Thursday March 11 2021 Forecast (6:56AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 11-15)

Our warm surge peaks today with a southwest wind increasing across the region, driving the warm air in. But of course, any time in the late winter into very early spring the ocean waters around New England are at their coldest of the season, and that influence will be seen in the lower temperatures across the South Coast region and also cooler along portions of our irregular eastern shoreline where pieces of land stick out in such a way that there is enough water to their southwest to cool them down as well. Two cold fronts will cross there region, one Friday morning and another Friday evening, to put an end to the mild party, but the first front, which may produce a brief rain shower as it passes, is not delivering the cold air, just a wind shift and an ever-so-slightly cooler air mass than the one we’ll be in today. It is the second front which will bring us back to reality for the coming weekend, which will be decidedly colder, along with wind. Initially, some of the wind Friday night into early Saturday may be strong enough to result in some downed tree limbs on weaker trees, with isolated power outages. The weekend will be dry as we get a fresh delivery of arctic air, and this cold and dry weather will continue through Monday, “The Ides of March”…

TODAY: Areas of light fog early morning. Partly sunny. Highs ranging widely from 45-52 Nantucket and outer Cape Cod to 53-60 remainder of South Coast to 61-68 most other areas except 65-72 interior valley locations. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly cloudy overnight. Temperatures rise to near 50 where they were in the 40s previously, elsewhere lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with a possible rain shower early morning, then mostly sunny. Highs 60-67 except 52-59 South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to W.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 41-48. Wind N 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near 0 at times.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 16-20)

Cold Canada, warm US Southeast, we should be near but on the colder side of the boundary for most of this period. Temperatures below normal. Watching for two possible low pressure impacts that may include frozen precipitation for at least parts of the region.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 21-25)

The early days of astronomical spring will find us still in a battle zone between lingering winter air in Canada and warming early spring air in the US Southeast. This is not atypical whatsoever for our region at this time of year. We’ll be vulnerable to temperature swings and additional unsettled weather.

47 thoughts on “Thursday March 11 2021 Forecast (6:56AM)”

    1. We had a bit of light fog in my area too…
      Temp dropped to meet the rising dew point. 🙂

  8. Logan at 50 as of 9 a. m. .. lots of clouds but good warm air advection. I’ll give them 67 or 68.

    Go ahead, over achieve!

  9. Thanks TK.

    Enjoy today….it’s just a tease!

    Two snowstorms next week on the 6z GFS…one Wednesday and one Friday.

    Run total Kuchera snow with significant accumulations inland:

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2021031106&fh=216&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    6z GFSv16 Snow with accumulations right down to the coast and 12″ for Boston…

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=snku_acc&rh=2021031106&fh=216&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    12z is running now….let’s see if we can get a little more run to run consistency 🙂

  11. Thanks TK!

    70s starting to pop up on the board down here. Give it another couple hours for SNE – this steady southwest wind will drag it up there. Beautiful day!

    This will likely be the warmest day for quite awhile. At this point, I’m not sold on any significant wintry precipitation events in SNE over the next 10-14 days. We should finally at least see a chance for precipitation return to the forecast, and one or two systems may pose a threat for mixed precip. But the upper level pattern doesn’t scream major storminess to me, and the pattern may actually remain relatively inactive in the East. We’re also definitely getting to the time of year where you want to look inland for additional snow chances.

    1. I do not think Boston / south will see another big snow event . This month is moving along fast & I am hitting the like button .

      1. It’s moving at the usual pace and Boston is definitely not out of the woods for event opportunities. 🙂

        1. I agree & of course my thinking is just hunch based , but I feel pretty good with my hunch feeling . I do realize it could indeed happen even into April but I’m not feeling it . I’ve started buying some new summer clothes .

            1. I suspected it would be once that sun came out . It took most of the day in the city but it’s shining & warm .

  17. Just made 70 here in JP. It was 60 at Noon, a 10 degree jump
    in 2 hours! Who would have thought that would happen?

  20. Did Logan break a record today? Hmmm, let me see.
    The old record was 67. Current temperature 74!

    Logan broke the record by 7 Degrees! I’d say we SMASHED it!

  21. I see my reverse psychology worked. 😉

    I am out for a very nice afternoon walk. 😀

  23. MBTA subway stations quite cold today. As soon as I got off the Orange Line at Back Bay, it felt like a freezer.

    1. The cold air sits down there while it warms up above, outside. Typical late winter / early spring phenom in the city. 🙂

  25. I feel old today. Dale Arnold is retiring. Who’s next, Ordway? As anyone who has seen my posts knows I love weather, but also sports. Upon returning to the U.S. in the mid 1990s I learned to love local sports radio, as a diversion, as company while I cooked, did the dishes, or was simply driving my kids to school. Dale Arnold was a staple on the Boston sports radio scene. He did Bruins games on WBZ, but also co-hosted a number of talk shows, including one with the famous Eddie Andelman. Arnold’s voice was made for radio: Resonant, clear, and authoritative. His approach to talk radio was even-keeled, sober, almost. This probably became less of an asset – perhaps even a disadvantage – in recent years. Yet, I still liked it. I don’t go for the flashy, or hot `takes’ (I hate the word `take’), or hyperbole, or put-downs. So yes, Dale Arnold was my kind of talk show host. And after tomorrow no more. Sad.

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