Thursday October 28 2021 Forecast (7:32AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

A high pressure area centered in Quebec will nose southward between departing low pressure off the coast to the east and another low approaching from the southwest. This will bring rain-free weather to us today and Friday, albeit with a fair amount of cloudiness due to moisture that is trapped in the lower atmosphere, a few thousand feet above the ground. There will be enough drying for at least some breaks of sun, however. So while it will be on the cool side with a north to northeast air flow, it won’t be all that bad. These conditions will be favorable for cleanup and power restoration efforts in the wake of the powerful storm we had. Speaking of storms, we do get a visit from that low approaching from the southwest as it moves across the Northeast Saturday, bringing us another rainy and breezy period of weather, but this time not nearly as severe as what we just saw. This low will be weaker and have a different track, more directly southwest-to-northeast, not allowing the same things to take place. This low will move right along and be out of here by Sunday, and aside from the slight chance of a passing rain shower as a trough swings through, Sunday will be quite a nice day with a sun/cloud mix and mild air. Sunday evening’s weather will be dry and slightly cooler but nice for trick-or-treat. The air flow turns a bit more northwesterly for Monday with fair, cooler weather.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind NNE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening. Cloudy with rain arriving overnight. Lows 48-55. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the South Coast.

SATURDAY: Overcast with periods of rain and areas of fog. Highs 56-63. Wind E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially in coastal areas.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a brief passing rain shower. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Evening temps (trick-or-treat time) falling into 50s. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

A disturbance brings a brief rain chance sometime November 2 and a stronger one brings a rain chance November 4. Otherwise mainly dry and seasonable weather is expected on the other days based on current timing and expected progressive pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Leaning a little further away from the return to blocking, or we may see a much weaker version of it try to get going in an otherwise somewhat progressive pattern. If things time as I expect them to we’ll start and end this period with fair weather and have a disturbance mid period with a chance of briefly unsettled weather.

64 thoughts on “Thursday October 28 2021 Forecast (7:32AM)”

  3. Thanks TK.

    I heard one of the tv mets say that the winds on Saturday get as high as 30-40 MPH. That could probably still bring down any weakened/distressed trees.

    I got lucky with no water in my basement, but it remains to be seen if it happens again Saturday with 1-2” rain all at once. At least it should be in and out in a day.

      1. No school today.

        I honestly don’t know how much of town is out, but I’m thinking it’s most of town. So were the surrounding towns as of last night. It’s going to be a while.

        Just our Neighborhood loop has multiple repairs needed to restore power.

        Most trees down in a wind event I have seen down here.

  9. Tom, SSK, Dr S …..and ALL in your area, along the coast and cape and islands, you are in our prayers. Tom, do you have a generator?

    1. I don’t have a generator.

      Maybe I should, that’s all you can hear in the neighborhood.

      I’m uniformed enough about those things to probably kill us from carbon monoxide.

      I’ve got my grill though 🙂

      1. We got a small one last summer when we lost power because the freezer was covid stocked. I’m ok as long as it doesn’t run lights etc.

  10. When I see what is going on down on the South Shore, Cape and Islands, I am even more grateful that we were spared in our
    neighborhood. I can’t even imagine being without power for days! last time I endured that was with Hurricane Donna in
    1960. I think we were out for about a week or at least several days. I don’t even remember what we did for food, but we go through it somehow. At least it was Early September, so the weather was warm.

    1. Wow. I can honestly say I’m surprised it has been since 1960 for you. I’m trying to count the number of times we have been out for three or more days. Oddly, I realized it wasn’t as common decades ago. I don’t recall any time when I was younger but Belmont has its own electric company so perhaps was more efficient.

      First I recall was March 1984. My son was 10 days old. Then at least five times since then but possibly two more.

  12. Thanks, TK…

    Hello, friends. I hope everyone is okay and safe.
    I saw a tweet from the Marshfield PD that 96.77% of the town is without power. Three of my friends in Lakeville and Bridgewater are still without power.

    I had the police scanner on last night and it was crazy! Trees and wires were still falling at 8 pm!

    2. I cannot imagine how much is happening in those areas.

      What scanner do you use? I have been trying to find one that is not too involved

      1. Keith Hingham gave us info on a mobile Scanner app.

        It is called Scanner Radio Pro
        and is available for Iphone or Android.

        On Google play it is called

        Scanner Radio – Fire and Police Scanner

        Just checked Iphone and it is named the same there.

        I have used it and it is pretty awesome.

        Good luck

        1. Thank you. He’d given me that also on FB. There was a problem and I can’t recall what. It may have been Sutton couldn’t be heard. I can ask him. I appreciate the reminder

        2. I just looked and still have the app. I remember also that my son explained why Sutton wasn’t accessible. I clearly need to refresh my memory Thanks again

  13. I have an app on my phone, Vicki, called 5-0 Radio Pro. It’s pretty good and free. You can get all counties in Massachusetts as well as a few State Police bands. You can call up all 50 states and international police and fire.

  14. I am VERY sorry to hear about the damage, power outages, etc … that is impacting folks living in the South Shore area. Tom, Keith, Dr. S, SSK, and others, my thoughts are with you all.

