Saturday December 26 2020 Forecast (8:33AM)

66 Comments

COMMENTARY

10 years ago today I published the first blog entry here as we were dealing with a significant winter storm. That was fun, and it’s been an interesting and fun ride since. Thank you everybody who has supported this blog during its first decade of existence!

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 25-29)

Back to seasonably cold weather for this weekend. Today we may see some snow showers making their way all the way across New England via the Great Lakes, so while we have a mixed sky, some of those clouds may release some snowflakes and even brief minor accumulations in some areas. While today is rather blustery, Sunday will end up more tranquil with less wind, more sun, and no snow shower threat. Low pressure will track eastward, passing north of New England early in the week, bringing milder air and clouds in during Monday with a few rain showers, but perhaps a few snow showers west and north of Boston in the evening as colder air returns. Regardless, this will be a minor system and serve mostly to bring a new shot of cold air in for Tuesday, with wind and possibly a passing snow shower, followed by cold but more tranquil weather as high pressure builds in by Wednesday.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing snow shower possible, a few of which may result in minor accumulation. Highs 32-39. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 34-41. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 42-49. Wind SW 10-20 MPH

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy evening with a rain or snow shower. Clearing overnight. Lows 26-31. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a passing light snow shower. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 31– JANUARY 4)

High pressure shifts offshore December 31 with fair and milder weather. Low pressure tracks across southeastern Canada with its frontal system bringing the chance of some rain shower activity here for January 1. Colder/drier January 2-3 followed by moderation and a risk of unsettled weather returning to the region by the end of the period on January 4.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 5-9)

Best chances for unsettled weather from passing systems January 5 & 8. Evolution of pattern and storm track is a little uncertain at this time and we’ll be watching for some blocking to potentially set up before the end of this period which could shift the track of future storms more to the south.

66 thoughts on “Saturday December 26 2020 Forecast (8:33AM)”

  2. Thanks TK!…and Happy Anniversary WHW! 🙂

    I also would like to Thank “Coastal” (wherever he is) for bringing us all together from that horrible WBZ blog.

    Thanks TK also for making this WHW blog “troll free” for these past 10 years! Keep up the good work here for many more years to come. 🙂

  3. Thanks TK and congrats on 10 years. Appreciate all you have done over that time while juggling it with your full time job and other responsibilities.

  5. 2.04 inches in the bucket for yesterday’s rainmaker.

    Watched ROCK MY HEART (available on Net Flix) for the 3rd time this morning. There is something about that movie that really grabbed me. It is German film that is very well done and dubbed quite nicely in English.

    And the sound track! Wow! One of the most beautiful soundtracks I have ever heard.

    Have a listen:

    https://www.tunefind.com/movie/rock-my-heart-2017

  7. 1.49 inches in the Logan bucket. A new record for Christmas Day.

    With more rain for New Year’s Day expected, it will be interesting if another new record will be set for that day as well. I have no idea what that amount is.

    As for temps, I believe the New Year’s Day record at Logan (Boston) is 70F set in 1876. The tv mets currently have forecasts of 57F.

  9. The expected snow showers are already roaming the landscape and impacting some areas. Nashua NH, for one example.

  12. Happy 10th anniversary of the blog!

    Congratulations, TK. With thanks and gratitude for all of your hard work, effort and knowledge!!!!! 🙂

    Happy Boxing Day!

    It is also the 10th anniversary of the Boxing Day Blizzard:
    17.3″ here in Taunton (8th greatest amount in the “Modern Era.”)

    18.2″ at Logan

    Putting 2 + 2 together, since both are 10 year anniversaries, did you start the blog because of the Boxing Day Blizzard, TK?

    1. Not at all.

      The blog foundation had been laid out before that. But as part of a Christmas gift I got linked up with a server and help launching, which took place on 12-26.

      1. If I’m not mistaken, most of us were still at that WBZ blog for that storm.

        In spite of so much snow, it was NOT a white Christmas that year, technically.

  13. Thanks TK for taking my previous comments out of “moderation”. I thought that after 10 years I have built up more than enough goodwill here. 😉

  14. Happy Anniversary WHW!

    In honor of the 10 years anniversary here is a posting of the original post and first seven comments from 2010 from the archives below!

    DUMPING
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 WOODS HILL WEATHER 7 COMMENTS
    Good morning!

