DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

An area of high pressure to our south provides a fair and milder day today. The high shifts eastward Friday as low pressure off the Atlantic Coast starts to move northward at the same time a trough of low pressure approaches from the west. The trough from the west also drives low pressure north of our region with a cold front to swing through the region during Saturday, while the low from the south tracks north northeast and passes offshore. We get a warmer Friday with clouds increasing then some wet weather in the region Friday night into Saturday from an interaction of the cold front and offshore low. But it does look like the heaviest rain associated with the storm passing by will stay offshore or just clip Cape Cod for a brief time. Later Saturday through Sunday, as low pressure intensifies in the Gulf of Maine and heads into the Maritime Provinces of Canada, we’ll see dry, colder weather with a gusty breeze here. High pressure in east central Canada and low pressure still impacting the Canadian Maritimes will funnel chilly air but keep it dry here into early next week as well.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers evening. Cloudy overnight with an increasing rain chance. Areas of fog develop. Lows 50-57. Wind becoming variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy through midday with rain likely I-95 belt eastward and a good chance of showers elsewhere. Mostly cloudy with a few lingering rain showers possible in the afternoon. Highs 50-57 occurring in the morning, then cooling into the 40s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, especially eastern coastal areas.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 23-30. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

High pressure to the north hangs on with fair, cool weather November 21. A progressive low pressure area and frontal system will pass through on November 22 with unsettled weather, mainly rain, but may start as snow/mix in some areas early. Fair weather returns for Thanksgiving Day into the extended holiday weekend with seasonable temperatures for the holiday then a colder trend.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)

Some temperature moderation expected in the last several days of the month, with a period of wet weather possible around November 27-28 as another trough moves through from the west.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

A cold start today, quite frosty in some areas with high pressure overhead. A light northerly air flow has driven some ocean effect clouds over Cape Cod but those will move out / dissipate early today as the high pressure area shifts to the south and our air flow across the region becomes light west to southwest. While this is happening, warmer air will be advecting in above us and create a variable amount of high cloudiness as the day goes on. These clouds will peak this evening before clearing out overnight as a warm front moves quietly through the region. What this front will do is boost Thursday’s high temperatures by about 10 degrees over today’s chillier readings. Another dry day is in store for us Thursday. Things start to change on Friday with high pressure further offshore and a low pressure trough approaching from the west. A southerly air flow will increase the moisture and resultant cloud cover in the region, and at the same time we’ll be watching a plume of moisture associated with a developing low pressure area to the south. This storm will pass by to the southeast of New England Friday night into Saturday while the trough to the west sends another low to our north, and its trailing cold front moves eastward across our region. This is a recipe for some wet weather with showers from the cold front, but also a swath of rain from the coastal / ocean low. The latter looks like it will have the greatest impact to the east of I-95 during the first 12 hours of Saturday before it starts to exit to the northeast and the cold front pulls through. This will shift the wind flow to northerly and drive drier, colder air into the region, and as these systems fully phase in eastern Canada we can expect dry weather but a gusty, chilly day on Sunday to finish the weekend.

TODAY: Early morning clouds exit Cape Cod, otherwise sun and high clouds. Highs 47-54. Wind N under 10 MPH except up to 10 MPH Cape Cod early, then shifting to W-SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Lots of high clouds evening, then a clearing trend overnight. Lows 36-43. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers evening. Cloudy overnight with rain likely, especially from the I-95 belt eastward. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy through midday with rain likely I-95 belt eastward and a good chance of showers elsewhere. Mostly cloudy with a few lingering rain showers possible in the afternoon. Highs 50-57 occurring in the morning, then cooling into the 40s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, especially eastern coastal areas.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

High pressure brings dry and seasonably chilly weather early next week. Watching for a progressive system to pass by during November 22 with a good chance of precipitation, mostly rain, but may start as snow/mix to the west/north favoring higher elevations if it comes in quickly enough. Thanksgiving Day looks dry and breezy, but not too chilly. Colder air arrives the day after that with a secondary cold front moving through that may produce a rain or snow shower with otherwise dry weather expected.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 25-29)

Pattern looks dry for the balance of Thanksgiving Weekend before the precipitation chance goes up early the following week with a progressive trough arriving.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

