Tuesday November 17 2020 Forecast (7:15AM)

19 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Discussion…

A cold front moves through the region today with some cloudiness and a chance of a passing rain/snow shower, introducing a significant shot of cold air for midweek before high pressure that moves in from the Great Lakes with the cold air slips to the south and we see a warming trend later this week, mildest by Friday, then a slight cool down for Saturday as a weaker cold front slips through the region early in the day.

Details…

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Passing rain and/or snow showers are possible. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing snow shower possible, then clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 22-26)

Current timing of systems in a general west to east air flow brings a warm front through on November 22 with cloudiness but not much of a rain threat. Cold front follows with a rain shower threat November 23. This front may sit just to the south with a wave of low pressure bringing some wet weather later November 24, exiting early November 25 with a shot of cooler but dry weather for the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 27 – DECEMBER 1)

The last days of November to the start of December should see a continued generally westerly (zonal) flow with our area often in the boundary zone between mild air to the south and colder air to the north. Mid period is most likely to see some unsettled weather with a front in the vicinity.

19 thoughts on “Tuesday November 17 2020 Forecast (7:15AM)”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Did I see Dr. Cohen wavering just a tad re: this Winter???
    Perhaps I Was reading something into it?

      1. He was “leaning” milder and less snowy than normal. Now, I am not sure. I don’t think he has made his official Winter
        prediction yet. He usually comes on with Harvey and gives it.
        Should be soon.

        1. Speaking of predictions, the Ch. 4 WBZ Accuweather Team will be giving theirs Thursday evening during the 5:00 pm newscast.

          It won’t be the same w/o Barry though. 🙁

        2. I posted his latest writeup at the end of yesterday’s blog.

          Basically he is seeing evidence of PV disruption in the long range which could displace more cold south from the Arctic. This scenario was supported more by the GFS, but the Euro not so much.

    1. Guess this is essentially the same link as above but it is the second video below the first that I meant to forward. Both are in this same guy’s Twitter feed.

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