Thursday October 14 2021 Forecast (7:37AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 14-18)

High pressure dominates today then shifts off to the east Friday and Saturday as low pressure tracks through the Great Lakes and into southeastern Canada, dragging its warm front through the region Friday night / early Saturday followed by a fairly strong cold front Saturday evening and night. While the warm front may produce some showers, the best chance of showers and embedded thunder will be with the cold front mostly after sunset into the late evening and possibly overnight hours Saturday / early Sunday from west to east. Behind this comes a gusty westerly wind, cooler and drier air, but with an upper level trough over the region we can expect to see passing clouds Sunday and Monday and even the possibility of a few showers, mainly Sunday, due to instability.

TODAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 70-77. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 53-60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring central MA and southern NH. Patchy fog. Lows 52-59. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with showers and a chance of thunderstorms west to east. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Slight chance of a brief passing shower. Highs 61-68. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 58-65. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)

Broad low pressure troughing may hang in eastern Canada while high pressure tries to move in at the surface, which means fair weather and slight warm-up October 19-20. Next unsettled weather system from the west is due in the October 21-22 window with dry weather returning end of period, based on current timing.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)

Differences and inconsistencies in medium range guidance help lead to a lower confidence forecast but for now looking for high pressure to be dominant early to mid period with mostly fair weather and low pressure to threaten later in the period with unsettled weather.

25 thoughts on “Thursday October 14 2021 Forecast (7:37AM)”

    2. I doubt it’s going to leave entirely and I bet it will be around for November at times as well. Our climate has now changed dramatically, for better or worse.

  5. I have registered for the SNE weather conference. I should be able to make the first 2 or 3 hours anyway. 🙂

  9. I am enjoying this weather can’t complain too much about the morning and evening dew….just a bit. I don’t think it is a secret that I enjoy both times of day on the deck. But everything is too wet now. On the flip side, it will hopefully aid the third and final application of grass seed in growing.

  12. More thermometer issues.

    Here in JP we topped out at 75 yesterday.
    High temp of 78 at Logan.

    That is NOT right!

    1. If the guidance even has the right idea. I haven’t seen a lot of consistency there. To block or not to block……………………

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