8 thoughts on “C-19 Chat Post – September 14 2020”
Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former FDA Commissioner was interviewed on yesterday’s CBS Face The Nation. He believes that early on the entire nation should NOT have been shut down but only those where there were actual cases such as NYC. According to him, most states at the time had no cases at all.
What are your thoughts on that Joshua?
Contradicts what Gottlieb said in late March when he praised the president for extending the national social distancing guidelines for one month. Quite frankly, the nation never really shut down, but this was the closest thing to a shutdown that we experienced: Period from mid March to late April.
Also, Gottlieb was in favor of nationwide testing and vigilant policies, such as social distancing guidelines and travel bans, back in February.
I saw his discussion and just shook my head. He believes the White House didn’t know covid was spreading in February because cdc didn’t tell him it was. Oddly, as I’ve said before and along with others, we began preparing lightly in mid to late December and then full on in very early January. Blaming others gets tiresome…especially when something is pounding on your door.
How does he start warning trump himself….as a trusted advisor to trump
“ I may have posted this before. This past May I decided to determine the deaths from the Spanish Flu, in Newton (where we reside), Belmont (where I was raised), Watertown (where Lucille was raised), and Arlington (as it abuts Belmont). As you can see, it was deadly but did not last long. By the measurement of seasonality and duration, Covid-19 very different from the 1918-1919 pandemic. Please click on the picture to view the entire chart.
At the bottom of the chart, I projected the number of Spanish Flu deaths, by the percentage of 1918-1919, to the 2020 population.
The ages of those that died was the inverse of Covid-19
Took me about 8 hours to review the records of death on Familsearch.org
Their records stop after 1920. Caution, the site can become habit-forming.
I am a numbers geek..”
C-19 chat post for 9-15 is ready…
European update:
Spain recorded 158 deaths today as well as >9,500 new cases. Also, it’s reporting 1,150 critical/ICU cases. Relatively speaking – proportionately – Spain is doing worse than the U.S.
France is reporting poor numbers, too, though not quite as alarming as Spain.
Other countries like the UK and the Netherlands are reporting an uptick in cases as well as hospitalizations, but not nearly to the degree of Spain and France.
Germany remains a country with relatively few new cases and hospitalizations.
The U.S. will hit a grim milestone in the next couple of hours as it surpasses 200,000 deaths.
This is a new virus, so there’s still a lot to learn from it. Let me sum up the mistakes I’ve made, and I’m sure others have as well.
– Underestimated the exponential spread of the novel coronavirus back in February and early March
– Underestimated the need for widespread testing back in February (in part because I didn’t think the spread would be exponential)
– Believed summer heat and sunlight would reduce transmission (didn’t think of the fact that extreme heat causes people to go indoors and that’s where most transmission occurs)
– Believed the virus may weaken over time (turns out there is no evidence that this has occurred)
Comments are closed.
Your no-hype southeastern New England weather blog!
Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former FDA Commissioner was interviewed on yesterday’s CBS Face The Nation. He believes that early on the entire nation should NOT have been shut down but only those where there were actual cases such as NYC. According to him, most states at the time had no cases at all.
What are your thoughts on that Joshua?
Contradicts what Gottlieb said in late March when he praised the president for extending the national social distancing guidelines for one month. Quite frankly, the nation never really shut down, but this was the closest thing to a shutdown that we experienced: Period from mid March to late April.
Also, Gottlieb was in favor of nationwide testing and vigilant policies, such as social distancing guidelines and travel bans, back in February.
I saw his discussion and just shook my head. He believes the White House didn’t know covid was spreading in February because cdc didn’t tell him it was. Oddly, as I’ve said before and along with others, we began preparing lightly in mid to late December and then full on in very early January. Blaming others gets tiresome…especially when something is pounding on your door.
How does he start warning trump himself….as a trusted advisor to trump
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/491224-scott-gottlieb-becomes-key-voice-warning-trump-gop-on-coronavirus
And then say trump wasn’t warned
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/transcript-scott-gottlieb-discusses-coronavirus-on-face-the-nation-september-13-2020/
A high school friend put these numbers together for 1918. I thought Joshua and others would find this interesting.
https://imgur.com/a/82c1aae
To help explain….His comment on his post is below
“ I may have posted this before. This past May I decided to determine the deaths from the Spanish Flu, in Newton (where we reside), Belmont (where I was raised), Watertown (where Lucille was raised), and Arlington (as it abuts Belmont). As you can see, it was deadly but did not last long. By the measurement of seasonality and duration, Covid-19 very different from the 1918-1919 pandemic. Please click on the picture to view the entire chart.
At the bottom of the chart, I projected the number of Spanish Flu deaths, by the percentage of 1918-1919, to the 2020 population.
The ages of those that died was the inverse of Covid-19
Took me about 8 hours to review the records of death on Familsearch.org
Their records stop after 1920. Caution, the site can become habit-forming.
I am a numbers geek..”
C-19 chat post for 9-15 is ready…
European update:
Spain recorded 158 deaths today as well as >9,500 new cases. Also, it’s reporting 1,150 critical/ICU cases. Relatively speaking – proportionately – Spain is doing worse than the U.S.
France is reporting poor numbers, too, though not quite as alarming as Spain.
Other countries like the UK and the Netherlands are reporting an uptick in cases as well as hospitalizations, but not nearly to the degree of Spain and France.
Germany remains a country with relatively few new cases and hospitalizations.
The U.S. will hit a grim milestone in the next couple of hours as it surpasses 200,000 deaths.
This is a new virus, so there’s still a lot to learn from it. Let me sum up the mistakes I’ve made, and I’m sure others have as well.
– Underestimated the exponential spread of the novel coronavirus back in February and early March
– Underestimated the need for widespread testing back in February (in part because I didn’t think the spread would be exponential)
– Believed summer heat and sunlight would reduce transmission (didn’t think of the fact that extreme heat causes people to go indoors and that’s where most transmission occurs)
– Believed the virus may weaken over time (turns out there is no evidence that this has occurred)