DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 22-26)
Discussion…
The dry and mild October weather continues for a few more days, with lower humidity than we saw the last couple of days as high pressure crests north of the area. This also means that a more easterly air flow will develop and will keep coastal areas a little cooler, though not as cool in comparison if this were a springtime easterly wind. The air flow turns more southwesterly ahead of a cold front Saturday – a front that will be moisture starved but won’t lack the ability to let us know when it comes through, as temperature may tumble as much as 30 to 35 degrees off Saturday’s highs to Sunday morning’s lows, and a lot of that temperature drop will occur over a several hour period Saturday evening. So if you have longer-outdoor plans anywhere on Saturday that go into evening, bring a jacket that you won’t need during the day, but will very likely need as evening sets in. This sets up a much cooler day for Sunday with a north to northeast air flow, which turns more easterly to southerly during the course of Monday as once again high pressure passes to the north of the region then moves southeastward to east of New England. We’ll introduce the chance of rain showers on Monday as well as low pressure tracks north of the region and drags a warm front through the region.
Details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75, turning cooler along east-facing shores this afternoon. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to E.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy ground fog interior low elevations. Lows 46-53. Wind N under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind E under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy start, mostly sunny middle of day, mostly cloudy finish. An afternoon shower possible in southern NH and northern MA. Highs 66-73. Wind SE under 10 MPH early, becoming S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W later in the day.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 43-50. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain, mainly in the afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind SE up to 10 MPH becoming S late in the day.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 27-31)
A cold front will be in the region from October 27 to early October 29 with a couple opportunities for rain showers along with drier interludes. A stronger low pressure wave should pull the front offshore during October 29 with a shot of much cooler air arriving and lasing into the last couple days of the month. For now expecting dry weather to end the month, but medium range guidance has been anything but consistent so will keep an eye on trends with that as well as the overall pattern.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
The early days of November look mostly dry with variable temperatures, a milder start, a cool shot, then moderating, based on current timing.
Thanks Tk
Thanks TK.
Thanks, TK
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
0.06 in the Logan bucket yesterday.
And thanks TK!
Last week’s 3+” rainfall reduced Massachusetts’ Extreme Drought by 20%, but “our neck of the woods” is still in Extreme Drought.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast
Thanks Captain. Hopefully the rain next week can make that map look better still.
SQH Weekend Outlook…
https://stormhq.blog/2020/10/22/weekend-outlook-october-23-27-2020/?fbclid=IwAR0s4H1REtG5m-9uVVLAHPyEaqcspYbyA35pDflkvJ7hBx9EGbxX5P4VyjE
Fog rolling into the city.
I can see the stratus to the E-SE from WH in Woburn. Reminds me a bit of springtime, but as we can see it happens other times of year as well. 🙂
18z GFS still looking pretty interesting late next week just before Halloween. This run showing a benchmark coastal storm on 10/30 with the rain/snow line pretty far south…
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020102218&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=prateptype_cat&m=gfs
Sorry wrong link….meant to post this:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2020102218&fh=186&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Same antics with the models. This will look drastically different soon and probably from run to run going forward. 🙂
New weather post…