DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 20-24)
A disturbance moves through the region today with lots of clouds and some snow showers as the air continues to trend colder. The best chance of snow showers will be south and west of Boston where a small accumulation may occur. This energy will ignite an ocean storm south and east of New England which will pull even colder air in tonight. A broad low pressure area will track north of the region Thursday and Friday pushing a warm front through the region Thursday followed by a cold front on Friday. A tiny bit of light snow may occur with the warn front but most of the energy and moisture for that will pass to our north, and then the cold front may be good for a rain or snow shower Friday as it turns briefly milder between the two fronts. Once the cold front is through, it’s dry and windy for the coming weekend along with the coldest air we’ve had for quite some time.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Snow showers, favoring areas south and west of Boston where a coating to 1/2 inch may accumulate. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH evening, diminishing overnight.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy morning with brief very light snow possible northern MA and southern NH. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 33-40. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain or snow shower possible, mainly afternoon and west and north of Boston. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to NW late in the day.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with a chance of a snow shower evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 27-34. Wind NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-17. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind N 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 25-29)
While there is some uncertainty remaining regarding the passage of a storm system in the late January 25 to early January 27 time frame, odds favor this system passing far enough south for little or even no impact, with generally cold and dry weather being dominant throughout this period.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 30 – FEBRUARY 3)
The pattern seems stubborn to watch to change much, and while there is another “window-of-opportunity” around January 30-31 where we need to watch for a possible storm system, again odds favor more dry weather to dominate as we go from January to early February, perhaps with a temperature moderation getting underway.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Snow prospects looking pretty dim.
Oh, well not much we can do about it.
Thanks TK
Thanks TK. Waking up to a coating of snow.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPIdRJlzERo
🙂 Thanks for the ear worm. I suspect it will be with me all day.
Thank you, TK. Sure is a beautiful morning. Snow is still on all trees and all areas not pavement.
ZIPPO here, of course!
From an unknown weather source on FB
Dress warm tomorrow, it’s going to be minus -45
Where? ha ha ha
Even at Fairbanks, AK 64.8378° N
Forecast high for tomorrow is 20.
so where the bleep is this -45???
Verkhoyansk (Siberia in case you didn’t know)
Verkhoyansk, Sakha Republic, Russia
Thursday 12:00 AM
Cloudy
-36
Thu
Cloudy
-35°-37°
Fri
Partly cloudy
-32°-50°
Sat
Partly cloudy
-46°-47°
Sun
Partly cloudy
-44°-46°
Mon
Mostly cloudy
-42°-47°
Tue
Partly cloudy
-44°-50°
Wed
Partly cloudy
-47°-49°
Thu
Partly cloudy
-45°-48°
Sorry, I am still laughing my ass off over this one.
Thank you!!!!
In Washington DC of course 🙂 🙂 🙂
Duh. That went over my head. I LOVE that one!
Outstanding!
I had to think about it a bit also.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK !
Thanks, TK…
Snowing at a nice clip here in Middleborough.
Just starting to stick in a few places.
Thank you, TK.
One of the world’s coldest outdoor markets. Notice the similarities between the way some of these people look and Eskimo’s like the Inuit. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zw2hJ2frh8
Then there’s this cold place. I’m envious. I know, I’m a sucker for cold. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KInXvWoq9U
Lady GaGa, you go girl!
She was wonderful
We have a new President!
12Z GDPS has some snow for 1/26
https://m2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2021012012/144/prateptype.us_ne.png
https://m2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2021012012/168/snku_acc.us_ne.png
GFS says NOPE!!!
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021012012/138/prateptype_cat.conus.png
One of these models didn’t get the memo. Hmmm, I wonder
which one?
12Z UKEMT appears to want to bring some snow as well.
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif
It’s onto the Euro! Care to guess which way it will go?
2 out of 3 say some snow. 🙂
Will is be a split ticket? or 3 out of 4??
12z CMC also wants to deliver some more snow later next week as well as early next week.
Mother Nature providing some confetti at the inauguration with snow flakes prior to President Biden being sworn in.
Ok, of the 4 big global models, only the GFS has next week’s system suppressed.
12Z Euro
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021012012/144/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne.png
10:1 snow
Nothing big by any stretch, but some snow none-the-less.
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021012012/162/sn10_acc.us_ne.png
FWIW, the ICON is also suppressed.
At least its something
Thanks TK. It was nice to wake up to a white landscape this AM.
We are heading up to Jay Peak tomorrow for a long weekend where they have now received THREE FEET of snow in the last five days. Its snowing again there today and they are expecting another 6″+ by Saturday AM. To say I am excited is an understatement! Just hoping the winds don’t kick up too badly there on Sat and Sun. It’s looking blustery and Jay is notorious for wind holds on their chairlifts. Friday at least should be an epic powder day and not too chilly.
Enjoy! Sounds awesome!
Thanks!
As I have been noting, it’s pure, deep winter up in NNE right now. This has been the best snow week of the winter up there following the storm Saturday and nearly constant upslope snow since. Pretty much every ski area in the Greens has received 2-3 feet of snow since Sat AM.
Here are a couple pictures courtesy of some posters on the AmericanWx blog….
Bretton Woods, NH 3 hours ago:
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2021_01/0A330EBB-F31E-4904-9B56-84B6009FEC97.jpeg.8193aad684c3a4501d0cf979a94d2787.jpeg
Near Hermit Lake shelters at the base of Tuckermans:
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2021_01/hermit_2.jpg.28cb61ded827ee6d97aa255ff5523be7.jpg
Skiing the woods near Stowe:
https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/140565294_10104429584059900_2184312507295608334_o.jpg?_nc_cat=105&ccb=2&_nc_sid=b9115d&_nc_ohc=Ni_teAfjESkAX_luZ8i&_nc_oc=AQmryTlmIbKgbPvWsAtm3-5Cny8eOGpriO_-81p0MFJPf0XdSwgXu_A6fUTtOHtdsCw&_nc_ht=scontent-lga3-1.xx&oh=6070c20b383abc19db342683005aa22c&oe=602E469D
Ski trail at Bretton Woods with the Presidentials in the background:
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2021_01/IMG_9406.jpeg.3fb53b4a44da5cd090bdb65f337cbe77.jpeg
We can live vicariously through them!
A little flaky here in Woburn at the moment. Popcorn snow showers all over the place. Some of them are heavier. A couple friends report squalls down near the South Coast. Instability was greatest to the south today anyway – so that makes sense. 🙂
Pete is still determined to have snow for early next week.
Not exactly what I heard. Hmmm
https://www.nbcboston.com/weather/
He actually backed off today, not discounting it, but indicating that the leaning was for it to be more of a miss.
Hello 00z GFS!
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2021012100&fh=288
At 288 hours out it is as good as in the bag.
It’s got a bomb on the 29th as well but that one is a mid Atlantic special and misses us wide right.
THE BAG BROKE!
New weather post!