Monday May 10 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)

33 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 10-14)

A wave of low pressure brought 90% of its rain to the region from around midnight to sunrise this morning, and the other 10% will be exiting via the eastern coastal areas by mid morning. And that’s it. The rest of the day, clouds will start to break with the arrival of drier air, although complete regional clearing is not expected. Another disturbance has to move through from west to east tonight and may trigger a quick passing rain shower or two. An upper level low pressure area with lots of cold air aloft has to cross the region Tuesday into Wednesday, and will be responsible for the development of diurnal cloudiness each day (clouds that form from the sun’s heating of the ground and the heated moisture in the air rising into colder air above). Some of these clouds may grow enough to produce a few showers Tuesday afternoon, but they should not quite reach that capability on Wednesday. High pressure builds into the region Thursday and Friday with nice weather, though by later Friday a disturbance will be approaching from the west and may already be sending at least some cloud patches into our sky.

TODAY: Cloudy start with rain exiting eastern areas early. Clouds breaking for partial sun by midday and afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind N to W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sunny start, then lots of clouds with a passing rain shower possible. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds decrease. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny start, then a cloud/sun mix. Highs 57-64. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 63-70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 15-19)

A slow-moving but fairly weak upper level low pressure area will drift across the region from west to east during the May 15-16 weekend, with both days having the risk of isolated to scattered showers, but mostly rain-free and seasonably mild. The early part of next week holds uncertainty. There are still signs of a warm-up, but how extensive it is and how long it lasts is a question any time there is chilly air still nearby, which there will be, in eastern Canada. More to come on that…

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 20-24)

Leaning cooler to start, then moderation, mostly dry, and maybe finally a chance of some rainfall later in the period.

33 thoughts on “Monday May 10 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)”

        1. I’ll take it. We are in good shape as of this moment.

          14.94 inches since 1/1. We are very close to average here.

          Everything is GREEN!

  5. Thanks, TK…Good morning, everyone!

    0.71″ here in the Silver City. 4.33″ in the last couple of weeks.
    48 again. My thermometer seems to only know one number in the month of May and that’s 48.

    I was outside late morning yesterday taking photos of my flowering crabapple and saw the halo around the sun:

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/Np9wgMU2zu2sqVak7

    Mark, so sorry about your shoulder surgery, but glad you’re on the mend!

    Enough stalling and back to correcting some quizzes! I am worse than my students!

    29 school days left and these are the last three days of remote teaching! The Band is back together next Monday, May 17. It will be the first time that all four grades will be back together at MHS (minus the 150ish students in Cohort 4) since Thursday, March 12, 2020!

    1. Thanks Captain. 2 weeks down and 2 to go in the sling, then I can start physical therapy. Just had my sutures removed this AM.
      Getting there!

      2. Good progress, Mark. I’m hoping the pain is minimal and recovery is speedy

        My son had torn meniscus surgery Friday and stopped by yesterday for a visit. His cast is huge. Somehow he managed to find the team physician for the Patriots to perform the surgery.

    2. Awesome photo. Such a perfect day to have a halo in the sky. We missed the halo. My daughters friends snapped photos and posted on FB thought. Spectacular.

  6. Thank you, TK.

    Green is the theme. Also, because we’ve had no warm weather to speak of the flowers (eg, tulips, azalea’s, even daffodils) are lasting a very long time. Nicest spring I can remember, actually. Not too much yo-yo’ing. And a very sunny March.

      1. I would also love to be able to put away my winter coat. I am wearing it today and it feels mighty good. There is still early morning coolness, not to mention the daily sea breezes here in Boston especially.

  7. Thanks TK.

    1.04″ in the rain gauge here in Coventry CT from last night into the overnight and now 2.44″ 10 days into the month of May. Nice soaking rain event.

    2. My father was stationed in Alaska during the Korean War. It took him awhile getting used to those “sunsets”, or lack thereof. He also experienced his first earthquake as well.

  9. Thank you, TK. A bit dreary but I don’t mind the feel. We had our first oriole at our oranges feeder this am so he brightened the day. Interestingly, our first last year was May 9. Seems they have a schedule

    1. Yes, orioles do have a schedule of sorts. I tend to see orioles in May. What a sight. Beautiful bird. Spectacular, like so many birds in North America. Orioles are also incredibly engineers. Their hammock nests are something to behold.

      1. They are a lovely bird with quite an impressive song. Others in Sutton have been seeing them for a bit. I put my oranges out about 10 days ago.

        The eggs in our bluebird house have hatched. We can hear the babies chirping. Is is a thrill

  11. NWS 6-10 & 8-14 (I still hate that they overlap and I think a 6-10 & 11-15 would work better) both call for above normal temps & below normal precip for New England. I’m not 100% convinced on the temps yet, but I do agree on the return to dry.

  12. Thanks TK.

    The upcoming pattern in the Northeast looks drier to me as well, and generally quite tranquil and free of any significant hazards.

    The past few weeks have delivered handily from a rainfall perspective though. We’re perfectly set for at least several weeks, even if we turn considerably drier.

  14. I’d like to go back to late fall and winter please where I am not sneezing and coughing on and off all day.

    TK…is that in your bag of tricks? If so,,thank you !

    1. If only! The allergies are going to be an issue for sufferers the next few days with a gusty breeze and more dry air.

      The good news is the season seems to be moving along rather quickly now and we may come out of it about a week earlier than we did last year. The indicator is the pine pollens, which are starting to show up now, and are usually the “big finale” (pun intended, since pine pollen is the largest and most visible). The pine pollens, because of their size, are the least bothersome in terms of allergies but irk some people by leaving that yellow-green “dust” everywhere, including indoors if you have open windows.

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