Monday June 8 2020 Forecast

46 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 8-12)

High pressure will be in control of the weather into Wednesday. Its center north of the region means a pleasantly dry and comfortable start to the week. It then shifts southeastward toward midweek and starts to open the door to more warmth and humidity. But don’t expect a sudden jump into summer heat and oppressiveness either. The increase will be marked by a warm frontal passage later Wednesday including cloudiness but probably without a rainfall risk. When it’s dry, it’s dry. The remains of Cristobal will move northward through the Great Lakes into southern Canada, well west of New England, during midweek and join forces with a disturbance coming from the west to create a powerful low pressure area in the western Great Lakes and southern Canada. That will be a broad enough system to create enough pressure gradient for a significant breeze around here by Thursday, when a cold front will also be approaching. So we’ll have a more humid day that day, along with some cloudiness. It looks like any shower and possible thunderstorm activity with that cold front will hold off until late Thursday or more likely Thursday night, and will probably not result in a widespread significant rainfall either. The front will be fairly weak by the time it gets here so while Friday may end up rain free with fair weather, it will probably not be that much less humid, though still not oppressive either.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Wind N under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 74-81. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 57-64. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A shower or thunderstorm possibly mainly interior southern NH, central MA and northeastern CT by late-day. More humid. Highs 77-84 except cooler Cape Cod and immediate South Coast. Wind S-SW increasing to 15-25 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Risk of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Humid. Lows 63-70. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Slightly less humid., Highs 77-84. Wind SW-W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 13-17)

There is some uncertainty in the forecast for this 5-day period and conflicting model guidance. For now I am sticking with the same general idea I have had of some additional humidity and a chance of a few showers / t-storms for June 13 then a bit drier June 14. Next system brings clouds and possibly a shower threat June 15 with models touting a low pressure area stuck nearby not being accurate, and a more progressive pattern ending up being reality. This would also keep rainfall chances limited through the end of the period as well as weak high pressure would end up back in control.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 18-22)

A slower evolution and weaker set-up for the blocking I mentioned in previous updates, high pressure in eastern Canada being dominant, low pressure south being weaker. This is probably a dry pattern without any significant heat. Confidence remains quite low with this pattern evolution so additional adjustments may be needed in addition to the usual adding of detail as these days get closer.

46 thoughts on “Monday June 8 2020 Forecast”

        1. ooops, meant that for JpDave’s comment below.

          Oh boy, these reply comments on this layout are confusing as hell.

  7. What does this mean?

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    Here is a smiley: 🙂 🙂 🙂

  8. Thanks TK.
    I liked the format last Thursday the best. Top 10 weather day today in my opinion.

    1. I think I liked Thursdays and I know I hated yesterdays on the iphone with safari.

      I actually don’t mind todays layout but once again always using this on my iphone. Just looked at it on a desktop and the text appears smooshed to say the least.

  10. This is horrible . The best one is the original format as it worked fine in my opinion .

  11. Thank yoi, TK

    Well hmmm. What DOES that warning mean

    Otherwise, and being the contrarian I am, I’d rank this three. I don’t mind at all. I’d like the grey for words to be white but can easily get used to that. Love the way it nests discussions. I’m a fan of offset colors to define areas which is probably why I like this

    I am very happy we will see all again as I agree it is Important to compare again once we have seen all.

    1. Vicki :
      Thank yoi, TK
      Well hmmm. What DOES that warning mean
      Otherwise, and being the contrarian I am, I’d rank this three. I don’t mind at all. I’d like the grey for words to be white but can easily get used to that. Love the way it nests discussions. I’m a fan of offset colors to define areas which is probably why I like this
      I am very happy we will see all again as I agree it is Important to compare again once we have seen all.

      What does the quote option mean

      1. Ahhh. I see. Interesting. So far though o seem to have to enter my name and email each time. At least when replying

        1. Me too. Yet another reason why this format SUCKS!

          I wish TK would revert to another NOW before the day is out.

