Wednesday October 27 2021 Forecast (7:44AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 27-31)

The wind battering has been pretty significant and as we expected would be a greater factor than the rainfall with the storm system impacting the region. The low center is done with its loop and will be pulling away to the southeast today, but improvement will be gradual with rainfall tapering off and eventually ending, and moderate to strong wind gusts only gradually diminishing. Additional travel issues and power outages can occur through the day with only the very gradual improvement in the weather expected. We get a break Thursday and Friday between systems as a little nose of high pressure from the north comes down from Canada, but the next low arrives later Friday night and gives us an unsettled, rainy/breezy Saturday. We won’t see conditions quite like we did with this one as this low will be further west and not as strong. It will lift out of the region on Sunday which looks like it will bring improving weather, but maybe a passing shower with a lingering trough in the region however. Although the outlook for Halloween is not that bad – on the mild side and generally dry.

TODAY: Overcast with periods of rain and drizzle gradually tapering off. Highs 48-55. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast, higher gusts, gradually diminishing.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain arriving late. Temperatures steady 52-59. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain. Highs 56-63. Wind SE to variable 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a passing shower. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

High pressure brings fair and seasonably cool weather for the first day of November. A couple waves of low pressure may bring brief rain chances around November 2 and 4 though timing and details remain uncertain.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

While I lean toward a drier pattern with variable temperatures, we may see another blocking situation evolve. Something to watch. Forecast remains low confidence.

52 thoughts on “Wednesday October 27 2021 Forecast (7:44AM)”

        1. Sure is and apparently they are trickling in. Daughter in uxbridge just lost power. And as we know, the wind will prevent linesmen from going up in buckets.

  10. Not bad in the NW suburbs.

    At the WHW headquarters…
    Brief power blip, enough to reset clocks.
    Biggest casualty was a recycle bin blowing off the sidewalk. 😉

    1. I think pretty much the same here. I’ll take some mini flashlights I have to Uxbridge later and will see if there is damage

      Clearly Nat Grid clearing trees along the road helped. All you ever had to do was sneeze and half of Sutton went dark. As you know our wires are underground so it takes something like a problem at the substation for our power to go out 🙁

  11. Thanks TK.

    What happened last night was definitely the worry with this one. The loop actually did end up a little further east, which as TK mentioned helped spare areas to the north and west. So it could’ve been worse, and the rain wasn’t a factor either. But for the areas that got it, it’ll be remembered as one of the worst wind and tree damage/power outage events in years.

    My folks in Wrentham sent me a picture of a large, healthy pine snapped on their property, but said that the power only flickered off briefly.

  12. My neighborhood (and the entire city of Brockton) looks like a warzone. Trees and power lines down everywhere. No power at home, along with 60% of Brockton. Several very large branches down in my backyard. 3.87″ in the rain gauge when I left the house at 7:30. My 5 mile drive to Route 24 usually involves just 3 turns. Today, I had 3 separate detours on that route due to trees and/or lines down. There’s a wx station on Route 24 in Stoughton that reported a peak gust to 62 mph this morning. I’m guessing we were gusting to at least 70 at my house.

    1. It was nasty down there and south from there.
      My friend in Mattapoisett describes to me what sounds like what we saw on the Brockton/Whitman downburst chase in May 1996, only over a larger area. She’s taking pics now.

    2. Thanks for the report SAK. My boss lives in Brocton and she is without power and had to cancel a meeting we were to have today.

      Very fortunate here as we did not lose power at all. No clock resets no nothing.

      I did see a few branches down in our yard and neighbor’s but that was it.

  13. Thanks Tk . Pembroke is 100% without power I think it went out around 3:30 this morning . Lot s of trees down in my neighborhood on top of wires. I think we might be without power for awhile down this way. My sister missed her flight this morning to LA because getting out of Plymouth with all the trees down was tough . The wind is still strong here as well .

  14. Thanks, TK…

    Power stayed on here in Taunton. I have colleagues in Lakeville and Berkley who have been without power since 1 am. 99% of Lakeville is without power.

    Brockton: I read that there were three house fires overnight and that the BFD requested that National Grid make the city a priority.

    The press box at Cohasset High School sports field toppled over and that a Cessna, belonging to Bridgewater State, blew up and outside the New Bedford Airport.

  17. Massive branch hit part of the roof, some of it fell on to the deck below. Nothing we can really do but wait out the storm and then wait our turn to get contacted by the tree company. Throughout the town of Hingham there is lots of damage. Did a little drive and spotted areas with so many wires down. We haven’t lost power and I’m hoping it stays that way. Going to have to figure out how to pay the tree piper. I want the wind to end!!!

  21. Power out here in Sharon since 5am. Lots of branches down and road closures. No property damage thankfully. Wild night!

  23. Max wind gust at Logan = 59 MPH as of 5:35 a.m.

    The wind at my house felt a lot more than that imo. I still have phone service (land line) thankfully. When I got up this morning, I feared the worst with regard to that. It was a joy to hear the hum when I picked up the phone.

    YES, I still have a land line and I love it!

    I use my iPhone for “other” things in my life. I rarely give out that number.

        1. The wind has definitely died down . But there is a significant amount of trees & wires down throughout the south shore towns . I’m hearing the main priority is getting the roads cleared as a lot of back roads are hazardous then start the restoration. Most towns are hearing this is a multi day cleanup & power as of now there saying back on Saturday the 30th. I am a huge tv person & out of work till Friday & my phone is in & out so I’m going crazy . Of all night on Chicago night !!

    1. I have heard from a couple people who live in that area and it’s not good. They have a very long cleanup ahead and some areas will be without power for many days.

  27. Retrograding lows are trouble in general, but many times the set-up is more benign one way or another.

    This time, we had the combination of a track and a trajectory that were set to give the South Coast and South Shore areas maximum impact due to timing and rate of intensification with respect to the track, and add to that the forward speed of the low – faster than many other retrograding lows we’ve seen – so that made the impact similar to an accelerating / transitioning tropical cyclone. It’s not that this never happens up in this area, but a fair percentage of the time either its offshore, or timed differently. Thank goodness this was not during an astronomical high tide…

    1. And I would add, thank goodness this was not during sub-freezing temperatures.

      It was a good reminder here to have a storm box ready (flashlights ran out, tried a candle and the matches wouldn’t strike against the box, got hungry and didn’t want to open the fridge…) All small things but that unprepared feeling.

      Next up: a storm box for the car.

      1. Indeed. Although a winter version of this would have caused far less tree damage because of no foliage and at least a better shot at more firm soil (if not frozen).

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