DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 16-20)
We have some weather changes coming up this week, but we start out with a couple more days under the influence of a large low pressure circulation, centered to our northeast in the maritime provinces of Canada. A couple spokes of energy rotating around this feature will keep our weather somewhat unsettled through Tuesday, with lots of clouds, and some episodes of rain showers. Today’s shower activity will have a bit more coverage than Tuesday’s and also be a bit heavier in some locations, but don’t expect an all-day rain anywhere. That’s not in the cards. Along with this, we’ll have breezy conditions and temperatures running a little below normal during the daylight hours, but not all that chilly, compared to normal, during the nighttime hours while the cloud cover is persistent. Wednesday and Thursday will feature a return to fair weather with a warming trend as high pressure builds in and then drifts to the east, eventually offshore. This sets the stage for a southerly wind on Friday bringing in more humid air and an increase in cloud cover again, and eventually a rain shower threat by evening or night as a frontal system and trough approaches from the west. Timing details will need to be worked out.
TODAY: Cloudy start with early morning rain showers mainly from I-95 to the South Coast, then scattered showers developing and moving in from north to south midday and afternoon, a few of which can produce small hail. Highs 52-59. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially near the coast.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Lows 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible, especially in the morning and midday hours. Highs 54-61. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds decrease. Patchy fog. Lows 45-52. Wind N-NW under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 57-64. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy ground fog in lower elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 52-59. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Evening or nighttime rain showers probable. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 21-25)
Upper level low pressure moves through the Northeast on the October 21-22 weekend, but the surface feature producing most of the rainfall may move through quickly enough so that the wettest weather occurs at the very start of the weekend, followed by mostly dry, breezy, cool weather with only isolated rain showers possible after that. Will monitor and adjust as needed. Beyond that, looking for high pressure to return with fair weather.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 26-30)
Next trough looks less potent bringing a minor rain shower chance early in the period, followed by high pressure and dry weather again but somewhat variable temperatures.