  15. So sorry for those on the South Shore who lost power. I get the impression it’s a good majority of you, unfortunately. The longest I ever lost power during a storm that I can recall was Hurricane Gloria, around 12 hours.

    It’s definitely time for the state to consider an underground electrical network for the suburbs.

    1. I also hope that Saturday’s event doesn’t aggravate things more. I believe that the winds will still be moderate.

  16. I took a photo of the article in the globe since many don’t have access. Six south shore communities have no power. I was thinking the cape would be as bad or maybe worse. Although the map shows it is in good part without power, it seems as bad as that is, the south shore took the brunt.

    Just heartbreaking

    https://imgur.com/a/dvOWXaK

    1. Thanks for that map, Vicki. Pretty incredible and heartbreaking as you said. If you notice, there are some communities that are shaded in white. We have municipal companies for our electricity.
      For example, Taunton and Berkley have Taunton Municipal Lighting Plant (TMLP); Middleborough and Lakeville: Middleborough Gas and Electric (MG&E). My hometown of Mansfield is a municipal entity. I guess they don’t report to the state for outages.

      Being smaller and localized, they are incredible when it comes to emergencies. The damage to the systems is so great that it will take so much time to repair. On my morning coffee run, I saw out-of-town trucks on the road. It is wonderful to see utility companies come to each other’s rescue in times of need!

  17. The lack of power doesn’t bother me. Maybe it’s all the dry camping 🙂

    What’s weird is since August 31st, the pace of life has been a blur and it has just suddenly come to a complete stop and that’s what’s weird or strange.

    And on a moments notice, it will go back to warp speed pace.

    1. Enjoy the Down time if all possible. Power outages have never bothered me. The destruction breaks my heart.

  18. One gas station open in Marshfield, line has been 50 cars long, at least, for 2 days now.

    In line in long line at Dunkin Donuts. The one part of town that has electricity has this Dunkin and the gas station.

    Beyond that, it’s dark at intersections for as far as I went.

    Good times continue.

  19. I have calls in to five different tree services / arborists. Zero calls back. It’s taking every ounce of me to not get out my ladder and my chainsaw but I know logically speaking that’s a terrible idea. Ughhhh

    1. Did you try contacting them online? I sent my landscaping service an email yesterday and they got back to me early this morning. Companies are probably swamped with calls, and likely will be for days.

      1. One of them I’ve contacted online. So far they’ve only asked for an address and phone number. I’ll do this for the rest.

  20. CPC with below normal temps for 6-10 & 8-14.
    Their 3-4 week experimental outlook made on October 22 may bust badly for at least week 3.

    GFS ensembles have been showing a cooler signal for a while for early November. Glance at the super-extended and it shows cool early November, mild mid November, cooler trend later November. Will watch for consistency, or lack of….

    First flakes may fly in Metro Boston before Veterans Day (don’t read that as first major snowfall – just said first flakes). 🙂

    After this block breaks down, more progression, but still have to watch for the return to at least a weaker version of blocking after the start of the new month.

    The cool anomaly as we go forward in time looks more weighted toward the Mid Atlantic / Southeast as opposed to the Northeast – hello La Nina.

    1. Ty for the weekend outlook! We are looking pretty good for the annual Halloween Parade in Woburn on Sunday. Last time we had it (2019) it was held in the type of weather we are going to have Saturday…

      Hope that power comes back sooner than the current estimate!

  22. Foliage here, despite the wind, is quite lovely. Prettier than We have had. And earlier by a fair amount. Still tons of green but also some very nice color

    1. It’s a good thing in a way that it’s behind last year. Leaves that had been at or just beyond peak would have been more easily blown from the trees. Enjoy the show!

    2. Glad to hear Tom . I’m out in my truck staying warm & charging my phone . Town got hit hard I doubt in my hood I’ll be back on but some parts are luckily coming back . I know there working hard & I am grateful.

      1. Good luck SSK ! Hopefully as soon as possible.

        Yes, I spent a couple hours total in our Ford F150 the last 2 days warming up and charging the phone.

        Good luck !

    2. Thanks JJ !

      Philip, we´ve had to readjust our power expectations down here by the ocean.

      When I grew up in Lowell, well inland from the ocean, power outages lasted up to several hours and several hours was a long time.

      Living at the coast is beautiful most of the time, but it comes along with the understanding, I think, that once every say 3-5 years, there´s going to be a coastal wind event that knocks out the whole town power-wise and that it can be 1, 2 even multiple days before it comes back. It took some time and a couple storms to adjust my power expectations, but I´m there now. Must be an official Marshfield resident now. 🙂

  25. Yesterday evening Pete explained on air that the contrast in temperature caused the high, powerful winds on the South Shore. Areas Boston N/W 48-52F vs. 58-62F SE MA/Cape.

    TK – I have never heard of temperatures determining wind speed.

    Can you explain this in layman’s terms? This sounds fascinating.

    1. Wind is due to pressure differences, not temperature ones, so I’m not sure. He may have been covering more than one thing in a very short period of time.

    1. The house is colder tonight Vicki but it’s nothing an extra blanket on the bed can’t handle in which I just did . Good night all.

      1. Good. I haven’t turned on heat yet so I get it. But I’m an exception. I think most are using heat. Hoping you and everyone gets power soon.

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