DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 13-17)
Low pressure to our east drifts away today but we’ll still be in a northeasterly air flow behind it with a gusty breeze at times. A weak ridge of high pressure moves over the region Wednesday which will be a decent day with less wind and feeling a bit milder than today will. The next low pressure system approaches from the southwest later Thursday and likely has a more significant impact on our area than the last few have. This is good news, as it looks like it may deliver a batch of significant and beneficial precipitation, mostly in the form of rain. But, the air above us is going to be quite cold for mid April and we may see some mix/snow in higher elevations of interior southern New England. There is some chance that flakes occur even at lower elevations close to the coast if the set-up is just right. It’s hard to forecast such an occurrence more than a couple days in advance, so it will have to be monitored. This system should be slowly pulling away from the region by Saturday, which will likely be a blustery and cool spring day with limited sun, and may even start wet in some areas, depending on how fast the storm system exits.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 39-46. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coastal areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 45-52. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain possible near the South Coast in the afternoon. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely South Coast. Chance of rain to the north. Areas of fog forming. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to E 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Overcast. Rain likely, may mix with or turn to snow some interior higher elevations late day or evening. Temperatures steady 38-45 to start, then may fall slowly. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH except 15-25 MPH coast with higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain, some mix/snow interior higher elevations and possibly a few lower elevations and coastal areas, tapering off and ending. Lows 32-39. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy start with lingering rain and/or drizzle eastern coastal areas, then mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 18-22)
High pressure builds in with fair, milder weather for April 18-19. A trough may bring some unsettled weather April 20-21 before fair weather returns at the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 23-27)
Next wet weather threat times for the middle of this period which should feature a more zonal (west to east) pattern. Still have to keep this a vague, low confidence forecast at this time.
Thanks, TK. Good morning, everyone.
Beautiful, bright sun this morning — and a bird call/conversation that was new to me.
Thank you, TK. Lovely blue sky with some haze. 53
Happy birthday to Tom, with warm wishes for a spectacular year ahead.
Thanks Vicki !
Happy birthday Tom!
Good morning and thank you TK.
re: Friday
to me, looking more and more that the storm center
will be too close to coast or even inland some, meaning any snow will be confined to the Western part of SNE. Still time, so it needs to be watched, but right now I am NOT feeling it for any areas
close to the coast. Looking forward to the 12Z runs.
I am sure I’m in the minority but would love to see some accumulation
I don’t care one way or the other. It will be what it will be.
Nothing I can do about it. I would, however, probably have a smile should it snow here. 🙂
Ditto.
Wait….what? Where did you put our JPD? 😉
He’s sitting right here. Bullshit as ever!
My wife was scheduled to receive her J&J vaccine
on This Thursday. Now the state has paused all
J&J vaccinations until the blood clot issue is
thoroughly investigated. I am not angry at the state, I am angry that this vaccine causes this problem. It was the only one she would be remotely able to take.
https://boston.cbslocal.com/2021/04/13/johnson-johnson-vaccines-jj-covid-massachusetts-appointment-blood-clots/?fbclid=IwAR0I0oevEFrvJleh4vZRid3bEcX2UPDyREcM7eKU71W-Pyt6Q1YpaEnDjew
Now, I guess we WAIT some more being stuck in the house)~!#*@(*#^(!@^@#*(!)@(*#&!(*@^#*(!^@#&^!)@*(#^*(!@#*^!)(*@#^)*(!^@#)&^!)&*@^#&)!^@#*(&!*(@^#*(!^)@(*#^!(*@&#*(!^@#*()^!()*@#^(*!^)@(*#^!*(@^#*(!^@(#*^!(*^#*(!^@#*(^!*(@#^(*!^@(*#^!*(@^#*(!^@(*#^!(*^#(*!^@#(^!(*@#^(*!^@#(*^!(*@#^(*!^@*#(^!(*@^#
Oh, sorry JpDave.
Glad she didn’t get the vaccine with this development.
Hopefully, she can get Pfizer or moderna soon or the j and j vaccine can be researched to prove its safe.
We virtually certain that she cannot take the other 2. That is the reason we were so excited about
the J&J vaccine. Just her luck.
Oh noooo. I am really sorry to hear this. The presser this am was quite informative. If you were unable to listen, they said there will be a recording available. It seems Mrs OS has her physicians advice which is perfect as he/she will know more. And the age range to date is 18-48.
