Briefly Colder, No Major Storms

156 Comments

3:51PM

A  cold front moving through with no precipitation, few clouds, but plenty of wind, will bring a shot of cold air into the Boston area tonight through Thursday night. High pressure north of the region will give a bright day on Thursday.  Clouds will move in rapidly by early Friday as a disturbance from the west moves in, probably in 2 stages, 1 during the day and a second one at night. The track of these disturbances will determine whether the Boston area sees rain/snow showers, or a period of mix/snow. Leaning toward option number 1 right now, but the second disturbance’s track may be close enough to go either way. A sliver of high pressure will bring dry weather for First Night and milder weather to the region for the start of 2012 on  Sunday, but a cold front approaching by late day will increase clouds and bring a threat of rain showers later Sunday. A second cold front on the observed holiday, Monday, will bring colder temperatures and a snow shower risk. Fair, cold weather is expected as we head toward the middle of the first week of 2012.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clearing. Low 18-23. Wind W 15-25 MPH gusting over 30 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. High 30-35. Wind W 10-20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Low 20-25 early then rising back toward 30 later. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of snow showers in the morning and rain showers in the afternoon. High 40-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers changing back to snow showers. Snow accumulation less than 1/2 inch. Low 30-35. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers through mid morning. High 35-40. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT – NEW YEAR’S EVE: Partly cloudy. Low 24-29. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY – NEW YEAR’S DAY: Partly sunny in the morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. High 40-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow showers. Low 30. High 40.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 15. High 33.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 13. High 31.

156 thoughts on “Briefly Colder, No Major Storms”

  1. Thanks TK for the update.

    Just looked at the 18Z NAM. For awhile it really looked interesting for the next
    clipper as it looked to be getting energized and become a little more potent. In fact
    it does, however, it then is progged by the NAM to pass just to our North even a bit more North than the NAM 12Z run, giving parts of Northern NE some fairly decent snow and not much if any for us. This morning’s 12Z GFS tracks it even farther North. I just don’t see this thing tracking far enough to the South to give us any snow to speak of.

    Perhaps it will change. Just not looking that way so far.

    With frequent shots of colder air soming, perhaps we can get a Northern Stream storm going or even better some phasing for a biggie down the road? We’ll keep on looking as long as there are model runs to look at. We have to hit on one sooner or later, of course, unless it ends up a snowless Winter.

  2. OS maybe up in Augusta where I am at I can see some this storm for once!! Been so busy with my wife’s family haven’t had a chance to look at QPF up here.

    1. It was in the 50s this morning on the cape. I would say the last hour the temp
      has gone way down. It is just darn right cold and windy here. If this were only last night.

  6. For the first time that I can remember in months…..the CPC’s temp outlooks are below normal for New England. Unfortunately, it looks very dry as well.

          1. I am, thanks…..Took a 2 day trip up to see relatives in the Lowell area. Just got home a short while ago. I see your down the Cape, hope thats fun ! I like the Cape all seasons.

        2. Or perhaps we get a Northern Stream clipper redevelop
          South of us or move South of us for a reasonable sized snow storm? We usually get one of those in a season. just maybe during the upcoming week or two, we can catch one.

          OR, how about a “walking willie” coming down from Canada with our cold air in place and igniting a coastal
          redevelopment on the attending warm from laced just
          to the South of Long Island. Saw this once with a Valentines Day storm in 1964? I think. It might have been 63 or 65. Boston received 15 Inches with winds to 55 mph!

          2. I believe you on the second one Old Salty, I had never heard that term or type of storm before…… I really like when a clipper travels just south of New England and deepens quickly, as you described in your first paragraph. That would be great to have one of those scenarios.

            1. I heard it from Don Kent, the old weather master from Channel 4 and one of the first TV weathermen ever.

              It was an open wave in Ontario, not a typical clipopper. Had a warm from tilted Souteastward and a cold front
              tilted SouthWestward. The system dived to the South east with the warm
              front drapped just to the south of
              Long island. We were forcast to have
              about 3 inches of quick hitting fairly intense snow. Only problem was it did NOT quit and a new storm formed on the warm front and BLEW UP! A truly awesome and unusual storm.

  7. Looking at a loop of the Burlington, VT radar….looks like Middlebury, VT has repetitive green echos over it indicating heavy snowshowers/squalls. I’ll be interested to see some of the Vermont snow reports tomorrow.

