Mild End To ’11

138 Comments

11:37PM

The weather pattern is making a shift, in a way. The upcoming pattern will feature temperature swings, with the colder shots more pronounced, and mainly dry weather. The snow drought continues.

A warm front will lift northward through the Boston area Friday, with clouds dominating. Low pressure will pass north of the region, across northern New England, during Saturday, and with mild air in place, we’ll see rain showers. This should exit, stage east, in time for First Night, which will be fair and relatively mild (that is, temperatures above freezing). Fair, mild weather will dominate for the first day of 2012.

As we enter the first full week of 2012, the coldest air of the season will dive out of eastern Canada and make a 2-day visit by Tuesday & Wednesday.

Detailed Boston Area Forecast…

OVERNIGHT: Increasing clouds. Low 20-25. Wind light variable.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. High 40-45. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers after 11PM. Temperature steady 40-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. High 45-50. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT – NEW YEAR’S EVE: Clearing. Low 32-37. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY – NEW YEAR’S DAY: Sunny in the morning. Increasing clouds in the afternoon. High 47-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers during the day, snow showers night. Low 37. High 44.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 16. High 23.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 4. High 19.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 10. High 35.

138 thoughts on “Mild End To ’11”

  1. Here is the 00z GFS at hour 384
    The PV pretty much takes over the eastern half of the U.S.
    I think this is what it means by AO tanking with the those heights above Alaska and eastern Greenland, just forcing that arctic air southward.
    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fgfs%2F20111230%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_372_500_vort_ht.gif&fcast=372&imagesurls=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=UPPER+AIR+PARMS&pname=500_vort_ht&cycle=12%2F30%2F2011+00UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&nextImage=yes

    1. Assuming this is the beginning of the big pattern change, then…right on time, as I have been saying all along! 🙂

      1. I just dont know…..I think the first time the last couple panels of the long range GFS showed arctic cold building in Canada and then dropping south into the US, in some shape or way……..was mid November………. and it really hasnt played out yet. I’m skeptical 🙂 🙂

  3. Taking the GFS from 00z as is, this is a pattern of variable temperatures, probably only near to below normal temp-wise over the next 14 days, because of quick warm-ups following the more intense cold shots. The cold does not sustain itself. It’s also a very dry pattern, with probably no more than 0.25 inch on average for the entire period at any given location in southern New England, and the majority of that falling as rain showers just prior to transitions from mild to cold. So typical La Nina with Polar Vortex Breakdown that it’s text book.

  4. Good morning, if it’s not gonna snow it might as well be mild. As we move ourselves into mid winter is it possible to get little if any snow in Jan? I think it possible, although I do find it hard to believe we get no snow but the way this winter has gone, be ready for anything, I believe Feb will feature slightly above normal snowfall with slightly below normal temps, BUT I believe March follows the March’s of the last 3 years with above normal temps and below normal snowfall. April will be close to normal with above normal rain.

  6. Hey, it smells like snow this morning at least. I think that’s two ‘smells like snow’ days this month…….phew….I thought for sure we were only going to get one day only for sure. Somethings better than nothing right!

    To TK’s point on dryness, better stock up on lip balm and get the humidifier dusted off for the next two weeks. Anyone who has carpet in their house will be getting zapped this month everytime they touch metal–I hate that.

    2. Thanks for the tip, retrac. Will bring the humidifier down from the attic today. Usually have it up and running by now, but with all the mild weather we’ve been having, hadn’t given it much thought.

  7. I just hope that a big switch doesnt happen in spring. All it takes is for April and May to run a few to several degrees below normal and then we’ll end up having 5 or 6 straight months of daytime temps mostly in the 40s and 50s. :(. Somewhere along the way here, I hope to see a 3 or 4 wk stretch of mostly below freezing highs with some snow, so that the transition to spring is noticeable.

    1. I was thinking about that a couple of days ago Tom–a pattern change to stormy and cold in May would be awful. Give me winter now or forever hold your peace.

