Friday October 1 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)

35 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 1-5)

The month of October starts with a fairly nice day as high pressure approaches from the west, but the previously-mentioned “pinch” will be taking place as we have lingering influence from low pressure to the east and an approaching disturbance from the west. The low to the east will try to force this moisture to the southeast but it will run into dry air as it does that, so while cloudiness comes across our sky at times this weekend, I expect the weekend for southeastern New England to be a dry one. If you’re heading north though, you may run into some wet weather at times. The temperature forecast is a little tricky as we get into Sunday as it will depend on the position of a frontal boundary in the region. Finally, the moisture from the west will make it into the region by Monday, which looks like a wet day, and this may hang around into Tuesday before high pressure to the north regains foothold and starts to push the moisture off to the south. How quickly this happens is somewhat uncertain at this time. Also remember if you have plans near the coast this weekend, be aware of increased ocean swells / surf and rip current risk as a result of distant offshore Hurricane Sam.

TODAY: Sunny start then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45 interior areas, 45-52 immediate coast and urban centers. Wind N under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind WSW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65 southern NH and northeastern MA, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind E 5-15 MPH southeastern NH and northeastern MA, variable to SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 58-65. Wind variable to E 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain mainly in the morning favoring southern areas. Highs 58-65. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 6-10)

High pressure is expected to sit over and just north of the region with fair and seasonable weather. We need to watch low pressure sitting to the south of the region, especially toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 11-15)

Battle between high pressure to the north and low pressure to the south may be won by low pressure again before this period ends, and then by its end we should get into a drier westerly air flow. Low confidence forecast.

35 thoughts on “Friday October 1 2021 Forecast (7:20AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    I think this is our 22nd school day of the year as of October 1st.

    Its busy, draining and fun. Also, flying by …….

  2. Thank you, TK, for here and there!

    We bottomed out at 39. Temp has rebounded to 54. Now we need to get some freezes.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Coldest or should I say coolest night of the season so far.
    Down to 45 here in JP. Up to 53 so far this morning.

  5. Thanks TK. Hope all are well here 🙂

    Very fitting start to October with this cool morning. However, we may not get this cool again for the next 2 weeks or more. I would set October as a heavy favorite to be (another) top 10 warmest month after a very warm September.

        1. Can always get early season snow or in season snow in an overall warm pattern. Takes only a couple cold days within an overall mild pattern. 🙂

        2. Can’t call “no snow” on October 1.

          Same thing as calling winter over in early December.

  7. Thanks TK.

    I find it interesting that your forecasts have been “low confidence” lately. Those are usually reserved for the winter or early spring, not so much the fall.

    I have had to put the heat on for last two mornings. It’s that time of year! 🙂

    1. Summer & tropical season, and part of spring are the most frequent “low confidence” forecast times when it comes to medium / long range. Late autumn through early spring are less so, in general.

  8. Recon plane just passed through Sam ….

    pressure in the high 930 mbs and they encountered a flight level wind close to or at 150 knots.

  10. For the chances of rain overnight on Sunday…..how late overnight is that? I have a menu for the game and would hate to not have a game 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. Not to worry about that Vicki. The game is on whether it rains or not! With Brady used to bad conditions, weather should have ZERO impact on the outcome. All of Patriot Nation should prepare for the inevitable. I certainly am.

      1. 🙂 I was thinking lightning but showers doesn’t usually mean lightning. Although, I’ve watched all of his games as well as Mac’s this year, it will be nice to see him at Gillette again. I’m just rooting for a good game for both.

        1. Tom Brady´s going to have a good game. Pats best cornerback is JC Jackson. Put him on either Evans, Godwin or Antonio Brown, that may help on one, but the other 2 are likely to go off.

          Pats havent pressured a QB yet and Tampa´s offensive line is excellent. Brady may have til 5 or 6 Mississippi each time to throw the ball.

          I hope it pours, something, anything to help even out the talent disparity.

  11. Pressure down a few more mb in Sam.

    Even by Bermuda´s hurricane standards, good thing this is missing them.

    1. And to think the “weenie” sites were hyping the crap out of this thing regarding the US East Coast just a number of days ago. 😉 Translation: “We hope it hits us so we’re gonna tell everyone it probably is so we can watch their reaction and fool ourselves into thinking we actually know what we’re talking about when in fact we’re totally clueless!” 😉

  12. It was 42 degrees when I left the City of Champions at 4:00 am. It’s now 12:35 MST, and it’s 87 degrees without a cloud in the sky here in Tempe, AZ.

  14. TK – Will the second half be wet for Sunday night? Not that I’m going, just wondering. Brady can more than handle bad conditions anyway.

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