Monday October 5 2020 Forecast (7:43AM)

40 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 5-9)

Discussion…

Low pressure passing southeast of New England this morning has managed to put a little wet weather into far southeastern areas in the form of showers, but this will be heading out soon along with its cause, and high pressure builds in later today through tonight with quickly improving weather. This small area of high pressure will be offshore Tuesday and a weak disturbance will come through the region with some cloudiness and possibly a passing shower in a few locations, while most areas are rain-free. A stronger cold front will approach on Wednesday providing most of the region with the best chance to see any rainfall this week, but while a few of these showers may be on the heavier side and even a thunderstorm is possible, don’t get excited about a drought-busting rainfall. That is still not in the cards for our area. What is in the cards is a shot of much cooler air Thursday and Friday, with some locations possibly close to the freezing point for low temperatures on Friday. A gusty breeze may prevent a solid freeze in vulnerable areas as it may keep the air mixed enough so temperatures don’t drop to their lowest potential in the upper 20s. Something to keep an eye on though since we’re still several days away.

Details…

TODAY: Mainly cloudy start along with rain showers southeastern MA, central and southern RI, and southeastern CT. Partly sunny midday and afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind NE to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Clouds return overnight. Patchy low elevation fog. Lows 45-52. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 62-69. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of ground fog lower elevations. Lows 49-56. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm mainly afternoon hours. Highs 67-74. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 57-64. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39 except 40-47 immediate shoreline and urban centers. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 10-14)

The large scale weather pattern will continue zonal (west to east jet stream with fairly low amplitude). At the surface, high pressure moves offshore and we have a milder October 10-11 weekend with fair weather. This general idea may continue into mid month with a northward-displaced jet stream promoting dry and mild weather.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 15-19)

Keeping an eye on a possible shift in the jet stream configuration which would start out zonal with mild and dry weather here, followed by a little more amplification and at least some potential for unsettled weather. This is a fairly long-range and therefore only low to moderate confidence outlook so remember that adjustments are likely.

40 thoughts on “Monday October 5 2020 Forecast (7:43AM)”

  7. Philip, latest prognostications from the models strongly suggest
    that any remains of that system will pass to the SOUTH
    of our area. What else is now, but there is much time for that
    to change. We shall see.

  8. It’s in the Caribbean and going into the Gulf. A “fish storm” is one that stays out over the open Atlantic while never impacting land.

    1. I meant a fish storm “as far as SNE is concerned.” Yes, I know it’s headed for the Gulf states.

      1. As far as SNE is concerned, it’s still a storm that will most likely make landfall in the Gulf Coast. As I said before, a “fish storm” is a storm that stays over the open Atlantic while NEVER impacting land.

  9. Thanks TK.

    A lot of doom and gloom predictions for Delta, but I strongly suspect that even if it becomes a strong hurricane in the Caribbean and entering the Gulf, it will get shredded on approach to the Gulf Coast.

    Meanwhile, locally, a very quiet two weeks (probably more) of weather are ahead. Dry and fairly seasonable overall, generally more mild days than cool ones with an exception for the colder shot late this week.

  10. Because the off-season ended and they had training camp where talk and hype turned into reality. The reality is that Hoyer performed better, knows the offense better, and gives the team a better chance to win,

    I’ll trust the opinion of Belichick and the coaches and what they see in practice every day over the opinions of the media who see maybe 1% of what actually happens outside of game day.

    1. No matter who starts tonight, very unlikely the Patriots win anyway. At best, a “competitive” game for 3+ quarters. KC offense is pretty much unstoppable and our crappy defense has enough trouble with the lesser teams.

      1. ill be happy if the Patriots are within 17 points. I personally feel that this game should have been postponed until Newton is able to play.

      2. KC needed OT to beat a crappy San Diego team that lit up the KC defense, but couldn’t put it in the end zone (479 yards but only 20 points). KC is beatable. Statistically, their defense and the Pats defense are not that different. Offensively, the stats favor KC slightly, but that’s with Cam Newton at for the Pats. The Pats have a better running game (though Michel is out tonight too).