      I was on the accuweather site yesterday reading a piece on above normal precip this past year in the Northest and many spots are 150% plus over. My point is that maybe this relatively docile pattern is just nature reverting us back to the mean. Simplistic, I know, but averages are averages for a reason.

  8. Thank you TK! I agree about now or not at all – spring can be horrible with flooding, etc. And I agree that if it’s not going to be snow, mild works too. New Year’s day looks mild – but not as mild as last year which was springlike – right after a major storm. Mother Nature has a tremendous sense of humor!

    1. Vicki, the reporting ob for the Boston Buoy Harbor has been unavailable for a week or two now….however, on one of the weathercasts last night, I thought I saw a Boston Harbor temp of 42F…..plenty chilly for a New Year’s Day jump in the ocean. The funny part is the air will be warmer once one gets out of the water.

      1. Boston Buoy Harbor……ah, the coffee hasnt kicked in yet….love speaking backwards………Boston Harbor Buoy

      2. Vicki,

        Didn’t realize this. I found the next one out, stellwagen:

        Buoy A0102 – Mass. Bay/Stellwagen
        (44029) 42.52N 70.57W
        Last Updated: Dec 30 2011, 7:04 am EST
        Fri, 30 Dec 2011 07:04:00 -0500
        Temperature: 34.0 °F (1.1 °C)
        Wind: Calm
        Visibility: 1.60 miles
        MSL Pressure: 1017.9 mb
        Water Temperature: 46.4 °F (8.0 °C)
        Wave Height: 0.4 m (1.31 ft)
        Dominant Period: 11 sec

    2. Vicki, My brother-in-law lives in Scituate, in The Glades area. What a joy to be able to wake up and see the ocean every morning! Maybe someday 🙂

      1. shotime – I originally wanted to retire on some land so we could have ponies for the grandkids. Now, I’m thinking an ocean view in the morning would be so lovely. Of course we probably won’t be able to afford either but why not dream. Does your BIL have an ocean view from his home?

        1. Yes! The family originally grew up in Hingham, houses from the beach. My BIL is the only one that stayed in the area. Like yourself, I can’t afford ocean front property in Scituate or Hingham, but the Cape or up north is a real possibility!

  9. Ok…..so, it seems Monday isnt tremendously cold…..upper 30s to low 40s until the real cold arrives overnight Monday night and by Thursday, its moderating above freezing and this mornings 0z long range EURO looks fairly mild from that point on to the end of its extended outlook. Amazing………

  10. Slim pickings….

    I did find a feature in the Canadian that was there yesterday on the 12Z run.
    It is still pretty much there on last evening’s 0Z run. It depicts a clipper diving
    down and redeveloping off the coast. Again, would not provide much, but it is
    something to watch:

    144 hours:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&hh=144&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=156&fixhh=1

    156 hours:

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&hh=156&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=144&fixhh=1

    Of COURSE the EURO has NOTHING for the same time period. Don’t know WHY
    the divergence here. Typically the Euro is more trustworthy, but I’m looking at anything.

  11. Old Salty I do the same and not look out in the future for anything that could give snowfall. The cold shot coming next Tuesday and Wednesday could be a shock to the system with the mild weather we have had for a while.

    1. JJ,

      I hear you on that one. NOT looking forward to that at all. I have already
      warned my wife. But we can manage for a couple of day.

  12. Doppler radar shows some snow out to the west – seems to be falling apart as it moves eastward. Wish we could push it into Boston area before it totally falls apart! I would love to see just some snow flurries around.

  13. This cold coming in next week is wasted without any snow and it won’t be sustained. If you look at the CPC 8-14 day outlook were right back in the mild weather. The NAO is alright but could be better. As I said the other day if this snow drought continues I might have to root for the ALmanac’s to be right when both have a major snow event in January and February.

