Monday August 2 2021 Forecast (7:39AM)

37 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 2-6)

As we go through the first full week of August you’ll notice our pattern has quieted down in comparison to what we dealt with during most of July. This is going to take place because we’ll have a fairly stable set-up with weak to moderate strength high pressure off the US East Coast and a frontal boundary sitting to the south and east of the region, but as it appears now it will have a fairly minimal impact on the region, being far enough east to keep most of the shower activity along it out over the water, with just some occasional cloudiness visiting our sky Tuesday and Wednesday, and the greatest chance of shower activity favoring southeastern areas (RI, southeastern and eastern MA, and the NH Seacoast region), with this activity most likely Thursday into part of Friday. This pattern features more in the way of humidity than we’ve seen over the last few days, but nothing overly oppressive.

TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 77-84. Dew point near 60. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly clear. A few patches of fog interior lower elevations. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 76-83, coolest coastal areas. Dew point near 60. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind S under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 60. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers mainly Cape Cod. Lows 62-69. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Possible showers favoring the I-95 corridor southeastward. RI and southeastern MA. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the I-95 corridor southeastward. Patchy fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A shower or thunderstorm risk, favoring eastern areas through early afternoon. Highs 73-80. Dew point 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 7-11)

Stronger Atlantic high pressure means warmer temperatures and mostly rain-free with minimal shower and thunderstorm chances for the August 7-8 weekend. Slightly better chance of showers/thunderstorms during August 9-11 with a frontal boundary closer to the region and more moisture available.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 12-16)

Southwesterly to westerly air flow expected during this period. There may be a period of higher heat as well as continued higher humidity for a time before it dries out toward the end of the period. Best chance of showers/thunderstorms would take place during the transition from humid to less humid.

37 thoughts on “Monday August 2 2021 Forecast (7:39AM)”

  7. Thanks, TK
    Good morning, everyone!

    By the numbers…

    107 ~ All-time maximum temperature recorded this day, Saturday, August 2, 1975, 46 years ago. Recorded in New Bedford and Chester. This is one of my top-five weather events in my life.

    9.64 ~ Total amount of rain in Norton/Taunton in July, breaking the 100-year record of 9.37 in 1921.

    40 ~ It was 40 years ago yesterday that MTV premiered. “Since You’re Gone” by The Cars is the first video that I remember ever seeing on MTV.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JnQfKIFERU

    25 ~ It was 25 years ago this summer that “The Macarena” took the country by storm. Al Gore tried to do the dance at the DNC.

    28 ~ 28 days from today: First teacher day!

    1. Interesting tid bits.

      On Aug. 2, 1975, I was on the Cape at N. Eastham.
      It was 98 degrees there. It was brutally hot.

      1. Thats coming up quick !

        We are also 4 weeks from today. Hoping to get into my classroom in about 2 weeks, so I can find everything and see if I remember what to do. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. That would be the day we moved a family friend into Dartmouth College. She was one of the first female professors to be hired. We had no idea …fortunately..,,just how hot it was. Neighboring faculty brought us lemonade and water. We didn’t have AC. Many homes in Belmont didnt at that point. I remember opening the doors to the porch and sleeping on the floor in front of them.

  9. What an amazing morning….yet again.

    Thanks, Captain, for your fun history. Today makes me want to do the Macarena. 😉

  13. Thanks for the Globe headlines. Have vague recollections of the paper back then. I was a newspaper boy in the mid to late 70s; the evening edition of the weekday Globe and also the Sunday paper. They used to leave me about 5 extra Sunday papers. I told them about it several times, but they kept doing it. So, eventually I decided, rather than throw out the papers I’d make a little money selling them. I went down the street to Route 9 and sold them for 50 cents each to passersby; usually people driving up to the traffic light (saved them 25 cents and a trip to the store).

  14. Thanks, Dr. S., for the Globe from August 3, 1975. I loved the stories about the heat, as well as the funnies!!!! 🙂

    My dad worked a half-day, overtime shift that morning and, when he got home, Dad, Mom , my two brothers, the dog and I headed to the family cottage in Onset from Mansfield. Dad had to keep the heat (the heat, not the AC!) on in the car to keep it from overheating.

    The overnight low in New Bedford on August 3 never got below 84.

      1. Per Norton/Taunton NWS ….. New Bedford, MA COOP …. it does show a low of 84F for 8/2/75 and a high of 107F, under daily almanac.

  15. Thanks TK!

    So last Thursday we had a tornado outbreak here in eastern PA/NJ. I was never under a Tornado Warning, though was just outside of one, and actually barely had any rain. Meteorologically, it turned into a really special setup which is not at all unprecedented but only happens once every few/several years on average in the Northeast/mid-Atlantic US. I was not working during the event, but am immensely proud of my colleagues who were. There were no serious injuries or fatalities, remarkable for an outbreak of that scale in this part of the country. There was definitely an element of luck involved; most of the tornadoes found a way (thankfully!) to hit much more in the way of trees than anything else. Though I would say the lack of serious injuries from the EF3 tornado is close to a miracle.