A disturbance brought the first measurable snow of the season to some locations in the WHW forecast area last evening, a coating to just under 1 inch of snowfall mainly in higher elevations of Worcester County being about the extent of it. Elsewhere, a few snow and rain showers occurred, with some areas seeing nothing at all, especially further southeast as the activity diminished and dissipated on the way there. The system is now offshore and will move away today. Other than one more passing sprinkle or flurry this morning in a few locations and maybe an ocean-effect shower episode on Outer Cape Cod around midday we’ll have a dry, cool day with lots of clouds giving way to more sun with time. High pressure builds in tonight and will be with us during the midweek period, gradually shifting eastward and offshore by Thursday. Some high cloud patches will be with us at times on Wednesday as warmer air starts to move in, first aloft. We won’t notice it too much at the surface with only a modest warm-up Wednesday, but we will on Thursday when it turns noticeably milder. The warm-up will continue into Friday but that day will feature more cloudiness as we have both an approaching trough from the west and increased moisture ahead of low pressure to our south. This is likely to lead to a period of wet weather focused on later Friday evening until midday Saturday, lasting longest in eastern areas which will be closer to an at-least partial phasing of the trough from the west and the low pressure from the south. The latter will be intensifying as it passes by early Saturday, and eventually will pull dry air in behind it, with a drier finish to the day. Expect gusty winds with this system, especially in eastern areas and particularly near the coast. A few more details on wind and rain are to be determined, which I will do in the next few updates. But for now plan on a wet start to the weekend.

TODAY: Lots of clouds to start, more sun to finish. A passing light sprinkle or flurry possible until midday and a few rain showers possible Outer Cape Cod until early afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind NW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible in eastern coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Late-day rain showers possible. Highs 56-63. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely late evening and overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with rain likely in the morning. Breaking clouds afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, gusts to 30 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

Much of this period is likely to feature dry weather and near to below normal temperatures, with one system to pass by around the day before Thanksgiving with slightly milder weather and a chance of some rain. Details TBD and elaboration to come in future blog posts.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 24-28)

Medium range indications are for a mainly dry and somewhat seasonable though variable temperature regime for Thanksgiving Weekend. Precipitation chances may increase early the following week with a trough moving in, but that is low confidence this far out.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Most of the next 5 days will feature dry weather. The week will start chilly and end with a warming trend. A quick-moving disturbance in a northwesterly air flow will bring clouds in later today, then some rain and snow showers through the region this evening and tonight. Other than the low chance of a brief coating of snow in a few places in southern NH and central to possibly northeastern MA, this will be an inconsequential event. The disturbance exits early Tuesday but a fresh push of cold air and a northerly air flow behind the system can create a few rain showers on Outer Cape Cod while some cloud bands move from north to south near and just off the eastern coastline. High pressure builds in for fair and more tranquil weather Wednesday before it pushes offshore later Wednesday and Thursday, allowing a warm-up to begin. By Friday, with high pressure off to the east and northeast, low pressure to the south, and a trough of low pressure and frontal system approaching from the west, we’ll see increasing cloudiness. The opportunity for wet weather then increases by later on Friday, but I’m not certain just yet of the timing and the scope of any rainfall and will fine-tune that part of the forecast as we go through the next several days.

TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 41-48. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy this evening with passing rain and/or snow showers. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds – most clouds near the coast and especially Outer Cape Cod where a few rain showers are possible. Highs 42-49. Wind NW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible in eastern coastal areas.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Late-day rain showers possible. Highs 56-63. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

Low pressure passes by to the southeast and another low passes by to the north with a trailing frontal boundary moving through the region at the start of the weekend on November 18. The amount and duration of rain will be determined by the interaction of these systems, but early on I lean toward the greatest chance of wet weather the first half of Saturday and favoring eastern and southern portions of the region, before it dries out later. Generally dry, chilly weather follows to end the weekend and start Thanksgiving Week, but have to watch for another low pressure system with an unsettled weather threat by the end of this period, which would be about the day before Thanksgiving, based on current medium range timing, which is not high confidence.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 23-27)

Trend is for a mainly dry and somewhat seasonable though variable temperature regime heading from Thanksgiving through its holiday weekend time period with a westerly flow and a lack of significant moisture in the region.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

