8:36AM
DAYS 1-5 (JULY 5-9)
While the clouds cleared out better than I expected yesterday, the marine layer held strong, and that has lead to a cloudier morning than I expected today. Also, the lead trough in a 1-2-punch from the northwest carries quite a bit of cloudiness above the stratus we have over much of the region now, so this will keep us on the cloudier side at least into if not through mid morning until enough of the mid level cloudiness goes by to allow the sun to work on the stratus layer below. Also, the expected early morning showers near the NH Seacoast are right in that region as of the writing of this update (8AM), and a few may clip far northeastern MA as well before exiting to sea. Eventually, we get into sunshine and it warms up rather quickly, but there will be a boundary setting up as we try to set up a land breeze against what still wants to be an onshore flow. This boundary is going to be our first potential trigger point for showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. This may take place anywhere along the boundary, but probably only a couple or a few cells, so we’ll have to visually watch the clouds and of course the radar and now-cast the event if and when it unfolds a bit later. The second kicker is a short wave / cold front coming down from northern New England later in the day and this evening. Still favoring southern, especially southeastern NH, and eastern, especially northeastern MA for the greatest storm potential. These storms may appear in cluster form and have the potential for wind damage, both straight line and (lower risk of) tornadic. Wind damage should be isolated, but could be significant where it occurs. And of course hail and frequent lightning may accompany any storms today. Things settle down later tonight and then a little push of high pressure from eastern Canada comes for Monday, a day of northerly to easterly wind but with dry weather. Then as the high slips off to the southeast, the wind will turn more southeasterly on Tuesday, which may feature more cloudiness as a warm front approaches. A shower may occur near this boundary but activity should be fairly limited on Tuesday as the boundary lifts very slowly through the region. This will set up a more humid and warmer day Wednesday, with a warm front passing and a cold front approaching – a set-up for possible thunderstorms. This boundary will weaken but may still be in the area Thursday for continued humid weather and an additional risk of a shower or storm in some locations.
TODAY: Cloudy into or through mid morning then becoming partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms favoring eastern MA mid to late afternoon, and potential thunderstorms in southeastern NH and northeastern MA by early evening. Humid. Highs 80-87, but cooler along some coastal areas. Wind variable under 10 MPH this morning, E 5-15 MPH immediate coast and SW 5-15 MPH elsewhere midday on, but variable and gusty winds, potentially strong, are possible near and in any storms.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy evening with possible showers and thunderstorms, favoring southeastern NH and eastern MA. Partly cloudy overnight. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind NW to N up to 10 MPH, gusty near any storms.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Wind N to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Slight risk of a shower. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Slight risk of a shower or thunderstorm. More humid. Lows 63-70. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening. Humid. Highs 82-89, cooler some South Coast locations. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Risk of a shower or thunderstorm early. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 65-72. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Risk of a shower or thunderstorm, mainly in the afternoon. Humid. Highs 85-92, cooler South Coast and Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 10-14)
A piece of upper level high pressure will decrease the shower and thunderstorm risk but briefly spike the heat in the region on July 10, potentially the hottest day of the summer so far. Watching the potential for some increased moisture in the region during the July 11-12 weekend translating to less heat, but higher humidity and a great shower/t-storm risk. Drier air follows for July 13-14 based on current timing.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 15-19)
The ridge center re-forms well to the west, leaving this area in a northwesterly air flow, which features a couple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms from passing disturbance, and temperatures generally near to slightly above normal.
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK.
Batten down the hatches….and the trampolines. Maybe!
Thanks TK
Latest SPC Outlook for today.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Good morning and thank you TK.
we shall see what this afternoon brings. Will it be interesting or ho-hum? Ah, that is the question.
My hope is “hohum” as I’m not into t-storms like the rest of WHW. Sorry. 😉
Not to mention the nighttime ones scare the heck out of me!
Thanks, TK…
Wonderful commentary yesterday!
