air, increasing the chance of some wintry precipitation events.