A quick Sunday update. Dry regime continues. Only chance of precipitation is from a passing disturbance in a northwest flow late Monday to early Tuesday, which can bring a few snow and rain showers to the region. Otherwise we remain dominated by high pressure with dry weather. Temperatures will run below normal for a few days, with a warm-up later in the period.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds increase. A late day rain shower possible. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers. Lows 33-40. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A passing rain or snow shower possible until midday. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

A low pressure trough from the west and some probable tropical moisture from the south turns the region mainly cloudy with a period of two of wet weather likely in the November 17-18 time frame. Timing and details to be worked out as we go through the week. Fair, cooler to colder mid to late period as unsettled system pulls away and drier Canadian air replaces it.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 22-26)

Looking for a progressive low pressure / frontal system to move through just before Thanksgiving to start the period, then mostly fair weather seems more likely as we head into and possibly through the extended holiday weekend period. This is not a high confidence forecast but based on pattern trends that may keep southern jet stream moisture and northern jet stream energy apart.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

November has been dry so far, continuing a trend from October, and our dry regime will continue for the next 5 days (at least). We’ve also turned to a cooler than normal pattern and that will also continue through 5 days. High pressure will provide the dry weather for this weekend. A brisk breeze at times will make the air feel a little colder than it is today, so keep that in mind if you’ll be outside for any Veterans Day parades / ceremonies. For this moment please allow me to thank all those who have served us and remember those who have passed on since coming back from service. Winds drop off tonight providing a decent set-up for radiational cooling, and Sunday’s wind will be a little less than today’s – a nice November day! Our overall northwest flow pattern continues into early next week, and a disturbance will move through the region late Monday into Tuesday, bringing more clouds and a chance of some passing rain and snow showers. Reinforcing cold air follows it for Tuesday but we’ll begin a slight moderation on Wednesday after a cold start to the day.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 24-31. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds increase. A late day rain shower possible. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers. Lows 33-40. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A passing rain or snow shower possible until midday. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

High pressure shifts eastward toward the end of next week allowing a warm-up but also opening the door to both a trough from the west and a potential impact from tropical moisture to the south. It’s far too soon for the exact timeline on this threat but looking at later November 17 into November 18 (the start of the 3rd weekend of the month). This would be followed by a drier, colder finish to this period as the system departs to the northeast and pulls in a batch of polar air.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

Thanksgiving Week. We’ll need to watch for a progressive system to move through sometime before or around the holiday, but it’s too soon to know how impactful it will be. A drier pattern follows. Details to be worked out.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

As we reach the middle of November, we’re going to be in a chilly weather pattern dominated by an air flow out of Canada, but also a mainly dry one. A southwesterly air flow aloft keeps us under a blanket of clouds much of today, but a clearing trend will begin later and may set-up a nice sunset at least for some parts of the region. High pressure builds in for the weekend, with upper level high pressure to our west and a trough to our northeast. This set-up is dry but with below normal temperatures, with the colder of the two weekend days being Sunday. For Saturday, outdoor Veterans Day parades and ceremonies will take place with dry, chilly conditions – temperatures ranging from the upper 30s to middle 40s depending on time of event. A northwest flow continues into early next week with a disturbance bringing our only precipitation threat of the 5-day period late Monday to very early Tuesday – some rain and snow showers, but nothing that looks significant as it will be a fast-moving system with dry air around.

TODAY: Considerably cloudy – some limited sun. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 24-31. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds increase. A late day rain shower possible. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers. Lows 33-40. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

High pressure brings dry weather November 15-16 with a moderating temperature trend. High pressure shifts offshore and a low pressure trough approaches and moves in from the west with mild weather but a better rain chance November 17-18, timing details to be worked out. Dry, colder at the end of the period as a progressive pattern allows the system to move out to the east.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

Generally west to east flow pattern, and mostly dry weather but one trough will likely pass by at some point with some unsettled weather. Too early to determine how close to the Thanksgiving Holiday (November 23) this will be. Temperatures variable but averaging near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

A low pressure wave on a frontal system provides unsettled and chilly weather today. The frontal boundary will lift just far enough north to allow the South Coast to be relatively warmer than the chilly, raw feel the rest of the region has. Drier air arrives tonight as the low pressure wave pulls the frontal boundary to the south. We then have generally dry and chilly weather for Friday through the weekend and Monday as well. Upper level low pressure will be the cause of plenty of clouds and perhaps a spot shower of liquid and/or frozen precipitation on Friday, then we’re generally in the clear for the weekend before another upper low brings more clouds again Monday.