Hope everyone had a great day on the Fourth!
Seemed like every block and neighborhood had their own fireworks around 9 o’clock last night. The displays, backed by a near full moon against the American flag, were beautiful.
Sun has come out here, burning off the low overcast. We’ll see that yields later!!!
Enjoy this Sunday!
Sounds lovely, Captain the moon was breathtaking. We have a local photographer who captured some lovely photos. He tends to photograph wildlife most, but wow. I’ll unabashedly give him a plug if you are interested in the different wildlife ..and I know they are not limited to Worcester country. His page is Wildlife of Worcester County.
I heard a few pops here but was surprised how quiet it was. I was also surprised when our animal control officer posted that more dogs run off on July 4 than any other day.
Don’t get me started about fireworks. Kept me up most of the night and didn’t totally end until almost 5:00 am. When I left for work around 6:00 there was debris all over the street and my property and my next door neighbor’s.
JPD can tell you. Fireworks are nothing but a nuisance. The city of Boston has done absolute ZILCH! Maybe 2 nights of quiet and that was mostly weather related.
Last night was NON-STOP. No Lulls at all. Continuous
bangs all evening long. Still going at mid-night, but I was so tired, I nodded right off to la la land. 🙂
Thanks TK !
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Something fishy this morning…..
I see there are ample severe parameters in place for strong
to severe storms this afternoon and evening. For example CAPE
from 1500 up to 3000 joules. Lifted Index values to -8 or -9 in places. Ample shear, although not a ton, but enough.
So what doesn’t add up? Well usually, the models will
show convection on the composite radar displays.
Virtually NOTHING on all of them. Both NAMS and the HRRR and the RAP.
The 0Z HREF shows plenty of convection, However.
So, I am wondering WHY the hi-res NAM,HRRR and RAP
are not showing anything?????
Something ain’t right.
So I am seriously wondering if today’s event turns into a DUD?
Just wondering, that is all. Will still be watching. 🙂
HMM….
Perhaps it is an issue with Pivotal Weather. Looking
at the Dupage site, I do see “some” convection
on the NAMS, but not much of anything on the HRRR.
So, I still don’t get it. I am not convinced we get storms.
Still hoping we do, but I just don’t know. Wish I could
feel better about it.
And not to mention this stratus layer is hanging tough so far.
I am wondering if the models are picking up on dry mid levels.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=10&length=12
Sun breaking through in south Sutton
I want to post another GOES image
that clearly shows what TK mentioned about a layer
of mid-layer clouds that has to move through before
the lower stratus layer can be eroded. Looks like it will
happen quickly fairly soon.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
mid-layer => mid-level
My mind is way ahead of my fingers!(*&!(*@&#*(!&@(#*&!
NWS discussion still on track…
10 AM Update…
No major changes with this update as previous forecast and
discussion remain on track and capture the details very nicely.
Latest visible satellite imagery shows low clouds steadily
eroding thanks to strong July sun. Can even see some TCU
developing near KPVD and KLWM-KBVY…likely due to differential
heating as low level moisture slowly lifts. Latest SPC
mesoanalysis and surface obs show slightly dry airmass over
western MA into NY with surface dew pts in the upper 50s.
Meanwhile farther east dew pts in the low to mid 60s across much
of CT/RI and central-eastern MA along with PWATs peaking around
1.5 inches. Once low level moisture erodes and gives way to
sunshine HREF indicating MUCAPE up to 2,000 j/kg. This combined
with mid level short wave/speed max will provide sufficient
forcing for ascent along with marginal shear to sustain severe
convection. HREF and SREF both have highest probs of strongest
storms over eastern MA into RI and eastern CT this afternoon and
early evening.
Given high CAPE/low shear environment main concerns are for
strong to damaging winds along with large hail.
Something ain’t right with P.W. web page today. Very slow loading. Runs look wrong.