    1. ok, just peaked at Burlington, VT NWS office discussion. Sounds nasty up there in northwestern VT with a flashfreeze going on and lots of snowshowers falling.

  8. Henry Margusity is calling for no snows until mid-February…certainly hope we don’t have to wait THAT long. My bet is the pattern change takes place the 2nd half of January at the latest lasting into February…not going to even think about March right now (shudder). 😉

    I was worried briefly that we might have a snowless January as well, but after looking up some stats, when Boston receives a trace of snow in December, good snows always follow for January-February. The only issue of course is that the still winter ends up below normal with the exception of 1891-92 = 46.8″ and 1957-58 = 44.7″.

    All we can do for now is keep track of the NAO…so far it does trend negative gradually
    through the month of January. 🙂

      1. Works for me John. I’m trying not to read too much. Don’t want to worry if we will have trouble getting to the beach. I hope you are having a great getaway at the cape!

  10. Hey Old Salty…is “Walking Willie” an actual term for an Alberta clipper “specifically” that redevelops south of NE?

    I have never even remotely heard of that type of snowstorm…I wonder if TK has? 🙂

  12. Red Sox & A’s announce deal that sends Andrew Bailey and Ryan Sweeney to Boston for Josh Reddick and prospects Raul Alcantara and Miles Head

  14. First time I have seen below normal temps forecasted by the CPC in both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks in quite some time. To bad precipitation is not above normal in either outlook.

        1. Oh there will be snow. I can guarantee it. We just decided not to get boots out of attic to pack for the beach. Its like not taking an umbrella We will be shoveling in sneakers

  20. I was looking at OS post for Augusta Maine where I am with family. GFS showed .50 QPF up there but nam is much less.

    2. The NAM has been crapola lately, so we’ll see. The GFS hasn’t been all that consistent either with this clipper.

    3. Huge ridge over Alaska, if only this could verify…
      00z GFS hour 384

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fgfs%2F20111229%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_372_500_vort_ht.gif&fcast=372&imagesurls=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=UPPER+AIR+PARMS&pname=500_vort_ht&cycle=12%2F29%2F2011+00UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&nextImage=yes

  22. clipper system for late week looks like it will be mainly rain showers for southern new england for friday/friday night with the storm that was possible early to mid next week being to far south but will allow some of the coldest air of the season to filter in. with highs only being in the 20s with lows i think can reach as low as the single digits. in some areas

  23. Where’s the snow? Where’s winter? The ponds and lakes either are all water or they have a thin layer in some of the sheltered areas of ponds, also I see 45-50 this weekend with nights around 30-35, a change to cooler temps there after but to only moderate some as we go into mid Jan, not alotta hope for most, have a great day everyone

  24. What’s gonna happen is eventually we r gonna get a 1-3 inch snowstorm sometime and its gonna seem like a blizzard is on its way, it’s gonna be crazy around here for an inch of snow if and when this happens,,, HAPPY 2012!!!!! Go Patriots!!! I’m hoping for a 7th Superbowl appearance and a 4th Lombardy trophy, I just got a Gronkowski shirt so now the only other jersey I want is OG Logan Mankins jersey, I already have Wilfork and Brady along with the reason why I became a huge football fan in the 80’s bc of adrea Tippett, 1st jersey i ever owned, hope everyone has a great day 🙂

    1. Patriots r #1, Redsox #4, Celtics #4a, Bruins #4b, it’s bc i come from a big football family and was playing football from 7yrs old through college, I love football bc of the team aspect as supposed to individual aspect, of course I root for all the home teams but football (Patriots) r clearly my #1 team, I’m so crazy I listen to 3 hrs of pregame to watch the game to listening to 3 hrs of post game interviews every week for 4-5 months, I just love the game.

      1. U Should see my 3 nephews and 2 nieces, every Sunday they and myself are decked out in Patriots gear, and the 3yr old all he wants to wear is patriots stuff every single day, everytime he sees me which is every week says u got ur patriots on? I say two and he says ohhh me too with a big smile 🙂

          1. It would be nice for them to go back to the Super Bowl. I worry about their chances against a Baltimore or Pittsburgh. I guess in listening to all of the analysis, Green Bay is not a lock to represent the NFC with New Orleans offense and the 49ers Defense. Could you imagine the Niners Defense combined with either the Pats, Saints or Packers Offense. That would be fun to watch.