TODAY: Cloudy. Rain moves through from west to east this morning and ends midday. Highs 43-50 except 50-57 immediate South Coast. Wind NE up to 10 MPH except variable to SW for a while along the South Coast.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 34-41. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. A spot shower of rain / sleet / graupel possible. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 41-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 43-50. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

High pressure brings dry weather November 14-16, starting chilly then moderating. High pressure shifts offshore late next week opening the door for milder air but also an increased chance for wet weather as a trough of low pressure approaches from the west.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

Low pressure exits with a shot of dry, colder air early in the period. A west to east flow pattern dominates for the balance of the period, and despite mostly dry weather, watch for 1 or 2 quick-moving disturbances to bring clouds and brief precipitation threats. Temperatures variable but averaging near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

If you step outside this morning (or were out there overnight), you’ve been shocked by a drastic change in the feel of the air, as yesterday’s relatively high humidity and mildness has been replaced by a sharp shot of Canadian chill and very dry air, along with a gusty breeze that isn’t ready to ease up. This is the theme of our day, with little help from a low angle sun mixed with passing stratocumulus / cumulus clouds. Low temperatures this morning range from the middle 30s to lower 40s, and while the air temperature does rise into the middle to upper 40s during the day today, a continued gusty breeze will often make it feel as if it is under 40. This takes place as we get air coming in between Canadian Maritime low pressure and a high pressure area moving from the Great Lakes through Ontario and Quebec. Tonight, the wind will slacken as a narrow extension of that high pressure noses across New England, but a quick-moving west-to-east zonal flow pattern in place brings the next low pressure system our way quickly, and we’ll see the clouds fanning in from it tonight, thickening up from late evening through overnight as a push of warm air aloft moves rapidly east. This will result in a band of precipitation, some of it of the frozen variety, especially from the I-90 region northward, with mostly rain to the south. But this burst will be brief and have little impact on the WHW region. During that day Thursday as the system struggles to remain intact, we’ll see a surface frontal boundary across far southern areas and a weak wave of low pressure trying to form on it. With the exception of the South Coast which may be milder for a few hours, expect a cool, raw, cloudy November day with spotty light rain/drizzle of little consequence, eventually ending. Dry air works back in from the west Thursday evening through Friday, although the upper level remains of what was once a more organized low will rotate through the region Friday with lots of clouds. I cannot rule out a sprinkle of rain or a few pellets of ice or graupel from some of these clouds, but Friday will be largely a dry day. High pressure, still centered to our west and northwest, will provide a dry but chilly mid November weekend for us, which includes Veterans Day Saturday. Morning temperatures will be rising from the upper 30s into the lower 40s and afternoon temperatures will peak in the 40s for any parades and outdoor ceremonies scheduled that day, including a moderately gusty breeze making it feel a little colder than it is.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving west to east by dawn, may start mixed with sleet and/or snow especially interior higher elevation locations. Lows 34-41. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain chance highest early southern NH and eastern MA, then spotty very light rain / drizzle possible thereafter. Highs 44-51, mildest South Coast where some locations may max out a bit warmer. Wind NE-E up to 10 MPH except may turn S or SW for a time South Coast.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. A spot shower of rain / sleet / graupel possible. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

High pressure is expected to provide dry weather and keep additional unsettled weather to the south of our region from the early to middle portion of next week with a gradual temperature moderation occurring. High pressure shifts eastward after that with milder air but also an increased chance to see clouds and possible wet weather by late week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

A west to east flow dominates with one or two frontal systems bringing unsettled weather chances, but no prolonged or big storms indicated. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