Thanks. Then I am not nuts after all. 🙂
Tropical Tidbits is messed up too… but that may be irrelevant to the other issue, because TT is pretty much always screwed up. 😛
Sun coming out nicely in the City now.
We have to watch the boundary set in place by the interior shift to land breeze, and the coastal areas wanting to keep ocean wind. Potential trigger point #1.
Likely trigger point #2 sits just north of the Upstate NY / northern VT border with Canada, moving steadily SSE as of 11:25 a.m. Sunday morning.
Thanks TK. So, it looks as if things are beginning to come
together. Yes?
Looks that way so far, but it still has to happen. The atmosphere is an interesting thing. Sometimes things look perfect and virtually nothing happens….
For sure. Anxiously watching to see.
Either way, it is a nice Sunday to enjoy.
Thanks TK.
I’m not super confident on the severe weather today. It’s a very conditional threat. If storms do go up they could become severe, but I suspect coverage will be isolated at best.
Last night’s fireworks may be playing a role as well today. Residual particulate matter will probably tend to inhibit updrafts.
Figures
I’ve always been leaning toward isolated for this potential event, so we will see here. Still think there are 2 trigger potentials. The marine layer may have held those “fine particulates” very low in elevation for the initial threat, keeping it less of a factor.
Looking at the noon obs, there´s a subtle (boundary, zone?) setting up where the NWS identifies storms to possibly develop in the noon to 1 pm hour.
One area, Boston to Providence, points S and E has more SW to S flow and dewpoints are increasing. North and west of that line, the sfc winds are more W and with the sun out, resulting mixing is causing dewpoints to slowly fall.
The air here in Marshfield is really soupy, a completely different feel than yesterday.
So far, radars are very quiet.
Just got out of neighbors pool sun starting to poke through. I’m hoping for no rain as I have been enjoying the nightly fires
At the surface, I am not seeing enough wind to produce
any boundaries anywhere. So far I’m not feeling it for
today. Hope I am dead wrong.
West wind about 10 MPH here. It has to develop before it can react.
Indeed. Just don’t see it yet. Yes, I know I am a very impatient
person. I am wired that way. Can’t help it. 🙂
There is a little convection in Central and Northern Maine
and that’s just about it. Very isolated up there as of this time.
Wind S at 3 mph Norwood, SSE at 8 mph Logan.
So, it looks like a sea breeze is beginning to set up, but
Land Breeze inland is pretty light.
DP 66 at the airport.
Worcester dp down to 59F, Providence dp up to 70F
Yup and Providence has a SE wind at 13
Not enough heating yet. But there is a little potential kicker – a little wave in the lower atmosphere that’s about 90 minutes or so away from the coastal plain. We’ll see what happens when it gets there.
cool, we can be patient, lol !
Maybe you can. I have trouble. 🙂
Thanks TK. Interesting
Logan now has an ENE wind at 12 while Bedford has NW wind
at 8 mph. NE wind not so good for Sea Breeze convection.
SE wind much better.
SE against NW would be optimal, but NE won’t make much difference. The air mass is the same the there would still be convergence. We saw good lift with NW vs NE convergence a couple times recently.
Thanks TK. I understand there still would be convergence.
In fact for Ocean Snow it would be great but for T_Storm
I was thinking higher dp and temps with SE seabreeze,
but perhaps the ocean is warm enough so it won’t matter
much. 🙂
Not much change with the latest SPC update.
Currently reading 86 with DP 66 here in JP. That temp is probably more like 82 or 83 and DP is probably 64 or 65.
So, IF we are to get anything, it would likely go Boom
Rapidly. Yes?
AJ last night hinted at just that. He said something like keep and eye to the sky because they could build seemingly out of no where.
Storms that develop just to the N&W of the city or even over
the city, tend to be the strongest for the city. The case today?
Who knows. Probably miss out today as usual.
Thanks TK. I’m seeing some cloud growth to my N and NW. Nothing overhead though.
