Tuesday November 9 2021 Forecast (7:13AM)

27 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Today will be the pick of the week, although yesterday wasn’t too shabby. Today’s combination sunshine, light wind, and being the mildest day of the week makes it the winner as high pressure sits over the region. The WHW forecast area has yet to see any widespread measurable rainfall this month. Boston had a trace on one day, and a string of zeroes otherwise. That will change not long from now, but not just yet. We do have a cold front that will be crossing the region Wednesday morning with a few scattered rain showers, but these will probably produce trace amounts of rainfall where they occur, and it will also be a mild day as it will take until evening for the cooler air to really show up. High pressure will bring fair but seasonably cool weather Thursday, Veterans Day, with favorable conditions for any outdoor parades / ceremonies. Clouds will be moving in as the day goes on though, and this portends a very different look to our weather by the end of the week. A large low pressure area will lift into the Great Lakes, a maturing cyclone that won’t be moving all that quickly but will send its occluding frontal system eastward into our region, bringing mild and more humid weather Friday with a pretty solid band of showers and even embedded thunder potential, with timing looking like most of the rain will fall during the afternoon and evening hours. At this time, it does look like this system will be moving quickly enough to the east so that it will make it offshore by Saturday morning, with Saturday being a dry, cooler day.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 59-66. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Rain showers possible before dawn. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy morning with rain showers possible mainly north of I-90. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY (VETERANS DAY): Sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43-50 evening, then rising into the 50s overnight. Wind variable to SE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms, mainly midday and afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts likely.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Showers ending west to east. Patchy fog. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind SW to W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Dry but breezy and cooler weather expected during the day on November 14 as we’ll be on the south side of a broad low pressure circulation moving into southeastern Canada. A disturbance moving across the Northeast Sunday night into Monday will bring the chance of rain showers except some mix/snow showers possible in interior higher elevations as it trends colder. Fair, dry, but chilly weather is expected November 16-17 and by the end of the period we should be watching for another low pressure area approaching from the west.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

The timing of systems will be hard to pin down but expecting two disturbances to pass through with precipitation chances in a pattern of up and down temperatures.

27 thoughts on “Tuesday November 9 2021 Forecast (7:13AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    96.1 FM with Christmas Music ….. rode into school hearing “here comes Santa Claus …..”

    Got me into the Holiday spirit a bit, but now, I’m ready for the nice, long December vacation …………….. which is weeks upon weeks away !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. It’s not even Veterans Day yet, too early on the Christmas music. When stations I regularly listen to do that, I drop them until the day after Thanksgiving. Actually I think that disrespects the holiday, if anything.

      1. I think its early also. Like you, I mostly try to avoid it, unless I need a little bit of a positive energy boost.

        1. I agree on early . But I have always thought Christmas music ( like no other music ) is the best to listen to as it’s happy , peaceful & loaded with the mention of family .

    2. Awesome. It is never too early or late for Christmas to me. I listen to instrumental up to thanksgiving and then all afterward. Decorating has slowly commenced here.

  4. We woke up in Knoxville, TN this morning on our drive to Houston. Left D.C. yesterday morning.

    What does this have to do with weather, you ask?

    Well , In that 9 hour dive which included the amazing blue ridge mountains , not 1 cloud was observed…not a pop up cloud, not a high wispy….NADA!

    TK, or anyone else, is this unusual?

    1. It’s unusual in the sense that it doesn’t happen often at this time of year, but it does fit in with the current weather pattern. So in that regard, it’s not unusual in that it “shouldn’t happen”. It’s just not something we see too often over that big a stretch at this time of year. These days are “enjoying them while you got them” days! Time is running out. 😉

  10. Ho Hum, that’s about all I have to say.
    Kind of in between weather, which I guess is what
    Autumn is all about. Some of this and some of that.

    It is way to early to expect much, so I try to patiently wait.

    Not impressed with the medium range outlooks so far. 🙂

    1. At least you know it’s autumn. I had two people TODAY remark to me about how we haven’t had any snow yet this winter. Umm…

      I’m still trying to get people to realize that Daylight Saving Time just ENDED. We didn’t start it. We ended it. Wow is the general population ever becoming clueless. My mother says it best: “What is everyone taking ‘stupid’ pills?” I crack up every time she says that.

  11. Weatherbee2, in case you missed it, I replied to your post above. It went to moderation I think because one character was different than your last post. 🙂

  12. DP must be up or I am acclimated . I didn’t use fire on deck as I was warm enough in a long sleeve tee.

    1. Between anchors talking about springlike weather and people l I’ve encountered talking to me about how winter has been so far, I don’t get it. It’s BAFFLING. I want people to refer to things correctly. It’s not too much to ask. We define them for a reason! Use it correctly!

      I’ve seen Eric (and other TV mets) subtly correcting their coworkers after the really bad use of terminology.

      1. I suspect the nice springlike day was said in jest. I’d say it felt like early spring if pressed. I did make a comment above re no need for a jacket even at 58

  15. Quite an interesting and active 18z GFS run.

    If it’s correct, we might not want to get too optimistic about a dry Saturday as it is back to the idea of a follow up wave of low pressure riding up along the stalling front.

    The second follow up wave Sun night/Monday has the potential to deliver flakes for some of us.

    And then there is some more long range fantasy…..

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2021110918&fh=306

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