Wednesday September 22 2021 Forecast (7:29AM)

48 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 22-26)

An area of high pressure centered east of New England and south of the Canadian Maritime Provinces will deliver warm and humid air to our region the next few days. There will be only a minimal chance of a passing shower from time to time through Thursday from the tropical moisture feed, and a more widespread shower episode will take place as a slow-moving cold front enters the region from the west Thursday night and creeps eastward through Friday night, finally making it just offshore by the weekend, but close enough that a shower threat lingers near eastern coastal areas Saturday. Another disturbance approaching from the west brings another scattered shower threat from the west by the end of the weekend…

TODAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a passing shower favoring interior locations in the afternoon. More humid. Highs 73-80. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 59-66. Wind S 5-15 mph.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a shower mainly well inland during the afternoon. Humid. Highs 73-80. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers especially overnight. Areas of fog. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Humid. Highs 68-75. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring eastern areas. Patchy fog. Slightly less humid. Lows 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower favoring eastern coastal areas. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers mainly late-day favoring western areas. Highs 70-77. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 27 – OCTOBER 1)

Watch for shower chances early September 27, later September 28 into early September 29 with passing disturbances / fronts. The temperature trend will be cooling.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 2-6)

Still not a high confidence forecast going out in time but leaning toward high pressure being the dominant player with a fairly dry and seasonable pattern in early October.

48 thoughts on “Wednesday September 22 2021 Forecast (7:29AM)”

  2. Thank you, TK. Looks as if we had one of those very brief showers. Not enough to register an amount but just to get everything wet.

  15. My FB post from this date last year said we’d had two healthy frosts. I’d like them again this year to start getting rid of mosquitoes.

  16. Thank you, TK.

    My trip north was brief but nice. Splashes of color along I-89, especially reds. Had to wear a light jacket at the game. While it’s considerably cooler there it’s been a “very warm fall thus far,” according to a local I spoke to. Nevertheless, talking a walk with my sister at 8am this morning, it was a comfortable 56F. Heaven, despite the light rain and mist. The fog banks rolling in over and between the hills were a marvelous sight.

    Of course, I did get a meteorological culture shock when I exited my car just now in my Boston neighborhood. Good lord it’s humid. Uncomfortable … again. I’m not asking for much, but please, can we get rid of the humidity soon. I know it’s not in anyone’s hands. Still, I’m asking for a collective `lower the dew point’ prayer.

    1. Our falls are so much warmer overall these days. When I was a kid, once October began, just about every day I wore at least a light jacket to school.

      And yet our springs are so chilly through May, almost until Memorial Day. Some years even until early June.

    2. Ocean is still relatively warm, 60s and low 70s nearby and 80F or higher not too far away. If there’s flow off that ocean for a reasonable amount of time, it will get very humid.

      Saving grace is lower sun angle at least lessens the amount of evaporation going into the lower atmosphere, likely sparing us the 70-75F + dewpoints.

  17. Thanks, TK.

    The Rolling Stones played their first show in 59 years without Charlie Watts Monday night at a private party at Gillette and Robert Kraft.

    The Stones have been in the Boston area throughout the last month rehearsing for their fall tour which opens in St. Louis Sunday night.

    It was 40 years ago tomorrow that the Stones started on their Still Life tour. I was senior at Vanderbilt in Nashville in 1981 and a DJ on the campus station “91 Rock.” The Tennessee State Fair in Nashville was going on at the same.

    Rumors were flying around Middle Tennessee that The Stones were going to show up out of the blue and playing the state fair instead of Alice Cooper, the headline act.

    Listeners kept calling the stations all day asking if the Stones were playing ‘in Nashville. Of course, I didn’t help things by announcing on the air that “I could not confirm or deny the rumors” or “18 wheelers that look like they could be hauling the Stones’ equipment were seen on I-65.”

    When the fans realized that the Stones weren’t going to perform, they threw beer bottles on stage at Alice Cooper.

    There’s an episode of “The Wonder Years” very similar to this when Kevin and friends, grounded because he was speeding, sneak out of the house in the middle of the night to go to some dive because The Stones were supposed to play there.

    The Stones from Monday night:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m5ex66Vst80

    Mick’s tribute to Charlie:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCmXGN9Qoio

    (Mick nearly chokes up)

    Proof about The Stones and Alice Cooper in Nashville, 1981:
    https://imgur.com/IaWu7Mj

    We had a blast in college and at the radio station.

    Now, back to the weather, already in progress…

    1. That’s pretty cool about the private Gillette performance Monday night.

      Just happened to be listening to WZLX (100.7) last night around 6:30 pm, they mentioned it and also briefly played what Mick Jagger said about Charlie Watts. That had to be difficult, given how long they had played together.

    2. I was always a Stones fan while all of my friends were Beatles
      fans.

      I saw the Rolling Stones in Concert at the Old Boston Garden
      in November 1965. Geez, I am OLD!!!!

  19. and the long 6 months of the earth´s tilt working against the northern hemisphere has begun ………. 🙁 🙁 🙁 🙁

    1. Love it! To me, it’s not working against the hemisphere, it’s working in my favor for foliage, holiday season, and the opportunity to take more sunrise photos at the beach. 🙂

  20. No sun here. Literally light rain and drizzle all day. Light is the operative word. For an entire day we totaled 0.08.

        1. Thanks, North. I’ll look. I was just checking the radar. Just a small line going over us….and over and over and over

  21. Love your story, CF. Thank you.

    People do forget that bands must rehearse A LOT. Mick and the gang are perfectionists and really good at their crafts.

  22. Tom, thanks for the explanation regarding humidity. Consistent with what you’re saying we really need a northwesterly flow, and one that doesn’t just last a day or two, to push out the humidity. My place feels like the tropics, and not in a good way. I’m sweating like crazy, not from the heat but from relentless humidity.

  23. This message is for Jay A (hey there!) …
    Right now, I’d keep the 12:10 tee time in Amherst NH for Saturday.

  24. TK – You’ve mentioned A.M.O. in the past. Can you explain again please?

    If I remember correctly, it’s about to change soon, correct?

    1. These 2 sources will give you an excellent overview and better understanding of just how recently we discovered this and how big of an impact it has on climate.

      https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/atlantic-multi-decadal-oscillation-amo

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_multidecadal_oscillation

      We need to pay attention to these naturally occurring things as much as we need to pay attention to our own impact on our planet, because they both have major implications and we need to learn to do 2 things… 1) Be smarter about what we can control. 2) Be prepared for what we can’t.

      This is why I always say we can’t just place all the eggs into ONE basket. There is clearly more than one basket, maybe even several of them. Who knows what we haven’t discovered yet.

      1. Absolutely which is why I added C.C. And didn’t substitute

        One part…we have no control over. Another major part…we do and are failing miserably.

  25. A fellow met has pointed out to me today how many “weather weenie” pages are in full hype mode about major hurricane threat for US East Coast regarding Sam. Ugh.

    WHY. ARE. THEY. OBSESSED. WITH. DOING. THIS?

    Don’t answer: I already know the answer. It’s just super-frustrating. I really struggle with myself when I have the idea about the weather models not being available to the public, and this makes the argument in favor of that idea. But I hate it at the same time because it takes away from the vast majority of the people who are just curious to see them and learn about them while not intending to fuel false information on social media. It just comes down to responsibility, and there are too many out there who are irresponsible. I feel very strongly about this and rightfully so. It is mine and my colleagues’ science and credibility that is threatened by these idiots.

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