Showing on this loop
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
Keep an eye for isolated larger cumulus around 3PM in Essex County and near or just south of Boston. That will be key to whether or not anything is going to fire for phase #1.
Eye glued to the Sky and so far, so disappointing. 🙂
Thanks, TK.
Bright and sunny about an hour ago. Now there are lots of clouds; some sunshine. Earlier, couldn’t believe it might storm. But many clouds here in Sudbury – not surprised if we get some storm or at least a shower this aft.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1108.html
Of course! This would be phase 2, which means phase 1 is
a no show?????
Good question ……… maybe a little more time to see if any of those cumulus starting to show in north central MA do anything as they head towards north shore and Boston next hour.
Dream on. They will pass overhead and harmlessly to
the ocean. 🙂 🙂 🙂
And for our area, phase 2 is a no show.
I am just about ready to call QUITS on today’s event. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Some cumulus around, but they are flat with no growth
whatsoever.
Only convection showing is in Maine and far Eastern northern
NH
Some convection beginning in Far NW NY state. Just light
at the moment.
Getting pretty warm inland. Bedford reading 88 and Fitchburg
at 90. Westfield, MA 91 and Windsor Locks and Hartford ct 91
It’s July, and so I’m always reminded of this classic song. Stevie Wonder’s ability to tap into reggae showed how versatile he was/is:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V4n27JuJhXc
Everyone’s feeling pretty
It’s hotter than July
Though the world’s full of problems
They couldn’t touch us even if they tried
From the park I hear rhythms
Marley’s hot on the box
Tonight there will be a party
On the corner at the end of the block …
Underrated album. “I Ain’t Gonna Stand For It” is a killer groove jam. I could listen to that song all day. 🙂
Boston Sky Line from the Arnold Aboretum in Jamaica Plain
not too long ago.
https://imgur.com/a/iqLrlTG
More in the way of cumulus now, however, still not a whole lot
of vertical growth to them. A much more than half an hour ago, but so far not enough to get the job done.
215 pm NWS discussion update is still in line with what tk said.
Jp dave I saw your post earlier how some models including HRRR shows nothing. Well here it is an interesting explanation from NWS for that reason.
The higher dew pt air along with temps in the 80s yielding SB CAPEs up to 2000 j/kg in the I-95 corridor of CT-RI-MA. This yielding a modest CU field. This will be the area to watch the remainder of the daylight hours for possible convection, despite many runs of the HRRR not generating any storms. Reason being it`s a weakly forced environment and models struggle in this setup.
Thus the trigger will have to come from seabreeze boundaries, differential heating across the higher terrain, dew pt boundary, etc. Second area of concern would be farther northeast into Essex county later this afternoon and early evening as seabreeze boundary there advects inland
Thanks Kane.
Just took another look out the window.
More cumulus and more vertical growth. Perhaps something
will pop yet.
The Patient One
Logan now has an E to ESE wind at 16 mph. Now that is likely
enough. Now if we can get enough convergence inland a bit.
Certainly warm enough here. My Thermometer is reading 87 down from 89 a bit ago due to clouds. I’d say real temp here
is 85 or so. 🙂
Oh and my equipment shows DP =70. I Suspect real DP
is 67 or 68. Close enough.
if you have radarscope. you can see a sea breeze forming in SE mass.
Yes and Yes I can see it.
Shows up well on Base reflectivity and Super-res reflectivity in addition to Precipitation depiction.
Is the Blue Hill Observatory off line?
I don’t see any reports from there?????
Now some of the cumulus look ready to drop a light shower.
Nothing even close to a T-storm at this time. I continue
to monitor. 🙂
cell approaching newton
Cumulus really billowing to our west and southwest.
Of course my forecast was worded “showers and thunderstorms”. A shower also verifies it. 🙂
Chestnut hill seems to be getting that newton shower. Cumulus to my west. I’m sitting out for a bit to watch. 89. Temp went up 3 degrees in past hour
TK, AMAZING job of forecasting. I missed the cell, BUT it was there and for awhile it was pretty potent. Kudos to you!
