Friday August 7 2020 Forecast

48 Comments

7:17AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 7-11)

A frontal boundary south of New England and a weak wave of low pressure moving along it will bring lots of cloudiness to the region today. Some showers will occur, and while they are most likely in the South Coast region they can make it anywhere up into the vicinity of I-90. A weak surface trough and upper level disturbance may trigger a few more showers Saturday, favoring areas south and southwest of Boston. High pressure will be in control by Sunday with a return to the full feel of summer, and as the high sinks south of the region early next week the heat and humidity will be back, along with a risk of thunderstorms by Tuesday as a cold front approaches.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers mid morning on, favoring areas south of I-90. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. A few showers possible near the South Coast early. Lows 61-68. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers favoring northeastern CT, south central MA, and RI. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Wind E-NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 60-67. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, cooler some coastal areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Humid. Highs 85-92. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Humid. Lows 66-73. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Humid. Highs 86-93. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 12-16)

High humidity and a shower/thunderstorm risk August 12 with a cold front slowly passing through the region. Trending drier and cooler August 13-14 as the front pushes to the south and high pressure builds north of the region. August 15-16 weekend may feature a lot of clouds with that frontal boundary nearby to the south and high pressure hanging to the north and northeast of the region, but I’d favor drier over wetter weather.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 17-21)

The possibility of a showery day to start the period marking the transition back to higher humidity and some mid August heat. Low confidence but will watch for this pattern transition.

48 thoughts on “Friday August 7 2020 Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK.

    Kind of a random comment… as is often the case after a big storm, there’s a lot of anger being directed at utility companies in the wake of Isaias. It’s certainly understandable to be upset about not having power for several days. It’s a major inconvenience. But there seems to be a lack of recognition by some people about the fact that they just lived through a natural disaster. There’s a lot of damage, and it takes more than a few hours to clean it up. In fact, I’ve been quite impressed by how fast the outage numbers have come down especially here in NJ. The linemen out there deserve many thanks for working long hours to restore things as quickly as possible.

    The one possible exception to the above is CT. The remaining outage numbers seem disproportionately high there. That to me suggests some sort of lack of preparation either by the state, local utilities, or both.

    Anyways, just a thought for this morning. Six very busy night shifts later, off to bed 🙂

      1. In general, I am not pleased with our power company, Eversource, even though no issues with the last storm here.

        1. You shouldn’t be. No one should be but not the folks out working on restoration. Old timers here are pointing out exactly what I’ve said with regard to lack of tree maintenance. That old bottom line never dictated quality of service in the past

    2. I absolutely agree. The linemen are doing an excellent job. The upper management as I explained two days ago deserves the criticism, but they won’t care. I know power is important, but we can live without it for a few days. And I know there are people at risk or folks with wells, etc., but there should be a plan in place. That is the importance of being warned ahead. And we had plenty of warning. Smart folks know the forecast May well change.

  5. Thanks TK. I am still without power where I am. A lot of tree damage. At the end of my street big trees down taking out power lines. Governor Lamont not happy with eversource. Eversource in a statement only planned on 125000 to 380000 to lose power. In total the state had 722000 lose power.

    1. I am sorry to hear you’re still without power.

      Someday when the country has a budget surplus – I know, I’m dreaming – we’ll embark on a massive project to do what most nations have done: Getting rid of above ground power lines.

    2. I’m sorry to hear that also. I understood we sent some to NY because of an expected greater power loss there. Someone needs to hold the utilities to higher standards. But then someone (Ah hem) needs to hold all big business to higher standards rather than continue to empower them.

  6. Thanks TK !

    I hope the power returns as soon as safely possible for all those without.

    You are going to get those few people who misdirect their frustration to the hard working restoration crews.

  7. Thank you, TK.

    The words “high sinks south of the region” are not what I wanted to hear. Alas, it’s not about what we want. The weather does what it does independent of our desires.

  8. I planned on being without power for four to five days and today is day number three. This storm kicked our butts in CT. There is progress being made getting the power back. Last check we were down to 475000 without power. Yesterday at this time it 614000.

    1. Wow. They are making good progress. And you are a wise man, JJ, to plan ahead. I sure did see that CT got the lions share in this area. Wow.

  9. Jean, if you are reading, I believe it was you who asked about birds. In the past few days, We have gone from one quiet hummingbird at our feeder to three who are amazingly territorial. I’m beginning to fear the dominant one will chase me off the deck soon. 😉

    1. It’s quieter here today. Yesterday the birds and squirrels were chasing wildly through our Japanese maple, and one squirrel thought it was a good idea to hang upside down from its back feet and snack from the branch below.

      Mercifully we didn’t lose power. But we have family who arrived at Sunset Beach, NC for vacation — the day before Isaias arrived! Needless to say, I’ve been watching the weather a lot this past week. It wasn’t as bad there as it was a few miles farther east along that south-facing beach, though the dunes got slightly rearranged and and some long-covered stairs up from the boardwalk have emerged! They are all fine.

      1. I am truly happy your family is fine but what a welcome. I have not spoken to my friends in Charleston but plan to call this weekend.