    We are staring down the barrel of a weather gun as a powerful storm takes shape along the US Southeast Coast and begins a trip up the coast during the day today. This storm, responsible for some snow & a white Christmas in parts of the Deep South (Alabama, Mississippi, & Georgia), will spread heavy snow into New England later today through tonight, into Monday. Depending on the track of the low pressure center, some mixing with rain may occur especially along the coast from Boston south. Areas that stay all snow, and I expect most of the I-95 corridor to be included in this, will receive a foot or more of snowfall, up to 20 inches in some locations. Blizzard conditions are also likely in these areas Sunday night into Monday, thanks to strong northeast to north winds.

    Check back for more updates Sunday!

    NEXT POST
    Storm Update #1
    7 THOUGHTS ON “DECEMBER DUMPING”

    Karen Harris
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 6:15 AM
    It is still snowing in Alabama as of 5:00am central time Sunday morning.

    gayle orlanzo
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 6:45 AM

    Vin Tino
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 7:41 AM
    Brian,… good luck with the blog. may you have many hits.

    les
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 8:03 AM
    thanks brian !!

    cornboy72
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 8:59 AM
    Hoohaa!!

    Topkatt88
    DECEMBER 26, 2010 AT 10:24 AM
    Thanks everyone!

    I’ll be keeping this blog exclusively for weather, ranging from technical babble for some of my friends that understand it (yeah we went to school and/or worked together so we lived through the torture), and anything else ranging down to simple questions and trivia so feel free to post whatever you want here on the subject!

    Anything else will be on FB but you can chat weather with me on FB too of course! These 2 will be linked.

    coastal
    NOVEMBER 29, 2011 AT 8:32 AM
    Just what we need! A good old snow storm!

  16. Thanks Tk I hope everyone had a nice Christmas. Congratulations on 10 years Tk I would be lost without this blog . I wish we had some more locally snow storms to discuss but not seeing that in the very near future . I go back to work on the 12th I’ll bet the house we have a stork MLK weekend to welcome me back .

  18. Some of the biggest weather events since the blog has been in existence
    Boxer Day Blizzard which started the blog which also started the six week snow blitz, the Springfield Tornado June 1st, 2011, Tropical Storm Irene, Snowtober Oct. 29, 2011, Super Storm Sandy October 29, 2012, Blizzard of 2013 Feb. 8-9 Snow blitz late January to early March 2015, overnight Severe Weather Outbreak February 2016, and the wind storm Oct. 30th 2017.

    1. Don’t forget the recent October 2020 snow in which 4.3 inches at Logan. The most on record for October.

      Still remains to be seen if that will have any correlation for this winter’s snow total. 😉

    1. Considering it was an October snow, it stuck around quite awhile. I later learned (from this blog) that there was a February sun angle. I had no idea that October’s sun angle is so weak.

      1. All you have to do is move equally outward in both directions from Dec 21 to get the sun angle equivs.

  20. Philip .. I didn’t notice a comment in moderation. It may have been a glitch of some kind, but so long as you used the same name & email it should post no problem.

    2. I had some trouble this morning with connecting with whw. I thought it was here but now wonder if it was a couple of quick glitches with whw which philip and I just happened to catch

  21. Thanks TK and Happy Anniversary!

    Recapping the Christmas storm, it did live up to expectations in our area with over 3″ of rain and a 62mph wind gust at BDL. Just torrents of rain pelting on the front of the house all night and some branches down in the yard. There were some power outages nearby but fortunately we did not lose our power. Snow was mostly gone by about 8PM or 9PM Christmas Eve.

    I am at my mother’s in Amsterdam NY now. The 31″ of snow they received here last week is all gone and just vaporized by the storm aside from snow piles. Pretty incredible. That said, we had some nice mood snow last night that covered the ground so we ended up with a partial white christmas after all. Driving up yesterday we actually hit some pretty heavy snow passing through Albany.

    It’s cloudy and cold today here with flurries but the lake effect machine is cranking in Watertown and Buffalo today. We typically do not get much from lake effect here as we are too far east but hopefully will get some more snowshowers later.

    1. One of these years I am going to make a snow squall chase trip to the Buffalo area and grab some great time lapses.

      1. I keep saying the same as well though would probably opt for the closer drive to the Tug Hill plateau that is prone to those epic lake effect plumes off of Ontario.