I wonder if that cell SE of Andover, MA is producing some hail ??
It was. I chased it. 🙂
Thanks.
Tempting fate in south Sutton. I put deck umbrella down but did not remove top part. We will see later tonight how that works
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Central VT has a pretty good cluster of storms. Tracking SE towards southeast NH and northeast MA
Here’s a picture of the isolated thunderstorm that I chased. This photo was taken off Route 28 in North Reading while the storm was over the North Reading / Lynnfield border area just north of I-95.
https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/106198999_10158594457282265_5624137417493309810_o.jpg?_nc_cat=109&_nc_sid=110474&_nc_ohc=ymkq9L9ZI3MAX_s-7vC&_nc_ht=scontent-iad3-1.xx&oh=4b487c0d7604584ce7bb00ff0a4d4671&oe=5F28CD09
And a rainbow too ! Beautiful cloud.
Truly awesome photo, worthy of an award!
Wow. Awesome
Liking what is traversing Eastern VT and Western NH,
Will they have lasting power? I dunno, bu they’ll be running
into Sultry soupy air. Seems as if they actually might. Time will tell. Trajectory “should” take The Western part of the cluster Just about over the city, perhaps covering just a tad West of the city, unless of course, there is a detour along the way.
2 strong cells to be sure. Maintaining intensity. Going to be an interesting next couple of hours, I think.
Yup. I keep watching the trajectory. Seems that the whole
cluster is heading towards the city. Could still miss or go poof, but so far it appears to be on track. We shall see.
If my eyes didn’t deceive me, it “appeared” to be that there
was some slight intensification going on.
I’ll bet TK is on his way or even about to intersect at
least one of these suckers. Although, he could probably stay put and get a front row seat. 🙂
Indeed ! The radar presentation looks consistently good and the cloud tops show cooling on satellite.
I’m hoping for a good one, but I don’t know we’ll see…
Looks as if you may. Fingers crossed
🙂
Pulsing some, but otherwise maintaining intensity. Here’s hoping. My luck I’ll be in between 2 cells, splitting the uprights if you will.
https://imgur.com/a/ahylTsk
DP at Logan is 66, my equipment says 70 is Norwood reporting.
This “should” help those storms maintain intensity, I hope.
I´m a bit concerned about these 2 cells and their potential.
They are separate of each other and their headed into an environment with higher dewpoints.
They have a decent NW flow above them, as seen by the radar echoes showing the tops of the storms being blown off. Meanwhile, at the sfc, they are headed towards areas that have S and SE winds in the lower levels.
Agree totally as partially indicated in my post above.
Storm relative velocity display is NOT showing any rotation at this time, so at least that is good. However, they are still too
far away to show any rotation anywhere near the surface.
Will watch as they approach, just in case.
Hopefully, it will just be a light show with ample rain and perhaps a bit of pea to nickle size hail and no damaging wind.
Ok, thanks JpDave !
Current storm relative velocity display
https://imgur.com/a/ZBsoULj
If we had rotation, we would see a Red and Green couplet of varying shades of the 2 colors depending
upon the intensity of the rotation.
Thanks again, JpDave ! Lets hope it stays this way.
Beautiful night not a drop of rain so far .
Keep your eye to the NW. You are sitting in some nasty high dew point air.
I was thinking I may need to go north, or north northwest for round 2. Now I’m thinking I may need to go more NW to W, and not as far…
Whatever I do, it’s going to be momentarily.
TK you NAILED phase #1 and phase #2. Outstanding job!
You headed for the cell now West of Nashua?
that sucker now looks to even pass West of my location. Damn!
I think at least that one will be another miss. Perhaps I’ll get into
some of the action with one of the follow-up cells? Who knows
If, and I do say IF, there is still a follow-up cell by the time
they reach down here, I should get at least a piece of it,
even if not as strong as numero uno!
