Wednesday February 17 2021 Forecast (7:23AM)

237 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

An area of high pressure brings us dry and cold weather today. Elongated low pressure will take a couple of days to pass by our region (center passing just south of New England sometime Friday), bringing our next bout of wintry weather, which will be a fairly long-duration event, starting out slowly during Thursday afternoon and evening as periods of snow along the South Coast eventually expanding northward at night through Friday, when enough warm air may get in aloft to flip the precipitation to sleet or at least a mix of snow and sleet in the South Coast region, and maybe to rain over the islands, before it winds down as snow showers Friday night. Expect generally moderate snowfall accumulations from this event (4 to 8 inches), but some areas to the northwest may be lighter (2 to 4 inches) simply for not having enough moisture, and the South Coast may be a touch lower if mixing is involved. It’s also important to note that the accumulation will be taking place over a nearly 24 hour period and without bands of heavy snowfall with rapid rates of accumulation, so this will make the impact lower as far as travel and cleanup goes. We’re now at the time of winter where a higher sun angle makes it more difficult for snow that is not falling heavily to accumulate on roads during the daylight hours. Low pressure pulls away Saturday and the air flow between it and high pressure over the Great Lakes will cause it to be a blustery and cold but dry day. High pressure builds in with dry and cold but more tranquil weather for Sunday.

TODAY: Bright sun morning. Sun & high clouds afternoon. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Increasing high clouds. Lows 12-19. Wind N under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Thickening overcast. Periods of snow South Coast afternoon. Highs 24-31. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow likely. Temperatures steady 24-31 evening may rise slightly overnight. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Overcast. Periods of snow except sleet possible South Coast region and rain possible islands region. Highs 27-34. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, gusts over 20 MPH South Coast region.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of snow evening. Variably cloudy with scattered snow showers overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW up to 10 MPH morning, becoming variable.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Low pressure moves through the region with a rain/mix/snow threat February 22 then exits followed by dry weather few a few days before the next unsettled weather threat arrives for the end of the period. The long-standing blocking pattern eases and in response, temperatures moderate to near to above normal for much of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

A somewhat more zonal pattern expected, bringing a couple disturbances and precipitation threats with up and down temperatures, likely mildest relative to normal to end February with a colder trend for the start of March. Low confidence based on timing uncertainties.

237 thoughts on “Wednesday February 17 2021 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Wide variance in model snow tools.
    Not impressed with totals being spit out. If we achieve the highest totals it would amount to 1/3 inch per hour ave, of course at times more and at times less. Big woof. Almost a mood snow event, enough to remind us it’s Winter and to paint a nice scene .

    1. Drawn out system, low rates, moderate accumulation. Type of system that fits that pattern we’re in.

      4-8 for most over a 24 hour period.

          1. Oh, I don’t mind it. In a certain way, it is really nice seeing it snow most of the time over that long a period of time.

            That being said, I still prefer the big daddy storms. I really relish those.

  6. Thank you, TK!

    Dems are getting on my nerves right now. Some are blaming the Texas cold and snow on global warming, and saying this is why we need a Green New Deal. I am ALL in favor of protecting the environment, and I’m not denying climate change. However, the Texas cold and snow have NOTHING to do with climate change. Zero! Having a Green New Deal in place would not have prevented the situation in Texas.

    On the other hand – and I think this should be the Dems’ main talking point – our infrastructure is in a VERY sad state everywhere. Roads stink to high heaven. Bridges are in disrepair. And, unlike the vast majority of industrialized nations we still have way too many power outages as a result of crummy, obsolete above-ground power lines.

    1. I agree the snow and cold has nothing to do with climate change. The right is saying this is an example of why the green deal won’t work. Both sides are using this as an excuse to drive things home and both are on my nerves. I hate that they play politics when millions are facing a desperate situation and over 20 have died

      Abbot said frozen windmills were a culprit. Not so much…As they supply only about 10% of the state’s power in the winter. Heather Cox Richardson’s daily post is a good summary.