      2. Charlie my son in law listens to all that and then to all sports radio all day every day when he is near a radio. Football is also my favorite

    2. Been a patriot fan since 1985 when the refrigerator blew into the end zone, I think I cryed that night haha 🙂

  25. gfs looks pretty cold (and dry). might be setting up for some clean skating ice on the ponds in the interior in about ten days. still not sure about o.s. for a while still on Jamaica Pond.

    1. I guess so……Barry Burbank this morning is predicting highs of 20F and 16F the middle of next week, yikes !!!!!

    2. re: Ice on Jamaica Pond

      Retrac, that will take some doing. Will check on it next week after the cold mornings, but I expect to see artic sea (pond) smoke! Lol

  26. Per Taunton NWS……Dec 2011 is running .4F of a degree lower than the warmest ever recorded December, which evidently was only 5 yrs ago in December 2006. (I dont remember that).

    Today, probably around -2F to -4F below normal. Logan’s avg hi/lo sitting at 38/24. I’m guessing Friday and Saturday will run btwn 6 to 10F above normal, more because of the lows than the high temps. Its going to be close……

    1. And you probably won’t for a while anyway. First time Reno has had no snow this late in the season since 1883.

  29. Looking at the 0z EURO….its very cold Tues and Wed…..but then the trend shows a slow moderation beginning Thursday and a trend towards above normal temps by the following weekend.

    Also, as it gets closer to this very cold shot next Tues and Wed…it will be interesting to see if the cold materializes to this level or if the next few days of model runs shows a bit less intensity to the cold. So, maybe highs in the mid-upper 20s Tues and Wed. That wouldnt surprise me with the way things have been going.

  30. Looks to be at least warm (all is relative) for the dips in the ocean on New Years day. Ch 7 said 45-50 but I’d guess the lower temp for on the ocean. The Today show had a report on the lack of snow nationwide this morning also.

  31. I saw Barry early this morning, too. I saw the forecast nxt. wk. for frigid air coming in. Usually, not always, there is some snow cover around before we get really cold coming in. The snow cover, I think (I am no expert) protects the plants, trees, etc. With little or no snow cover around nxt. wk., I wonder if this might affect the plants?

    I love the change in seasons – and I love each season for what it offers, bright foliage, snow, fresh green and floral and newness of spring and then occasional heat and humidity of the summer, along with the longer days and yes, the thunderstorms. But so far, this winter has been disappointing. No snow – yet. I believe we will get snow at some point. It just seems weird with the shorter days and bare ground, like something is wrong. Oh, well. We can’t change what is! Have a great day everyone!

    1. Hi Rainshine – you may be right. I noticed my honeysuckle had new leaves appearing last week. The unusually warm weather combined with a sudden cold and no snow cover to protect may cause problems. I hadnt thought about that.

      Of course some of the leaves never got picked up and they have blown in to my garden areas. I could claim to have done that deliberately but suspect no one in my family would believe me 🙂

    2. I was just saying that I can’t imagine living in any other area of the country. With winter being my favorite season and loving snow as I do, I am incredibly surprised, however, that I’m not feeling a disappointment that we have not had snow. I kind of got a kick out of sitting on the deck some evenings this past month. And I think the October storm was as good as it gets for me with no power and snow and all of that so maybe it helps me not to be too anxious.

      1. I forgot about the Oct. storm – but that storm was kind of an anomaly – you know, snow, not frost on the pumpkin! 🙂

        Don’t get me wrong – knowing me, if we do get lots of snow in Feb. and March, like I am guessing, and if there is still a lot of snow on the ground in April – I will be pining for Spring!

        Anyway, back to the present, at least we will be getting some cold weather to make it feel like winter! And Vicki – have a great time at the beach! I truly envy you – I have been to the beach only occasionally in the winter – nice!