  14. cold weather is coming but its going to rain on saturday i hope its only in the morning because its a party and my cousins and I like going out and playing some football, Or go into the woods/marshland behind my house And make a camp fire in a pit we made 🙂 this year it does not look good. 🙁

    1. I think Ch 7 said rain will be gone for first night activities. And TK has it clearing. I am planning an outside fire too so hope it does also and know the guys will also be tossing a football around. Here’s hoping 🙂

  15. today: cloudy highs in the mdi 40s
    tonight mostly cloudy with rain showers developing lows in the mid 30s
    saturday mostly cloudy rain showers durring the morning then cloudy becoming partly sunny late highs in the mid 40s
    saturday night clearing
    new years day sunny highs in the 50s ,could be one of the top warmest new years on record.
    sunday night a chance of snow and rain showers ahead of a cold front.
    monday windy and cooler highs in the low40s temperatures dropping through out the morning.
    monday night another front moves through and this could give us some stronger snow showers and snow squalls. lows will dip into the upper 10s
    tuesday though wednesday night sunny highs in the low to mid 20s lows in the single digits to 0.
    thursday looks like it will warm back up into the low 30s ahead of our next weather system for sometime next weekend.

    I am thinking the water in the marshland behind my house will be frozen over later on in the week

    1. Do you know last year’s New year day temps? I thought they were close to 70 – at least in the 60s. We were out in Tshirts

      1. It was warm….per Taunton NWS climate records…Logan hit 56F on New Years Day and followed that up with 51F on the 2nd. Both days had temp anomolies greater than +10F and yet, the month ended below normal due to plenty of cold the rest of the month…….I wonder if this month is somewhat in reverse with the 3rd and the 4th destined to be well below normal, yet I’ll guess its above normal for the month.

  16. I think its safe to say the amounts of snow last January across SNE will be far less this January.
    My call for January above normal temps and there will be measurable snowfall but snowfall will be below normal.

  17. About the static and shocks… I handed my friend a pack of Wendy’s honey mustard and got a shock right through it…hands did not contact each other.

  18. The MJO has cruised out of phase 5, now in phase 6. It either wants to go into the circle of death(not sure what that means for it), or continue on to phase 7,8,1,2. I know phases 8,1,2 are the colder phases. We have been in phase 5 for the entire month of December, which is why it’s been so mild, as phase 5 is a warm phase.

  19. Nice warm front with temp contrast across the area today. With light/ variable winds inland…its pretty much around 32F. Hit southeast Mass and south coastal New England, the winds are south or southeast and its 45F +. At last report, it is 45F in Marshfield and we’ve been seeing some sun.

  20. Here’s something interesting – for the first time in a long time, I posted on the WBZ weather blog in response to Barry’s great blog. When I tried to submit, I got a message – slow down. you are posting too fast. What?! What was that? Anyway, I finally got my post in but that was a strange incident.

    Anyway, Barry’s blog is very good and informative. Have a great day all.

    1. Rainshine, I saw Barry’s morning blog and your post as well. Barry believes that February and March should be more active. I am confident in agreement regarding February, and as for March, I will say there is certainly “potential” but we will have to wait and see about that…given the craziness of the past few months, any forecast beyond one month is almost pure speculation.

      After checking today’s NAO forecast, still looks good to me for mid-late January pattern change. 🙂

      1. Philip – I have been saying basically the same thing as Barry has regarding Feb. and March. My feelings are purely gut feelings – nothing more. I feel we will get some big snowstorms in Feb. and March – enough to really raise the snow level for the Boston area for the season. But, then, that is just a gut feeling, speculation, etc.

        I truly hope I am wrong and you are right – the NAO forecasting for a pattern change in mid-late Jan.! 🙂

        1. Rainshine BZ has major problems with it’s blog. That is a common error message and many times a post won’t even go through. I find it odd BZ doesn’t require people to register. They’ve lost a lot of fans

          I think you are right about storms later in the season. I feel as if the seasons have shifted

          1. Thanks, Vicki. This is the first time I’ve gotten on BZ in a long time – but I wanted to say thanks to Barry for his blog.

            You are right – it does seem like the seasons have shifted. And I really feel that this boring weather has to change at some point.