The DP on my equipment says 71 and I know that is higher than it is. The wind is dead calm right now.
RIPE!! Are you in Sterling or Spencer?
Sterling might catch the Western part. Sterling a miss.
Sterling it may just miss though. The third one around Bellows Falls has a chance.
From NWS:
Sea breeze-induced isolated showers and thunderstorms have
dissipated. Attention is now focused on activity associated with
a southeastward-moving short wave across northern New England.
A few strong/severe storms were moving from southeast VT into
southern NH at this time. There is still potential for these
storms to move into northeast MA and produce strong winds and
hail, up until about midnight, since CAPE will be slow to
subside and we have sufficient bulk shear to sustain updrafts.
Main area of concern is northeast of a line from Fitchburg to
Boston.
UM, I think they may have targeted these a bit more N&E than
what appears to be happening.
Yes, these storms seem a bit further west than that.
First up in Massachusetts is West Townsend, Townsend, east side of Ashby and west side of Pepperell. This, with the lead storm, that looks compact, but impressive on radar.
Great lightning show to my North.
I dont see rotation on the lead cell, but I dont like the look of the southwest side of the cell on the radar either.
Yep I don’t either.
The severe thunderstorm warning write up, on the bottom, does list the hazards. it says currently,
Tornado: possible
Hail: 1.00 inch
wind: 60 mph
The warning goes until 930pm and then will see if NWS Boston decides to extend the warning to areas south and east.
https://imgur.com/a/OdarRJH
Looks like some rotation on that storm.
Tweet from Jeremy Reiner
Storm is displaying some rotation just north of Lunenburg..Watching closely. Severe thunderstorm warning until 9:30pm.
https://twitter.com/terrywbz/status/1279947654248660997?s=21
thanks for those tweets and rotation posts. I will be happy when this lead cell is out in the ocean. This is headed for populated areas, lets hope this rotation doesnt get worse !
I think were going to see reports of some wind damage from that thunderstorm looking at it on radar.
Yikes. Seeing that now. Scott, I think you are just west of it and that seems like a good thing considering reports
Absolutely
Thank heavens
Tweet from Jeremy Reiner
https://twitter.com/jreineron7/status/1279949056475910144
That came and left very quickly in Lunenburg. The rain, hail and wind are over, but the light show is still on.
SClarke thankfully you are ok. Headed toward mama mia area now. Hoping she is following here
Please all be safe
Looks as if Harvard is on far right side of first cell. Is it first or second that is the concern?
That storm does not having a warning attached to it as of now.
It did…unless I was imagining it.. but seems to have been dropped. That seems fast
You and I caught it between warning shifts, JJ. Now warned
I know others have said this, but another impressive call by TK.
Agreed !!
I saw this questioned on FB earlier and was going to weigh in but TK did a great job of it. Absolutely, well done.
That was, in my opinion, not good that the cell went un-warned for those few minutes. Nothing has changed, only that the potential hail size seems to have grown larger.
I agree Most would have not gone back to check like we did here
Agreed ….. its a dangerous cell that, if your in its path, has multiple hazards. That few minute lapse, I don think will be looked upon well.
I was surprised that warning was dropped for that short period of time. Looking at on radar I was surprised prior to 9:30pm it was not extended.
Until you mentioned it, JJ,I thought I was imagining it. I refreshed several times and nothing
As Vicki just said the severe thunderstorm warning continues with that storm. Ping pong ball size hail 60 mph wind gusts with this storm according to the text going with this warning.
If ping pong ball size hail is happening I hope for those in the path of this warned storm they have a garage to put the car in otherwise hail that size could do damage to cars.
My weather nut (fondly said) 11 year old grand can see lightning from Uxbridge and according to warning I got, it is 30 miles from here
Reading some tweets from Terry Eliasen on this storm any signs of rotation seem to be gone with this storm.
That’s very good to hear !