        1. Thank you Rainshine – we are really looking forward to it. It’s the most affordable thing on my “list” 🙂

          I am not sure how much my husband will like the commute from Scituate to Watertown three days a week so we shall see. He may end up just coming here for a night or two. I’m fortunate that I work from home so home can really be anywhere 🙂

      2. I agree Vicki, unfortunately 2 million new Englanders have moved away since the 70’s and 80’s bc of the climate and also from the people I know that have moved say there’s alot more to do in the sunbelt regions and some have moved bc the politics here r a push away, I love it here, I just had a friend that loved it here he was from here and his wife was from northern Florida and she forced the family of 4 back to Florida, I see the reasons why people leave there’s no doubt, why r we losing seats in congress, I’ve seen the stats, it’s pretty incredible, that’s why we need to progress and not regress, but trying to tell people that that gave been here living 60 yrs, look at Boston u got no offense an older crowd holding signs saying no Copley place expansion bc of the 3 yr construction period, really?? So nothing should ever get built in Boston again, sometimes it’s awful here in that sense, have a great day Vicky 🙂

        1. Charlie good points but I am one of the old geezers who is not crazy about some of the change. I like Boston and its history. If they changed fenway park I’d be devastated. Although the players today have no resemblance to the players of the past. The funny part is that those who move to FL end up coming back here or somewhere north of FL for the summer because it’s so oppressive. Even my in-laws who lived just outside of Charleston, headed north for the summer.

          1. Agree but I want new England to progress ESP in the Boston providence metro areas, it really needs to move forward or else I see a Boston that was once a world class city will turn into a world class of the past, I have 8 different friends in the last 10 yr leave cause nothing ever changes, that’s why the biggest age group here is 50-70, and our lowest age group are 15-25yrs old, that’s bc every kid wants to move to Florida or in the south, it’s progressive there and here we r stuck in time or past, we all need to compromise some and move forward, have a good day Vicki

          2. Thank the good lord that Copley place expansion is gonna break ground this fall, it’s a wonderful tower height wise in a perfect spot, again Vicki have a great day and stay warm 🙂

        2. I’m not sure I’d list being progressive as the number one reason, Charlie. I think cost of living and housing affordability might top the list followed by job availability. I’d have to do some research. My son lives in Boston and says there isn’t a thing you can want that you can’t find there. His friends all agree. Providence draws a ton of gen xers.

          1. I agree progressive may be a strong word, but sometimes we turn jobs away bc we dont want to widen roads, again really? All i know is if we all compromise we will get stuff done, I vote yes for a new Fenway, I have memories but willing to move forward, Yankees have there memories, they had no prob moving forward, Sometimes I just think we think and act to small. 🙂

  32. It would be nice to remove the outside Christmas lights on New Years with no snow. Last year I had to wait till March…One thing that is good with cold and no snow is the ponds freeze and allows for good ole pond hockey. Doesn’t look like it will hold though…

    1. Old Salty – just a quick reply. Have patience – the snow and big storms will come. And when it does – the models will wake up and they won’t know what to do and start disagreeing with each other. Then we will get frustrated – but then again, it’s kind of fun! 🙂

      1. Sure, but in the meantime, it is BORING.
        Good thing we have the Pats and the Bs. I could care about the
        Celts. Never liked Basketball.

        Just waiting for one these clippers to pass south of us or redevelop South of us and Bomb Out. A possible scenario
        at some point dwon the road, although probably not likely.

        1. Not a big basketball or hockey fan but I am a relatively big Pats fan.

          I wonder what the missing factor is that is holding back from these clippers to redevelop. Something in the jet stream, etc. Oh, well. Have a good day.

  35. Today’s NAO forecast still on target for potential snows mid-late January anytime after MLK weekend. Thank you Rainshine for telling OS what I have been saying all along…have patience!! 🙂

    So far I see next week’s arctic cold not lasting too long followed by warm up as usual.

  36. Old Salty…how did the “Walking Willie” get its name? Your posts yesterday about that were quite fascinating. Too bad I was a bit too young to remember.

    Is “Walking Willie” an actual meteorological term?

    1. Philip,
      I wish I could tell you more. I have researched it and can’t find anything.
      It was a term that Don Kent used to describe a particular storm system.

      Probably because the location of the Warm fronts and cold fronts, gave it an
      appearance of 2 legs, thus the walking part. Where the Willie came from?
      You got me, but Don Kent used the term.

      Looks like Vicki remembers the term as well.

      Perhaps TK could shed some light on it?

      2. I remember it and when you said it I could actually picture Don Kent – one of my all time favorites – but I could never tell you what it was he was talking about – only that I liked the name and liked him 🙂

  37. Hoping Henry is wrong calling for a change in the pattern in February. I don’t want to have to go through another mild snowless month.

    1. Jimmy, based on my interpretation on the NAO it should be more like mid-late January and lasting into (hopefully) most of February. But do not expect normal snowfall for this winter. Yes it could happen, but don’t count on it.

