DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 6-10)
High pressure builds across the northern Middle Atlantic States and Northeast today into Saturday, finally returning the more typical feel of summer to our region. However by later Saturday the center of the high will shift further east and there will be a weak area of low pressure south of New England while at the same time a cold front slowly moves into northern New England, with both systems then edging a little closer on Sunday. This will result in a slight up-tick in the chances for a few showers and thunderstorms, not so much later Saturday as I think activity will remain outside of the WHW area, but on Sunday. Even still, this will be more miss than hit, so all in all the weekend will not be too bad at all. The front to the north will slip down across the region Sunday night and an area of high pressure in Canada behind it will help deliver a maritime modified air mass to the region Monday into Tuesday while weak low pressure hangs out to the south of New England, keeping any of its shower activity offshore of the South Coast.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87 except slightly cooler in coastal locations. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH including some coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog forming in interior lower elevation areas. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SSW under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 83-90, cooler South Coast. Dew point 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60s. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82-89, cooler South Coast. Dew point 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 58-65. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 59-64. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind E under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 11-15)
Predominant pattern features high pressure off the US East Coast with warmer to hotter and fairly humid weather and limited shower and thunderstorm chances for our region.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 16-20)
Unsettled weather is most likely early in the period as high pressure offshore gives way to a stronger high pressure area from Canada which will bring drier air to the region before humidity increases again later in the period.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks, TK.
Thank you TK.
‘ a maritime modified air mass on Monday’ – say that fast five times!
Haha.
Thank you, TK!
Thanks TK.
Tk,
Thoughts on this tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands?
NHC has 30% change now and 60% chance within a few days.
https://ibb.co/XS8sbK4
Thanks
This is a signal that the tropics are waking up and I think this particular system will have a long life. Does it mean it will turn into something major & threatening? No idea yet. But it’s an indication that it’s time to start paying attention out there.
Thought so. Thank you for the confirmation.
Thanks, TK.
7 day forecasts: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E8HHVzWXIAQVGry?format=jpg&name=large
Someone’s got to hire Belicheck as their tv forecaster. He would be priceless !
Love BB…droll seems to come to mind.
Thanks TK !
News Anchor : And now to Bill, what a great, sunny day it was.
BB : we’re onto tomorrow’s hurricane.
Ha!
Thanks TK.
I don’t know if anyone has noticed but it has rained every Sunday and/or Sunday night somewhere in NE this entire summer so far. If not, it certainly seems like it.
Sometimes we get into that where it seems like a repeating pattern. It’s really just a coincidence. Our “least rainy day” this summer has been Thursday. Yesterday was an exception.
According to the tv mets, next Thursday looks quite stormy. I have several medical appointments that day too. Figures!
I’m not interpreting what they say as “quite stormy”. According to me, we’ll be warm to hot & humid with a chance of a shower or t-storm. NWS agrees. But this is day 7, so you know how that goes. Right now, the NWS point forecast indicates a precipitation chance of 30%.
In a one hour period – just now – I experienced a warm sun (beautiful passing cumulus and strato-cumulus clouds; zipping by – as Mark would say, “hauling” in reference to a storm system), a brief downpour, some light rain, and now just a thick cloud deck. As my daughter said, it’s felt like autumn here the entire summer. Looks like it may warm up significantly next week. We’ll see, though, as that’s a long-range forecast. In the meantime I’m kind of enjoying the tremendous variability in weather.
That’s variety for you!
Another spectacular day here
Fast start for winter 2021-2022????
Tweet from Meteorologist Ben Noll
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1423671456467193859
Well, it’s only one potential puzzle piece of many.
We’ll be gathering those up over the next 3 months…
I am hoping next winter will not be a dud. I wonder if will get a clipper system that slows down and give us a good dumping of snow. It seems we have not had that in several years.
Ditto for me
Keep it away !!
That new 49.2 inch “normal” for Boston (Logan) is only going to raise snow lovers expectations every year now. The old 42-44 inch range (43.8”) was more realistic given Logan’s ocean proximity being more vulnerable to coastal fronts due to storm tracks. The new “average” is more realistic in JPD’s backyard every season than mine or Joshua’s imo.
Having said all that, I would love to see Boston “officially” get a 30-inch snow event someday. 🙂
Blizzard 1978 = 27.1”
President’s Day 2003 = 27.5”
The new average is more realistic to Logan because that’s where it was obtained. This is why they use 30 year averages and update them. They don’t stay the same. The averages change with long term changes (AMO, other climate factors, etc.)
JPD’s “new average” would be higher than his old one as well.
Thank you, TK.
Woke up to the sound of radiators (heat). It’s not that cold – mid 50s. But it certainly is damp. Really looks like an early to mid October day, without the foliage.
(Sorry for the delay, had to fix something with the login.)
New weather post!