Saturday October 2 2021 Forecast (8:32AM)

44 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 2-6)

The first weekend of October may not be a stellar early autumn weekend, but for those in the WHW forecast area (southern NH, central and eastern MA, eastern CT, and RI) it won’t really be that bad either. Temperatures which started out with a bit of a chill this morning will rebound nicely today even though sunshine will be limited at times by an abundance of high and mid level cloudiness streaming in from the northwest. There is enough mid level moisture to possibly result in brief rainfall in southern NH and northeastern MA this morning before that area moves out. We’re on the “warm” side of a boundary for now. This is the boundary mentioned in yesterday’s discussion which makes Sunday’s temperature forecast more tricky as it is destined to sink southward, back-door cold front style, during the day. This will leave areas mainly south and west of Boston warmest while areas to the north and east turn noticeably cooler. We also have the wild card of whether or not some lower cloudiness comes in off the ocean in the cooler areas, while we’ll still be dealing with a lot of higher clouds streaming in above. Eventually that higher and mid level cloud cover will thicken and lower and lead to rainfall, but at the moment I think the rainfall will only be patchy by Sunday evening before becoming more widespread overnight into Monday morning, before becoming patchy again. Regardless, a wet start to the week seems likely as a wave of low pressure moves along that frontal boundary. All the while, high pressure will still be centered to the north and will be ready to make a southward push, eventually enough to kick the wet weather out of here. However that may take until later Tuesday to happen, leaving us with dry weather by the middle of next week. Whether we get rid of the clouds by then or not is another matter and one I will figure out as we get closer to it. And I know you’ve been hearing this all week but one more reminder of the increased ocean swells / surf / rip currents (if you have coastal plans) due to Hurricane Sam far offshore.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Brief showers possible southern NH and northeastern MA this morning. Highs 63-70. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind WSW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65 southern NH and northeastern MA, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind E 5-15 MPH southeastern NH and northeastern MA, variable to SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Becoming cloudy. Occasional rain north of I-90 by mid evening with patchy rain to the south. More widespread rain likely overnight. Areas of fog overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Steadiest rain in the morning. Occasional rain in the afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind variable to E 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain mainly in the morning favoring southern areas. Highs 58-65. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 7-11)

High pressure is expected to sit over and just north of the region with fair and seasonable weather. We need to watch low pressure sitting to the south of the region for possible northward push, or at least some of its moisture being drawn northward into the region.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 12-16)

Low pressure from the south and west may bring wetter weather for the first part of this period before a drier westerly air flow finally takes over. Low to moderate confidence forecast.

44 thoughts on “Saturday October 2 2021 Forecast (8:32AM)”

  1. Thank you, TK. Started out at 42 and gained 10 degrees. Nice morning for coffee outside by the fire.

  2. Thanks TK.

    A nice, kinda spooky crescent moon in the eastern sky to greet me out the door this morning. It’s still fairly dark at 6:00 am now. “Morning darkness” has now pretty much taken over my morning commute, and will only get darker from here on until next spring (April). Oh well. 🙁

      1. Merely a very temporary reprieve. And then when we change clocks again, back in the “other” direction. So can’t really win either way. 🙁

        1. Yes but the other clock change isn’t until March. Not worth the energy lamenting it that far in advance.

    1. Great stuff!

      Sam has spent the longest time over the most favorable conditions of any system this season. Don’t think that will be repeated any time soon.

      1. He sure is being noticed for that talent. We had one years ago that seemed to hang around for a long while, but I’m not sure if it was this long. It could have been Felix….or maybe Danny.

  8. I finally get a day off tomorrow I can’t wait . I’ve been working crazy hours at the Hospital & side work was busy during September.

      1. Same with me as well. I haven’t taken a Sunday off since my birthday last year. My last Saturday off was back in mid-March. I am here at work today though. I am also taking Monday off as well. Can’t recall the last time I did that either. My only regular “off” days are Wednesday & Thursday.

        Enjoy tomorrow SSK! 🙂

        1. You as well Philip. I’m out of here soon I’ve been working every Saturday 4-12 then I do a side job .

        2. If I get the new position my days off will be Sunday & Monday’s & not back until 11pm Tuesday night .

  11. Gronk listed as doubtful (ribs).

    I hope he can at least travel with his team and wave to the Gillette faithful prior to kickoff.

  12. Unbelievable ending to the regular season in baseball. Folks, in the AL, we have 4 teams vying for 2 wildcard playoff spots. And, they’re separated by a mere 2 games. They may be separated by only 1 game by the time today’s games are over! The Yankees are doing their best to blow it. There’s a chance they don’t make the playoffs if they lose today (they’re losing 12 to 2 at the moment) and lose tomorrow, and the Red Sox and Jays win both games (Jays are winning 6 to 1 today). Boone is popping antacids like they’re candy at this point.

  17. Sox win 5-3.

    Yankees are having an uncomfortable Saturday night; especially Cashman and Boone. Should the Yankees lose tomorrow, and the Red Sox and Jays win …

    1. Whatever happens, this has been the most exciting finish to a baseball season in my lifetime. All 4 teams vying for the 2 wildcard spots clearly have many flaws. But, they sure have entertained us. I find this MUCH more entertaining than the contrived soap opera stories all week about BB and TB. If hear another word from Seth Wickersham I’m going to snap. I like football, but the actual game, please. Not gossip and hearsay.

  18. If the Yankees and Sox lose tomorrow, and Seattle wins tonight and tomorrow, and Toronto wins tomorrow there will be a 4-way tie. The fact that this is even remotely possible – which it certainly is – is insane, especially after 162 games.

          1. That’s fine.

            I just love the sport. I’m a dinosaur, I guess. Or so say the media. I’ll wake up in the middle of the night for an important baseball or hockey game. When I lived in Europe I did exactly that. Listened to the games on Armed Forces Network. I like the other two major sports, but would never wake up in the middle of the night for either football or basketball.

    1. They clinched a Game 163. Not the wildcard playoff game, but a chance to play a tie-breaker to move on to the wildcard playoff game. If they win tomorrow they will clinch a wildcard playoff game. It’s exceedingly complicated. There are quite a number of scenarios. All 4 teams are still in it.

  20. Gronk is not only “out” for tomorrow but will not be traveling with the team. Too bad. Hope he’s not done for the season.

  21. The Amundsen–Scott South Pole Station experienced the coldest average temperature for April to September in 2021 on record. Records date back to 1957.

      1. Well, the records go back under 100 years. There is a lot we don’t know still about large scale patterns and trends and their impacts on regional weather.

        As I would say you can’t draw any solid conclusions about our climate based on one area being hot, you also cannot do it based on one area being cold. These are things we need to study over time, all the while keeping our minds on the idea of we need to play it as cautious as possible.

Comments are closed.