          1. JJ,

            We all are, I guess. At this point, If it doesn’t want to snow, then I’d be happy with the mildest Winter on record!! I don’t like the cold without the snow. I put up with the cold to get the snow. I actually HATE the really cold weather. To me, ideal winter temps are mid 30s day and low-mid 20s night. Lol

            I wonder if the 12Z Euro will pick up anything new? With this pattern, not likely.

  38. I liked Barry’s morning blog…like we all should have known going back to the pre-Halloween snowstorm that this upcoming winter would be a dud.

    Actually, even going back to early June and the devastating tornadoes was a clue as well. I noticed that over the years when there were major tornadoes in central & western MA including the 1953 Worcester tornado and dating back to the 1920’s, the following Boston winters always had below normal snowfall.

    1. Ranting is good for the soul…………..well, maybe it is, but it’s what I tell myself since I love to rant 🙂 Happy New Year, Charlie!

  41. Hmmmm…..

    12Z Canadian shows a clipper jumping to the coast and redeveloping. To be sure
    too late to clobber us, but soon enough to give us something around late 1/4 early 1/5:

    156 hours:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&hh=156&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=144&fixhh=1

    168 Hours:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&hh=168&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=144&fixhh=1

    Interesting that the 0Z run had NO HINT of this. Kind of proves that the models
    haven’t a clue at the moment. Probably also means this has ZERO chance of happening! LOL

      1. OK,

        The 12Z Euro has ZILCH, NADA, NOTHING!!
        Not even remotely resembling what the Canadian shows above.

        Euro is more likely to be on target over the Canadian.

        I’ll keep watching though.

        Have a great afternoon all.

  42. Tk can we come up with something other than a weather blog? There is not much going to happen for a while, let’s make the next blog about how we can widen 128 from the mass pike to 95 so I don’t have to sit in traffic for 2 hrs everyday. I’m just kidding tk but the weather is boringly cold, it won’t be long that we will be rumblings of spring right around the corner, take it easy

    1. 🙂 … Charlie, if you had an on-air commentary spot like Andy Rooney I’d watch it every time. 🙂

  43. From the BZ blog. Is this the REAL BaileyMan?

    BaileyMan

    Hey Everyone,
    Although I feel Barry Burbank is indeed the very best forecaster out there! I will take exception to his “hint” that this will continue to be a relatively snowless winter?! *If my assumption is incorrect Barry? Please correct me. Anyway, I do believe that the overall weather pattern is and will continue to undergo a rather abrupt change over the next several days and weeks ahead. The NAO will trend negative in the days and weeks ahead. I base this on my analysis of upper level fluctuations globally and locally. ..In fact, the first threat of a potential northeast storm..may evolve sometime late next week and weekend!..At this time the models indicate a potential southeast storm tracking well south of our northeast region. However, I say, DO NOT WRITE THIS POTENTIAL NOR’EASTER OFF JUST YET!!!! .. In fact i predict with relative confidence..that the models will start depicting a potential nor’ easter threatening our region in the days ahead! Again …im talking about the time period between the 6th and 8th of Jan!! …Regardless of what happens there?!… Mid and late Jan…we will be under the gun for a snowier and colder weather pattern! MARK MY WORDS…!! iF I PROVE WRONG??? I will own it!!!! Anyway, Happy and Safe New Year too all!!! and Thanks Barry for your expertise and insight!!!! My best all…………..

    1. Tricky. He did post last week there and Tk said it was for sure him. But somthing regarding that post seems off. He puts some what more tech language in his postings.Although he said he would post again when a storm shows up.

  46. I just got done reading Barry’s blog. To me It was like he was just short of saying It’s not going to snow. I do believe we get some big storms here this winter. When, I or nobody here knows that for sure. I am also a huge believer that stats can and will be broken. Take this month for an example. I believe it is the first time in December in 38 years we did not have measurable snow, I heard one of the mets say that this week.
    I was so sure that this December would be the same, that is why I had such a strong feeling It would continue, though some might have thought I was being somewhat cocky, I was not. So again stats to me never hold. I do believe the winter storms the past few years have got bigger. Is It me or have alot of the snowstorms been measured in feet instead of inches? I think we get a fair share of snow this winter. The wild card is It going to be above, average or below for snowfall. I would venture a guess and say It will be average or above, not below. Tk had called for a front end loader for snow to start. I am going to guess this may hold true for the second part. I just do not think we go the entire winter with no snow, It is almost unheard of I think. I also agree with Philip that somthing may happen around the MLK holiday, it seems I always look forward to having the day off, than I am working a storm. For that reason is why I picked 1/16 for the first plowable snowstorm, time will tell.

