Thursday October 7 2021 Forecast (7:23AM)

34 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 7-11)

High pressure will remain in control of the weather for most of the next 5 days with one possible interruption about the middle of the holiday weekend. This is going to be dependent on how much interaction there is between an approaching trough from the west and a low pressure area to the south. Right now I am favoring just enough interaction for the chance of some shower activity in the region any time Sunday until very early Monday. Also, after two sunny days today and Friday, a back-door cold front will usher in a maritime air mass and open the door for low cloudiness off the ocean as soon as Friday night lasting into the weekend. So don’t expect the brightest of weekends with all of the above factors taken into account. Monday being the day of the postponed / rescheduled Boston Marathon, it’s of high interest to many in the region, and right now I favor rain-free conditions with abundant cloudiness and moderate humidity for the race. Fine-tuning of this forecast will take place over the next few days.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear except fog patches forming in lower elevations. Lows 46-53, coolest interior valleys. Wind calm.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73 occurring by midday then may turn cooler. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early then N to NE 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 59-66. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 60-67. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of showers. Lows 51-58. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower early. Highs 61-68. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 12-16)

Other than a couple of very weak / dissipating troughs moving through with some clouds at times, the weather is expected to be governed by high pressure at the surface and aloft much of the time with generally dry weather and above normal temperatures heading through the mid point of October.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 17-21)

This period should see some giving-way of the high pressure ridging with better opportunities for systems arriving from the west with a couple greater threats for some unsettled weather. Too early for timing on these potentials.

34 thoughts on “Thursday October 7 2021 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  8. Absolutely spectacular day. 72 with 57 DP and a gentle breeze going from front to back through the house

  10. If this is what the Native Americans enjoyed about autumn in what was later called New England, I’m in full agreement: Relatively crisp nights followed by warm days. This must have also been a very pleasant surprise to the pilgrims.

      1. I always thought that Indian Summer was such a misnomer.
        What the hell does it mean? It means some nice weather after a frost. Hardly summer at all. 🙂 🙂 🙂
        IMHO, it is a total joke. But hey, you can call it that if you wish.

        Now if we had 90 degree weather after the first killing frost, then you might have something. 🙂

  11. Thanks TK.

    Woke up to sunny skies this morning in Coventry and then hit what was basically a wall of low clouds and fog as I headed west towards the CT River Valley and into work in Manchester. It took until about 11AM for the clouds and fog to burn off here at the office and then like a light switch it turned completely sunny.

    Here is a snippit of the satellite image this morning and you can clearly see the low clouds and fog in the river valleys, right up to the tributaries in northern New England. Pretty cool!

    https://imgur.com/zMlBgav

  12. The foliage here thus far has been less than impressive. The leaves on the trees in my yard are basically just turning brown, dying and falling off. The trees that are turning are pretty muted. Possibly because of all the rain we have had?

    Not the case in NNE though. Foliage is approaching peak and looking pretty spectacular in the Adirondacks and Whites….

    Adirondack High Peaks:
    https://twitter.com/MarkDPhotos_/status/1445814682804174848?s=20

    Dixwell Notch, NH:
    https://twitter.com/EdPiotrowski/status/1445873283388280832?s=20

      1. Not necessarily….we have had near to above normal temperature winters that have also had above normal snow.

    1. Still in the top 10 stupidest ideas media has had. But looking at that list, I’m going to have some laughs listening to headlines this winter. 😉

    2. A street I lived on for years growing up….slight misspelling ….and a niece.

      Meanwhile sure is dark toward Milford.

  16. Mark, thank you SO MUCH for sharing those photos of autumn in the Adirondacks and the White Mountains. Fall colors still awe me.

    1. Eric Fisher
      @ericfisher
      1h

      Never just one thing, is it? Not easy to do a seasonal outlook. But it feels a lot like the 2011-12 and 2018-19 Ninas…which weren’t much around here.

    1. No, I do not want that. The good thing is I can now enter Quebec, Canada (couldn’t last year), and I will do so if it’s a 2011-2012 kind of winter here. My uncle is married to a Quebecoise, and they live about 75 minutes north of Quebec City. He said I can visit any time. He warned me about the winter. Little does he know that I like it cold and snowy. That place, my friends, is guaranteed to have snow pretty much from late November through March.

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