DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

High pressure hangs on this weekend with fair weather and very mild weather. A couple record high temperature may fall on Sunday. We’ll have a bit more cloudiness around at times this weekend than we’ve had the last few days, but it will remain dry. A cold front will cross the region Monday with little fanfare. It will put an end to the warm spell, but not after we sneak in one more warm day. By Tuesday and Wednesday, a new high pressure area from Canada will provide more dry weather but this time with a seasonable November chill in the air.

TODAY: Sunshine filtered at times by high clouds. Highs 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

High pressure hangs on to start the period with fair weather. A low pressure area from the south and disturbance from the west combine to give a period of unsettled weather in the later November 11 to November 13 time window, but not likely that entire time – details to be fine-tuned. Fair weather returns for the end of the period. Temperatures trend cooler.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Two shots of colder air may occur as we start to see a pattern shift. Watching for a couple precipitation threats as well.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

High pressure keeps control of the weather through the weekend and into Monday with fair weather and temperatures running quite a bit above seasonal normals as a trough of low pressure holds all the colder and stormy weather in the western US. With a gradual increase in moisture both in the lower and upper levels we may see some low clouds and fog again tonight / early Saturday, and high cloudiness at times today and Saturday, with an increase in mid level cloudiness Saturday night / Sunday. So as we get to the weekend we won’t hold onto the sunshine quite as much, despite the continued warmth – still though, not bad at all for November! Monday we see a continuation of the well-above-normal temperatures, but the party will be about to end as a cold front starts to move across the region. There won’t be much in the way of any support for any precipitation with this front so just expect some clouds with its passage, allowing the dry spell to extend into early next week. The difference you’ll note by Tuesday though is that we’ve returned to seasonably cool weather courtesy a new area of high pressure from Canada.

TODAY: Sun may become filtered at times by some high cloudiness. Highs 66-73. Wind SW up to 10 MPH, a few gusts to 15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear except areas of low clouds and fog especially South Coast. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunshine likely becomes filtered by more high cloudiness. Highs 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

High pressure sits over the region during the first couple days of this period with fair weather, chilly mornings and milder afternoons November 9-10. Veterans Day November 11 looks fair for now as high pressure hangs on. Later that day and into the start of the November 12-13 weekend we may see some unsettled weather due to a combo of low pressure / moisture from the south and a disturbance from the west, but this may move quickly enough so that the end of the period sees a return to fair weather again.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Two shots of colder air may occur as we start to see a pattern shift. Precipitation events with air mass changes are expected to be minor.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

A persistent ridge of high pressure will bring fair and very mild weather to our region through the weekend and even to the start of next week as well. Although on Monday we will have a cold front quietly crossing the region, a signal of the end of the warm spell. A couple of record high temperatures may be challenged on Sunday and/or Monday, but for the most part, this will not be a warm stretch that does much damage to the record book.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind S to SW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW up to 10 MPH, a few gusts to 15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

A new area of high pressure brings dry but seasonably cool weather to the region November 8-9 with a slight moderation to follow for November 10-11. By later November 11 onward we have to watch for impact from low pressure to the south and/or a disturbance from the west with a threat of unsettled weather.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

The signs remain in place for a change in the weather pattern – this period starting with some unsettled weather then shifting to a cooler / colder but mainly dry episode as the ridge breaks down and moves out and is replaced by a northwesterly air flow and a broad trough in the jet stream. The evolution of this pattern may be a little slower than some guidance indicates so the cool-down may come in stages versus all at once. Fine-tuning to come.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

High pressure will control our weather with dry conditions and above normal temperatures through the weekend. The “coolest” weather will be today and Thursday as we have a bit of a northerly air flow initially having transported some Canadian air in, but this air is already modified and without much wind, so you’re not going to feel the typical chill from it. High pressure’s ridge axis sinks to the south so we see an increasing south to southwest air flow here toward and into the weekend, which will be decidedly more breezy than the 3 days leading up to it. We will probably see more in the way of cloudiness by Sunday as well with more moisture in the atmosphere by then.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear except ground fog patches forming in interior low elevations. Lows 38-45. Wind calm.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind S to SW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

A cold front is expected to move through the region during November 7, bringing only a slight chance of rain showers but a shift in the wind and the arrival of cooler air with high pressure taking control again November 8-9. By later next week, we’ll be watching low pressure to the south of the area, but at this point I’m expecting the high pressure set-up to maintain control with continued dry weather and near to above normal temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Continuing to watch for a pattern change during the middle of November. Potential unsettled weather in the November 12-13 window due to either low pressure to the south, a disturbance from the west, or a combination. Mid to late period looks drier but with a shift to near to below normal temperatures at that time.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

After an October that started cooler than normal then shifted to a mild pattern, and a brilliant foliage season peak for much of the region, we enter November still in a mild pattern with the now ongoing “rustic peak” of foliage. The brilliant reds and oranges are past peak, but many of the trees that are at peak now in our region produce deeper golds and browns, which in my opinion are quite nice to look at as we move into late autumn. The weather in the coming days will be quite nice to be outside looking at such sights, or shifting your focus to cleaning up the leaves that have fallen – I know I gotta do that soon! First though, a little speed bump as we start the month with a disturbance moving through, producing some rain showers this morning. This activity will push out this afternoon though clouds will be somewhat stubborn. It will be mild though. Only a very slight cool down occurs for mid week as high pressure first to our north and west provides a northeasterly air flow briefly before the high settles to the south and we get a southwesterly air flow by later in the week , warming it up quite nicely.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers through midday. Highs 61-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind shifting to NW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind shifting to NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 38-45. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 36-43. Wind calm.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Fair weather and above normal temperatures continue through November 6 to finish off the first weekend of November. Watching for a cold front to move through with little fanfare, maybe a few rain showers, on November 7, still a mild day, but leading to cooler/dry weather for the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

This is the period of time we watch for a potential pattern change. Again, guidance has been inconsistent in details of how this happens, but the general idea right now is that we will start with high pressure holding on for a dry Veterans Day, a potential unsettled November 12-13 weekend as we watch both low pressure to the south and a disturbance from the west, then a shift to cooler/colder air as the trough which had been out to the west moves into the Northeast. Confidence is only moderate at best with this scenario, but this is the idea to work with for now, then adjust as needed. Some guidance has thrown some snow at us in its forecasts for some of these days, but it’s nothing to really lock into yet – just something to monitor as really more an indicator of a shift to colder weather at some point.