    1. John,

      Looks like it is just you and I on the blog this afternoon? Lol

      I don’t pretend to know what the future holds. BUT I will venture a guess as to later next week. SOMETHING IS UP! Of course, I’ll end up proven wrong, but ahh so what.

      1. So than maybe that was BM. He said he would post again when somthing showed up. I don’t get why he and WW have not come here. Both of them have been invited more than once. So is what your seeing in the same timeframe as the BM post.

        1. John,

          Yes pretty much. I am waiting to look at today’s
          18Z DGEX to see if there is a contuinuation of something
          depicted on the 06Z run. I KNOW that the DGEX is an
          extension of the NAM out to 192 hours and it may not
          be that reliable, but I am looking for anything at all.

    1. Then look at hour 192 for the beginning of what MAY be MORE Action.

      So to sum it up, Maybe, just maybe, there WILL be some action later next
      week??????

      I continue to search seeking out any and all possiblities, no matter how faint.
      Anything to give us some hope.

      I’m bad. So sorry.

      1. Here is the 18z GFS on that
        http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fgfs%2F20111229%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_171_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&fcast=171&imagesurls=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=12%2F29%2F2011+18UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&nextImage=yes

  50. Man it’s cold up here in Maine again tonight! No snow on ground which to me is unreal as I have been coming up here for 15 years and have never not seen snow this time of year!! It’s very sad for the outdoor industry up here as its a major source of income.

    1. Yes Hadi It’s hurting many people. Ski resorts, plow drivers and not that this matters but oil, the warm temps mean less oil needed. Oil is through the roof in price so I could care less about them. I have family I believe in cornish, I think that’s right outside Portland.

  52. Hi all!

    Sorry I have been relatively absent today. Been dealing with tree removal, a visit by a plumber for a minor repair, and a whole bunch of errands!

    A few notes…

    Blog update will be coming soon (as in before 10PM).
    My promise of measurable snow at Boston before the end of December is out the window. I blew that one. But no surprise considering I made a horrendous long range forecast for the early part of winter. This is a perfect opportunity to learn to use the science of meteorology to learn why the forecast turned out so poorly, so I will be doing that, and moving forward in hope of better results in future prognostications.

    Don’t expect major snow anytime soon (maybe by finally saying this I can be wrong again and it will snow soon – hahaha).

    La Nina is shifting into the stronger cold shots but in-between warm-ups and below normal precip. This may lead to a chilly but dry January. It’s becoming a pretty safe bet that whatever snow does fall this winter is going to be concentrated in the 2nd half (February-March).

    2. TK- I don’t think we go the whole month of January without any snow, not that you said that in exact words. I feel the snow comes. I also think you may of just had your winter forcast backwards. I think it will be second half dumping compared to frontend like you thought. I still don’t think we finish below.

  54. BM is calling for a storm to remember in his words on 7-8 of January. I would not doubt him he is good, still wish he was here.

    1. That’s a good time. It’s a weekend. No work traffic to interfere with plowing. I’m betting that since we decided not to pack boots it will snow while we are away. That’s my plan anyway

  55. I hope BaileyMan is right. He seems to know what he is talking about. I’ll take any snow right now. Time to find the winter coat since I will be needing it next week!

    1. Oh right. We should at least pack winter coats :)))

      I drive my friends and family nuts because I never wear coats – except when it is snowing of course

  56. I was going to take 1/8 for plowable snow as it seemed so many storms in the last year or two were on the weekend when the kids missed the snow day… I know, very scientific! Someone had that date so I pulled back a bit…

    Very crisp clear bright night out there… Had the kids out shopping for jeans, pure torture. Stopped at Richardsons in Middleton for ice cream, that was good!

  57. I’ve gotten 1.7 inches of snow here, all of it coming 2 days before Halloween, as of today I should have 6.7 inches so that to date makes my area 5 inches below average, for an entire winter I get around 44 inches on average, loooonnnggg way to go. Take it easy everyone.

  58. Official forecast for Mt. Rainier, Washinton…EPIC….Tonight: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 9. Breezy, with a west southwest wind between 24 and 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 32 to 38 inches possible

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