Thursday March 4 2021 Forecast (7:38AM)

46 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 4-8)

Hope your enjoyed your one-day reprieve from the cold because it’s coming back for the rest of this week, though not in as much force as previously, and definitely not with the same magnitude of wind, although it will be breezy over the next few days as low pressure does a long, slow loop across eastern Canada and high pressure sits off to the west. This pattern will also continue to protect the region from what could have been a storm threat from the south around the weekend. You will notice a change as early as the conclusion of the weekend, marking a pulling away of the low pressure area and the high center sinking off to the southeast, so by the time we get to the start of next week on Monday, it will feel much more pleasant again.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 16-23. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 9-13)

High pressure shifts to the Middle Atlantic and before any cold fronts can sneak down from Canada we warm to above normal for a couple of days to start this period, before that cold air does make a come-back (timing unknown). Should remain generally dry through the period, however.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 14-18)

A blocking pattern should keep us on the cooler to colder side once again, but being near a boundary between a cold Canada and northeastern US and much warmer air to the south increases the chances for unsettled weather, which may include additional opportunities for some frozen precipitation. Winter is not over yet…

46 thoughts on “Thursday March 4 2021 Forecast (7:38AM)”

  2. Thank you, TK. Off for vaccine in about 45 min. I am nervous which is very uncharacteristic of me.

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Up to 35 here.

    Yet another weekend is almost upon is..
    Where does the time go?

  6. TK,
    thank you for that link from the other blog. You are ahead by a large margin! Hope you win. Is there a prize?

  7. As I look back at met winter, I feel like I had some strong hits and some equal misses. The December 15-20 tine period was nailed as a prime period for accumulating snow. Although the warm intrusions and rain was of a higher impact then I was thinking , which rapidly eroded the snowpack. From the 20th on a transition to a dry bur seasonable pattern came to fruition: where I for sure failed was on the worm turning for a period of above normal temperatures in February. I was caught too often looking for signs of that transition, no matter how delayed. I for sure at times can suffer from confirmation bias when it comes to looking for hypothesis verification.

    After a cool down trough Monday, the Tuesday – Thursday period, maybe Friday too, looks to run above normal to much above normal temperature wise away from coastal locations. Then a period of below normal temperatures and an overall not particularly pleasant period should present itself in the 14-18th timeframe. This does not mean significant accumulating and impactful snowfall in the areas of SNE where most people. As the calendar turns to mid March all of the things we know about, elevation, BL temps, temps on the surface, surface type, precip intensity, tine of day and sun angle all impact areal coverage of impactful accumulating snow.

    I think the watch period is not so much the first potential system in the 14th – 15th period but one maybe around the 17th? However that system could track far enough south to not be a direct hit, but after evolve with a long southern and eastern fetch that could impact much of SNE with precipitation, albeit somewhat light. All of the factors noted above then come into play regarding impacts.

    Around 20th or so another period of moderation may take place.

    March has a lot of swings, that’s the constant.

  9. I can honestly say I can’t imagine anyplace being more efficient than Milford Regional. I’m sure there are some as efficient…just not more. I was in and out in 30, including the 5 min wait after vaccine. They wipe seats and desk area between people and also wipe door handles. And everyone was charming.

      1. Moderna and yes….same time, same place, on April fools day. Not sure I’m thrilled with that 🙁

          1. You automatically get the card & when you go to get the second dose you need to bring it with you as folks are being told ( this is extremely important) and when you get your first dose they tell you when to come back for second dose & it’s the same kind that shot 1 was & at same location ( just maybe a different section as here at the hospital we have a first shot section & a second shot location . Glad it’s started for you Vicki

                1. My wife’s sister and her husband got their first and did not get a card and now are having real problems scheduling their 2nd.

        2. My 2nd Moderna shot is the 18th.
          I shall report on the side effects.
          Whatever they are, I bet they are better than going to the hospital unable to breathe.

          2. I had a bad headache on 2 days and an unbelievable runny nose for 2 days with the 1st one. Can’t imagine what the 2nd one will be like. Good luck,

      1. Really. That is awesome. Mac moved from Dana Boston to Dana Milford. He was in the hospital when his battle got worse. I can honestly say his care there was even better than Brigham and much better than newton Wellesley.

  10. So apparently the NWS is getting rid of Advisories. Not really sure what they are going to do when adivisory criteria is met

  11. Thanks TK, and JMA!

    As Matt mentioned above, some big NWS news today, continuing what’s been a rather busy stretch for the agency. All “Advisory” products are being discontinued, no sooner than 2024. Internal discussion and public surveys/social science research on this matter have been going on for years. Would definitely recommend reading the full statement and attached reference material for more.

    https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/pns21-12_haz_simp_headlines.pdf

    My brief personal thoughts… this is generally a step in the right direction. There will be some wrinkles to iron out, and it will take some adjusting and getting used to. But the research backing this move is pretty definitive. The general public and even many core NWS partners do not have a good understanding of the term ‘advisory’.

  13. Thank you, TK.

    Nice tranquil stretch of several days of late winter coming up.

    Vicki, I’m glad you got your first dose of Moderna.

  14. From Ryan Hanrahan
    Tsunamic Warning for parts of New Zealand after a M8.0 earthquake. Will have to see if the tsunami threat extends to other areas across the Pacific.

  15. My wife finally got an appointment by calling the 211#. Next Friday prizer at the RL arena in Roxbury.

    2. A friend of ours who lives in Marshfield couldn’t get their website to work and she called 211 and got an appointment.

      1. Yeah she called the council of aging & they told her to call 211 . I know she had before with no luck . They have parking there old salty . This made my night .

    4. Awesome news SSK. I was telling my youngest earlier how it is inexcusable that your wife has not found an appt!

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