19 thoughts on “C-19 Chat Post – May 6 2021”

  1. Broadway will open up again in mid-September to 100% full capacity. Tickets to shows now available today.

    Yankees and Mets will be at 100% capacity for those who have been fully vaccinated.

  2. Nepal being hit very hard. https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2021/apr/30/nepal-facing-deadly-covid-wave-similar-to-india-doctors-warn

    This explains the outbreak at the base of Mt. Everest among climbers and sherpas.

    Weirdly, coronavirus is like a rolling rally that goes around in circles. In the U.S. the Pacific Northwest is now a hot spot, which it wasn’t for 13 months. Last time it was a hot spot was at the beginning of the pandemic. My guess is that it travels south to California soon. We see this kind of pattern everywhere. The circuit breaker is vaccinations. However, the vaccination rate is running out of steam in America, and we need to get above 60% fully vaccinated nationwide to feel safe from the rolling rally of virus. Israel has broken the chain of transmission, with a vaccination percentage of 65%.

    1. Good information, Joshua.

      The rolling pattern has happened often enough that I would hope some day measures would be taken proactively. But can you imagine a politician telling constituents that he will reinstitute masks and capacity restrictions, etc. to break the cycle in order to prevent an increase in cases

      1. Good grief, I cannot imagine that in the U.S. I think that here anyway, the response to the next wave, say, November of this year will be a Gallic shrug. I say this not to suggest there will be a wave. But there might. And suppose it’s the B.1.617 variant that takes over and evades vaccines, at least to a degree. Well, more Gallic shrugs. We’re quite a Darwinian nation.

  3. I’m still concerned about my non-response to the vaccines. Looking stuff up – which is NOT a good idea – I did find a great tweet describing a person’s husband’s reaction to the Pfizer shot: “My husband was down for a couple of days with flu-like symptoms. He’s not in good shape and a bit whiny, though.”

      1. No. Or very little information from folks who didn’t react at all. This is a typical tweet regarding the 2nd shot: https://twitter.com/alanmcn1/status/1390396380422852612

        You’ll notice a few people who reply to the tweet didn’t have “much of a reaction.” But Vicki I had zero response. I could have run a marathon the night of the shot, the next morning, etc …

        1. Joshua while we all had strong reactions, I have many friends who were just like you.

        1. Under-reporting is especially bad in countries like Brazil and India. But countries in Europe aren’t immune either. Best way to approximate what’s been going on globally over the past 16 months is excess mortality. It’s way up in many, many countries.

          Mark my words, next up on the rolling virus rally is the least vaccinated and least prepared continent – Africa. Once these more transmissible and lethal variants take root it will be bad there.

  4. Following on from the University of Washington estimates, India is suppressing the real death toll numbers, by a very wide margin. This tweet contains a 3 minute BBC report – once again the very best in the business of broadcasting – on rural India and the massive toll it is taking. The variants in India must be more lethal. Younger people are dying in droves. Let’s hope – and I’m cautiously optimistic – that the vaccines work against these frightening variants. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1390438410729500676

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