      “Frozen instruments at gas, coal, and nuclear plants, as well as shortages of natural gas, were the major culprits. To keep electricity prices low, ERCOT had not prepared for such a crisis. El Paso, which is not part of ERCOT but is instead linked to a larger grid that includes other states and thus is regulated, did, in fact, weatherize their equipment. Its customers lost power only briefly. “

      Texas needs to get up two speed in weatherizing …this will happen again

    2. the problem with the infrastructure situation is that everyone wants it improved but when it comes to the temporary inconvenience of the improvements in their location they vote it down or there is corruption. In my home town of Billerica, the federal government and state was going to pay for a change to our common making it easier and safer to move around ,while also increasing businesses, walking area, sitting areas and to put the power lines under the ground which would have been expanded town wide. Instead people voted against it as they were worried about the “historical value of the common” though the way they were going to make it was more similar to what the common use to look like.

      In terms of the democrats and republicans. I am getting frustrated with both of course republicans way more than democrats and for very different reasons. Anyway, we won’t know if this severe cold in the central USA was due to anthropogenic climate change or not until this summer when NASA formulates its comparison maps of no anthropogenic activity verses what happened. If the cold snap looks different we will know if anthropogenic climate change had any impact on it.

      Also with the the AMO changing towards negative we can see more of these events with or without climate change (possibly its hard to forecast when this is actually gonna change as it needs to be studied more I believe TK mentioned this a couple days ago)
      Anthropogenic climate change we won’t know how the change in climate impacted this one event, what we do know is that anthropogenic climate change will alter these events. It can make them more extreme or weaker. Make them happen more or less depending on your location. Anthropogenic climate change has been shown to increase the temperatures differences in cold and warm airmasses that might have been closer to each other in the past. The balance of the Holocene has been so influenced by human activities that we are now talking about the Anthropocene. There is a reason why its so hard to find analog years for winter this year based on sea surface temperatures.

      1. The major problem with our electric grid is the same problem everywhere…..the desire by top level to cut the bottom line. No testing equals equipment failure. This is not the case in TX. This mess is due to their own unique incompetence.

        Nat grid spent a lot of time clearing in Sutton. So far the loss of power doesn’t begin to compare to what it was. So someone got the message and kudos to Nat Grid for this

  7. 12Z NAM says what snow anywhere north of the south coast. Curious to see if it wins out on this one.

  13. Thank you, TK. Daughter teaches Monday and Thursday. Do you think arranging for storms to hit other days is a bit much to ask 😉

  16. The Red Sox have a 47% chance of making the playoffs. What is the feeling up there for the Red Sox season? The talk on NY sports radio is the Red Sox are in rebuild and won’t be a threat to make the postseason this year.

    1. Your last thought captures it, I think.

      Too much uncertainty in the pitching staff and a lineup, that after Boegarts and Devers, is questionable. JD Martinez, already last year, was starting to struggle to catch up to a decent fastball.

      1. What will he be this year? 35?

        There are very few aging baseball players ( mid 30s up) that can/could catch up with a real major league fastball of mid 90s and up.

        Ted Williams was one for sure and David Ortiz was another.

        I once saw Rico Carty, when he was with Toronto at the end of his career, hit one out of fenway on a blistering fastball at age 39.

  17. Vicki….that info from Texas was backed up in a conversation I had with my daughter this morning.
    They live in Missouri City (about 30 minutes southwest of Houston proper). Lost power Monday morning and didn’t get it back until 1000 last night. Was 53 in the house.
    Then it went off again at 4am for about an hour and back on. The most frustrating thing is that they had no internet so I was trying to relay info via text. But no info was available for estimated fixes. Websites were useless.

    I guess everything is big in Texas, including incompetence.

    Anyway, all is well there….at least for the moment. The only humorous part was when a neighbor’s 13 year old was making snow angels in the street.

    1. Thank you. Most important are prayers for your daughter and her family. As well as everyone In texas.

      I have tremendous faith in Heather Cox Richardson. Her reputation is stellar. Although, she leans left of center, she educates with a fairness rarely found nowadays.

  18. I think, because this next system is getting so strung out, that the trend seems to be for the initial part to kind of run out of steam trying to enter New England.

    Seems the next weak impulse is the one currently being projected to be a little more productive.

      2. Too soon to detail Monday.
        Remember all those systems that looked far different on guidance more than 3 days out this winter? Yup, there’s a reason I keep sounding like a broken record about the guidance. 😉

        1. Perhaps, But I don’t like the set up at all.
          Maybe something can come together. We’ll see what it looks like after this one passes. 🙂 🙂 🙂

          1. Still more like tomorrow night & lasting until Friday night . If it goes till Friday night I’ll get here tomorrow & punch out Saturday

            1. Hey I suppose anything can happen, but count me in camp UNIMPRESSED. I really think it will be an underachiever.

          2. All the afternoon maps still have this going until tomorrow night with plowable 4-8 range . What are you seeing that there not or are you possibly jumping the gun here if you will .

