Thursday June 11 2020 Forecast

35 Comments

7:21AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 11-15)

Humidity will be up today ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. The combination of these 2 will also produce lots of cloudiness and the risk of showers. While the thunderstorm risk is present, it’s not as prominent as it would be with more of a southwesterly wind and more sunshine to destabilize the atmosphere. Today’s cloud cover and southerly wind will act as limiting factors, and where there is more sun for a time (Cape Cod area) the wind coming over water for a longer time is even more of a limiting factor for storms in that area. This front will be weakening and washing out as it passes through the region, and while the humidity will come down a few notches for Friday, it won’t dry out that much, so with it being warmer with more sunshine it may still feel somewhat humid, until another frontal boundary or trough comes through sometime Friday evening, devoid of shower activity, but introducing cooler and drier air to start the weekend as high pressure builds across eastern Canada. During the weekend and into Monday, low pressure will take shape just south of New England, but will be on the weaker side and should be held at bay by the high to the north, although the circulation between the 2 will create an easterly air flow which is a cooler set-up for this area during the late spring / early summer due to the cool water of the North Atlantic. While I’m expecting mostly dry conditions during this time, there will be varying amounts of cloudiness to deal with.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and a slight risk of thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 75-82, cooler South Coast. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Risk of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Humid. Lows 63-70. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Slightly less humid., Highs 77-84. Wind SW-W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to N.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of a shower South Coast. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 16-20)

The pattern in place over the weekend and Monday will continue through the middle of next week. Close call whether or not low pressure can get close enough to produce some rainfall, but even if it does, it would probably be limited as the overall pattern remains dry. A break-down of this set-up allows a more southerly air flow and warmer and more humid conditions later in the period, but with limited shower and thunderstorm chances still.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 21-25)

Large scale pattern is expected to feature a ridge in the middle of the US and a weak to moderate northwesterly air flow over the Northeast. This would be a pattern of variable temperatures but no prolonged heat, but would allow for a little more of a summertime feel. Below normal rainfall is expected but 1 or 2 shower/t-storm chances are possible in this pattern from disturbances moving along the flow.

35 thoughts on “Thursday June 11 2020 Forecast”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Is this format a repeat of one we had? or new?
    I cannot remember. This one is OK for sure.

  6. Good morning and thank you, TK. Muggy for sure. I opened slider a crack to listen to the wind and the noise filled with mug. But I do enjoy the feel of this wind today

    This is a top format for me. Very clean and easy to use. I’ll check on PC and phone also.

    1. Looking good on PC also and shows clear indents – not that I use PC 😉

      And WOW – a dropdown menu on top for iPhone to display navigation. Now this is new – unless I missed before – and may bump this up to first or at least tied for first IMO.

      1. WOW! Thanks to your post, I took a look on my Samsung Anroid phone. Same thing. presentation on the phone is
        SUPERB and it has the little 3 line menu log at the top right. Pretty cool feature. I love it. Here are a couple of screen
        shots:

        https://imgur.com/a/GoU54rn

        1. Didn’t come out in the best order. 2nd image is what shows when I open up WHW. The 1st is when I tap
          on the menu icon.

    1. The first image is precipitation mode and the 2nd, despite what it says on top, is the composite mode.

      1. So far, not seeing any lightning with that line in the Berks.
        Or at least not on my mobile lightning detector app (lightning pro).

        1. Which by the way has been extremely accurate to-date.
          During local storms, it pin points strikes to the exact
          street address. It is pretty awesome.

  8. This one is much better it’s clean & simple . Like drop down as well as I only use my mobile it’s basically my computer. Thanks Tk . Very muggy in the city it has that I want too pour look outside

  11. Heavy downpour in Swampscott. Came and went quickly. Very light rain now. Radar makes think this round will be out of here in 30 minutes.

  13. echos showing signs of training here in the city. We shall
    see if I am full of crap or not.

  14. There are bunch more echos down around NYC. So if/when this batch moves out, it looks like it will be replaced by another.

  15. If I’m interpreting the models correctly today, then mid week next week looking even better today. Instead of clouds and possible showers, perhaps sunny with a few coastal clouds.

    I think the difference today is the cutoff forms and gets suppressed further south next week.

    With dry ground conditions, expect temps to overachieve, especially northern New England.

  16. This one is Twenty-Fifteen I believe. You’d have seen it for the first time last Friday.

    1. Hahahahaha hahahahahahaha hahahahahahaha

      You are presuming I can remember random numbers. I’m having trouble remembering day of week

      1. I remembered it because I matched most #’s up to dates when I chose the order of presentation. 😉 … Twenty-Eleven was June 1, Twenty-Twenty was June 2, Twenty-Thirteen was June 3, Twenty-Fourteen was June 4, Twenty-Fifteen was June 5, Twenty-Nineteen was June 6 (had to flip the 6 upside down), Twenty-Seventeen was June 7, and Monchrome was June 8. 🙂 There were no Twenty-Sixteen and no Twenty-Twelve. 🙂

        1. Ok now I’m laughing harder. You’ve added dates as reminders. I have no clue what month it is. And I truly love a good laugh. Thanks

  17. Nice, heavy showers in Marshfield. Guessing .25 or a bit more.

    Heaviest I can recall it raining in weeks. Watching the pollen run down the street in the side stream.

  18. I got into some downpours here and a few rumbles of thunder thrown in for good measure.

  20. I was not expecting any downpours until much later this afternoon. The rain started just as I heading into the grocery store. After shopping, I ended up hanging around inside almost 45 minutes waiting for the rain to let up.

    The tv mets and their so called “futurecast” radars failed miserably. Looking back, I should have checked the latest radar on my iPhone myself before I left. That will be the last time I trust a “futurecast” tv met radar. From my viewpoint, the downpours arrived a good 4 hours early.

    1. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Not knowing which model they are pulling those from and even what time the run is from, is very risky to start with, and then just the fact those are model forecasts immediately casts major doubt on their validity. I’m still not really in favor of using them in most cases.

      If you read the wording in my forecast of today, it allows for showers and thunderstorms for the entire period, as I did not specify them arriving “later”. This morning, when I updated my blog, it was obvious from a forecasting standpoint that having them in the all day period was the right move. If you chose a TV-shown model with inherent risk over a forecast that you know was prepared with at least honest meteorological effort, the disclaimer writes itself. 🙂

      One of my friends asked me today why the thunderstorms that their app indicated at such-and-such time did not arrive at exactly that time. My reply: “Weather apps generally suck”, which is pretty much true the majority of the time, especially for details. 😉

Comments are closed.