    The days since have been an endless, and still ongoing, barrage of storm surveys and data analysis, which I’ve been heavily involved in. That will continue for awhile longer. Thankfully the weather’s been mostly cooperative. But wow, what an experience!

    1. First, I’m really happy you were never in the warned area. But then wow. What an amazing experience for you. Thank God there were no serious injuries.

  16. That 107-degree reading in New Bedford has always been suspect, and it definitely does not fit in with the surrounding area. For one, the airport in New Bedford only got to 99. Taunton hit 102. Fall River and East Wareham got to 100. Rochester and Plymouth/Kingston were only 95. Here are all the official obs from that day across southern NH, eastern MA, and RI, sorted from high to low:

    MA NEW BEDFORD COOP 107
    MA READING 105
    MA PEABODY 105
    RI PROVIDENCE 104
    MA PEPPERELL 103
    MA HAVERHILL 103
    MA TAUNTON 102
    MA WALPOLE 2 102
    MA MIDDLETON 102
    NH WINDHAM 3 NW 102
    MA SOUTH WEYMOUTH NAS 102
    MA BOSTON 102
    MA BLUE HILL COOP 101
    MA BEDFORD 101
    MA BROCKTON 101
    MA FITCHBURG 4 SE 100
    MA FALL RIVER 100
    RI KINGSTON 100
    NH NASHUA 100
    NH NASHUA 2 NNW 100
    MA EAST WAREHAM 100
    MA HINGHAM 100
    MA ROCKPORT 1 ESE 100
    MA NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AP 100
    CT GROTON 99
    NY BRIDGEHAMPTON 98
    NH KEENE 98
    MA WEST MEDWAY 98
    RI NEWPORT ROSE 98
    MA FRAMINGHAM 98
    MA CHESTNUT HILL 98
    MA JAMAICA PLAIN 98
    CT WESTBROOK 97
    RI NORTH FOSTER 1 E 97
    MA LAWRENCE 97
    NH MASSABESIC LAKE 97
    MA PROVINCETOWN 97
    MA WORCESTER 96
    CT WEST THOMPSON LAKE 95
    CT MANSFIELD HOLLOW LAKE 95
    MA TULLY LAKE 95
    MA DRACUT 95
    MA ROCHESTER 95
    MA PLYMOUTH-KINGSTON 95
    MA BUFFUMVILLE LAKE 94
    MA EAST BRIMFIELD LAKE 94
    NH PETERBORO 2 S 94
    MA BIRCH HILL DAM 93
    NH SURRY MOUNTAIN LAKE 93
    MA CLINTON 93
    CT STORRS 92
    CT COVENTRY 91
    MA BARRE FALLS DAM 91
    RI BLOCK ISLAND STATE AP 91
    MA EDGARTOWN 90

    Given this data, I just don’t buy the 107-degree reading in New Bedford. If it was 102 or even 104, sure, that’s believable. But a state-record of 107? Nope.

    1. Thanks.

      It may be suspect, that is true.

      However, a fellow blogger reported a low of 84F in New Bedford and that is not incorrect, given what the daily almanac shows for that location.

      1. It is fair to say another ob in New Bedford recorded 74F and there can be some debate as to how cool it got at this location following a very hot day.

        1. Actually, New Bedford Co-op Reported a low of 74 on 8/3/75. The 84 low was on 8/2/75, but again, the airport reported 75. That 84 low is even more suspect than the 107 high. Even Logan only bottomed out at 83. Fall River was 77, East Wareham 74, Rochester 72, Plymouth/Kingston, 70, and Taunton 67.

          1. We’re suspect of Logan now when they are 2-4 degrees warmer than most surrounding obs, but you’re willing to believe one ob that is 7-17 degrees warmer than anything within 25 miles?????

            1. No 🙂

              I´ll be direct, I guess.

              I didn´t care for you telling Captain F that his statement was incorrect.

              The meteorology you presented was really good, but you had to include the part of someone being incorrect. It didn´t need to be in your original comment. Your post would have been interesting without it.

              But, including it seems more inappropriate to me when you can go to a climate data report on an NWS site and it says hat the original blogger stated.

              I don´t know, I´m sorry, the incorrect thing didn´t sit well with me.

              1. If you really want to be truthful, whether or not the ob is right, his statement WAS incorrect, as he stated that it was August 3 with a morning low of 84, when the ob was actually on August 2. Details matter.

                1. Oh my. Details do matter. The articles supplied were from the following day as stated ….that would be August 3. The references of course were for August 2. Oops.

  17. New Bedford’s temperatures from that day have been highly suspect for a long time. Two very long time Massachusetts state climatologists believe them to be an error. The low temperature is especially glaringly bad.

    Analyzing the data and comparing with nearby stations makes that one stand out like a sore thumb.

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