  22. 4 or 5 days from now, the real cold air should be in retreat to the north. Combined with the higher sun angle of later February, hopefully, this can allow for non-stormy days to get into the 30s, who knows, maybe break 40F.

    But …… it appears a piece of very frigid, arctic air will remain on our side of the hemisphere in the long range (as opposed to it all heading back across the pole into Siberia).

    We´ll have to watch and see if that can be delivered in any way for more very cold weather in early to mid March.

  23. When you mentioned blockbuster storms Vicki for March the big one in my lifetime the 93 Superstorm comes to mind.

    1. So Sak you think down our way Brockton/ pembroke could see more then Boston . Excellent write up & I enjoy having you here .

  25. It’s really the Euro vs everything else and if you hedging your bets in the euro the way it’s performed then have fun.

    Clearly this isn’t a big storm nor was it ever forecasted to be. So not sure why disappointment in what the final
    outcome might be. It’s been forecasted to be largely a 3-6, 4-8 system over two days and that’s why it will be likely be.

  28. Vicki, if you are still looking for something to view, here are a couple. I may have provided them before, but in case you have not watched or forgot….

    No binge worthy as these 2 selections are movies that involve horses and horse racing:

    ROCK MY HEART
    RIDE LIKE A GIRL

    They are both available on Netflix and are excellent.
    I would be SHOCKED if you and your daughter did not
    enjoy them. The first is German (excellently dubbed in English) and the 2nd is Australian and stars Sam Neil and Theresa Palmer who both put on an excellent display of acting.

    1. Thank you. I ended up with Free Rein. It is a similar to heartland with a younger cast. I have seen rock my heart and absolutely loved it. I forgot about ride like a girl and REALLY appreciate your reminding me and your suggestions

      1. Glad you liked Rock my Heart. I watched some of free rein and really didn’t care for it much and I stopped. 🙂

  29. Again outside of weather. My son and fiancé sent out wedding invitations for their August wedding. Only very immediate family. Mark, I thought you’d get a kick out of the location they chose to exchange vows……. at the summit of Mount Greylock. We will stay at the Porches…Mac and I had planned to go there.

      2. I haven’t been there. I asked if I had to climb it and son assured me you can drive. It is just so true to what they love.

        1. I drove up it in my girlfriend’s mother’s Hyundai in June of 1989. That was the first and only time I’ve been up there….

    1. wise choice, I think. In addition to potential snow amounts, there´s duration here and projected lighter intensities of snow.

  34. Much of the Mid-Atlantic from Baltimore/DC southward are already under Winter Storm Warnings. That “should” be a good sign for us, right?

        1. Not really. It’s just going to be a strung-out system, which we have been talking about. No compact tight, strong low with heavy snow & banding. This is a sheared-out, stretched, long-duration, light to moderate intensity snowfall that adds up to several inches over 30 hours, but doesn’t come by and dump it in 6 hours. Big impact difference between the 2.

    2. Only if systems don’t change their intensity between point A & point B. Extrapolation of that type seldom works. 🙂

  35. Its hard to be exactly specific, but, any overnight and very early morning and late evening snows are more likely to impact streets.

    Of course, if you get a moderate band during daylight, combined with some thicker clouds and slightly darker conditions, that could slush things up a bit.

    1. It will be Feb 18 and 19th. Trust me, IF we get true Moderate Snow, the roads will be covered almost instantly. Make no mistake about that.

  38. Oopsie.. NWS uploaded the wrong map for their snowfall which now shows zero everywhere except <1" in the Berks & over outer Cape Cod. Better fix that! 😉

      2. Damn!!! I should have taken a screen shot. Once I got the link, then it pointed to the correct map once they posted it.. BUT I did, indeed, see the one with all of the 0s on it.

    2. I contacted them the second they posted it and they thanked me and said it would be fixed shortly. That said the correct one is my my roundup below.