Thanks TK.
Vicki, did the Sutton Mosquitoes succumb to those nights in the 20’s? I hope so!
I have not seen any here. But the ones in nearby Uxbridge did not succumb. Darn
And our blue sky is succumbing to the clouds
Hope you are well and enjoying your morning 🙂
Are these the new genetically engineered ones that can resist freezing temperatures?
Bite your tongue. Between mosquitoes and allergens, I know another reason (other than snow) that I like winter. I can sit outside and just enjoy.
Thanks TK !
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK
Happy Birthday Tom!!!
12Z NAM for wee hours of Friday.
https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021041312/066/ref1km_ptype.us_ne.png
Note that 850 mb AND 925 mb temps are well below
freezing right to the coast. Hmmm anything can happen with this.
8AM Friday…getting closer to the coast.
https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021041312/072/ref1km_ptype.us_ne.png
Bring out the shovels and plows … Well, perhaps in inland, higher elevation locations.
Btw, JPD, I’m sorry to hear about your wife’s vaccine appointment cancellation. Hopefully this is just a brief pause.
Thanks Joshua,
Not sure what we are going to do now. I can get her
a Pfzier or Moderna, but we fear her reaction to either of those. That is why we chose the J&J in the 1st place.
Thank you, TK.
I am not buying the 12z NAM. NO WAY will there be accumulating snow down to CT shoreline. Northwest and Northeast Hills I could see but not the amounts being shown.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2021041312&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
One never knows, but the Shadow Knows
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mrRlFZSBrJQ
12Z RDPS is rolling now. We’ll see what that has to say.
RDPS is a little higher and tighter
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/rdps/2021041312/069/prateptype.us_ne.png
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/rdps/2021041312/084/snku_acc.us_ne.png
Ditto GFS
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021041312/069/prateptype_cat.us_ne.png
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021041312/087/snku_acc.us_ne.png
Looks like a good bet that the Berkshires get hit pretty good.
The 12z RDPS looks more believable than the 12z runs of the American models.
From Ryan Hanrahan
Still plenty of time to watch this but some of our computer models are starting to show the potential for significant snow in the hills Thursday night and Friday morning. A late season snowstorm is a possibility.
Euro comes right up over Boston. No snow that way.
https://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021041312/078/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne.png
https://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021041312/096/sn10_acc.us_ne.png
I might be way off but 12z EURO and RDPS look like the most likely outcome. I am not buying what the 12z American Models are showing.
Some consistency in Berkshire snow. It would be fun to have here but would love to see ski areas get it.
One thing that can be ruled out for Friday: freezing rain. That can only happen with temperatures below freezing on surfaces that are below freezing. That combination will not exist on Friday.
Could be a possibility way up in the White Mountains, perhaps, with a track that favors an east/southeast wind. But, you’re right that anywhere else it’s not.
ha ha ha
18Z NAM is getting closer with the snow
https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021041312/069/ref1km_ptype.us_ne.png
https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021041312/084/snku_acc.us_ne.png
how about 10:1 just to give an idea of how much snow is expected to fall, even if NO way it would accumulate like this.
https://maps9.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021041312/084/sn10_acc.us_ne.png
I dunno, 18Z 3KM NAM showing it quite cold above us, even at the coast. Things “could” still happen. We shall see.
you posted 12z Nam. 18z nam shows historical snowfall for eastern mass lol
Some snow in the air in Minneapolis. Nothing unusual about that. I’ve been to that city several times in April and May, and every time I was there it snowed at least once, including at a ballgame in April of 2011. Also a trip in May of 2016. Just flurries, but still. https://sports.yahoo.com/snowy-scenes-red-sox-vs-203537278.html
Happy birthday Tom
Thanks, TK…
Happy Birthday, my friend and fellow educator, Tom!
TK, we moved our football game from Friday night to Thursday night. When does the rain come into Middleborough Thursday night? After 8 pm?
Snow, Captain. Please think snow 😉
I think it may be there before that…
Hello fellow bloggers. Even tho i no longer live in mass i still come and read sometime.
here is 18z nam. shows a historic easter mass late sesson storm. of course this might verify since i no longer live here :p
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2021041318&fh=78&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=snku_acc&m=nam
Between you not being here and my sons in law storing snowblowers for the summer, yep….just May happen
Nice to see you here !!!
I may not always comment but i am peaking here and there. gives me nostalgic feeling!
🙂
New weather post!