Wednesday March 3 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 3-7)

A warm front crosses the region this morning, made evident by some cloudiness, but the sun returns to areas that are clouded over by later this morning and by this afternoon, temperatures that are some 15 to 20 degrees warmer than yesterday, along with much less wind, will feel quite mild in comparison to the mid winter feel of just 24 hours prior. Don’t get used to the brief warm up though, because the cold core that came down across the area on Tuesday is the result of a little lobe of Polar Vortex, which, because of an evolving blocking pattern, is not going to just exit cleanly through the Canadian Maritime Provinces, but do a loop there, and move back to the west before drifting southward over the northeastern US once again. The leading edge of this at the surface will be a cold front that drops southward through the region tonight. However, since it is March and the sun angle is what it is, this lobe of cold will be modified, so while we will fall to below normal in the temperature department again later this week and through the weekend, it will not be to the degree (no pun intended) of what just left us. The other purpose this pattern and resultant low pressure circulation will do is protect the Northeast from any further visits from low pressure to the south, once a medium range threat for the end of this week, and now apparently that no longer. We will have a couple troughs coming through the region around the upper level low pressure circulation, and this will be responsible for some diurnal cloud development Thursday especially with the aid of the hills & mountains to the north and west, and some of this cloud cover may migrate southeastward into the WHW forecast area if it is not consumed by the dry air in place. On Friday, a little sharper trough may help induce a few snow flurries from another round of diurnal clouds, but these should be more scattered in nature. For the weekend, a fairly similar set-up to Thursday-Friday is expected, with breezy conditions and below normal temperatures. So our one-day “warm-up” today will be followed by a March chill which will last right through the first weekend of the month.

TODAY: Variably cloudy through mid morning. Mostly sunny thereafter. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

THURSDAY: Sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 18-25 Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow flurries. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 16-23. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 8-12)

Low pressure in eastern Canada departs and high pressure sinks to the south of New England providing additional mostly dry weather but this time with a warming trend pushing temperatures to above normal levels. The question to answer is when this warm-up will come to an end via a cold front from the north as colder air re-builds in Canada. That could happen as early as March 11 or 12 along with some unsettled weather by then, but medium range guidance disagrees on this so it will be something to monitor. We will, however, enjoy a preview of spring for at least a few days.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 13-17)

A reorganizing pattern will feature a developing block which will turn our area colder again and eventually provide the opportunity for unsettled weather as well as we head into the final days of astronomical winter.

50 thoughts on “Wednesday March 3 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)”

    2. Hmmm,
      What happens to the count if one sits on FB continually liking the photo, then removing the like and liking it again over and over and over. Would it count ALL of those likes, or would the person
      doing this be clever enough to ONLY count the 1st like?

      Anyone know? 🙂

  5. Thank you, TK!

    Very dry stretch. If this continues brush fire danger ahead later in the month.

      1. Boring is good . Better days ahead March 3 all ready . I think it was on 5 this morning I can’t remember about next week being warmer .

  8. Thanks TK. Dry is indeed the word going forward. Spring preview next week, though several cold days before that. But still some interesting potential towards the third week of the month as well.

  10. Thanks, TK…

    Loved your photo on the NWS Facebook! You are indeed talented!

    Loved them all. There has been many beautiful sunrises and sunsets this winter.

    Off topic:

    I still need to get vaccination appointments for Mrs. Fantastic and her sisters. If anyone out there got their vaccination using the massvax website, what time did you get in queue to get the appointment? I am leaning toward getting up in the middle of the night tomorrow to get into electronic queue.

    What time does the e-queue open?

    The governor announced this morning that teachers can start signing up starting on March 11. Although I believe that teachers need the vaccination, I think the 65+ seniors need to get theirs first before opening it up to the teachers.

    1. Captain i did not get anything through the mass site. Most I know found vaccines by checking individual sites. Did I send you links to the lists I have. Let me know and I will email them if I have not already.

      Also I’m hearing marshfield may well be open to all and not just Plymouth Cty.

      1. Thanks, Vicki. I am constantly on that website. There are never any available appointment. By the time, I see an appointment, it’s gone. Yesterday, I was told there was a 29.5 day wait for an appointment.

        I believe it’s going to be a quirk of fate and being in the right place at the right time when I finally get an appointment.

        1. By that site do you mean the mass one? I’m posting the sites on the covid page I used. I would not recommend using the MA one. I am sure it has worked for some but I don’t know of one person who has lick.

          My list went to moderation. I am sure I did something wrong. I messaged TK. There is an amazing FB page that a person..,I think in healthcare system…has put together that has helped many. I know you are not on FB so wish you luck with these

        2. Captain. While TK releases my post from whatever I did wrong, I emailed you the links I used. One is to sign up for CVS available notifications and there is another cvs link also to apply.

          1. I am also getting emails from mgh brigham and umass saying I’m eligible and to Sign up with them.

    2. Captain my wife is on day & night with no luck . She has illnesses that qualify her . Sucks so bad for her . If she gets covid it could it would be very , very bad .

      1. Thanks, SSK…I have an email into the head nurse in my school and if I hear anything, I will share it with you and everyone here!!!

      2. Darn SSK. I’m surprised she hasn’t been able to get one at Marshfield. I don’t know what hospitals her pcp or any physicians are located at but BI, mgh brigham, umass are all sending out emails or texts to say I am qualified and to contact them to sign up.

        1. It’s brutal & stress is the worst thing for chrones disease. She’s basically now in tears everyday . I just tried some site & everywhere says no appointments. Just a real crappy way of doing things .

    1. 1) You can’t really trust models beyond day 3.
      2) A blocking pattern does not automatically deliver snow. It depends on the specs of the block.
      3) We’ll probably see TWO different blocks and it’s the second one we need to watch. I was initially incorrect about this transition.

  13. Clarification:
    For the purposes of THIS snow season, Boston’s average snowfall remains at 43.8 inches (correction from what I said before). The NWS has stated that the new 30-year normals take effect in May 2021.

  14. TK I was wondering why May was chosen to start the new 30 year average and why it did not happen on January 1st of this year?

    1. I did not ask. I’m not sure …but they probably wanted to get through the snow season. In that case they should have just waited until July 1 but I suppose May is as good as any time..

        1. I believe that will be the new # they use. But for this season, it’s still 43.8 (so what you posted before was actually correct). I was misinformed (or misunderstood) the start time for this.

        2. Yes, it has too be warm enough to create the contrast to least to the sea breeze circulation.

  16. Philip I believe that number will be the new average for snowfall for a winter season in Boston. I remember Eric tweeting that out a few months ago.

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