DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Canadian high pressure brings breezy, cold, dry weather for the final day of February today. High pressure moves offshore Tuesday and we moderate a little. Then a pair of clipper low pressure systems will traverse the region, one Tuesday night and another about 24 hours later, both bringing minor precipitation events. After the second low moves away, high pressure will approach Thursday then build in Friday with a dry, colder end to the week.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior areas, 10-15 coastal and urban locations. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix/rain showers (mix/rain most likely near South Coast). Lows 28-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow/mix/rain showers likely. Lows 29-36. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 5-9)

Pattern becomes unsettled with one system bringing a chance of rain/ice/snow to the region during the March 5-6 weekend and another system bringing a precipitation threat during the March 7-8 time frame. Battle between cold to north and mild to south leaves temperature outlook uncertain.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 10-14)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather as we likely sit near a battle zone between cold to north and mild to south.

C-19 Chat Post – February 28 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

A strong cold front from eastern Canada will move into northern New England today and across southern New England during this evening. Ahead of this front, we warm a little more than what we saw yesterday, and combined with the higher sun angle we’ll see more melting and compaction / settling of our recently delivered snow pack (except South Coast where much of the much lighter snow accumulated melted yesterday or partially melted then re-froze to an icy crust). We’ll see the wind increase today ahead of that front, balancing out the colder and less windy Saturday and making the air temperature feel very similar, but with that bite from the wind. As the front goes by this evening, scattered snow showers and perhaps an isolated heavier snow squall are what to look for, and any of these may put down a quick coating of snow. They will depart quickly and then in comes a shot of cold and blustery weather overnight and Monday. Winds will drop off later Monday as Canadian high pressure builds in. Tuesday morning will be a cold one just as this high shifts offshore, and for the first day of March we’ll see clouds move in ahead of an approaching clipper low pressure system which may bring a touch of snow (rain or snow South Coast) Tuesday night and early Wednesday. A follow up system will do something similar Wednesday night into early Thursday, and this one will have to be watched for a quick secondary development which could mean a slightly better shot at some accumulating snow for some areas. There are still several days to fine-tune this potential event.

TODAY: Sunny morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy scattered snow showers and potential isolated heavier snow squalls this evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 9-16. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0 at times.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior areas, 10-15 coastal and urban locations. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Late-day rain or snow showers possible. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix/rain showers (mix/rain most likely near South Coast). Lows 28-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Snow or rain showers possible both early and late. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow possible except rain or snow South Coast. Lows 27-34. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow/mix early, then clearing. Temperatures steady or falling. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 4-8)

High pressure brings fair and chilly weather to the region on March 4. Pattern becomes unsettled after this with two systems likely to impact us, one over the March 5-6 weekend with a variety of precipitation possible including snow/ice/rain, and a second system March 7-8 odds with odds favoring rain/mix as it should be milder for the second system. But that’s a long way off so there will be much time to scope-out the details.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 9-13)

Indications are for a return to colder weather with some additional precipitation threats possible.

C-19 Chat Post – February 27 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