  23. Pretty disastrous storm for the ski areas of the Northeast, especially the Catskills where upsloping resulted in 5-6″ of rain in many of the same areas that received 24-30″ of snow last week. Lots of river and creek flooding occurring and Belleayre Mountain actually had an avalanche occur that destroyed one of their ski lodges as a river of “slurry snow” came down one of their trails. Fortunately the mountain was closed due to the bad weather and no one was inside:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/avalanche-damages-lodge-at-belleayre-mountain-ski-center/ar-BB1ceCKH?ocid=uxbndlbing

    1. Breaks my heart. Much like December 1965. Bow NH has a dusting at the end yesterday but it was gone by morning.

  24. BTW, one last comment on the storm yesterday….Vicki alluded to this above but when I checked observations around 9PM last night, it was 33F in Jacksonville, FL and 53F in Caribou, ME. Talk about an amplified set up!

  26. Looking ahead to that New Years storm….most models are now weakening the primary low as it cuts through the plains and forming a stronger secondary low on the trailing cold front near the gulf coast and sending that northeast towards us.

    The UKMET and ICON now actually track that storm southeast of us and the GFS has it as an inside runner producing a significant ice/snow event across interior NY and NNE. GFS ensembles have some colder solutions as well. I am wondering if this system trends colder….it’s probably not going to be enough either way for SNE but wondering if interior areas and ski country might be able to get in on some much needed action.

    I should note that the Euro wants nothing of this….it does form the secondary low near the Gulf but is still a huge cut and torch for the Northeast with 50’s into Quebec.

      1. It would fit the pattern at that time. Although that’s a progressive solution and would not be quite the same as what we just had, which took quite a while to move through. IF the ECMWF solution today is close, it would be a shorter-duration event.

      1. I think the GFS may be giving too much to the first system…

        What’s funny is that the GFS is doing what I’m used to the Euro doing and vice versa, but I favor the Euro’s timing, more singular low, and quick-movement. However, it’s just under 1 week away so there’s obviously the typical uncertainty.

  28. A quick note of infinite thanks to TK for 10 years of labor and love to make this blog a welcoming space to discuss all things weather.

  29. Thank you TK for ten years of this blog and thank you as well for the weather data during the dialup BBS years. You’ve had your hands in the weather pie your whole life – may you never get your fill!

    1. It must be apple then. 😉

      Dial up BBS… All was great especially 2400 baud and up, except the line noise & dreaded NO CARRIER 😀

  30. TK congratulations on your 10 year anniversary of your labor of love, which is this terrific blog. Thank you for sharing your vast weather knowledge with all of us.

    1. Scroll down to the next video on that Twitter page to the one labeled Humanity. Saving the deer from the ice. Fantastic, way to go!

      And god bless you TK for hosting this blog. It’s been my go to almost everyday since day 1. I’ve learned so much from everyone here and not just about weather but life in general.

  32. Thank you, TK, for all you’ve done in the past decade to inform and entertain us, and to facilitate meteorological, weather- and climate-related discussions.

    1. And thank you TK for providing the Covid-19 page for pandemic discussions. And you Joshua for providing much needed information over there. If it wasn’t for you, that Covid site would be mostly dead with maybe a few opinions but not nearly as much true scientific data for us laymen. It helps me very much to give me and others great insight during these trying times.

  33. It is fun to go back to the start of whw and watch as it grew up. At first there were two or three. Then it literally expanded around the end of March. On of my first questions was if South Shore Tom was planning to join. Someone named Tom replied and said he was SST. Ten years later……we are sure of that. Right? 😉

  34. 00z GFS with a much colder solution for the New Years storm. Blocking high to the north on this run sends the low south of SNE introducing a change to snow and ice across the interior.

  36. Hmmm…. 00z Euro taking a big step towards the other models with a colder solution and some snow/ice overspreading the interior as the developing low moves north out of the Gulf on Friday and cold air wedges down from eastern CA. 00z CMC with a much flatter solution now as well.

    Looks like we may have a signal for a developing icing event across the interior and especially CNE/NNE.

      1. I want to see more of this…
        I hedged that way this morning, but I’m not convinced. We’ve seen this before. A “new” scenario for a day or 2 only to end up back to the original.

        Consistency through about Tuesday on guidance then I’ll be more concerned.

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