Thursday November 4 2021 Forecast (7:35AM)

41 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

With low pressure passing far enough offshore tonight to give nothing more than brief rain to Cape Cod and the Islands, a developing storm off the Mid Atlantic Coast passing well southeast of New England this coming weekend, with high pressure being the main influence on our weather it is going to be a rather dry and uneventful 5-day period. We do have some November chill in place with a frosty morning across most of the region, and a good portion of the inland and non-urban areas experiencing a freeze this morning. We’ll continue to see temperature running a little on the cooler side of average into the weekend before a moderation gets underway as we start the new week.

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain possible Cape Cod / Islands. Lows 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing sun. Highs 46-53. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 49-56. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 36-43. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

High pressure dominates with dry and slightly milder weather for November 9. A warm front / cold front combo moves through likely with only some clouds and a gusty breeze (precipitation staying to the north) November 10, but a quick shot of colder air behind it. Veterans Day November 11 looks fair with a cold start and milder finish as high pressure dominates. A warming trend but more cloudiness and the chance of some light rainfall, though details uncertain, as we get toward the end of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

The early to mid part of this period has the greatest chance of unsettled but fairly mild weather as we will likely be in a stronger southerly or southwesterly air flow. A drier/cooler trend should follow this with more westerly or northwesterly flow.

41 thoughts on “Thursday November 4 2021 Forecast (7:35AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Made it down to 31 this morning here in JP.
    Coldest of the season so far.

  4. Thank you, TK!

    25 last night and lawn is still white at 8:45 even having full sun since sunrise. I’d say we have had two hard freezes.

  5. Thank you, TK.

    Made it to 32F (on the dot) here in Back Bay. Don’t know about Logan. This will slow down the bees and insects that I still see flying around. The yellow jackets are angry this time of year. Been stung in the past by yellow jackets, and it always happened in mid to late October.

    1. I hope it slows down the lady bugs. My daughter vacuumed up a couple of dozen inside the foyer two days ago. One is camped over my head now but I can’t reach the ceiling. They do entertain the cat.

  8. The trees should really get going colorwise but it’s going to be quite dull compared to last year unfortunately. Oh well.

    I have noticed more and more leaves (both green and color) actually falling to the ground now.

    1. Even the usual very bright trees have a subtle dullness to them. Kinda sad, actually. Amazing what a wet summer can do to what should normally be one of the best foliage locations in North America.

    1. Good. They seem to be first to open and last to close each year.

      We always went to Mac’s uncles ski camp in Stowe on Veterans Day. I don’t recall many, if any, when we didn’t have to call ahead for the half mile driveway to be plowed.

  13. Thanks TK.

    Dave, Killington is opening tomorrow for passholders and Saturday to the general public. Although they are blowing snow on Superstar top to bottom now, they will be opening up the North Ridge area only to start. It is higher up in elevation on Killington Peak. You have to take the gondola up to access the area and then back down again when you are done. No top to bottom skiing yet. They usually start the season on North Ridge and then end it on Superstar,

    https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam

    2. Thanks for the confirmation Mark. I last skied Killington in the late 60s. 🙂 One of my favorite destinations. Last time I ever skied was the early 70s and that was out to Brodie Mt. In the Berkshires. I believe it is now permanently closed.

      I really loved skiing.

      1. My ski history mirrors yours. And I liked it. All three of my dad’s children inherited his grace on the slopes, but it just wasn’t a passion. My older brother may have gotten all of it as he skied weekly up to a few years ago.

      2. I used to go to Brodie on Friday nights with our ski club at RPI. Yes, it closed in the late 90’s or early 2000’s.

  17. I cooked outside using my cast iron skillet on the grill so I didn’t set smoke detectors off with a new Hamburg recipe on the stove. I had no idea it was 36 but was comfortable by the fire on the deck. I didn’t eat outside 🙂 🙂

    1. We can revisit this tweet when we are having Thanksgiving dinner out on the deck in sunny and 72 degree weather.

          1. There was snow in 1989 on Thanksgiving, yes. This was near the beginning of a very cold pattern, which included Boston’s coldest December on record.

            1. Yep, I figured that out. We had to shovel an addition in progress at our house but was also close to my mom’s angel day.

            2. Coldest December on record, then the pattern flipped on New Year’s Eve. January was the 5th warmest on record in Boston (now 8th warmest). February and March were also above normal, though February still managed to have above normal snowfall. December, despite being 14 degrees below normal (!) had below normal snowfall. Every single day of that month except for New Year’s Eve was below normal, and 26 of the 31 days were more than 10 degrees below normal, with 5 of them more than 20 degrees below normal.

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