A quick review of Friday’s winter storm: Snow forecast was OK. Most areas performed as expected. Didn’t think we’d see any 12 inch amounts. We didn’t. Figured the 10+ inch amounts would be limited. They were. In fact, here at the WHW home base, I was one of those 10+ with 10.7 inches. I don’t recall seeing my location at the top of the list before. Well, it happened this time. What do I win? 😉 It was fascinating to see the shift in the consistency of the snow between the northern limit of the warming and where it didn’t quite reach. Up here in my area north and northwest, a lower water content, fluffier snow, while a fairly quick shift to a wetter / heavier snowfall going south from here, but it all makes sense when you break down the temperature profile of the atmosphere during the event. So we made it through another significant winter storm and now we’ve had a few of them this winter. Are we done? Time will tell. But we are done with those kinds of threats at least for this 5-day period. We start with a cold/dry Saturday, and a temperature moderation you won’t really notice on Sunday as the wind picks up ahead of an approaching cold front. That cold front may bring a band of snow showers with it as it passes by tomorrow evening, but whether or not you see those in your area, you won’t miss the reinforcing shot of cold it brings in for Monday, the final day of February. Wouldn’t you know that is also the day I am planning on traveling to the Atlantic ocean (Hampton Beach NH) to put my feet in the water – something I now do at least once a month year-round. Timing is everything and who doesn’t love a little frozen foot adventure? Last month after I did that I put my feet in the snow that was on the beach (just 2 days after the blizzard). Anyone want to come join me on Monday? Weather looks great! Once I can feel my feet again and we get to March, we’ll see a little more active weather. I’m watching for 2 systems, one to pass by late Tuesday to early Wednesday, and another late Wednesday to early Thursday. Neither of these look significant, but both can cause a little bit of messy weather just the same, as we’ll have temperatures in the marginal category at least so that we will have to consider other precipitation types than rain.

TODAY: 100% sunshine. Highs 28-35. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: A clear sky. Lows 14-21. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouds increase. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 9-14. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0 at times.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior areas, 10-15 coastal and urban locations. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Late-day rain or snow showers possible. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix showers. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Snow or rain showers possible both early and late. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 3-7)

Temperatures trend milder. Driest early period. Precipitation threat increasing mid to late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 7-11)

Temperatures trend colder. A couple additional precipitation threats possible.

C-19 Chat Post – February 26 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

A winter storm is in progress now and there are no huge changes, just a few adjustments, to the most recent forecast leading into this. As low pressure heading for NY State redevelops and moves out just south of New England, we’ll be in its heaviest precipitation swath this morning, which then tapers off somewhat this afternoon with a little back-lash before it departs tonight. We’ve seen the warm air aloft come in already along the South Coast where accumulations will be lightest, much of the snow having already fallen except what takes place later today / this evening as things get cold again. Further north it’s all snow so far but that snow to sleet line will work up into the I-90 belt with time, and eventually northward from there, but after the heaviest precipitation is starting to move out, before the line heads back to the south later and the lighter precipitation later falls in the form of snow. So only a little minor tweaking to take into account the quicker warming near the South Coast brings the expected snow amounts to around 1 inch over the islands and 1-3 inches at the South Coast, least at the beaches, 3-6 inches southeastern MA across much of RI and eastern CT, and 6-10 inches from the the I-90 belt northward with a spot amount or two above 10 inches possible. After this moves out, we’ll have a quiet but fairly cold stretch of weather for the last few days of February and the first of March, the coldest days being Saturday and Monday, and the only chance of any additional precipitation being snow showers with a cold front on Sunday.

TODAY: Overcast. This morning moderate to heavy snow I-90 region northward eventually turning to sleet near I-90 and mixing some some areas to the north, while areas south of I-90 become mostly sleet with some rain closer to the South Coast and over Cape Cod and the Islands. This afternoon additional lighter snow to the north, a break then some snow showers to the south. Highs ranging from near 25 southwestern NH and north central MA to near 40 Cape Cod. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH except 10-20 MPH with a few higher gusts in coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 33-40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 9-14. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 8-15. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 2-6)

Temperatures below normal. Watch for 1 or 2 disturbances with precipitation threats.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 7-11)

Temperatures near to below normal. A couple additional precipitation threats.