          I can’t STAND THIS ONE)(!@#*&!*(@#$Y*(!@^$*(!@(*$*(!@$&*

  14. TK,

    Please, please, please change the format back to ANYTHING other
    than this piece of shit. thanks

  15. Hmmm – I am also using more and am trying on my PC. I had trouble with my tablet trying to post after I used the quote option. I like the layout but then IIRC correctly Thursday’s used the dark to define sections. This still remains third IMO because I was not a fan of any without navigation, but now a distant third.

  19. Agree, unless we are missing something. I HATE this layout. I don’t even
    want to post to it.

  20. Won’t hold my info so need to enter each time

    But to weather. Is anyone investigating the damage from the other day out this way?

  21. The funny thing is, I like the way it nests the comments. I think it’s unique and kind of cool!

    The layout would be better if the sides were a bit smaller and the text color a bit darker or the text background a little less grey and more white.

    So while this one has good qualities, overall it lacks too many needed features.

    As far as the original layout, Twenty-Ten, yes I know that it worked, having been reminded about 32 times now, but I’ve been confined to it for TEN YEARS and I am going to change it. It’s that simple. 🙂

    Also, there will be other layouts coming that I will test. I just don’t have them available on the current version of WordPress I have. So think of this as round 1. There will likely be another round coming.

    This is only the precursor to even larger changes that will make the blog look even more different sometime in the not-too-distant future.

  23. Yeah I’m not sure why this version doesn’t hold onto the info like all the others. Definitely not a fan of that. It doesn’t do it to me on the admin account but I wonder if it would do it on the Topkatt88 account. Probably.

      1. I was just going to ask if it is just me. Without that, I’d put this at the bottom of the list. Having to type info in each time is inconvenient.

  25. This is not a criticism of media but just an example of what happens when someone just “follows the models” instead of using meteorology to maximum advantage. There was a TV personality yesterday (Sunday) that was explaining that they had forecast a beautiful day for Sunday back on Friday, just 2 days earlier. If you recall, SAK & I (and I am sure others that I am not aware of) had already been touting Sunday as a day with lots of clouds and a shower risk for days on end. In fact, I went back to see when I first had Sunday June 7 as a mostly cloudy day with a shower risk. The first mention of it was May 29, when it was Day 10.

    Also, it is no surprise that model guidance is now shifting toward drier for the weekend, especially Sunday. I do believe it will be dry here on Sunday. The same forecaster that missed last Sunday’s forecast is currently calling for showers this Sunday. We’ll see how it goes. We have opposite forecasts yet again. 😉 If I am wrong, I’ll be the first to tell you!

  26. Thanks TK. Do not care for this version, especially the nesting of comments and the lack of timestamps on the comments.

    Yesterday’s was good at first glance, but when viewing on my iPhone there were no indentations in any of the comments so I had no idea which comments were responses and which weren’t. There was also no direct link on the blogs to get to the comments section.

    Agree with most people that Thursday was my top choice, with Friday and Saturday being my second and third choices respectively.

  27. I think the concensus today was low-mid 70s and we ended up mid-upper 70s.

    Part of this is the dry air and being close to the solstice, but I think part of it is the abnormally dry conditions starting to take hold.

    I get the idea the possible pattern in mid to later June and into early July is trof-ridge-trof, west to east across the US.

    Potential for heat to slowly but steadily build in the inter-mountain west and plains. Depending on the depth of the eastern trof and sharpness of the NW flow, that would determine if pieces of the central heat will make a 1 to 2 day trip thru New England.

    If our dry conditions expand and deepen and a piece or 2 of heat can break off out of the mid-west, I think the chances of hitting 100F in southern New England are a bit better this summer given the ENSO phase and the dry conditions.

  29. New weather post is up…
    This is published in Twenty-Eleven which was the first test layout from Monday June 1. I’m going to play around with it today so don’t be surprised if the appearance of the blog changes a few times.

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