      1. The one that was up before it was for the day after, through the 20th. They initially sent the wrong one up…

        1. Yes – I grabbed a screenshot when it was wrong on the site too https://ibb.co/K784521

          They merely ran the computer model for the wrong timeframe and it spit it out on the site. They must have had to run it again because the timestamp for the current one on the site published at 4:50PM. But it’s still not wrong for the timeframe of Saturday like it was predicting. lmao

  43. So after a review of all the guidance, etc. … Making no changes for now. Re-evaluation with 00z suite for tomorrow’s update.

    1. That’s remarkable. I believe the very widespread snow cover – as well as the Texas cold and snow – will be the highlights that people will remember from this winter. A similar tale can be told across Europe: Until this past weekend very widespread snow cover and cold.

      My daughter did just tell me that the daffodils and crocuses are out in the London parks. They’ll be blooming soon as some really mild temperatures start to build there. Generally speaking, once spring has sprung over there there’s no turning back. Sure, in March you’ll get your fair share of windy, cool days with (mostly) light rain. But spring is a thing there. It exists. Its ontological status has been established. Not here in New England.

  46. So there is a login issue that I can’t fix until my server guy resets something after he’s awake at which time I will be mobile, so I’m not going to be able to post a new blog entry until mid afternoon, so basically I’m here to tell you that the forecast I wrote yesterday is largely unchanged. I think most of the region gets 4 to 8 inches of total snowfall accumulation starting early this afternoon South Coast and as far north as the I-90 belt by evening, expanding northward overnight and falling in waves through Friday evening, with some of the steadiest snowfall (besides to the south this afternoon) being Friday afternoon to early evening, so as previously noted, don’t expected 4-8 inches to suddenly appear. It’s going to take nearly 36 hours to occur, so it won’t seem like a 4 to 8 inch snowfall, in terms of impact. There will be areas that come in under 4 inches, which I have most likely to be the western portion of southern NH and north central MA where moisture will be least, and Nantucket where the greatest chance of a mix with sleet occurs. So please, please PLEASE remind yourselves and others not to expect this to act like a 6-hour 4-8 inch snowfall event, because it’s going to take 5 to 6 times that amount of time to occur. Highest totals for this will probably be right in eastern MA.

    I’ll be able to chime in under this account for the next several hours but I won’t be able to do any admin activity until the login issue is fixed, so just continue your discussion here for now and I’ll let you know when the new post is up…

    1. Thanks Tk . Well looking like I’ll be here until Saturday lol. I heard on the news Boston should be snowing by 5pm & tonight is when it will stick saying even though it’s cold outside the daytime snow will struggle too accumulate.

      1. That’s about right. This is why it’s important to note that this won’t have the impact of a “typical” 4-8 inch event, but since there are going to be 2 nighttimes involved in it, crews such as yours will need to be ready. It will be a piece of cake to keep up with, just a long-haul.

  47. I would probably keep the forecast fairly simple here with a general 3-6″ of snow for most of SNE. Trending to 1-3″ on the Cape east of the canal and for the Islands. Further north and west, particularly in the central CT River Valley and northward into southern VT, North Central MA, and southern NH 2-4″ should be the general rule.

    A burst of light to moderate of snow this afternoon on the south coast is probable, but I think more of the accumulation for a broader area takes place Thursday night into the daylight morning hours, before becoming even lighter in intensity and more scattered into the afternoon and evening

    It will be a tough snowfall to gather accurate region wide snowfall totals for as it really requires flat surface measurements every 3-6 hours.

    Ratios should be pretty good, so areas that find themselves getting into a slightly more intense band could see a bit more of additional accumulations. Lots of dry air to overcome with limited moisture particularly north and west that could limit and further reduce accumulations.

    1. I think “mini-banding” features especially later Friday are going to be something we see in eastern MA and why I still kept 8 as my top range, even though I don’t expect any locations to actually measure exactly 8 inches for a total – just felt I should leave the door open for that. You can see these “mini bands” show up as 6+ inch splotches on some of the model output snowfall maps here in eastern sections. This should be mostly late Friday afternoon / early Friday evening when we have our combination of maximum energy from both N & S streams closest-by, our best cyclonic flow aloft, our “strongest” low nearest to us (not that it will be very strong at all), and some ocean enhancement involved as we will have our best low level air movement from the northeast at that point. Cold enough for some fluff n’ feathers too, which will help out.

      1. Tk for planning purposes around ( obviously not holding you to it ) what time could the accumulation stop on Friday is it just into Friday early evening or is it all night going into Saturday morning

    3. I feel NWS has the best handle on the potential OES for later Friday, based on that map. I admit I have not read their updated discussion this morning.

