DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)
A warm front crosses the region this morning and introduces higher humidity and seasonably warm air for the opening day of the holiday weekend. Sun will be most limited west of I-95 while offshore high pressure helps fight the cloudiness and allows a little more sun in eastern locations. A trough and cold front approach tonight then cross the region on Sunday. The interaction of these with the humid air will bring up to a few rounds of showers and possibly a thunderstorm to any given location for about a 12 hour period from midnight to noon. However, most of the time during this window will be rain-free. The shower and thunderstorm chance drops during Sunday afternoon but does not go to zero. We’ll have to just keep an eye out for one more passing shower or storm, but odds are quite low. Sunday evening, the cold front will push through and introduce a cooler, dry air mass to the region, reinforced by a secondary cold frontal passage early Monday, making Labor Day a day with a hint of autumn in the air, but with fair weather, a breeze, and sunshine with passing clouds about. High pressure builds in with fair and pleasant weather Tuesday and Wednesday.
TODAY: Variably cloudy – most sun east of I-95. Highs 75-82. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Considerably cloudy. Scattered showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm increasing from west to east overnight. Patchy fog overnight. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy with a couple passing showers and possible thunderstorms in the morning. Partly sunny with a slight chance of an additional passing shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Highs 72-79. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH, can be briefly variable and gusty around any showers/storms.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Dew point falling to near 50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY (LABOR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Highs 68-75. Dew point falling into 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. A patch of ground fog possible in lowest elevations. Lows 47-54, mildest urban centers. Dew point in 40s. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Dew point in 40s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Ground fog patches possible. Lows ranging from near 40 interior valleys to 50-55 urban areas. Dew point in 40s. Wind calm.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77. Dew point near 50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)
High pressure shifts eastward with fair weather and a warming trend early in the period. A weak trough approaches from the west while low pressure takes place south of New England later next week. While it’s uncertain, any interaction between these systems can draw wet weather northward from the aformentioned low, and bring a rain chance at some point next weekend. Something to watch and different from what was in yesterday’s outlook.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)
Overall pattern looks fairly quiet and mild heading into mid September, but will have to re-evaluate depending on what happens prior.