C-19 Chat Post – February 25 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

The final 5 days of February are here to remind us it’s very much still winter. After our warm anomaly yesterday, we’re back to a cold reality today as high pressure in eastern Canada feeds plenty of polar air into our area. The cloud cover you see this morning is not from our coming winter storm but from an advanced area of moisture which is drying up as it moves eastward, passing to our south. These clouds will yield to more sun during the day today before our storm forerunners move in this evening. Low pressure will be heading toward New York from the Ohio Valley then redevelop and pass just south of New England on an east northeast track Friday and Friday night. This is a wintry precipitation set up for us with a cold high to the north, so we all start out as snow, and a good portion of the region stays snow through the event. The wild card remains how much warm air works in aloft to change that snow to sleet, and at this point I think anywhere from the South Coast to the I-90 area is in the game for this. If there is a change to rain at all it will be for a briefer time along the immediate South Coast and most likely Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard. Areas that have mixed or changed should end as snow or snow showers Friday evening as colder air is ready to wrap right back in around the departing low pressure area. With all of this in mind, when it’s over, I expect accumulations to be 1-3 inches over the islands and perhaps immediate beaches on the South Coast, 3-6 inches from there to just south of I-90 including much of southeastern MA, RI, and eastern CT, and 6-10 inches north of there through the bulk of MA and southern NH, with a few spot accumulations of up to 12 inches favoring north central MA and interior southern NH. After our storm, it’s cold and mainly dry for the weekend and Monday, to end the month, with the exception of the chance of some snow shower activity Sunday as a reinforcing cold front moves by.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 31-38. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Snow arriving overnight. Lows 18-25. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Overcast with snow, heavy at times in the morning except changing to sleet South Coast to near I-90 and possibly to rain for a time immediate South Coast, and may mix with sleet I-90 north by late morning. Precipitation becoming lighter and changing to all snow regionwide in the afternoon. (See discussion above for accumulations.) Highs 28-35. Wind NE-E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible near the South Coast.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 33-40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 9-14. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 1-5)

Temperatures below normal. Watch for 1 or 2 disturbances with precipitation threats.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 6-10)

The overall pattern continues to look colder than normal with one or two precipitation threats during this period.

C-19 Chat Post – February 24 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

A preview of spring today with very mild air over the region, although with a lot of clouds as we await a cold front. This front comes through with little fanfare today other than its wind shift. Tonight, the cold air drains in from Canada and becomes established through Thursday as high pressure builds over eastern Canada. And in classic New England fashion we’ll be dealing with a winter storm by the early hours of Friday, and then throughout the day into early Friday night, as low pressure coming out of the Midwest tracks just south of us, with cold air in place for a largely or completely frozen precipitation event. The wild card and biggest question to answer with this upcoming system is how much warm air will be involved aloft to change the snow to sleet and cut down the total accumulation. This is almost a certainty south of I-90 and especially toward the South Coast, where even some rain may get involved in the system as it makes its closest pass. This will be reflected in the accumulation amounts in the detailed forecast that follows this discussion. The system moves away Friday night, leaving us with a breezy and cold weekend with dry weather Saturday and a snow shower threat Sunday as a reinforcing cold front moves through the region.

TODAY: Cloudy morning. Increasing sun afternoon. A brief rain shower possible late morning to early afternoon. Highs 57-64, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW by late-day.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunshine dimmed by high cloudiness at times. Highs 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Snow arriving overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Overcast with snow, except changing to sleet in some areas mainly south of I-90 and possibly mixing with rain along the South Coast. Highs 30-37. Wind NE-E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of snow during the evening. Expected snow accumulation 1-3 inches Nantucket, 3-5 inches remainder of South Coast, 5-10 inches elsewhere, Clearing overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 33-40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Temperatures below normal. Watch for 1 or 2 disturbances with precipitation threats.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)

The overall pattern continues to look colder than normal with another storm threat potential at some point.