The large scale weather pattern dominating is a zonal (west to east) flow. This means that weather systems are on the move and not lingering. Overnight, a warm front pushed through, and late evening lows in the 40s were followed by a temperature rise into the 50s, along with higher humidity (dew point nearly matching but in general trailing the temps by a degree to a few degrees). Rain showers also moved through most areas, and with the help of a trough of low pressure, a swath of widespread showers will move across eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA into mid morning before departing. Between this and an approaching cold front we get a slice of sunshine and a mild day with highs topping 60 across most of the region. The cold front trailing low pressure moving across southeastern Canada will swing through our region late this afternoon and evening, producing a few scattered rain showers, and a sharp turn to colder weather overnight. This sets up a fair but chilly Wednesday with below normal temperatures, as high pressure builds from the Great Lakes across northern New England / southeastern Canada. The next low pressure system makes a run at our region via the Great Lakes on Thursday. It’s quick-moving, as previously noted, so clouds move in rapidly ahead of it Wednesday night and a band of precipitation associated with warm air advecting in aloft arrives in the pre-dawn hours with air cold enough that some if it can fall as sleet and/or wet snow, especially north of I-90. But this system is going to be moving along a non-supporting upper air flow and won’t be strengthening, but weakening rapidly, and as the initial band of precipitation exits as quickly as it arrived, additional precipitation will start to dry up so anything that falls after the initial burst would be limited, and in the form of very light rain. A weak surface low will move eastward along a frontal boundary which will probably never lift any further north than the South Coast region, so with the exception of a possible brief shot of mild air along the South Coast, most of the area will have a light northeast flow and chilly weather Thursday. This all slides away to the southeast Thursday night and another surface wave passes well south of the region late Friday, but during the day Friday an upper level trough will swing trough with lots of clouds. These can produce a spot shower of rain and even graupel in isolated locations, otherwise expect generally dry weather Friday. High pressure builds in Saturday with dry, breezy, and chilly weather for Veterans Day.

TODAY: Cloudy start including widespread showers into mid morning from eastern CT through RI and southeastern MA, then emerging sun and passing clouds before clouds increase again northwest to southeast later, with a few scattered showers possible northwest to southeast afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Good chance of rain by dawn, may start mixed with sleet and/or snow especially interior higher elevation locations. Lows 34-41. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain chance highest early southern NH and eastern MA, then spotty very light rain / drizzle possible thereafter. Highs 44-51, mildest South Coast where some locations may max out a bit warmer. Wind NE-E up to 10 MPH except may turn S or SW for a time South Coast.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. A spot shower of rain / sleet / graupel possible. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

High pressure is expected to provide dry weather and keep additional unsettled weather to the south to finish off the weekend on November 12. High pressure shifts to the south and east with dry weather continuing and a slow milder trend for the early to middle portion of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

A west to east flow dominates with one or two frontal systems bringing unsettled weather chances, but no prolonged or big storms indicated. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

A warm front will approach our region today, pass through tonight and very early Tuesday, and a cold front will then swing through later Tuesday as its parent low tracks north of our area. Clouds become dominant ahead of the warm front today, and a few patches of rain will be in the region tonight and first thing Tuesday with the warm front passing by, and then another rain shower may visit some areas later Tuesday with the cold front. In between we have our mildest day of this week on Tuesday. After that, a chilly Canadian high builds in for Wednesday with a return of dry weather. Next, our fast-flowing west to east jet stream sends low pressure toward the region for Thursday, but this system is likely to be lacking support and falling apart as it moves along, so the precipitation threat is relatively brief and minor, confined mostly to the morning hours (when a brief mix with sleet and/or wet snow can occur if it comes in quickly enough). A lot of the support for this system will be shunted south of our region, and this paves the way for another disturbance to pass by to the south later on Friday too, which should be mainly dry but may carry a fair amount of cloud cover.

TODAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 47-54. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain overnight. Lows 40-47 evening, steady or rising slightly overnight. Wind SE shifting to SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a shower early morning and late day. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Chance of rain by dawn, may start mixed with sleet and/or snow especially interior higher elevation locations. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy through midday with a chance of light rain, brief mix potential early interior higher elevations. Thinning clouds / increasing sun afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Veterans Day Saturday (11/11) and Sunday (11/12) look dry and cool as high pressure builds just to the west and north of New England, and then this high should drift closer to our region with fair and calmer weather and a slight temperature moderation the first half of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

West to east flow is expected to dominate on the large scale with high pressure in control early in the period, a frontal system coming through mid period when there’s a better chance of some unsettled weather, then fair weather returning at the end of the period if current medium range timing holds true.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