      1. Agreed re NWS – theirs has seemed the outlier the past few storms and except the last one has been the most accurate.

  50. Ho-Hum, A nice mood snow event. Very picturesque. I love watching it snow for 36 hours! Seeing as how this Winter has overachieved my expectations (TK’s forecast not withstanding), this little event will be frosting on the cake AND there is likely to be more down the road.

    Has it/will it be a block buster Winter? Nope, not by a long shot, however, not too bad.

    Do I wish this event would be a biggie? Sure! Will I take it?
    You bet. 🙂

      1. I don’t know about that.

        Getting my 1st vaccination shot tomorrow. Maybe that has something to do with it???? I dunno.

        My wife noticed a mood change yesterday and she wanted to know what was going on. 🙂

          1. Since our office provides services to Boston’s Elderly, Our Executive Director was able to procure vaccine does and provide a clinic at our office to provide vaccines to the elderly. We even purchased a freezer to store the doses. As part of that and the nature of our business, staff are also being given an opportunity to be vaccinated regardless of their age. We are lucky.

            I’ll be getting Moderna, but can’t be picky.

  51. re: Ocean Effect Snow

    I looked at a wind map and drew a zone where there might
    be a little OES enhancement. You will notice more of an ENE
    off shore and more of a NE to NNE wind in Eastern MA.
    I believe this will provide a little convergence to provide
    some OES enhancement.

    https://ibb.co/9T8qCDC

    1. But in the general ballpark of what’s expected from this very drawn out, low-impact event. 🙂

      This is just what I expected and wanted to see from this guidance.

      2. TK – Re: your points above – all valid and possible. As focus generally migrates to the top number I couldn’t pull off in my mind going for a broad range with 8″ even if some isolated 8″ show up.

        I don’t have a lot of faith in the timing of the northern and southern stream energies and with the low itself not particularly potent I don’t think the cyclonic flow energizes enough to generate significant lift to bring widespread 6-8″ amounts. NWS agrees with you so you have sound backing for your forecast.

        In the end, either way, the tangible impact of our differences is negligible.

        After all it’s not like the NWS text location / zone forecasts that will do the 4-10″ type ranges or the TV forecasts when they put up a map of 8-16″

        Hard to be wrong there ….

  59. Southeast Pennsylvania and central New Jersey have stolen the show this morning. Already seeing some 6-9″ reports out of there, probably will be some areas breaking a foot. Mid-Atlantic special on this one.

  60. If there is a band tomorrow I do think it may be inland from Cape Ann in Essex County MA.

    If there is a and area of more intense snow tonight within the WHW area it would be towards the south coast of MA and RI

  61. Working in the funeral business down here in RI we got our first shot. I had no side effects. Hopefully the same for second injection.

    1. I’m 9 days beyond 2nd shot.
      1st: 30 hours of minor to moderate soreness around injection site.
      2nd: 48 hours of minor soreness around injection site / 6-hour period of body aches &b tiredness about 30 hours after injection.

  62. Somewhat unusual for the highest snowfall totals in “east coastal” sections including Boston. The highest or “jackpot” usually occurs a few miles WSW or WNW. It will be interesting if it does verify in a couple days.

  64. I had an appetizer of snow around 4am this morning which coated everything up. Now I am starting to see the snow flakes once again for the main course. Dessert looks to come early tomorrow morning. Parts of PA and NJ looking like they will be the winners from this. Wayne, PA a trained spotter reported 8.7 inches an hour ago.

  66. Unusual cold and snow is a theme this winter globally. Now it’s the Middle East’s turn. https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1362432427654864898

    I’m not a meteorologist, but what I noticed this year that really has made it stand out compared to other years is the widespread coverage of cold and snow. The lobes of cold are very large; not only in height but also width.

  67. Similar to JJ, woke up to a light coating of snow on the ground in Coventry CT this AM. It’s just been cloudy since but a steadier shield of snow is just to our south and appears like it is trying to inch in.

      1. The CT shoreline has had a great winter. This system should put them over 40 inches for the season. The average is 28.2 inches.

  70. Southern CT getting hammered pretty good right now with reports of 1″/hour rates.

    2″ on the ground already in Norwalk.

    Still not a flake up here even though the radar would imply it should be snowing lightly. The northern fringe of this is definitely battling some dry air.