  21. I know I shouldnt analyze a model run…but why not…..at the end of the 12z GFS run, it has an arctic high bridged north of New England…going from New Brunswick, bridged all the way westward to the Great Lakes. It then has a low approach from the Great Lakes Region. Obviously, changes to this are coming….but that would be interesting because while that storm track is generally mild, that would be an impressive bank of cold air for it to run up against. That would have overrunning snow going to sleet/ice and coastal chily rain.

    1. The long range GFS has definitely been interesting lately, excluding the 06z and 18z runs, those just don’t have a clue.

  23. I saw BaileyMan’s post on Barry’s blog of a major nor’easter between Jan. 7-11 and I have to respectfully disagree. I see nothing significant other than a few cold outbreaks and warm ups for early January. This current pattern will NOT be rushed.

    I wish BM and WW would start posting over here. 🙂

  24. With us able to get such a trough in here for next week, something has changed, and that should lead to more changes afterward.

    1. 12Z 1/6. Btw on 1/4 Euro has a system “just” off shore. There may be some action next week. We’ll see?????

  28. It’s 45 degrees out, it hasn’t felt like winter for me just yet, sure we’ve had a few colder days but just driving by ponds and lakes that most r not even frozen, and knowing that there’s no snow in the future, this winter I believe will feel very short, I’ve said this before but wouldn’t it be crazy if in 7 or 8 weeks were talking about being 50 degrees, it’s possible that for the 1st time ever that I won’t be able to go on the small pond the whole winter, and I’ve gone on the pond e every year since around 1980.

  29. If I am posting too many maps, please let me know and I’ll cut back or stop.

    But I find this 12Z JMA 500MB chart at 144 hours very very interesting. Closed low
    at 500MB, also closed at 300MB. As it drifts Eastward, would it Ignite a Coastal?????? Stretching to be sure, but that’s what we do here!!!! One of these times
    we’ll be right!!! lol

    http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_500_GPHTMPVORT_144HR.gif

    1. Old Salty – please don’t cut back or stop on posting maps. Always very interesting, even if sometimes I don’t always understand them totally.

      This latest link looks kind of ominous – in a good way – right?

      1. I “think” so. It looks to spawn some sort of storm, IMO. Hopefully, Cutoff low moves due East and NOT Northeast. We don’t need it igniting an Inside runner or a Lakes Cutter!!!
        Although to be honest, those are a possibility with this. I am
        hoping the other feature of the 500MB chart in the Northeast
        forces cutoff to travel East or even Souteast and hold off on storm development until it gets closer to the coast. But, HEY,
        I’m probably DREAMING!!!!! lol

  30. Warm front moving northward a bit. Providence has jumped to 51F and wind is over to the south. Think interior north- central Mass will reach their highs later this evening, if not near midnight.

  31. Both 12z runs of the GFS and EURO agreeing on another batch of cold air to move in around the 9th, may be accompanied by a clipper. It may not be as cold as next week’s air mass, but definitely a change of where we’ve been this month.

  32. Back in Boston after dropping off my daughter at Bretton Woods. There is some snow up there, but not much. I’d say the natural base is only up to 5 inches in spots, which is truly incredible on December 30th. In fact, historic, I think. It was cold yesterday. Beautiful day (15 and bright sunshine – I so wish for a week or two of that kind of weather). But now I’m back in Boston (reality) and it just feels like nothing outside. Nothing! Drab, 42, and no sign of winter. Sure, a few days of cold next week, but even my tempered optimism the last couple of weeks is now waning. Could this be the year without snow? I’m beginning to throw in the towel. Could this become the mildest winter on record? I sure hope not. It would be terribly depressing to go from this into New England’s worst season – Spring. It would basically mean a prolonged period of mainly 40s and 50s and lots of showers, with a few cold days thrown in. Gosh, that would cause me to migrate.

    2. I loved skiing bretton woods. I posted the other day that in my years heading to north Conway to ski for this week -my dad had me on skis at 2 yrs – there was only one where there was absolutely no snow. It would have been mid 60s. I think there were other more recent years when the snow didn’t come until later than this week or not at all and many ski areas struggled or even went out of business

    3. After a top 5 warm December and the 2nd least snowiest December at Boston, I’m still pretty certain this will not go down as the mildest winter ever, nor will it go down as the least snowy.

