DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)
It’s the final day of March, and for those celebrating, it’s Easter Sunday! Today’s going to be a pretty nice early spring day across our area. A small disturbance passed through the region overnight but exits first thing this morning with lingering clouds. Then we will have an interval of sun before fair-weather clouds pop up during the afternoon and share the sky with the sun. It’ll be rather mild for the final day of March despite a bit of a breeze, although it will be less windy than Saturday was. Enjoy this final day of March, because as we welcome April, we’re going to get into a complex set-up that also leads to unsettled weather a good deal of the coming week. There’s still a fair amount of uncertainty regarding the details of the stormy weather that’s due to impact the region. This is the general breakdown… First, an initial wave of low pressure moves out just south of the region later Monday, throwing a deck of clouds across our sky. Might it precipitate from this? Possibly, but there’s a good chance it may be just too far south to do much, so I’m going with the clouds but a mostly dry forecast for Monday. An extension of high pressure from eastern Canada noses in for Tuesday. We’ll still have a fair amount of cloudiness but the daytime should be dry. It’s Tuesday night and Wednesday that we’ll become involved with the main precipitation shield of a final storm system – one in which a parent low will move into the southern Great Lakes with a secondary forming near the northern Middle Atlantic coast and moving up into or just south of New England. The track of this storm will determine precipitation timing, intensity, and type, as we’ll be on the border of some air cold enough to produce snow. Odds favor more snow inland and with elevation based on the current expected set-up, but a slightly further south secondary storm would allow the colder air and snow opportunity to be further south and east, so we’ll have to watch this very closely for later Wednesday into Thursday.
TODAY: Clouds give way to sun, which then gives way to a sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind W-NW 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clear overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, diminishing overnight.
MONDAY: Lots of clouds. Highs 49-56, cooler in some coastal areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Overcast. Rain/mix/snow likely. Temperatures start 38-45 then slowly fall. Wind NE-E 10-20 MPH, gusty.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT / THURSDAY: Overcast with rain/mix/snow likely. Temperatures steady in 30s. wind E-NE 15-25 MPH, gusty.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 5-9)
Early period lingering storm impacts the region with clouds, wind, and some precipitation lingering, then a drying trend as high pressure builds in. Still a favorable outlook at this time for solar eclipse viewing April 8. Temperatures below normal early period, trending milder thereafter.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 10-14)
Unsettled weather returns early to mid period with a low pressure trough. High pressure builds in late period with fair weather again. Temperatures near to above normal.