  72. 12z GFS for the storm threat around 2/26 (Next Friday)…

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2021021812&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

    Snowing on the coast down in the Carolinas and Virginia but gets shunted out to sea south of us due to a blocking high over New England…

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2021021812&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

    Shift the strength and location of that high though and it could get more interesting.

    00z Euro also a threat around this time period. Storm looks good and juicy approaching from the west and gets some snow into CT and RI but ultimately gets sheared out and shunted to the south.

    Long ways to go on this one but nice to see a wintery look holding through the month’s end. No big warmups imminent for the time being.

  73. Sorry to be jumping all over the place, but…noticing the 12z CMC, GFSv16, and 00z a bit more robust for Monday and try to pop the coastal a bit further south and sooner. Could be a quick burst of heavier precip Monday but looks like we may end up with some thermal profile issues.

  74. The Monday threat to me always looked like a snow to rain inland and rain at the coast. There is plenty of time for that to change.
    It looks like two things to keep an eye on last week of February.

  76. Keep your friendly neighborhood plow drivers in mind over the next two days. Even though the snow amounts are not “impressive”, crews are going to be on the clock treating and plowing roads from when it starts this evening through early Saturday morning. Long, slow storms are frustrating to deal with. Treat the road, wait, treat again, maybe plow, treat, plow, wait, plow, treat, etc. over a 30 hour time period is not fun when you’re looking at 1/3″ or maybe 1/2″/hour rates.

    Getting this amount in 8-10 hours would be much more easier to deal with!

  79. Vicki – that’s great about your son having his wedding on the summit of Greylock! They have a nice lodge and restaurant up there.

    I have hiked it a few times, including last Labor Day weekend with the kids and dog. I took this shot at the top, looking east. That is the Town of Adams in the valley below…

    https://imgur.com/a/Bkl7Gm7

    1. Thanks, Mark. It is a favorite area for Scott and Cindy. I love your photo and will see to them to see if they recognize. We were given instructions not to summit Greylock until the wedding. Not that there was much danger of that 🙂

  85. A couple of unsuccessful starts in North Providence in the last half hour. Now looks like it has finally started…..very light but steady snow. That dry air must be really strong.

  86. Quick look at the 12z EURO two potential systems next week. The one late next week looks like a rain to snow situation. 994 low crossing Cape Cod.

  87. Up to the minute snow standings. So far NY has 3.2 inches from this current system and have opened up the lead a little bit.
    NY 36.0 inches
    BOS 33.2 inches
    Will BOS close the gap or will NY gain a bigger lead once this system is done???

  88. Literally one flake every 30 seconds or so. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    At this rate it will take 1 million years to accumulate 1 inch!

      2. If you recall I did mention that this area would get most of its snow late Friday…
        I have not changed that thinking at this point.

  94. Snow has let up here. Came down pretty good for an hour or so and dropped maybe a half inch here at my office in Manchester.

    CT Shoreline however got crushed. Reports of 4” of snow now in Clinton, old Lyme, niantic and Waterford. Most of this fell in 4-5 hours.

  96. Fluff factor for the CT shoreline. According a tweet from Ryan Hanrahan at Bridgeport where the official records are kept for the CT shoreline they are now up to 42.3 inches of snow for the season.

  101. Is there any chance that impulse #1 over achieved enough to steal energy from impulse #2 such that #2 is a bust and #1 really didn’t get up here anyway??

    It wouldn’t surprise me in the least.

    Are we hanging our hats on OES?

        1. Well there’s lots of doors really…but enhanced by the final wave & some OES in eastern MA especially, as described above and reiterated in the update SAK posted on his blog and shared here. Same general idea.

          People who wonder where their “8 inches of snow” are sometime this evening will be barking up the wrong tree. 😉 Even if somebody gets 8 out of this, it’ll never seem like that much when it falls over a 30 hour period.

  102. Snow started here in Woburn at 3:30 as a few flakes and is now picking up – still light, but visibility coming down. Nice little band coming along from the W. Nothing crazy, but snow nonetheless.

    The meat of impulse #1 near the South Coast is moving out and from here on we see large splotches of snow expand across the region for the next 30 or so hours, steadiest and most widespread sometime tomorrow afternoon & evening.

  103. The login issue with the admin account has been fixed. The blog has been updated and there is a new post so y’all can head over there for the rest of today. Regularly scheduled update tomorrow morning…

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