      1. I agree. I posted my thoughts in detail yesterday. I believe we get the snow this month, January will not be snowless. I also believe your call of all the snow for 1st half will prevail for second half. Also as I mentioned snowfall for the winter will be either average or above not below. I thing we get at least two blockbuster storms and than some small events. Starting soon.

  33. Too early to throw in the towel on this winter. As I said a few weeks ago lets see where we are in terms of snowfall at the end of January. I might have to revise my early prediction of 40-45 inches for the winter.

  35. BM’S post last night calling for a storm to remember was from a troll. He said that in his posting lastnight and today. I think coastal should send him another invite. Today he is still calling for a big eastcoast snowstorm. I think It was for sometime 7-11, somthing like that.

      1. I think now might be the time to get him since he has been posting over there and a troll already has used his name.

      1. Both. BM posted on a possible big storm for next weekend yesterday. A troll posted last night using his name. Last night he said that. Today he is still calling for a eastcoast snowstorm
        same time. It was for sure him today. Coastal said we can give his address to Bm. Now might be the time to get him, I am sure he is mad. I will try later or sombody here can try as well to give him coastals email again.

  36. Guys post my email address of there. I have done it in the past and they never emailed me. Maybe if more people request them to contact me, it might work.

  37. “‘Cause I’m the real Bailey, yes I’m the real Bailey
    All you other troll Baileys are just imitating
    So won’t the real Man Bailey please stand up,
    please stand up, please stand up?”

          1. I know that. What do you think of your prediction being backwards. Instead of front end load with snow, back end with snow. And would also like you to please explain what BM is seeing calling for maybe an eastcoast snowstorm for next weekend.

  38. So I posted to WW and BM to please email coastal. It’s up to them now. If a few more could go over there and ask them to email coastal that would be great. To have them both posting here would be so awesome. The more experience here the better.

  39. Interesting, we were in low 40’s just an hour ago, now we have dropped to the mid 30’s with a north wind.

    1. Interesting, to say the least. Does it/will it have an impact on tomorrow’s
      weather. The system coming through now is depicted to redevelop South
      of us, but the 850MB 0C line is progged to stay up North???? Are the synamics changing? OR Nothing has changed but the wind direction???

        1. Look at these 3 charts and watch the system redevelop.
          IF only 850MB temps were more friendly!!!!

          http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F30%2F2011+18UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=10m_wnd_precip&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=021&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

          http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fnam%2F20111230%2F18%2Fnam_namer_021_10m_wnd_precip.gif&fcast=021&imagesurls=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=10m_wnd_precip&cycle=12%2F30%2F2011+18UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=48&nextImage=yes

          http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fnam%2F20111230%2F18%2Fnam_namer_024_10m_wnd_precip.gif&fcast=024&imagesurls=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=10m_wnd_precip&cycle=12%2F30%2F2011+18UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=48&nextImage=yes

          http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Param&image=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fnam%2F20111230%2F18%2Fnam_namer_027_10m_wnd_precip.gif&fcast=027&imagesurls=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=10m_wnd_precip&cycle=12%2F30%2F2011+18UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&nextImage=yes

          This is EXACTLY what we have been trying to get the clippers to do. UNFORTUNATELY we had today’s little
          even WARM US UP!!!

      2. Doubt it, but just shows how stubborn this cold air mass is. Northern New England though will feel the affect in terms of a light glazing.

    1. Today’s sky and feel was quite ominous, cold and snowlike. If we were in a more “normal” winter pattern a New Year’s Eve snow would probably be ours first thing tomorrow.

      Maybe a Valentine’s Day snow? We haven’t had one of those since 1940. 🙂

        1. We will get into snow around mid-January…at the earliest! Also that 22″ maybe is all we get for the entire winter. 🙂

          1. I believe we get more than that. Remember the last few winters the storms seem to be bigger. I would still like sombody to explain what BM is seeing. He Philip Let me be the first to wish you and your family a Healthy happy New Year.

