Wednesday December 1 2021 Forecast (7:36AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 1-5)

December starts with a continuation of the fast-flowing jet stream pattern and tendency to be on the cooler side of normal as we saw in late November. However, we do have one mild interlude coming, and that will be behind a warm front and ahead of a cold front Thursday. These fronts will bring the threat of a touch of light snow/rain and then rain showers, respectively, as their parent low pressure area passes to our north. Cold/dry air returns Friday with a gusty wind between that system and high pressure to the west. A weak disturbance brings a few more clouds and a chance of a few snow showers Saturday as it passes through while dissipating, and this leads to a fair and chilly day as high pressure builds in from the west Sunday.

TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind SW-S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Brief light snow to rain possible late evening / overnight. Lows 30-37 evening, rising toward 40 overnight. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers early evening. Lows 25-32. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a few snow showers. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 6-10)

Next low pressure area likely passes north of the region on December 6 producing a period of rain showers with milder air. Fair, colder December 7. Next unsettled weather threat with rain and/or snow possible December 8 depending on track of a follow-up disturbance. Trend is for fair, colder at the of period.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 11-15)

Fast-flowing jet stream but more of a southwesterly flow and a milder trend expected with a couple minor precipitation threats during this period.

24 thoughts on “Wednesday December 1 2021 Forecast (7:36AM)”

  2. Thanks, TK.

    Seeing the sun almost every day is really wonderful. It’s been quite a stretch. My cat loves this time of year when the sun is out. It must be the particularly low sun angle and where the sun is positioned. She lies on her pillow in front of the window. The sunlight comes in, but not too bright, so no need for her to wear shades.

      1. Indeed they have. The kids cat spends most days downstairs with me. He makes it known if I forget to open front door so he can watch out storm door, pretend to Chase live leaves and sleep.

    1. Not thrilled with any snow chances over the next few weeks.
      Any “chance” events “appear” to want to track North of us or at least too far north for SNE. Models will change of course, so I keep on looking.

  10. Thanks TK.

    RE: Days 10-15 – the Southeast ridge is about to take control of the pattern in the US. Likely to be some pretty anomalous warmth in the East over the middle to latter part of this month, following what has been a (well anticipated) cool stretch overall for the past couple of weeks.

    Would not rule out a wintry precip event in the 12/7-12/10 range however as we undergo the pattern transition.

    2. I guess (as usual) we can kiss the white Christmas goodbye for another year. Oh well. 🙁

      Thanks WxW!

      2. I see past lessons have not been learned about kissing white Christmas chances goodbye on the first of the month. 😉

        One example: the thunder snowstorm that gave four to eight inches on Christmas morning several years ago was not really seen by any guidance until about 48 hours before it happened. And even then it ended up being a bigger event than expected.

          1. Happens every year before winter starts. Every year.

            Same deal with the person I saw in EARLY NOVEMBER on a social media page talking about how “this winter” sucks so far. Ah, so winter starts the day after Halloween now I guess…..

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