C-19 Chat Post – February 23 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Low pressure tracks from the Great Lakes to southeastern Canada today through early Wednesday via New York, northwestern New England, and the St. Lawrence Valley. Its warm front will bring some rain showers later today. The most widespread rain shower activity will occur in the warm sector tonight when the wind will become quite gusty as well, and most of Wednesday will be rain-free other than a rain shower chance first thing in the morning and a risk of few more isolated ones along a passing cold front during the afternoon. Before that cold front gets here, we’ll warm nicely, with many areas away from the South Coast reaching or exceeding 60F. Don’t get used to that though, because cold air comes back in that night, and becomes established across the region as high pressure builds across southeastern Canada Thursday. We’ll already be seeing some high cloudiness in the sky Thursday too ahead of our next storm threat – low pressure heading toward the interior Northeast from the Midwest, to redevelop and move out just south of New England or tracking near Long Island or the New England South Coast during Friday. This is a wintry scenario for our region, starting as snow at least for all locations, but enough warm air gets involved that we will probably see some sleet and rain becoming involved with the system, especially the closer to the South Coast you are, during Friday, before it all ends as snow on Friday night. It’s a little too early for snow/sleet numbers, but the system has the potential to produce moderate amounts of accumulation over a good part of the region. Fair, cold weather will dominate behind that departed storm on Saturday.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain showers at times this afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind NE-E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Numerous to widespread rain showers. Temperatures rising to 48-55. Wind shifting to S and increasing to 10-20 MPH inland and 15-25 MPH coast with gusts above 40 MPH NH Seacoast, eastern MA, and RI.

WEDNESDAY: Any early clouds and rain showers give way to a sun/cloud mix with one more isolated rain shower possible during the afternoon. Highs 57-64, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to W late.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunshine dimmed by high cloudiness. Highs 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Snow arriving overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Overcast with snow/sleet likely and ice/rain possible especially South Coast. Highs 30-37. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of snow during the evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill near 0.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

Watching for a disturbance February 27, probably just a cold front from the northwest with a few possible snow showers as a low pressure area passes well to the south and misses the region, reinforcing cold air through Monday. Temperatures remain near to below normal into the first days of March and watching for another threat of unsettled weather around March 2.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 4-8)

The overall pattern looks colder than average with another storm threat potential at some point.

C-19 Chat Post – February 22 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

High pressure to the south brings fair weather and milder air to us today. Some high cloudiness will be in the sky in response to warming aloft too. Low pressure cuts northwest of New England Tuesday and through southeastern Canada Wednesday. This puts us on the warm side of the low which will bring rain to us Tuesday afternoon and evening as its warm front moves through, and rain showers for a while behind its warm front into early Wednesday morning. shower activity to our region Tuesday afternoon night, departing early Wednesday. With the low’s cold front not arriving until later in the day, it allows us to enjoy a very mild day, albeit with a gusty breeze, but still a very nice day for late winter. The cold front is expected to be moisture-starved, with no real threat of precipitation, but behind that front, colder air will settle in and Thursday will be noticeably different-feeling with a sun/high cloud mix as high pressure hangs to the north in eastern Canada and an area of moisture starts to push eastward along and north of a frontal boundary to our south. It looks like that initial push of moisture will dry up for the most part as it approaches and passes mostly to our south, but a wave of low pressure will have developed on the boundary by that in the Midwest and move rapidly east northeastward, and with cold air in place we have a good chance of a wintry weather event here on Friday at least starting as snow for most of the region. Time will tell whether or not that will be an all snow or mostly snow event, or if more sleet/ice/rain will get involved. It’s still several days away, so there is plenty of time to fine-tune those details…

TODAY: (PRESIDENTS DAY): Sunshine filtered at times by high cloudiness. Highs 45-50 South Coast, 51-56 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 30-37. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with areas of fog and rain likely during the evening. Mostly cloudy with rain showers overnight. Temperatures steady 40-47 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SE 5-15 MPH shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY: Any early clouds and rain showers give way to a sun/cloud mix. Highs 57-64, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to W late.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunshine dimmed by high cloudiness. Highs 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Snow arriving overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Overcast with snow/sleet likely and ice/rain possible. Highs 30-37. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

The last 3 days of February look mostly dry and on the colder side of normal. A reinforcing cold front will probably pass through at some point. Colder theme for the first couple days of March and may need to watch for a storm threat as well.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 3-4)

The overall pattern looks colder than average with another storm threat potential at some point.