        I laughed out loud at your squirrel. They are full of antics. I have a friend who lives in TN and always has stories of her squirrels. I think because of the foxes we don’t have them in our yard. We do have a white squirrel in Sutton. We don’t have chipmunks either. And I don’t miss them. In Framingham, they would manage to get into the bird feeder’s half inch opening. But then they would fill their cheeks with seeds and couldn’t get out.

        This morning as I had coffee on the deck I think I heard an owl for the first time. I was chatting with a grandchild so didn’t notice the hooting until it was too late to record. Next time I hope!!!!

        I am happy to see you on the blog again today!!!!

        1. During the late fall/Winter we have an owl in the area. Usually when the hawks leave as they do not generally live in areas with Hawks. The owl is one of the coolest night time sounds there are.

  12. 12z GFS cranking the heat pretty good next Wednesday, to follow Monday and Tuesday´s projected hot weather.

    1. Thursday too. Looks like it doesn´t think too highly of an attempted weak trof passing to our north. 500 mb heights and 850 mb temps remain above to well above avg on this projection.

  13. Everyone that is complaining about power loss try living on St. Thomas for two weeks and get back to me. Power goes out around once every two weeks on average but can happen more than that. Then if there is a tropical storm we’ll usually loose power. They shut the power off if the storm is a strong tropical storm or Hurricane for “safety reasons”

    Anyways the tropics look rather quiet which is a good thing. Looks to be that way till about mid-month. Nothing really showing up on the models.

  15. Thanks TK!
    Well we got our power back here at exactly 2:00am. Couldn’t come soon enough our generator is having carburetor issues and was running really rough. Need to fix it ASAP, I don’t like the idea of heading into September without it working properly especially the way things have been going this year.
    Oh also, welcome to the blog Jean!!

    1. Yikes. Do you have a whole house? We have two small ones but ended up using one for both fridges so in winter will have one for heating system. Someone won’t allow the, being used for lights 😈

  17. A couple of locals today have indicated the potential for a lot of “help” with the drought next week, more specifically from Wednesday through as far as the following Monday.

    I will stay right here that I disagree with this at this point. But I would not complain if I was wrong. 😉

  18. According to Eric, H-O-T times next week. A-W-F-U-L!

    1-9-8-3 (not the same but sure feels like it at times)

    And we still have September/first half of October to go. I remember a HHH Columbus Day a few years ago (2017).

    Lately that holiday has been very much on the HOT side.

  19. Still tons of people without power in my area and trees unattended to that are resting on power lines and partially blocking roads. This is still a widespread occurrence across the State. I was fortunate not to lose power but am still without phone and internet which went out in the height of the storm around 5PM Tuesday.

    Eversource basically admitted that they were not prepared for this storm. They did not have an adequate number of crews pre-staged and on stand by before the storm like they normally would have if they had expected the 720k outages that occurred (they expected about half that as JJ noted). They cited the significant expense of mobilizing that many crews and equipment 24 hours in advance. Another reason stated for not mobilizing as many crews was that the wind forecast increased at the last minute. That is true to some degree but it was already apparent on Monday that statewide wind gusts of 50-65mph were likely.

    You would think after the debacle that occurred in 2011 with Irene and the October snowstorm (and all the subsequent tree clearing they did in the years that follow), they would have been in a better position to deal with the next natural disaster but guess not. Now they are taking a lot of heat and people without power are growing increasingly frustrated. I have heard some have been given estimates of 1-2 weeks before they get their power back.

    1. I agree completely. Except that seems to be their mantra. And the sad part is the crews working day and night take the brunt.

  20. What happened here with the power situation in CT should not have happened. Someone at eversource needs to be held accountable for this. It is like they didn’t learn from the mistakes with Irene and the October nor Easter. I am hoping that heat does not come early next week where you will still have people without power.

    1. I am so sorry JJ

      I know I am repeating but mac and I worked with them for decades…..they didn’t learn because the almighty dollar is worth far more than customers who have no Choice but to use them.

      There was a time the customer was worth gold. But then we started to funnel money to the top.

      The deregulation enters into this also. Mac understood it. I didn’t focus enough to fully understand

  22. Ryan Hanrahan
    @ryanhanrahan
    3h

    EF-1 tornado with winds up to 105 mph confirmed in Westport from Tropical Storm Isaias. This is the first tornado on record in Connecticut associated with a tropical storm or hurricane. #nbcct

    1. Three tornadoes in 48 hours in CT earlier this week. Impressive.

      Seems a bit hard to believe though that there has never been a reported tornado associated with a landfalling tropical system in CT before this.

      2. I can guarantee you there have probably been a lot of tornadoes in CT (and elsewhere) with landfalling systems before. But as has been alluded to before, we see a lot more because we have better “eyes” now. The storm #’s have not increased, but the ability to detect them has gotten so much better.

  23. My power just came back on. Now I could watch the rest of the Yankees game and the PGA Championship game this weekend.

  24. I didn’t like seeing the outcome of the Yankee losing 1-0 to Tampa Bay. To shutdown that Yankees offense the other team needs real good pitching.

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