Warming Up Again

76 Comments

1:25AM

A cold night is in progress as I write this, but once the day dawns on Sunday, a new warm-up will be underway, and it will last for a few days before a slow-moving cold front and waves of low pressure send us back toward chilly weather late next week with some wet weather during the transition. Look for a full discussion of the coming week in the next post.

Updated Boston Area Forecast…

OVERNIGHT: Areas of low clouds forming, but remaining mostly clear in some areas. Calm wind. Low ranging from around 20 inland valleys to around 30 close to the coast.

SUNDAY: Areas of low clouds early otherwise sun filtered at times by higher cloudiness. High around 50. Wind S under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog forming. Low 42-47. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partial sun through dominant clouds. High around 60. Wind WSW 10-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Rain showers likely. Low 50. High 56.

WEDNESDAY: Rain showers likely, may end as snow showers at night. Overnight high 50. Late night low 35.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 25. High 47.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22. High 44.

76 thoughts on “Warming Up Again”

  1. TK, thank you. I think I’ll wait until a little later today for a walk — a little cold right now.

  2. For those who tried yesterday’s Accuwether Trivia Quiz, here is the question and answer.

    Today’s Accuweather Trivia Quiz. Which of the following is true about snow?

    1) Snow can absorb sound.
    2) It can be too cold to snow.
    3) The largest flake was 15″.
    4) It has snowed in all 50 states.

    I actually thought 2 of these were true, but not according to Mr. Joyce.
    Joe said # 2. I thought it was both # 1 & 2.

  3. And now for today’s Accuweather Trivia Quiz. What is the probability of a white Xmas?

    A. 8%
    B. 24%
    C. 39%
    D. 48%

    1. I’ll go with b.

      These are great. I thought I’d read somewhere it had snowed in all 50 states. See how I make things up

      1. I wonder what state it is ?? Not Hawaii, they have a 10,000ft + peak that gets snow, not Florida, I know I’ve seen it snow there in my lifetime. Not Texas…..what state could it be ?

  5. Mt. Washington is 30F…….I think I’ll enjoy the next 3 days of mild weather because even the EURO, this morning, is showing signs of cold next weekend.

    1. Yes, it is a good post and while I did not understand all of it, I was able to possibly (or maybe finally) believe that my 3″ snowfall prediction may be in jeopardy. 🙂

  7. It was a good read. So WW also feels winter will be here in December and calling for a Historic east coast storm late Dec/Jan. Lets keep those December stats growing. JJ and Vicki we will be right with are December snow predictions.

    1. January?? Yay. With my luck it’ll happen on the 30th and we won’t b able to get to rental house on 31st. Historic huh??? Wow

    1. A change to somewhat stronger cold fronts with temps fluctuating btwn highs in the 30s(colder days) to near 50F(milder days), yes, I think that change is coming. Sustained very cold or snowy, I’m not so sure.

  9. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_6z/avnloop.html

    look at this . this would be the stronger storm just brushing us in southern new england.
    today and monday will be mainly sunny with increasing clouds monday night with a stray shower or two with highs in the 50s.lows in the 30s and 40s.
    tuesday and tuesday night will start the transition. with showers. I do not see a total wash out occuring here. highs again will be in the 50s but lows will be mainly in the 40s
    for wednesday and thursday we need to watach 2 areas of low pressure.
    one for wednesday that now looks like it will now go to the south of us and not give us much besides for clouds with highs in the 40s. this would be the weaker storm anyway. the larger one would make its closest pass to southern new england on thursday with temperatures struggling to make the low 40s . but it will be to far to really do anything. again with just a mix of clouds and sun more clouds durring the morning.
    Next weekend actually looks like it could be below normal with highs struggling to reach the upper30s!Ski areas might be able to make man made snow . This actually makes me happy 😀

  10. Quizzes can have fuzzy answers. According to one of my college professors it can’t be too cold to snow, but the chance of it is much less in extreme cold which is also usually extremely dry air found in latitudes so high it hardly precipitates there.

    It has snowed in all 50 states.

    The pattern change isn’t really going to take place over 1 or 2 days, it’s in the process of taking place and is a nearly month-long process.

  13. Plowable snow event Thursday night per 12z GFS.
    This is not my official call yet, but I’m heading in that direction.