        OFF:
        Pts/Game KC 30.3 NE 29.0
        Yds/Game KC 433.3 NE 409.0
        Pass/Game KC 292.3 NE 231.0
        Rush/Game KC 141.0 NE 178.0

        DEF
        Pts/Game KC 20.0 NE 22.0
        Yds/Game KC 355.7 NE 357.7
        Pass/Game KC 202.7 NE 235.3
        Rush/Game KC 153.0 NE 122.3

        Not saying that the Pats are going to win but KC isn’t the 2007 Patriots, and statistically, this isn’t the mismatch that the media is making it out to be.

  12. Thanks TK and SAK!
    SAK that is a very interesting stat you just posted about the 10 point spread under the Belichick reign. Let’s hope they can keep that streak going.

    1. Actually, the tweet specifically stated that they are from the “Belicheck era”.

      The best player on KC’s defense – Chris Jones – is out tonight. So, their mediocre defense just got weakened even more. The Patriots have a much better chance of pulling this off than many people are giving them credit for. Remember, they went 11-5 with Matt Cassel at QB in 2008.

  13. Tempted to say the Pats hang close tonight, and I think they do for awhile, but KC is a great team under any circumstances, much less against a weakened foe. I’ll go KC 30-13.

      1. L-O-S-E. The word is LOSE. Loose means something completely different. And blaming the refs is for LOSERS. If they LOSE, it will be because they didn’t play as well as they could have.

          1. Well, if you’re going to consistently use the wrong word, then yes, I’ll correct you. Speaking of, “You we now have a grammar police on the blog” has several things that can be corrected.

            1. If you are going to set yourself up as the perfect one, please respond in the same light.

              Here is a bit of help for just your last comment to Matt. I’d be happy to critique your other comments. All have errors.

              Well, if you’re going to consistently use the wrong word, then, (missed a comma) yes, I’ll correct you. Speaking of, “You we now have a grammar police on the blog,” has several things that can be corrected.

              Please add more words to make the second a complete sentence

              1. The “missed comma” was not missed, as it was not needed. If I were to say that sentence aloud, I would not pause after the word “then”. If you do put that comma in there, the word “then” is just out there by itself, which does not make any sense.

                The last sentence is indeed a complete sentence.

                Thanks for playing.

              2. Ah, darlin’, you are Incorrect; but you missed the entire point. Sadly, that is not a surprise.

                I wasn’t playing. I never play when someone attacks another person needlessly. I have not played here in weeks because finding fault seems to be the order of the day. I simply don’t stand by and watch an attempt to denigrate a friend.

            2. You think I didn’t do that on purpose to see if you responded, Only certain people critique people’s typing when you darn right know that is was probably an autocorrect thing on a phone. Stop being a jerk.

              1. Ah yes, the old “i made the same mistake numerous times just to mess with you” response. In other words, not only is my typing similar to an 8-year-old, but so are my excuses.

              4. I never was referring to the loose vs lose which were autocorrect issues. I said it was due to autocorrect the “You we now have a grammar police on the blog” was to see if you would comment and of course you did.

                In respect to TK I am stopping this conversation and hope you do the same.

  15. He showed nothing in camp not even the willingness to try basically handing it to Hoyer who did take it seriously.

  16. Anybody see eric fishers tweet. Say euro seasonals look very warm for us. Guess it will be another crap winter.

      1. Eric did say on air that October into November would be on the mild side.

        Mild/warm Novembers do not produce snowy winters around here.

  17. This game went very similar to what I expected. Pats put up a decent fight, not to mention several missed chances. But obviously KC is a much better team, the Pats only hope was to play “not to lose”’and it held them close for awhile but was never gonna be enough.

  19. Thank you, WxWatcher. There is not a person here who does not understand how difficult that comment is for you. You have never, ever ceased to impress me.

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