Wednesday November 10 2021 Forecast (7:43AM)

35 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

A cold front moves through the region from northwest to southeast this morning with lots of clouds and a few rain showers (mostly to the north). Improving weather but with a cooling trend this afternoon and tonight sets up a fair but seasonably cool Veterans Day Thursday governed by high pressure. This high quickly moves offshore though as a broad area of low pressure moves into the Great Lakes Friday, sending its occluding frontal system eastward into our region with mild, humid air and wet weather arriving during the day. The main band of shower activity, which may include embedded thunderstorms, will likely move off to the east by evening with a lesser chance of shower activity after that, and then drier air will arrive to make at least the first half of and possibly most of Saturday dry, but cooler. But the broad low pressure circulation will take its time moving across eastern Canada and a couple more disturbances will rotate around it and across the region during the course of the weekend. Right now, neither of these look to be significant precipitation producers, and it looks like they time out to mainly affect us during Saturday evening and Sunday night. Regardless of sensible weather, it will be cooler this weekend.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy morning with rain showers possible mainly north of I-90. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 43-50 evening, then rising into the 50s overnight. Wind variable to SE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms, mainly late morning on. Highs 56-63. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts likely.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Rain showers ending west to east. Patchy fog. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind SW to W 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 41-48. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

A disturbance moving through may spawn an offshore storm producing a northeasterly air flow with clouds, chilly air, and some wet weather November 15. Dry, chilly November 16. A moderating trend follows and the next system threatens with unsettled weather by later November 18 or November 19 depending on timing.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

Another system threatens with unsettled weather probably mid period, but the overall trend will be for mostly dry but cooler to colder weather.

35 thoughts on “Wednesday November 10 2021 Forecast (7:43AM)”

  11. Door check time. I can no longer close my double doors together evenly. I have to offset them slightly.

    Why BTW do doors swell in winter when humidity is down and shrink to what I assume is normal in summer when humidity is up?

      1. Thanks. SIL just said same you did but he also said the door frame swells or shrinks and can twist. But neither answers my question. Why swell in winter when humidity is down

        1. I did answer the question though. The doors don’t swell. They shrink, but the door frame shrinks even more, giving the impression that the doors have swelled.

          1. So the door shrinks and the frame shrinks and it makes it harder for door to close? Conversely, in summer doors swell and the frame swells and it makes doors easier to close? That seems reverse to me. When something swells, in my experience, it makes it harder to fit its intended opening.

            Adding my SIL said doors do swell and shrink so my earlier sort of quote from him was wrong. But then you have just said doors do change also so that puts you on the same page

            1. Repeating. My question is not whether they shrink or swell. I know that happens. It is why would drier winter weather make anything swell and wetter summer weather make anything shrink?

  12. Bob villa makes sense

    “Doors usually stick in summer, when relative humidity is high.
    The moisture expands the wood, making your doors too tight in their frames. In the winter, humidity levels are usually lower, because cooler air cannot hold as much moisture. If you have better luck with these doors in the cooler months, it’s simply because environmental factors are not causing them to swell.”

      1. Once again, your doors are not swelling. They are shrinking, but the door frame is likely shrinking a bit more. This will give the impression that the door is swelling, but the reality is that it is not.

            2. Giving you the benefit of the doubt and noting I was a bit snarky in one comment when I said “repeating”…I’ll explain why I don’t understand. I pursue simply because it seem weather related in a sense

              If my door is shrinking and the frame is shrinking even more, I see that as both are taking up less area and thus moving apart….especially with the frame being the faster of the two. That makes sense to me . What does not make sense is, if they are shrinking and thus moving apart, it should be easier to close the doors. Yet I cannot close them.

              1. If the frame is shrinking faster, then the top will start to get a little lower as the sides contract. If the top is lower, then the door will have problems.

                1. Thank you. A builder friend explained this about an hour ago. He first asked where the door is held closed. (My wording not his.) It is at the top. And that does make sense.

  14. One more day on Friday working outside ( off tomorrow) then I am an operating Engineer on Monday morning as I start my climb up the Engineering ladder .

    1. I will be training on days for one month & will probably be on my chosen shift off 11-7 mid December.

  16. This has been a very nice stretch of November weather: For any outdoor activity, for photography, for raking, for gutter clean-up. I’m not religious, but God bless autumn in New England. Wow!

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