DAYS 1-5 (JULY 24-28)

Lovely. Simply lovely. This describes today, and might be heard by people with young children watching that very popular show from the UK, making little ones from the US speak like they are British (look it up). 😉 Anyway, a very nice day today courtesy high pressure that slides eastward across New England from the Ohio Valley. However, there is still just enough cold air upstairs to allow some cumulus clouds to pop up during the day. But this time, unlike the last 2 days, they should not grow enough to produce showers. (Come on cumulus, I dare you!) With high pressure building overhead, the wind will be light and this will allow coastal sea breeze to develop. If you have beach plans, expect temperatures to max out in the 70s, which may not be as warm as you’d like, but considering the weather pattern we’ve been in in terms of cloud cover and rainfall, with sunshine this will still be quite nice. However we do have some changes coming in short order, and that will be tomorrow as a warm front crosses the region during the morning hours. The timing on this is a little faster than I thought yesterday, though I did indicate that the timing may be quicker than I was going for. That is indeed the case. So the warm front approaches and passes through during the morning and will produce a band of at least scattered to broken rainfall, most of which should be on the light side but some of it may be moderate with some decent instability at mid levels, but that will be out of here by midday, and even though we likely don’t see complete clearing, we do see a jump up in humidity and a fairly warm day, with a lot of rain-free time in the afternoon, however it will be unstable enough that we’ll need to watch for a couple cluster of thunderstorms somewhere in the region. The cold front that trails the low that also parents the warm front will cross the region in the pre-dawn hours of Monday, also faster timing than previously forecast, so a few showers and storms may visit the region during the nocturnal time, but I think the daylight hours of Monday are going to be rain-free, rather warm, but with lowering humidity and (shh, don’t tell too many people) may be one of the best beach days of the summer. When we get to Tuesday, we’ll be watching the next disturbance approach from the west, and with timing uncertain, the best call for now is for afternoon or nighttime showers and thunderstorms being possible, and this system should progress quickly enough to be on the exit by Wednesday, which looks like after an early shower threat becomes a drier and somewhat cooler day.

TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 76-83, coolest in coastal areas. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind W up to 10 MPH becoming variable with coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Fog patches interior lower elevations. Lows 58-65. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with a period or two of rain likely during the morning from west to east. Mostly cloudy with possible breaks of sun, but also isolated thunderstorms possible during the afternoon. Highs 77-84, cooler in some coastal areas. Dew point climbing through 60s. Wind S up to 10 MPH morning, SW 5-15 MPH afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W toward dawn.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 81-88. Dew point falling through 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 60-67. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Highs 78-85. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Clouds and a shower chance early, then partly sunny. Highs 74-81. Dew point lower to near 60. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 29 – AUGUST 2)

Best opportunities for showers/t-storms July 29 and August 1 based on current timing of disturbances in an otherwise mostly dry west northwest air flow across the region. No major heat – temperatures slightly variable but mostly near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 3-7)

Overall pattern of west to northwesterly air flow, with no major heat, temperatures near normal, and a similar overall regime with passing disturbances bringing a couple shower and t-storm chances.