DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 2-6)
It’s a dry forecast, with temperature changes to be the events of note during this 5-day period. Today starts with us in the midst of a brief but brutal shot of arctic air with wind, but a slight easing of the wind and the higher angle of the sun in early March will make this afternoon more tolerable than it would have been had this taken place back in January. We’ll see plenty of sunshine too, with only a few passing fair weather clouds trying to form and shredded by the wind. A warm front will cross the region tonight from west to east with some cloudiness, but light snowfall with it will stay north of the region. Wednesday will be the one “warmer” day, getting into the 40s across the region before a cold front slips through from the north at night and turns us colder again for the balance of the week (Thursday-Saturday). Some diurnal cloudiness may limit the sun later Thursday and I’m still expecting some passing clouds and maybe a brief snow flurry on Friday as a pool of cold air moves overhead. Been watching Saturday as the beginning of a period of opportunity for a storm threat, but at this time, that day looks dry as well as we’ll have a large low pressure area in the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure to the west keeping this area protected from any storminess to the south.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 15-30 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill often below 15.
TONIGHT: Clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight. Lows 13-20 evening, rising into the 20s overnight. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, shifting to W overnight.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Lows 18-25 Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow flurries. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 7-11)
A weak trough over the region may allow a few snow showers on March 7 but mainly dry weather is expected for most of this period. Right now it looks like any storminess to the south early in the period won’t be able to get this far north as the upper level pattern in place at the end of the first 5 days of the forecast period will continue to protect the region, but still should keep an eye out as things like this have not quite materialized as guidance suggested in the past. We may see a short-lived warm-up later in the period
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 12-16)
Blocking pattern. A couple of opportunities for unsettled weather which may include frozen precipitation. Temperatures near to below normal.
Thanks Tk . What a night with the wind , it was unreal
Thanks TK!
60F – 10 days from now. Blowtorch?
Good Morning and thank you TK
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK !
Dropping my youngest at school this morning, seeing many small to moderate size tree branches down.
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK.
Fairly large area in northbridge was or is without power. Awesome winds.
I meant to share this yesterday. Credit to Yvette Cendes of Belmont. I showed TK Sunday night. Very clever way to track weather
https://imgur.com/a/dal9bdX
I love that!
It sure is clever. I did ask for permission to share.
Thank you, TK.
After a low of 13 this morning, we have rocketed up to 16.
LOL !!
Wind was nutty last night but relatively lighter over past few hours. Hope the worst is over.
Wind was something else…we had a very large pine tree fall at 4am with the top third hitting the roof of the sunroom on the back of the house….couple broken windows, luckily no one was hurt
Wow! Hope that damage was minimal.
Yeah it could have been a lot worse, if it hit the actual house…it sounded as if the house had exploded when the tree hit
I can imagine. Pretty scary!
Glad you are all ok .
2nd this thought.
Oh my. Sure happy to know no one was hurt but just awful
Glad it didn’t hurt anyone and that you are all safe.
Thanks TK
From Judah Cohen
https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1366762036240257026
We shall see. Fits in with what TK has been saying.
GFS still has the system for the 7th WAAAAAAAAAAAY
off shore
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021030212/126/prateptype_cat.conus.png
GDPS even farther out and away
https://m2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2021030212/120/prateptype.conus.png
Good
GBAGL
Maybe something mid-month?
Thanks Dick.
And that would be
Good Bye And Good Luck!
The current temperature on Mt Washington is -16.6F with wind at 72 mph. The low last night was -26.5F and the peak gust was 131 mph.
Sounds wonderful.
Thank you, TK.
I am sorry about the damage to your home, Go For Snow. Glad no-one was hurt.
Euro has that 7th/8th system waaaaay off shore as well.
It’s lurking around out there.
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021030212/138/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png
BUT, there is ALWAYS room for fakakta CUTTER!!!!!
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021030212/234/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png
Thanks for answering my question above regarding mid-month. 🙁
That isn’t actually the answer for mid month. That’s one run’s depiction of one system that may or may not exist.
I thought he meant the answer to GBAGL. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Oh that’s possible, but that is before mid month. I was thinking he was referring to that solution on that model run. But either way, we have a window of opportunity ahead…
Never got below 14F in Back Bay, at least where I live. It was cold early this morning, but that was more a function of the wind (chill). I enjoyed it. The really nice thing is that practically nobody is out running on a day like today, so I had the Esplanade Park to myself.
SNE vulnerable for winter weather events the week of March 15. Should see one stretch of this before we transition to a spring pattern just in time for…spring. 😛 Of course always a risk of anomalous events through April – that never changes.
Note: The usual caveats apply.
If I may have a moment of “self-promotion”, I entered a photo contest on the NWS FB page, the winner becoming their new cover photo for Facebook & Twitter, and I made the top 10. If you are on Facebook and you would like to help me have a chance to win, go here and “like” the first photo in the group (icicles in the window). Thank you! 🙂 The winner out of these 10 will be determined by “likes” and the voting is open through March 7.
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?vanity=NWSBoston&set=a.3756595884434755
Very nice! You got another like.
Thank you 🙂
I don’t think I stand a chance against some of these top 10, but we’ll see!
I truly think yours is the best.
Agree.
Thank you both very much 🙂 .. There are some great shots there. So far (and it just started) I’m in 3rd place. I don’t think anybody is going to catch that RI sunset photo. It’s already way ahead of the rest.
Great shot. I like the snow scene from Saugus and the hockey players in the Common as well. I’d vote but dont have a FB acct!
I think yours is great . The scituate one is also very nice
It is an excellent photo ! Voted 🙂
Great picture. I liked it through Mrs. North’s account.
12z GFSv16 depicting the mid month return to winter well with cold and a snow event around St Patrick’s Day.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2021030212&fh=360&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Of course were are within 360 hours now so we know we can lock it in 🙂
Oh, it’s a lock as far as I’m concerned …
Great photo, TK.
Don’t have a FB account, unfortunately.
One thing about most arctic airmasses, they usually are nice and sunny.
With the 100% sun today, it made the cold much easier to take.
My grandkids were outside most of the day. I was amazed.
Terrific photo, TK.
I Clicked the like for ya!
Some really great pics.
Thanks everybody for your support on the photo contest, even if you don’t have Facebook! If you do, please consider sharing the album that I shared to you above. Two photos are well ahead of all the others in the votes so far. I’m in second place as of this morning, but the first place photo is well-ahead of mine and will be hard to catch. I guess we will see!
New weather post!