Saturday June 13 2020 Forecast

33 Comments

12:44AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 13-17)

This one’s easy. High pressure will sit over southeastern Canada and the northeastern US for the next 5 days. With its center north to northeast of the region, a general easterly air flow will dominate, starting out a bit northeasterly this weekend then shifting more southeasterly toward the middle of next week. This set-up prevents significant heat and also keeps humidity generally low. A negative aspect is the lack of beneficial rain. Our rainfall deficit continues to increase and watering will be essential for development of crops and maintenance of flower gardens. Brush fire danger will also be running above normal.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-70 coast, 70-75 inland. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind NE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 62-67 coast, 67-72 inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind E under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70, coolest coast. Wind E up to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind E under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 18-22)

High pressure slips further southeast, to east of New England, with more of a southerly air flow resulting. This will increase the warmth and humidity gradually heading toward the end of this week, and with a little more moisture from the south and an approaching frontal boundary from the west, we’ll see a risk of some shower and thunderstorm activity especially during the second half of the period (June 20-22).

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 23-27)

A transition to a more zonal (west to east) pattern, but may be marked with a rare episode of wet weather around June 24. Drier weather follows with temperatures warming to more seasonable levels.

33 thoughts on “Saturday June 13 2020 Forecast”

    1. I can’t see anything resembling a change away from that pattern as far ahead as I can look, even when we start to trend more zonal with less of the “sinking high from eastern Canada” pattern. It still looks dry, overall.

  2. The current trend is for ENSO to stay mostly neutral to borderline La Nina for the summer – still to me that’s a drier than average pattern for now. Remains to be seen if it holds for the entire summer.

    The extended outlook is for La Nina to finally emerge for autumn/winter 2020-2021. Too early to know what that would mean for winter in New England, but probably NOT wet.

      1. Not sure yet. Too early to know. It would just be highly unusual to see an active Pacific jet bringing moisture-laden storms into the US with a La Nina in place. It’s always possible we end up with an active polar jet. But that’s just a semi-blind speculation and will be determined as we observe the pattern heading into and through the autumn.

  3. Thank you,Tk. Lovely trend to be stuck in. A top blog layout for me also. And my oldest grandsons 13th birthday. Just a special day all around.

  5. Thanks TK.

    Yesterday Eric mentioned that today has the earliest sunrise (5:07) then goes back the other way, a few seconds at a time.

    Already? Seems still early for the latter.

      1. Sunsets continue to get a bit later each day before starting to move earlier by a little around June 30 / July 1, even though the longest day is June 20th and every year that longest day is June 20-22nd, without fail…
        Peak late sunset is about 8:17 in Nantucket 8:25 in Boston 8:28 in Lowell and 8:30 in Amherst. So there is greater regionally variability than one might think.

    1. I kind of liken it more to earlier spring (May). Just had a very nice walk with my son.

  7. A nonweather photo. My seven year old grand rescued a dragonfly from the pool yesterday. Two of its wings were damaged so it rode around all day on my grands finger or shirt. The kids all associate dragonflies with papa

    https://imgur.com/a/bN44lMv

    1. I love those. I haven’t had one land on me for a while, but I’ll never forget the time I rescued one from the waves at Hampton Beach. It clung to my finger tip for 1/2 hour in the sun, drying off. I finally set-it on a rock where it lingered for a moment, then flew off. 🙂

      1. They are so special. This one doesn’t seem to be able to fly. They were feeding it bugs this morning.

    3. Awesome. Always liked dragonflies. Some people are
      afraid of them when they are perfectly harmless.

      I love the really big ones that I often see while out fishing.

  9. Thanks TK.

    The developing drought will eventually have to be reckoned with, but this pattern is great news for people looking to get outside and for the restaurants who’ve had to convert to outdoor seating. Not great if you’re a fan of the HHH, but really a beautiful stretch of weather on the way.

  10. Thanks TK! Channeling the voice of the Captain in “Airplane!” – “Looks like I choose the right week to go to the Vineyard.” Could not have wished for a better week of weather for our annual summer trip! Excited to support island tourism as the restriction on visitors was lifted last week.

      1. Next weekend I fear begins our first HHH stretch of the season. It has to come sometime I suppose. 🙁

  11. At some point, the GFS (and maybe others) was pretty much telling us that our current weekend would be quite warm to hot. But you see, sometimes models don’t do a great job predicting weather, and most especially specific temperatures, more than a few days in advance. So, just because today’s 12z GFS has a high of 100 for Boston for June 28, doesn’t mean it’s gonna happen. 😉

    Oh yes and then early in the week this weekend was going to be rainy.

    And then in the middle of this week all of next week was going to be rainy.

    Yet it just goes on and on when people buy things that they see based on models that meteorologists know are not performing very well.

    Somewhere the message is still getting lost.

    The blame lies partially with interpretation and partially with presentation. The same two basic issues that have been around for quite some time now, not just with weather, but many aspects of information.

Comments are closed.