Thank heavens.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=07&length=12
Wow
It’s by mama Mia but I think headed for Dave area in natick. MassBay and JR (ch 7) areas seem to be missed.
Ok, so, I believe the next question is …. how far south in Mass can these storms get, before they get to be south of the best support. I think you can see on the satellite loop I just posted, that decent NW flow that is blowing the tops of the storms to the SE. Once the storms go a certain distance south, they may leave the heart of that flow that is one of the things helping to maintain their intensity.
Look to be struggling now but then that is me and I do not have the knowledge you all do
A bit of struggle
Yes, I don´t think that lead cell is as intense as it was, but it still looks pretty good. Interested to see if it makes it to the south shore with this kind of intensity.
Wooohooo! Mama Mia reporting in for duty from Harvard. It is thundering, lightening and hailing up a storm!
Yay. So happy to see you here. Mama Vicki has been worrying
I know this group has me covered 🙂
🙂
The 2nd cell ….. sounds like its still doing well too !
It must be grooving! Passed through our area in about 5 min total – but really fun and almost biblical!
Awww cool.
I was wishing I could transplant you here Vicki!
The cell right behind it seems to be as potent or a little stronger to my untrained eye.
Hi Captain ! Yes, that 2nd cell is very strong too !
Is it unusual for a second cell to maintain its strength as this one has all along with the first zapping atmosphere strength
I think that is a testament to the disturbance and that decent NW flow above the 2 storms. Enough dynamics to keep 2 strong storms going, even with the 2nd one somewhat in the path of the first.
Crazy strong
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=BOX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
Lightning:
https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=0.00;ts=0;z=8;y=42.5672;x=-72.15;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
Ignore my struggling comment. It either regrouped or I was delusional…probably latter
These 2 cells sure have traveled a long distance this evening, pretty impressive. I think they can be classified as super cells, I´m thankful they haven´t to this point developed significant rotation and will be happy when they are out over the ocean.
so So true. Wow
If that first cell can take a brief easterly hop from its current location, it will go over Jamaica Plain. If it doesnt, its core appears it will go a few miles SW of Jamaica Plain.
Is that a nasty area over Hudson
Forgive me Vicki, I am struggling to locate Hudson.
See my link
https://imgur.com/a/Kop26If
Ah ha, thanks. That radar image makes it look like they got hit pretty good.
Thanks Tom I’m still in awe of the fact that the second has retained its power for such a long journey
I´m impressed too. Fun set-up today, different than what has caused our previous thunderstorms this summer.
nope
Is that second storm bowing out a little????
Good question Captain, I´m not sure.
I can tell you the NWS severe statement on the first cell says multiple trees and wires are down in Wayland.
I don’t believe so, but it looks like it’s gaining some ground on the first so.
*cell
Per NWS severe weather statement, the 2nd cell has trees down in Stow.
They expanded the warning and it is up until 11:30pm
Some locations that might be impacted.
Boston, Cambridge, Brockton, Quincy, Newton, Framingham, Waltham, Brookline, Weymouth, Marlborough, Braintree, Natick, Randolph, Watertown, Needham, Norwood, Wellesley, Milton, Stoughton and Dedham.
Boxborough hit hard:
0945 PM TSTM WND DMG BOXBOROUGH 42.50N 71.50W
07/05/2020 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD ON SARAS WAY
0949 PM TSTM WND DMG BOXBOROUGH 42.50N 71.50W
07/05/2020 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
LARGE TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN ON PINE HILL ROAD
0949 PM TSTM WND DMG BOXBOROUGH 42.50N 71.50W
07/05/2020 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
LARGE TREE DOWN ON MASS AVE BY STOW ROAD
0949 PM TSTM WND DMG BOXBOROUGH 42.50N 71.50W
07/05/2020 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD AT MASS AVE NEAR FIRE STATION
Ugh Not a surprise. Boxborough is just north of Hudson
Though not warned, large storm up in northeastern Mass on the border with NH.
…THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK…
NORTHWESTERN NORFOLK…EAST CENTRAL WORCESTER AND SOUTHEASTERN
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1030 PM EDT…
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning remains severe. A
new Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for Suffolk and
Norfolk Counties until 1130 PM.
Wow these cells don’t want to quit!
Looking at the power outage situation of now 766 out of power in Middlesex County.
A smaller cell has formed SE of Northboro.
I just noticed that.
Over juniper hill golf?
It’s now linked up with the second cell over Ashland.
Hudson still seems to be getting pounded
Daughter in Uxbridge just said lighting is so vivid it is lighting her entire great room. Talk about power. Wow
The first cell appears to have weakened. Second one still looking healthy.
Maybe that original 2nd cell will surprise me and continue on for a while, but I think the southern-most storms are getting a bit away from the support and will weaken further going forward.
I think the news will be spending some time on clean up stories tomorrow, hopefully everyone is ok in those towns with tree damage and the damage isn´t too severe.
I can see the lightning show from Taunton!!!
I see the Moon visible and constant lighting to the left wow!
That’s what my daughter is seeing in Uxbridge
Nice Captain and Scott !
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=07&length=12
At the end of the loop, can see the cloud top cool, showing the original 2nd cell doing well.
My SIL has his shop and office building in Ashland
I think I gave up too soon on the original 2nd cell. 🙂 🙂
Is that now joined cell headed toward Kingston area ?
Maybe west of there ?
Seeing vivid flashes in Sutton now. Just crazy
Moon is covered with a cloud and it is literally constant lightning. How crazy is that And I do know you can see for miles but this is different. I turned off all lights as daughter suggested and it is lighting the room
nice Vicki !
Heck of a wind signature between Norwood and Walpole right now. Radar suggests 65-75 mph surface gusts are likely.
oh wow.
oh goodness, poor Norwood. They got hit hard last week with flash flooding.
Was thinking the same. Good heavens
My son kneeled down next to me watch and says Daddy I definitely want to be a weatherman. Priceless.
that´s great !
Awwwwww. I love this
Scott, how old is your son?
This was my oldest. He’s 12.
Love it. It’s my 11 year old granddaughter who is very interested. Perfect age.
Yes it is.
https://twitter.com/terrywbz/status/1279974785213177856?s=21
Cell formed over Douglas.
Just saw that. Due south of me. Keep it there since no one here listened to me about prepping and even I didn’t pull umbrella….not that I doubted but I have pulled it out so many times this week that I got lazy
I can’t believe that warned box has travelled the entire state and yes I do know if happens but wow. Not sure if our Sue is in Warned area but hope all is ok
Nasty lightning and thunder. 🙁 🙁
Getting the new line here now in North Attleboro.
Well that was interesting. We got a nice drenching downpour; had to mop up around the open windows facing west. Essex County.
All is quiet now.
Just read all of your posts. Exciting day.
I just couldn’t abandon my wife and join in while the action was going on. I did have my phone with me and watching radar scope the whole way.
We had quite the light show, but as happened with phase one,
the main cell that came through with phase 2 was a near
miss just to the West. We did catch a direct hit with a follow-up
weaker cell that delivered 0.43 inch of rain.
NOTHING remotely severe in my neighborhood, but could
see how bad it was just to our West. Closest lightning strikes
were in Hyde Park and W. Roxbury with bulk of strikes over
rt. 128 and West of there. Could see Weston, Wellesley, Needham, Dedham, Westwood and Norwood getting pounded and points West and SW of there.
Most interesting day for sure and I would like to say one more
time what an absolutely IMPRESSIVE bit of forecasting turned in by TK. Simply an amazing job by a most skilled forecaster.
On Phase one, Impatient me gave up too soon, but BOOM it
sure did materialize and it was a near miss for me, but it was
there to be sure!
Thanks Dave 🙂
New weather post is up!