    1. Interesting to see where that wave of low pressure will end up tracking. For two reasons….one being the overall accuracy of the GFS 96hrs out and two, the strength of the SE/Atlantic Ridge. Based on the past few months, it wouldnt surprise me if that wave tracks closer to the coast due to the ridge being stronger than forecasted.

        1. Hi John,

          Well, our grade has a field trip planned on Thursday, so based on that, we’ll probably get clobbered !! 🙂

          Today, the NAO is again forecasted to steadily decline this coming week. I’m a little suspicious on that and thus I dont trust the forecasted strength of low pressure near Greenland and/or the forecasted strength of the Atlantic Ridge, which would have some effect on the track of the Thursday system.

      1. I figure odds are good to guess around Dec 9. Fir some reason if we have a big Dec storm it’s been right around that date a good number of times. I think it’s my friend mother nature celebrating my anniversary 🙂

    1. Hadi what is the GFS showing. Temps on Thursday should be in the low 50s I think, and also believe wednesday night could be a warm night.

  16. Is the quiz for a potential white Christmas still on? I will go for b.

    And I hope I have this right – congrats Hadi for the new family member coming next spring! And Vicki, congrats to you too – a new grandchild! I hope I have all that info. correct. There is a raw feel to the air today – but I don’t sense any snow yet. Looks like the models are trying hard to give us snow.

    1. It is a raw feel today. I am kind of bumming as today is the big town tree lighting. I will be roaring in on a fire truck at 5pm as santa. This morning around 9am the sun was out and it was warmer than it is now. I wish the sun would stay out. The town event starts at 2:30 I hope the sun makes a return.

      2. The sun came out awhile ago here in Sudbury John. Hopefully the sun will come out for you if it hasn’t already. That sounds like fun being on a fire engine – and coming in as Santa! You will be making lots of children happy! Won’t you get to see the tree lighting, ‘though?

          1. Hi, Vicki – we were busy this morning and we are about to go out again. We are going to look for 1 or 2 little new Christmas decorations to put up somewhere in the house or outside. Enjoy the sunshine and rest of the day!

          3. Vicki – we didn’t buy anything. Wrong time and day, I guess. Should have realized. We went to Christmas Tree Shop in Natick. Way too crowded. Maybe we’ll go back on a week night or when it might be less crowded.

        2. Yes. I come at 5pm right after they are done singing. I say a few words than I lead the countdown. That is when the entire green light up. I will tell you guys about it later, heading down there now. Go Pats.

  19. The NAO is tough to predict 7-10 days out. Looking at the charts its not good for a cold and snowy pattern.

    1. For a while I thought the spread would be greater.

      Sorry you didn’t find any decorations rainshine.

      Just came back from taking pictures of my grandson with my daughter at the gristmill and Martha Mary chapel at the wayside inn. What a great day. Tons were there also taking pics

      1. Before we moved to Sudbury from Framingham, on occasion, especially during the summer we would visit the gristmill. Now that we live in Sudbury we often go visit the gristmill and even take walks around there. The Martha Mary Chapel is also beautiful. We have walked a little around there. I was inside there many years ago when a friend got married there. I am glad you had fun today – it did turn out nice.

        1. I remember going to the wayside inn with my patents. My oldest did two horse shows there and it was the perfect venue. It is a special place

  25. Has anyone ever visited the Fatima Shrine in Holliston, MA to see the Christmas lights? We have gone the past few years at some point in Dec. Very beautiful.

    1. I’m surprised we do not walk by each other Rainshine. We go every Christmas eve with the kids and grandkids It’s halfway between our homes and we love it also. Have you been to mehans place in millis. There is usually quite a wait to drive thru but well worth it. Don’t go on a weekend and it’s busy evey night closer to Christmas. It won good morning Americas best Christmas house a few years ago

  28. For me….ob of the winter so far…..

    Barrow, AK……Snow, 0F, east wind at 38 knots, gusting to 48 knots, visibility 0. Looks pretty good on their webcam too.

  29. I would say 75% chance of a white Christmas just because so many people want to have one. Records say only 49 states have had snow on the ground twice, once in 1977 and again in 2010. No record of all 50 having snow on the ground at the same time though they said records are not kept about these things.

  30. If the 12z EURO is correct, then….in the long term, the southern jet stream is going to be less active and storms will be tracking just to our north with cold frontal passages. A cold shot here and there with slight moderations in between.

  34. Shutting this computer down and firing up my new laptop. Wish me luck! If everything works, I’ll be back to update for the week ahead in a little while…

Comments are closed.