        2. Yeah and 70 inches by the end of Jan, I believe we will be under that, my guess that Vicki has is 22.8 and I believe that’s what will receive.

  41. Boston 1911-12 Total Snowfall = 31.6″

    I would consider the winter of 2011-12 “successful” if we even come close to this amount. 🙂

  42. In the winter of 1968-1969, Boston’s snow total through January was barely 7 inches, including only 0.3 inch for the month of January. The snow total for the winter when it was over was over 50 inches. 🙂

    2. Was that the year we had the three major storms in a row every weekend? I can’t ever remember if it was 68 or 69. They were incredible. Last year reminded me a lot of that time

    3. Boston Total Snowfall 1968-69 = 53.8″ 🙂

      Boston total snowfall through January = 6.4″
      Boston total snowfall February = 41.3″ *
      Boston total snowfall March = 6.1″
      Boston total snowfall April = Trace

      I was in elementary school and this particular winter was mentioned for quite some time until 1978…for obvious reasons. 🙂

            2. Eelks I’m feeling old. I was in college. Classes were cancelled with each of the three storms. I was living in Belmont and commuting. The plow drivers had decided not to drop plows totally to make more money. It was a mess. It ended up that a policeman had to ride in each plow truck.

        2. Schwoegler fan……I thought he was funny and I enjoyed how he put in the airmass terms on the maps. He could somehow get cold….cool….mild….warm…..hot….. on one map from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast.

          1. Hey Tom…I actually met Bruce Schwoegler at a lecture in Downtown Boston years ago and he gave me his autograph picture. I still have it to this day. He was very nice. 🙂

            1. Thats great !! At the storm conference last year (2010), I got to meet a few of the TV weathercasters and I just couldnt believe it. I had a conversation with Max Mayfield, the former director of the NHC, who I’d seen on CNN a ton over the years. I walked out of the conference saying, did this just really happen ?

          2. Bruce and I were at newton wellesley years ago waiting for an xray for pneumonia. He was easy to talk to. I’ve always been a fan.

            1. Since Bruce Schwoegler’s name came up and this next comment is not meant to disrespect any of the current TV Meteorologists in the Boston Market, but there have been so many times over the years where I have been frustrated with some of the stations decisions regarding who their on air meteorologists are. Not so much who the new person was, but why was the former person not there anymore ?

                2. I was working with Todd when he was escorted out. He was deceiving and not what in thought. I’ll second TK

      2. There is an error in my post above that I didn’t realize was there until I read this reply. It should say 50, not 70. I’m going to edit it. I had 7 on the brain apparently.

  43. Under a WWA for some freezing rain tonight up here in Maine. Got about 3/4 of an inch of snow earlier today just enough to coat things.

  44. I think this winter will surprise many of you here and people not here. Although one of my calls for December snow was blown, I believe my other calls will prevail. I firmly believe we get a storm for January and this will open the gates for more. I still feel we finish above for snowfall. I think also the winter will feel like It went by fast, since I am only guessing we get snow for January and Feb. I believe March Will be like It has been with mostly rain. Going back say four years I would like to know what the bigest snowstorms produced, As I think two maybe three blockbuster snowstorms and thats where we may finish above for snow. So my guess would be less snowstorms put they would produce a good amount of snow. Again these are just my thoughts on what may unfold.

  45. Interesting small scale stuff going on this evening. I think the skies may have cleared a bit this evening and with light winds….its allowed for a small drop in temp in most of northern and central Mass. This in turn, has almost allowed the shallow cold air to begin to drain ever so slightly towards the south, as noted by most of the light North wind. Still S or SE winds from Marshfield, points south and east…..Thats a pretty noticeable circulation in the eastern Great Lakes, I think that might give the mild air a push northward very late tonight as it passes closer to New England.

  46. I noticed a mention for the ‘slight’ chance of thunderstorms tomorrow. Will nature make it’s own fireworks in the Boston area, or will they stay to the south?

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