Daylight Saving Time ended and we returned to Standard Time early today. Remember to change any manual (non auto-changing) clocks if you haven’t. Sunrise is back to the earlier 6:00 a.m. hour for now and sunset is just after 4:30 p.m. today, with the former to get later and the latter to get earlier still during the course of the next several weeks, as is the case every year of course. Otherwise, weatherwise… An area of high pressure hangs on to our south today through Tuesday. Today will be fair with a diminishing amount of cloud cover with time after a weak cold front goes through the region. If you were up early you may have seen a pretty heavy dew, due to a shot of relatively higher humidity ahead of that front. Cloudiness makes a comeback Monday as the boundary comes back as a warm front and passes through the region the other way. Low pressure passes north of our region on Tuesday and drags the front back through again from the northwest as a cold front. A pre-frontal trough and the front itself may produce a couple rounds of rain showers, otherwise rainfall looks limited and it will be a mild and relatively humid day Tuesday. Chilly, dry air arrives Wednesday courtesy Canadian high pressure. The front won’t get all that far to our south before another low runs along it, but I continue to lean toward a suppression scenario with the bulk of any precipitation from this low passing to our south early Thursday, with our area just under a cloud shield for several hours before we clear again and remain chilly on Thursday.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 55-62. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a shower early morning and late day. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Chance of rain near the South Coast late. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy start, then increasing sun. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Clouds, possible brief precipitation southern areas as another low passes to the south at the beginning of the period based on current expectations. November 11-12 weekend looks dry, breezy, and chilly in a northwesterly flow from Canada, then high pressure brings fair weather with cold nights and milder days later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Trend is for mostly dry, mild weather with a high pressure ridge dominating the weather in the Northeast.

Post navigation

Previous Post

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

High pressure sits south of our region and will stay there through Monday. This weekend and most of Monday will see dry weather, but a frontal boundary will approach the region from the northwest today and slow down, and as it washes out it will push through the area by early Sunday. Cloudiness that is most abundant today (after a nice sunrise in some areas) will diminish on Sunday which will be the sunnier of the two weekend days as a small area of high pressure noses in. Clouds make a return Monday as low pressure heads into southeastern Canada via the northern Great Lakes. A warm front will move across the region during the day, but this doesn’t look like it will produce any rainfall either. We’ll have to wait for a trough and then a cold front to produce a couple rounds of showers, early and again later Tuesday. With the cold front not due until later Tuesday, that will be a mild day as well. Wednesday, a chilly high pressure area builds in from Canada with dry weather and a gusty breeze.

TODAY: Most sun early, otherwise lots of clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Most clouds early, otherwise more sun. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 55-62. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a shower early morning and late day. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

One or two low pressure areas will make a run at the region but should be mostly pushed to the south November 9-10. Can’t rule out a period of precipitation with details to be worked out. Dry weather mid period. Next system arrives with clouds and a rain chance toward the end of the period. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Trend is dry, cool start then a slow milder trend with high pressure dominating.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

High pressure to our south continues to provide generally fair weather, but now that it’s to the south, a frontal boundary to our north will get closer to the region. The “bad” news is limited as this only means more cloudiness at times today (mostly early) and more so during this weekend, but the good news is we’ll see dry weather and a modest warm-up during this time. We continue mild on Monday and the timing of the next trough, low, and frontal system seems slow enough that we get through that day rain-free, then see an episode or two of rain showers later at night and/or Tuesday from a west-to-east moving system with low pressure passing to our north.

TODAY: Early clouds, then mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Considerably cloudy. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

My outlook in this period is somewhat different than medium range guidance shows at this point. Leaning toward the next system being shunted to the south about November 9 and a different low approaching our region at the end of the period after generally dry, chilly weather. Details to work out…

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Best shot of unsettled weather early in the period. Generally dry otherwise. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

A high pressure area brings abundant sun today and again on Friday. This morning’s low temperatures ranged from the upper 20s in rural areas to the 30s in most areas, with a pretty widespread frost, and some freeze, with hard freeze in very limited locations. We recover slightly to the 40s today. Tonight will be another chilly one but may not get quite as low as we start to see a southwesterly air flow as the axis of high pressure shifts south, and then helps us recover to the 50s Friday. The high will stay to our south while a couple disturbances pass by to the north over the weekend. This results in milder weather but not as abundant sunshine for Saturday and Sunday, but at least we can expect dry weather to continue dominating. Monday, clouds increase ahead of the next trough and low pressure system. Depending on the speed / timing, it may turn wet by the end of the day.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain late day or night. Highs 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

A low pressure system passing through the region brings wet weather early in the period, followed by mainly dry with temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Next trough brings higher chance of unsettled weather early to mid period, then dry weather returns. Temperatures near to below normal.